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Fight Matrix
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 317: Topuria vs Oliveira (06-28-2025)

Posted on June 23, 2025 by Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1DD][#5P4P][#1FW][#1FWUFC] Ilia Topuria (16-0-0, -417) vs. [#3][#3UFC] Charles Oliveira (35-10-0, +321)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #6 ranked Lightweight and #31 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ilia Topuria (3-0-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#4LW] Max Holloway (26-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 3
2024-02-17: W vs. [#7DD][#9P4P][#2FW] Alexander Volkanovski (27-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:32 of round 2
2023-06-24: W vs. [#11FW] Josh Emmett (19-5-0) via UD (49-45, 50-44, 50-42)

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (2-1-0)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#22LW] Michael Chandler (23-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#2LW] Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-06-10: W vs. [*] Beneil Dariush (22-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ilia Topuria -417 77.25%
Elo K170 Ilia Topuria 2330.19 +23.95 53.44%
Elo Modified Charles Oliveira 2305.68 +31.04 54.45%
Glicko-1 Charles Oliveira 2407.19 +20.65 52.97%
WHR Ilia Topuria 2276.84 +94.62 63.29%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Ilia Topuria 28.4, Charles Oliveira 35.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ilia Topuria 245, Charles Oliveira 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ilia Topuria leads 1-0
.

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#4P4P][#5DD][#1][#1UFC] Alexandre Pantoja (29-5-0, -259) vs. [#5][#4UFC] Kai Kara-France (25-11-0, +211)
Alexandre Pantoja is the All-Time #4 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Kai Kara-France is the All-Time #16 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexandre Pantoja (3-0-0)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#14FLY] Kai Asakura (21-5-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2024-05-04: W vs. [#10FLY] Steve Erceg (12-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#6DD][#2FLY] Brandon Royval (17-7-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Kai Kara-France (1-2-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#10FLY] Steve Erceg (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:04 of round 1
2023-06-03: L vs. [#9FLY] Amir Albazi (17-2-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#8DD][#3FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-8-2) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 4:34 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexandre Pantoja -259 69.17%
Elo K170 Alexandre Pantoja 2201.64 +360.73 88.86%
Elo Modified Alexandre Pantoja 2112.27 +258.94 81.62%
Glicko-1 Alexandre Pantoja 2188.07 +255.80 81.34%
WHR Alexandre Pantoja 2045.28 +204.80 76.48%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Alexandre Pantoja 35.2, Kai Kara-France 32.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexandre Pantoja 203, Kai Kara-France 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexandre Pantoja leads 5-2
.

Flyweight (125)
[#13P4P][#6DD][#2][#2UFC] Brandon Royval (17-7-0, -118) vs. [#13][#10UFC] Joshua Van (14-2-0, -102)
Brandon Royval is the All-Time #14 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (2-1-0)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#6FLY] Tatsuro Taira (16-1-0) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#8DD][#3FLY] Brandon Moreno (23-8-2) via SD (48-47, 48-47, 46-49)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#4P4P][#5DD][#1FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (29-5-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Joshua Van (3-0-0)
2025-06-07: W vs. [#38FLY] Bruno Silva (14-8-2) via TKO (Punches) in 4:01 of round 3
2025-03-08: W vs. [#45FLY] Rei Tsuruya (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#59FLY] Cody Durden (17-8-1) via UD (29-28, 30-26, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brandon Royval -118 51.73%
Elo K170 Brandon Royval 2042.96 +190.25 74.93%
Elo Modified Brandon Royval 1871.32 +52.49 57.50%
Glicko-1 Brandon Royval 1918.10 +43.45 56.22%
WHR Brandon Royval 1812.29 +129.14 67.77%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Brandon Royval 32.8, Joshua Van 23.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Royval 259, Joshua Van 21
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brandon Royval leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#9][#9UFC] Renato Carneiro (20-6-1, -143) vs. [*] Beneil Dariush (22-6-1, +121)
Beneil Dariush is the All-Time #39 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Renato Carneiro (2-1-0)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#1P4P][#3DD][#1LW] Islam Makhachev (27-1-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:05 of round 1
2024-09-28: W vs. [#23LW] Benoit St. Denis (14-3-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2024-04-13: W vs. [#27LW] Jalin Turner (14-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Beneil Dariush (1-2-0)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#2LW] Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 1:04 of round 1
2023-06-10: L vs. [#3LW] Charles Oliveira (35-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2022-10-22: W vs. [#8LW] Mateusz Gamrot (25-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Renato Carneiro -143 56.53%
Elo K170 Beneil Dariush 2077.34 +16.91 52.43%
Elo Modified Beneil Dariush 2045.50 +3.27 50.47%
Glicko-1 Renato Carneiro 2115.98 +57.29 58.17%
WHR Renato Carneiro 1939.71 +11.14 51.60%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Renato Carneiro 36.1, Beneil Dariush 36.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Renato Carneiro 161, Beneil Dariush 574
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Renato Carneiro leads 2-1
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#21][#18UFC] Felipe Lima (14-1-0, -184) vs. [#119][#57UFC] Payton Talbott (9-1-0, +151)

Last 3 Fights: Felipe Lima (3-0-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#41BW] Miles Johns (16-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#52FW] Muhammadjon Naimov (13-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:15 of round 3
2023-07-28: W vs. [#87BW] Jonas Magard (17-7-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Payton Talbott (2-1-0)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#28BW] Raoni Barcelos (20-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#556FW] Yanis Ghemmouri (12-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:19 of round 1
2024-03-23: W vs. [#388BW] Cameron Saaiman (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Felipe Lima -184 61.92%
Elo K170 Felipe Lima 1872.52 +296.17 84.62%
Elo Modified Felipe Lima 1850.45 +232.85 79.26%
Glicko-1 Felipe Lima 1884.73 +252.26 81.03%
WHR Felipe Lima 1879.94 +299.57 84.87%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Felipe Lima 27.1, Payton Talbott 26.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Felipe Lima 196, Payton Talbott 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[*] Jack Hermansson (24-8-0, +155) vs. [#25][#20UFC] Gregory Rodrigues (16-6-0, -186)
Jack Hermansson is the All-Time #42 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (2-1-0)
2024-02-10: W vs. [#18MW] Joe Pyfer (14-3-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2022-12-03: L vs. [#9MW] Roman Dolidze (15-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 2
2022-07-23: W vs. [#23MW] Chris Curtis (31-12-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Gregory Rodrigues (2-1-0)
2025-02-15: L vs. [#10MW] Jared Cannonier (18-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 4
2024-07-27: W vs. [#79MW] Christian Leroy Duncan (11-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-02-10: W vs. [#33MW] Brad Tavares (21-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gregory Rodrigues -186 62.37%
Elo K170 Jack Hermansson 1908.20 +115.32 66.01%
Elo Modified Jack Hermansson 1947.63 +126.89 67.49%
Glicko-1 Jack Hermansson 2006.09 +139.78 69.10%
WHR Jack Hermansson 1864.33 +100.86 64.12%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jack Hermansson 37.0, Gregory Rodrigues 33.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Hermansson 504, Gregory Rodrigues 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#40][#26UFC] Hyder Amil (11-0-0, +134) vs. [#201][#69UFC] Jose Delgado (9-1-0, -160)

Last 3 Fights: Hyder Amil (3-0-0)
2025-03-01: W vs. [#42FW] William Gomis (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-07-20: W vs. [#204FW] Jeong Yeong Lee (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:05 of round 1
2024-02-10: W vs. [*] Fernie Garcia (10-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jose Delgado (3-0-0)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#584FW] Connor Matthews (8-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:58 of round 1
2024-08-13: W vs. [#215FW] Ernie Juarez (8-3-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 1:25 of round 2
2024-07-12: W vs. [#1562FW] Joao Lucas Faria (7-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:20 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jose Delgado -160 59.01%
Elo K170 Hyder Amil 1801.19 +245.38 80.42%
Elo Modified Hyder Amil 1676.01 +91.87 62.92%
Glicko-1 Hyder Amil 1690.59 +73.73 60.46%
WHR Hyder Amil 1624.41 +120.65 66.70%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Hyder Amil 35.1, Jose Delgado 27.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Hyder Amil 119, Jose Delgado 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#11][#8UFC] Viviane Araujo (13-6-0, +194) vs. [#15][#11UFC] Tracy Cortez (11-2-0, -238)

Last 3 Fights: Viviane Araujo (2-1-0)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#12FLY] Karine Silva (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-02-03: L vs. [#8P4P][#9DD][#3FLY] Natalia Silva (19-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-10-14: W vs. [#6BW] Jennifer Maia (23-10-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Tracy Cortez (2-1-0)
2024-07-13: L vs. [#6FLY] Rose Namajunas (14-7-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2023-09-16: W vs. [#8FLY] Jasmine Jasudavicius (14-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-05-07: W vs. [#17BW] Melissa Gatto (9-2-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tracy Cortez -238 67.42%
Elo K170 Viviane Araujo 1671.46 +19.99 52.87%
Elo Modified Viviane Araujo 1689.55 +50.68 57.24%
Glicko-1 Viviane Araujo 1708.97 +117.24 66.26%
WHR Viviane Araujo 1616.51 +7.42 51.07%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Viviane Araujo 38.6, Tracy Cortez 31.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Viviane Araujo 224, Tracy Cortez 350
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#162][#66UFC] Terrance McKinney (16-7-0, -192) vs. [#209][#79UFC] Viacheslav Borshchev (8-5-1, +159)

Last 3 Fights: Terrance McKinney (2-1-0)
2025-02-01: W vs. [#522LW] Damir Hadzovic (14-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 1
2024-05-11: L vs. [#68LW] Esteban Ribovics (14-2-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:37 of round 1
2023-10-14: W vs. [#784FW] Brendon Marotte (8-3-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 0:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Viacheslav Borshchev (1-2-0)
2025-02-08: L vs. [#152LW] Tom Nolan (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#212WW] James Llontop (15-5-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-05-11: L vs. [#47LW] Chase Hooper (16-3-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:00 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Terrance McKinney -192 63.00%
Elo K170 Terrance McKinney 1601.91 +142.39 69.42%
Elo Modified Terrance McKinney 1610.88 +166.84 72.32%
Glicko-1 Terrance McKinney 1652.56 +198.92 75.86%
WHR Terrance McKinney 1577.69 +97.74 63.71%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Terrance McKinney 30.8, Viacheslav Borshchev 33.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Terrance McKinney 147, Viacheslav Borshchev 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#119][#52UFC] Sedriques Dumas (11-3-0, -123) vs. [#352] Jackson Mcvey (6-0-0, +100)

Last 3 Fights: Sedriques Dumas (1-2-0)
2025-04-12: L vs. [#46MW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (21-9-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:49 of round 1
2024-08-03: W vs. [#167MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-10-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-03-30: L vs. [#37MW] Nursulton Ruziboev (36-9-2) via TKO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jackson Mcvey (3-0-0)
2025-06-13: W vs. [#1075MW] Mataeo Garner (4-2-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 1:28 of round 1
2024-09-20: W vs. [NA] Ben Fowler (3-3-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 0:33 of round 1
2024-07-13: W vs. [NA] Jaquis Williams (7-16-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:53 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sedriques Dumas -123 52.45%
Elo K170 Sedriques Dumas 1484.64 +190.49 74.96%
Elo Modified Sedriques Dumas 1510.43 +153.08 70.71%
Glicko-1 Sedriques Dumas 1502.08 +162.02 71.76%
WHR Sedriques Dumas 1456.45 +168.20 72.48%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sedriques Dumas 29.9, Jackson Mcvey 26.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sedriques Dumas 77, Jackson Mcvey 15
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#58][#19UFC] Jhonata Diniz (8-1-0, -245) vs. [#132] Alvin Hines (7-0-0, +199)

Last 3 Fights: Jhonata Diniz (2-1-0)
2024-11-16: L vs. [#14HW+] Marcin Tybura (27-9-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2024-08-10: W vs. [#54HW+] Karl Williams (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-04-27: W vs. [#160HW+] Austen Lane (13-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Alvin Hines (3-0-0)
2025-04-11: W vs. [#280HW+] Billy Ray Valdez (4-2-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:09 of round 3
2025-02-15: W vs. [#632HW+] Ronnie Coleman (2-1-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:40 of round 1
2025-01-25: W vs. [NA] Mark Currier (3-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:48 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jhonata Diniz -245 67.98%
Elo K170 Jhonata Diniz 1578.21 +152.45 70.63%
Elo Modified Jhonata Diniz 1632.88 +109.68 65.28%
Glicko-1 Jhonata Diniz 1619.38 +153.79 70.79%
WHR Jhonata Diniz 1516.69 +90.97 62.80%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jhonata Diniz 34.0, Alvin Hines 33.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jhonata Diniz 224, Alvin Hines 78
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#71][#45UFC] Niko Price (16-8-0, +883) vs. [#87][#50UFC] Jacobe Smith (10-0-0, -1631)

Last 3 Fights: Niko Price (1-2-0)
2024-10-12: L vs. [#62WW] Themba Gorimbo (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#54WW] Alex Morono (24-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-08: L vs. [*] Robbie Lawler (30-16-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:38 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jacobe Smith (3-0-0)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#125WW] Preston Parsons (11-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:13 of round 1
2024-10-01: W vs. [#674WW] Christien Savoie (10-2-1) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:55 of round 2
2024-02-23: W vs. [#953WW] Jared McLoughlin (8-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jacobe Smith -1631 90.25%
Elo K170 Jacobe Smith 1579.55 +16.68 52.40%
Elo Modified Jacobe Smith 1629.94 +50.01 57.15%
Glicko-1 Jacobe Smith 1640.40 +38.13 55.47%
WHR Jacobe Smith 1574.08 +113.37 65.76%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Niko Price 35.7, Jacobe Smith 29.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Niko Price 259, Jacobe Smith 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Ilia Topuria
Highest Stored DD Rating: Ilia Topuria
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Ilia Topuria vs. Charles Oliveira
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Ilia Topuria vs. Charles Oliveira
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Good [***]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Large [****]
Run Date: 2025-6-22

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