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Fight Matrix
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Hill vs Rountree (06-21-2025)

Posted on June 16, 2025 by Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#6][#6UFC] Jamahal Hill (13-3-0, +132) vs. [#11][#8UFC] Khalil Rountree (13-7-0, -160)
Jamahal Hill is the All-Time #31 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jamahal Hill (1-2-0)
2025-01-18: L vs. [#3LHW] Jiri Prochazka (31-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:01 of round 3
2024-04-13: L vs. [#2LHW] Alex Pereira (12-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:14 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [*] Glover Teixeira (33-9-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)

Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (2-1-0)
2024-10-05: L vs. [#2LHW] Alex Pereira (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 4
2023-12-09: W vs. [*] Anthony Smith (38-22-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 3
2023-08-12: W vs. [#57HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:40 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Khalil Rountree -160 58.81%
Elo K170 Jamahal Hill 1926.61 +42.10 56.03%
Elo Modified Jamahal Hill 1913.55 +73.14 60.37%
Glicko-1 Jamahal Hill 1990.07 +96.99 63.61%
WHR Jamahal Hill 1806.38 +38.93 55.58%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jamahal Hill 34.1, Khalil Rountree 35.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamahal Hill 154, Khalil Rountree 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#16][#12UFC] Rafael Fiziev (12-4-0, -113) vs. [#17][#13UFC] Ignacio Bahamondes (18-5-0, -108)
Rafael Fiziev is the All-Time #50 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (0-3-0)
2025-03-08: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (26-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#8LW] Mateusz Gamrot (25-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 2:03 of round 2
2023-03-18: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (26-5-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ignacio Bahamondes (3-0-0)
2025-03-08: W vs. [#27LW] Jalin Turner (14-9-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:29 of round 1
2024-09-14: W vs. [#56LW] Manuel Torres (16-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 1
2024-04-06: W vs. [#164LW] Christos Giagos (20-12-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 3:34 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rafael Fiziev -113 50.53%
Elo K170 Rafael Fiziev 1897.31 +7.72 51.11%
Elo Modified Rafael Fiziev 1897.44 +17.85 52.57%
Glicko-1 Ignacio Bahamondes 1979.74 +37.43 55.36%
WHR Ignacio Bahamondes 1881.86 +39.41 55.65%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rafael Fiziev 32.3, Ignacio Bahamondes 27.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael Fiziev 105, Ignacio Bahamondes 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#7][#6UFC] Curtis Blaydes (18-5-0, -286) vs. [#71] Rizvan Kuniev (12-2-1, +230)
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #24 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (1-2-0)
2024-07-27: L vs. [#9P4P][#2HW+] Tom Aspinall (15-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1
2024-03-09: W vs. [#8HW+] Jailton Almeida (22-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 2
2023-04-22: L vs. [#6HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (19-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rizvan Kuniev (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-08-20: W vs. [#205HW+] Hugo Cunha (8-3-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2023-04-07: NC vs. [#12HW+] Renan Ferreira (13-4-0)
2022-03-11: W vs. [#227HW+] Anthony Hamilton (22-12-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Curtis Blaydes -286 70.97%
Elo K170 Curtis Blaydes 2008.33 +363.39 89.01%
Elo Modified Curtis Blaydes 2003.36 +328.99 86.92%
Glicko-1 Curtis Blaydes 2078.02 +336.12 87.38%
WHR Curtis Blaydes 1975.80 +212.36 77.25%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Curtis Blaydes 34.3, Rizvan Kuniev 33.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Blaydes 329, Rizvan Kuniev 305
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Curtis Blaydes leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#50][#27UFC] Myktybek Orolbai (13-2-2, -163) vs. [*] Tofiq Musayev (22-5-0, +134)

Last 3 Fights: Myktybek Orolbai (2-1-0)
2024-10-26: L vs. [#39LW] Mateusz Rebecki (21-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#94LW] Elves Brener (16-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#64WW] Uros Medic (10-3-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 4:12 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Tofiq Musayev (2-1-0)
2023-11-04: W vs. [#224FW] Koji Takeda (17-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 3
2023-07-30: W vs. [#355LW] Akira Okada (19-11-4) via KO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 2
2023-03-10: L vs. [#25LW] Alexandr Shabliy (24-4-0) via TKO (Body Kick) in 0:29 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Myktybek Orolbai -163 59.18%
Elo K170 Tofiq Musayev 1940.17 +241.50 80.06%
Elo Modified Tofiq Musayev 1915.54 +149.79 70.31%
Glicko-1 Tofiq Musayev 1991.59 +140.78 69.22%
WHR Tofiq Musayev 1835.16 +75.21 60.66%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Myktybek Orolbai 27.3, Tofiq Musayev 35.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Myktybek Orolbai 238, Tofiq Musayev 595
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#71][#37UFC] Nazim Sadykhov (10-1-1, -428) vs. [#130][#56UFC] Nikolas Motta (15-5-0, +330)

Last 3 Fights: Nazim Sadykhov (2-0-1)
2025-02-15: W vs. [#118LW] Ismael Bonfim (20-5-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2023-11-11: D vs. [#209LW] Viacheslav Borshchev (8-5-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2023-07-15: W vs. [#162LW] Terrance McKinney (16-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:07 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nikolas Motta (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#302LW] Maheshate Hayisaer (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-01-13: W vs. [#150LW] Tom Nolan (9-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:03 of round 1
2023-11-18: NC vs. [#64LW] Trey Ogden (18-7-0)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nazim Sadykhov -428 77.70%
Elo K170 Nazim Sadykhov 1714.46 +71.63 60.16%
Elo Modified Nazim Sadykhov 1713.53 +60.32 58.60%
Glicko-1 Nazim Sadykhov 1792.64 +150.85 70.44%
WHR Nazim Sadykhov 1723.22 +92.29 62.98%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Nazim Sadykhov 31.1, Nikolas Motta 32.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nazim Sadykhov 126, Nikolas Motta 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#59][#36UFC] Muhammadjon Naimov (12-3-0, -223) vs. [#106][#53UFC] Bogdan Grad (15-2-0, +180)

Last 3 Fights: Muhammadjon Naimov (2-1-0)
2025-02-01: W vs. [#295FW] Kaan Ofli (11-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#21BW] Felipe Lima (14-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:15 of round 3
2024-02-24: W vs. [*] Erik Silva (9-3-0) via TKO (Leg Injury) in 0:44 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Bogdan Grad (3-0-0)
2025-02-01: W vs. [#364FW] Lucas Alexander (8-5-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:22 of round 2
2024-08-27: W vs. [#436LW] Michael Aswell (10-3-0) via SD ()
2024-03-15: W vs. [#671LW] Caiona Batista (16-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:03 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Muhammadjon Naimov -223 65.90%
Elo K170 Muhammadjon Naimov 1686.89 +38.88 55.57%
Elo Modified Muhammadjon Naimov 1679.40 +53.37 57.62%
Glicko-1 Muhammadjon Naimov 1681.75 +25.55 53.67%
WHR Muhammadjon Naimov 1641.52 +82.08 61.60%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Muhammadjon Naimov 30.8, Bogdan Grad 29.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Muhammadjon Naimov 140, Bogdan Grad 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#53][#35UFC] Oban Elliott (12-2-0, -450) vs. [#215] Seok Hyeon Ko (11-2-0, +339)

Last 3 Fights: Oban Elliott (3-0-0)
2024-11-16: W vs. [#89WW] Bassil Hafez (9-5-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:40 of round 3
2024-07-27: W vs. [#124WW] Preston Parsons (11-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-02-17: W vs. [#320MW] Valentine Woodburn (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Seok Hyeon Ko (3-0-0)
2024-09-03: W vs. [#275MW] Igor Cavalcanti (11-1-0) via UD ()
2023-12-09: W vs. [*] Alwin Kincai (7-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1
2023-04-06: W vs. [*] Ryuta Sakurai (30-28-6) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Oban Elliott -450 78.22%
Elo K170 Oban Elliott 1745.37 +248.86 80.73%
Elo Modified Oban Elliott 1755.77 +223.59 78.36%
Glicko-1 Oban Elliott 1775.71 +230.75 79.06%
WHR Oban Elliott 1654.09 +136.06 68.64%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Oban Elliott 27.5, Seok Hyeon Ko 31.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Oban Elliott 217, Seok Hyeon Ko 291
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#30][#24UFC] Jun Yong Park (18-6-0, -224) vs. [#45][#31UFC] Ismail Naurdiev (24-7-0, +177)

Last 3 Fights: Jun Yong Park (2-1-0)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#33MW] Brad Tavares (21-10-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2023-12-09: L vs. [#39MW] Andre Muniz (24-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-07-15: W vs. [*] Albert Duraev (16-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:45 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ismail Naurdiev (2-1-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#66MW] Bruno Silva (23-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-12-08: W vs. [#217MW] Tahar Hadbi (16-9-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:10 of round 1
2022-12-17: L vs. [#275WW] Vadym Kutsyi (17-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:23 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jun Yong Park -224 65.69%
Elo K170 Jun Yong Park 1816.05 +155.55 71.00%
Elo Modified Jun Yong Park 1812.82 +130.28 67.92%
Glicko-1 Jun Yong Park 1818.07 +106.77 64.90%
WHR Jun Yong Park 1727.79 +100.41 64.06%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Jun Yong Park 34.3, Ismail Naurdiev 28.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jun Yong Park 252, Ismail Naurdiev 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#17][#15UFC] Melissa Mullins (7-1-0, -265) vs. [#45][#24UFC] Darya Zheleznyakova (9-2-0, +214)

Last 3 Fights: Melissa Mullins (2-1-0)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#70BW] Klaudia Sygula (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:20 of round 2
2024-04-06: L vs. [#13BW] Nora Cornolle (9-2-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Head Kicks) in 3:06 of round 2
2023-10-14: W vs. [*] Irina Alekseeva (5-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Darya Zheleznyakova (2-1-0)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#8BW] Ailin Perez (12-2-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:52 of round 1
2024-03-23: W vs. [#52BW] Montserrat Rendon (6-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-04-07: W vs. [#189FLY] Marie Loiseau (6-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:27 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Melissa Mullins -265 69.50%
Elo K170 Melissa Mullins 1458.01 +78.19 61.07%
Elo Modified Melissa Mullins 1522.92 +103.14 64.42%
Glicko-1 Melissa Mullins 1487.67 +122.36 66.92%
WHR Melissa Mullins 1422.01 +117.61 66.31%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Melissa Mullins 33.9, Darya Zheleznyakova 29.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Melissa Mullins 224, Darya Zheleznyakova 266
Previous Match-up Record: Melissa Mullins leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[*] Irina Alekseeva (5-2-0, -232) vs. [#70][#28UFC] Klaudia Sygula (6-2-0, +189)

Last 3 Fights: Irina Alekseeva (2-1-0)
2023-10-14: L vs. [#17BW] Melissa Mullins (7-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-04-29: W vs. [*] Stephanie Egger (8-5-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 2:11 of round 1
2021-10-23: W vs. [*] Stephanie Ielo Page (8-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Klaudia Sygula (2-1-0)
2024-11-09: L vs. [#17BW] Melissa Mullins (7-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:20 of round 2
2023-09-16: W vs. [*] Yulia Kutsenko (6-10-0) via TKO in 0:00 of round 2
2022-12-16: W vs. [*] Ana Lobzhanidze (1-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:48 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Irina Alekseeva -232 66.88%
Elo K170 Irina Alekseeva 1259.21 +8.01 51.15%
Elo Modified Klaudia Sygula 1345.04 +16.07 52.31%
Glicko-1 Irina Alekseeva 1317.62 +35.44 55.08%
WHR Irina Alekseeva 1319.67 +93.22 63.10%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Irina Alekseeva 35.0, Klaudia Sygula 26.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Irina Alekseeva 616, Klaudia Sygula 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#12][#9UFC] Tagir Ulanbekov (17-2-0, -304) vs. [*] Azat Maksum (15-1-0, +244)

Last 3 Fights: Tagir Ulanbekov (3-0-0)
2025-01-18: W vs. [#50FLY] Clayton Carpenter (8-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#61FLY] Cody Durden (17-8-1) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:25 of round 2
2022-11-05: W vs. [#23FLY] Nathan Maness (16-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:11 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Azat Maksum (2-1-0)
2024-02-03: L vs. [#22FLY] Charles Johnson (17-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#227BW] Tyson Nam (23-14-1) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#1187BW] Fabricio Nunes (9-2-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:57 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tagir Ulanbekov -304 72.13%
Elo K170 Tagir Ulanbekov 1854.47 +292.96 84.37%
Elo Modified Tagir Ulanbekov 1846.65 +276.66 83.10%
Glicko-1 Tagir Ulanbekov 1876.31 +290.19 84.16%
WHR Tagir Ulanbekov 1846.61 +280.84 83.43%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Tagir Ulanbekov 33.9, Azat Maksum 30.1
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tagir Ulanbekov 154, Azat Maksum 504
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#104][#26UFC] Hamdy Abdelwahab (7-0-0, -185) vs. [#118][#28UFC] Mohammed Usman (10-4-0, +153)

Last 3 Fights: Hamdy Abdelwahab (3-0-0)
2025-02-01: W vs. [#127HW+] Jamal Pogues (11-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2022-07-30: W vs. [#75HW+] Dontale Mayes (11-10-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-06-03: W vs. [NA] Matthew Strickland (0-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mohammed Usman (1-2-0)
2024-07-20: L vs. [#64HW+] Thomas Petersen (11-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-23: L vs. [#48HW+] Mick Parkin (10-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-09-23: W vs. [#167HW+] Jake Collier (14-11-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Hamdy Abdelwahab -185 62.15%
Elo K170 Hamdy Abdelwahab 1533.24 +152.46 70.63%
Elo Modified Hamdy Abdelwahab 1496.10 +74.03 60.50%
Glicko-1 Hamdy Abdelwahab 1440.17 +34.89 55.01%
WHR Mohammed Usman 1395.14 +31.51 54.52%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Hamdy Abdelwahab 32.4, Mohammed Usman 36.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Hamdy Abdelwahab 140, Mohammed Usman 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Hamdy Abdelwahab leads 1-0
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Curtis Blaydes
Highest Stored DD Rating: Tagir Ulanbekov
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jamahal Hill vs. Khalil Rountree
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Jamahal Hill vs. Khalil Rountree
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2025-6-15

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