Welterweight (170)
[#12][#10UFC] Gilbert Burns (22-8-0, +442) vs. [#14][#11UFC] Michael Morales (17-0-0, -648)
Gilbert Burns is the All-Time #18 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Burns (0-3-0)
2024-09-07: L vs. [#3WW] Sean Brady (18-1-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 50-45)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#6DD][#7P4P][#1WW] Jack Della Maddalena (18-2-0) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 3:43 of round 3
2023-05-06: L vs. [#2WW] Belal Muhammad (24-4-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
Last 3 Fights: Michael Morales (3-0-0)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#30WW] Neil Magny (29-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:39 of round 1
2023-11-18: W vs. [#36WW] Jake Matthews (21-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#42WW] Max Griffin (20-11-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Michael Morales | -648 | 82.44% | |
| Elo K170 | Michael Morales | 1990.74 | +16.07 | 52.31% |
| Elo Modified | Michael Morales | 1970.83 | +20.90 | 53.00% |
| Glicko-1 | Michael Morales | 2040.24 | +47.82 | 56.84% |
| WHR | Michael Morales | 1892.54 | +42.19 | 56.04% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Gilbert Burns 38.8, Michael Morales 25.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gilbert Burns 252, Michael Morales 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#34MW][#27UFCMW] Paul Craig (17-9-1, +352) vs. [#48][#27UFC] Rodolfo Bellato (12-2-1, -484)
Last 3 Fights: Paul Craig (0-3-0)
2024-11-16: L vs. [#33MW] Bo Nickal (7-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-05-04: L vs. [#8MW] Caio Borralho (17-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 2
2023-11-18: L vs. [#14MW] Brendan Allen (24-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:38 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Rodolfo Bellato (2-0-1)
2025-02-08: D vs. [#40LHW] Jimmy Crute (12-4-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2023-12-02: W vs. [#117MW] Ihor Potieria (25-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 2
2023-10-03: W vs. [#359MW] Murtaza Talha Ali (7-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:46 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Rodolfo Bellato | -484 | 78.93% | |
| Elo K170 | Paul Craig | 1618.37 | +5.61 | 50.81% |
| Elo Modified | Paul Craig | 1662.73 | +16.45 | 52.37% |
| Glicko-1 | Rodolfo Bellato | 1676.47 | +9.38 | 51.35% |
| WHR | Rodolfo Bellato | 1600.97 | +10.00 | 51.44% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Paul Craig 37.5, Rodolfo Bellato 29.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Paul Craig 182, Rodolfo Bellato 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#97FW][#47UFCFW] Sodiq Yusuff (13-4-0, +112) vs. [#114FW][#56UFCFW] Mairon Santos (15-1-0, -138)
Last 3 Fights: Sodiq Yusuff (1-2-0)
2024-04-13: L vs. [#6FW] Diego Lopes (26-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 1
2023-10-14: L vs. [#48FW] Edson Barboza (24-12-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 49-46)
2022-10-01: W vs. [#573FW] Don Shainis (17-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:30 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Mairon Santos (3-0-0)
2025-03-08: W vs. [#254FW] Francis Marshall (8-3-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#287FW] Kaan Ofli (11-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:30 of round 2
2023-03-24: W vs. [#290LW] Rafael Barbosa (15-5-0) via UD ()
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Mairon Santos | -138 | 55.14% | |
| Elo K170 | Mairon Santos | 1746.49 | +56.61 | 58.08% |
| Elo Modified | Sodiq Yusuff | 1722.15 | +37.30 | 55.35% |
| Glicko-1 | Sodiq Yusuff | 1748.08 | +118.47 | 66.42% |
| WHR | Sodiq Yusuff | 1641.69 | +75.37 | 60.68% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Sodiq Yusuff 32.0, Mairon Santos 24.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sodiq Yusuff 399, Mairon Santos 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#49][#33UFC] Nursulton Ruziboev (35-9-2, -285) vs. [#50][#34UFC] Dustin Stoltzfus (16-6-0, +224)
Last 3 Fights: Nursulton Ruziboev (2-1-0)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#149MW] Eric McConico (9-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 2
2024-05-11: L vs. [#6WW] Joaquin Buckley (21-6-0) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2024-03-30: W vs. [#121MW] Sedriques Dumas (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:18 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Dustin Stoltzfus (2-1-0)
2024-11-02: W vs. [#42MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (18-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:28 of round 1
2024-06-08: L vs. [#56MW] Brunno Ferreira (13-2-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 4:51 of round 1
2023-12-02: W vs. [#45WW] Punahele Soriano (11-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:10 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Nursulton Ruziboev | -285 | 70.57% | |
| Elo K170 | Nursulton Ruziboev | 1757.95 | +152.21 | 70.60% |
| Elo Modified | Nursulton Ruziboev | 1767.33 | +110.37 | 65.37% |
| Glicko-1 | Nursulton Ruziboev | 1870.27 | +191.76 | 75.10% |
| WHR | Nursulton Ruziboev | 1780.77 | +147.89 | 70.08% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Nursulton Ruziboev 31.5, Dustin Stoltzfus 33.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nursulton Ruziboev 84, Dustin Stoltzfus 196
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Nursulton Ruziboev leads 1-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#46][#29UFC] Melquizael Costa (23-7-0, -223) vs. [#53][#35UFC] Julian Erosa (31-11-0, +179)
Last 3 Fights: Melquizael Costa (3-0-0)
2025-03-29: W vs. [#115FW] Christian Rodriguez (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2025-02-22: W vs. [#60FW] Andre Fili (24-12-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:30 of round 1
2024-06-15: W vs. [#189FW] Nuerdanbieke Shayilan (42-12-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 1:50 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Julian Erosa (3-0-0)
2025-04-12: W vs. [#111FW] Darren Elkins (29-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:15 of round 1
2024-07-13: W vs. [#115FW] Christian Rodriguez (12-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:49 of round 1
2024-03-23: W vs. [#131FW] Ricardo Ramos (17-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:15 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Melquizael Costa | -223 | 65.82% | |
| Elo K170 | Julian Erosa | 1828.53 | +6.19 | 50.89% |
| Elo Modified | Julian Erosa | 1817.00 | +14.29 | 52.05% |
| Glicko-1 | Julian Erosa | 1833.64 | +11.94 | 51.72% |
| WHR | Julian Erosa | 1743.72 | +58.36 | 58.32% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Melquizael Costa 28.6, Julian Erosa 35.8
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Melquizael Costa 49, Julian Erosa 35
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#183] Matheus Camilo (9-2-0, -178) vs. [*] Gabriel Green (11-5-0, +144)
Last 3 Fights: Matheus Camilo (3-0-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#406LW] Dorobshokh Nabotov (8-1-0) via UD ()
2024-10-11: W vs. [#510LW] Jhonasky Sojo (14-6-0) via UD ()
2023-09-17: W vs. [#409FW] Dorian Ramos (8-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:43 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Green (1-2-0)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#26WW] Bryan Battle (12-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:14 of round 1
2022-07-02: L vs. [#7WW] Ian Garry (16-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-04-30: W vs. [#123MW] Yohan Lainesse (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Matheus Camilo | -178 | 60.97% | |
| Elo K170 | Matheus Camilo | 1605.83 | +152.92 | 70.69% |
| Elo Modified | Matheus Camilo | 1631.89 | +116.27 | 66.13% |
| Glicko-1 | Matheus Camilo | 1619.22 | +96.01 | 63.48% |
| WHR | Matheus Camilo | 1522.02 | +6.61 | 50.95% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Matheus Camilo 24.3, Gabriel Green 32.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matheus Camilo 154, Gabriel Green 735
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#52][#27UFC] Thiago Moises (19-8-0, -116) vs. [#55][#29UFC] Jared Gordon (20-7-0, -107)
Last 3 Fights: Thiago Moises (2-1-0)
2025-01-11: W vs. [#63LW] Trey Ogden (18-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-06-08: L vs. [#41LW] Ludovit Klein (23-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-16: W vs. [#295LW] Mitch Ramirez (8-2-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks) in 0:15 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Jared Gordon (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-06-22: L vs. [#39LW] Nasrat Haqparast (18-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2023-11-11: W vs. [*] Mark O. Madsen (12-2-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 4:42 of round 1
2023-04-22: NC vs. [#42LW] Bobby Green (32-17-1)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Thiago Moises | -116 | 50.95% | |
| Elo K170 | Thiago Moises | 1812.53 | +67.17 | 59.55% |
| Elo Modified | Thiago Moises | 1824.07 | +43.41 | 56.21% |
| Glicko-1 | Thiago Moises | 1858.98 | +47.86 | 56.84% |
| WHR | Jared Gordon | 1753.05 | +2.54 | 50.37% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Thiago Moises 30.1, Jared Gordon 36.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Thiago Moises 126, Jared Gordon 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#31][#20UFC] Luana Santos (8-2-0, -138) vs. [*] Tainara Lisboa (7-2-0, +114)
Last 3 Fights: Luana Santos (2-1-0)
2024-08-17: L vs. [#25FLY] Casey ONeill (10-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-07-13: W vs. [#110FLY] Mariya Agapova (10-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:27 of round 1
2023-12-09: W vs. [*] Stephanie Egger (8-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Tainara Lisboa (3-0-0)
2023-10-14: W vs. [*] Ravena Oliveira (7-2-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-05-13: W vs. [*] Jessica-Rose Clark (11-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:20 of round 3
2022-04-08: W vs. [#240FLY] Conceicao Barros Oliveira (2-4-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:20 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Luana Santos | -138 | 55.37% | |
| Elo K170 | Tainara Lisboa | 1386.91 | +3.19 | 50.46% |
| Elo Modified | Luana Santos | 1450.56 | +60.42 | 58.61% |
| Glicko-1 | Luana Santos | 1428.00 | +12.35 | 51.78% |
| WHR | Luana Santos | 1394.55 | +8.91 | 51.28% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Luana Santos 25.1, Tainara Lisboa 34.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Luana Santos 273, Tainara Lisboa 581
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#80] Yadier Del Valle (8-0-0, -423) vs. [#558][#90UFC] Connor Matthews (8-3-0, +306)
Last 3 Fights: Yadier Del Valle (3-0-0)
2024-10-15: W vs. [#166FW] Antonio Monteiro (17-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2024-06-09: W vs. [#750LW] Pena Allamov (5-3-1) via UD ()
2024-02-04: W vs. [#1550LW] Adam Smith (11-12-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:06 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Connor Matthews (1-2-0)
2025-02-15: L vs. [#200FW] Jose Delgado (9-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:58 of round 1
2024-03-30: L vs. [#511LW] Dennis Buzukja (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:22 of round 3
2023-10-10: W vs. [*] Jair Farias (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Yadier Del Valle | -423 | 76.65% | |
| Elo K170 | Yadier Del Valle | 1618.68 | +335.39 | 87.34% |
| Elo Modified | Yadier Del Valle | 1679.48 | +359.17 | 88.77% |
| Glicko-1 | Yadier Del Valle | 1627.11 | +302.86 | 85.11% |
| WHR | Yadier Del Valle | 1623.63 | +334.87 | 87.30% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Yadier Del Valle 28.8, Connor Matthews 32.9
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yadier Del Valle 214, Connor Matthews 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#15][#14UFC] Denise Gomes (10-3-0, -529) vs. [#49][#32UFC] Elise Reed (8-4-0, +375)
Last 3 Fights: Denise Gomes (2-1-0)
2024-11-09: W vs. [#45SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-9-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#22FLY] Eduarda Moura (11-1-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2023-11-04: L vs. [#12SW] Angela Hill (18-14-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Elise Reed (2-1-0)
2024-10-19: W vs. [#100SW] Jessica Penne (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-09-16: L vs. [#14SW] Lupita Godinez (13-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:30 of round 2
2023-06-03: W vs. [*] Jinh Yu Frey (11-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Denise Gomes | -529 | 79.98% | |
| Elo K170 | Denise Gomes | 1614.65 | +211.80 | 77.19% |
| Elo Modified | Denise Gomes | 1590.88 | +168.45 | 72.51% |
| Glicko-1 | Denise Gomes | 1585.18 | +244.81 | 80.37% |
| WHR | Denise Gomes | 1526.89 | +264.37 | 82.08% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Denise Gomes 25.4, Elise Reed 32.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Denise Gomes 189, Elise Reed 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[*] Hyun Sung Park (9-0-0, -179) vs. [#107][#38UFC] Carlos Hernandez (10-4-0, +147)
Last 3 Fights: Hyun Sung Park (3-0-0)
2023-12-09: W vs. [*] Shannon Ross (12-9-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 3:59 of round 2
2023-02-04: W vs. [#166FLY] Seung Guk Choi (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:11 of round 3
2022-10-23: W vs. [*] Thanongsaklek Chuwattana (9-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:05 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Carlos Hernandez (1-2-0)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#118FLY] Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (8-1-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2024-06-29: L vs. [#41FLY] Rei Tsuruya (10-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-12-09: L vs. [#6FLY] Tatsuro Taira (16-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Hyun Sung Park | -179 | 61.30% | |
| Elo K170 | Hyun Sung Park | 1591.58 | +6.82 | 50.98% |
| Elo Modified | Hyun Sung Park | 1620.28 | +106.95 | 64.92% |
| Glicko-1 | Hyun Sung Park | 1647.84 | +184.67 | 74.33% |
| WHR | Hyun Sung Park | 1591.19 | +182.43 | 74.08% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Hyun Sung Park 29.5, Carlos Hernandez 31.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Hyun Sung Park 525, Carlos Hernandez 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#8][#8UFC] Tecia Pennington (14-7-0, -411) vs. [#37][#25UFC] Luana Pinheiro (11-4-0, +304)
Last 3 Fights: Tecia Pennington (1-2-0)
2024-10-05: W vs. [*] Carla Esparza (19-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-05-11: L vs. [#9SW] Tabatha Ricci (11-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-04-09: L vs. [#5SW] Mackenzie Dern (15-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Luana Pinheiro (0-3-0)
2024-11-09: L vs. [#7SW] Gillian Robertson (16-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2024-05-18: L vs. [#12SW] Angela Hill (18-14-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:12 of round 2
2023-11-18: L vs. [#11SW] Amanda Ribas (13-6-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:53 of round 3
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Tecia Pennington | -411 | 76.46% | |
| Elo K170 | Tecia Pennington | 1593.06 | +228.68 | 78.86% |
| Elo Modified | Tecia Pennington | 1693.51 | +324.19 | 86.60% |
| Glicko-1 | Tecia Pennington | 1711.36 | +369.48 | 89.35% |
| WHR | Tecia Pennington | 1644.24 | +349.74 | 88.21% |
Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Tecia Pennington 35.7, Luana Pinheiro 32.5
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tecia Pennington 224, Luana Pinheiro 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tecia Pennington leads 4-2
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
Fight Card Statistics
Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Gilbert Burns
Highest Stored DD Rating: Gilbert Burns
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Gilbert Burns vs. Michael Morales
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Gilbert Burns vs. Michael Morales
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2025-5-11