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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Murphy (04-05-2025)

Posted on March 31, 2025 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[*] Josh Emmett (19-4-0, +253) vs. [#11][#9UFC] Lerone Murphy (15-0-1, -325)
Josh Emmett is the All-Time #24 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Josh Emmett (1-2-0)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#18FW] Bryce Mitchell (17-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:57 of round 1
2023-06-24: L vs. [#1FW][#1DD][#5P4P] Ilia Topuria (16-0-0) via UD (49-45, 50-44, 50-42)
2023-02-11: L vs. [#8FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-5-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:19 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Lerone Murphy (3-0-0)
2024-10-26: W vs. [#21FW] Dan Ige (18-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#40FW] Edson Barboza (24-12-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#132FW] Joshua Culibao (12-4-1) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Lerone Murphy -325 72.96%
Elo K170 Lerone Murphy 2023.98 +5.24 50.75%
Elo Modified Josh Emmett 1973.98 +3.02 50.44%
Glicko-1 Josh Emmett 2006.23 +4.50 50.65%
WHR Lerone Murphy 1904.33 +51.21 57.32%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Josh Emmett 40.1, Lerone Murphy 33.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Emmett 476, Lerone Murphy 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#32][#21UFC] Joanderson Brito (17-4-1, -217) vs. [#48][#30UFC] Pat Sabatini (19-5-0, +176)

Last 3 Fights: Joanderson Brito (2-1-0)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#38FW] William Gomis (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#72FW] Jack Shore (17-3-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:35 of round 2
2023-11-18: W vs. [#79FW] Jonathan Pearce (14-7-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 3:54 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Pat Sabatini (2-1-0)
2024-10-12: W vs. [#79FW] Jonathan Pearce (14-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:06 of round 1
2023-11-11: L vs. [#5FW] Diego Lopes (26-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1
2023-06-17: W vs. [#143FW] Lucas Almeida (15-4-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:48 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joanderson Brito -217 65.38%
Elo K170 Joanderson Brito 1813.40 +79.91 61.30%
Elo Modified Joanderson Brito 1854.18 +88.94 62.53%
Glicko-1 Joanderson Brito 1925.28 +107.78 65.03%
WHR Joanderson Brito 1803.72 +69.48 59.87%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Joanderson Brito 30.1, Pat Sabatini 34.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joanderson Brito 189, Pat Sabatini 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Joanderson Brito leads 3-1
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#114][#53UFC] Chang Ho Lee (10-1-0, -178) vs. [#323][#77UFC] Cortavious Romious (9-3-0, +146)

Last 3 Fights: Chang Ho Lee (3-0-0)
2024-06-22: W vs. [#115BW] Long Xiao (26-9-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-08-27: W vs. [#377FW] Zhawupasi Daermisi (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:35 of round 3
2023-05-28: W vs. [#1339FW] Rana Rudra Pratap Singh (11-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:52 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Cortavious Romious (2-1-0)
2024-11-09: L vs. [#227BW] Gaston Bolanos (8-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2024-08-20: W vs. [#289BW] Michael Imperato (12-7-0) via UD ()
2024-04-20: W vs. [NA] Erik Vo (15-34-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 0:50 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Chang Ho Lee -178 61.16%
Elo K170 Chang Ho Lee 1622.74 +357.78 88.69%
Elo Modified Chang Ho Lee 1572.40 +229.09 78.90%
Glicko-1 Chang Ho Lee 1576.86 +256.23 81.38%
WHR Chang Ho Lee 1549.59 +264.76 82.12%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Chang Ho Lee 30.9, Cortavious Romious 31.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chang Ho Lee 287, Cortavious Romious 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#56][#21UFC] Kennedy Nzechukwu (14-5-0, -279) vs. [#73][#24UFC] Martin Buday (14-2-0, +224)

Last 3 Fights: Kennedy Nzechukwu (2-1-0)
2024-12-07: W vs. [#125HW+] Lukasz Brzeski (9-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 1
2024-10-26: W vs. [#131HW+] Chris Barnett (23-9-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 4:27 of round 1
2024-03-16: L vs. [#35LHW] Ovince St. Preux (27-18-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Martin Buday (2-1-0)
2024-06-29: W vs. [#91HW+] Andrei Arlovski (34-24-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#31HW+] Shamil Gaziev (14-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 2
2023-08-12: W vs. [#261HW+] Josh Parisian (15-8-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 4:11 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kennedy Nzechukwu -279 70.46%
Elo K170 Martin Buday 1646.06 +9.59 51.38%
Elo Modified Kennedy Nzechukwu 1717.37 +130.66 67.96%
Glicko-1 Kennedy Nzechukwu 1770.78 +190.84 75.00%
WHR Kennedy Nzechukwu 1681.00 +172.43 72.96%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Kennedy Nzechukwu 32.8, Martin Buday 33.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kennedy Nzechukwu 119, Martin Buday 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#39][#28UFC] Gerald Meerschaert (37-18-0, +185) vs. [#42][#30UFC] Brad Tavares (20-10-0, -229)

Last 3 Fights: Gerald Meerschaert (2-1-0)
2024-11-09: L vs. [#19MW] Reinier de Ridder (19-2-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:44 of round 3
2024-08-24: W vs. [#58MW] Edmen Shahbazyan (14-5-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:12 of round 2
2024-03-16: W vs. [#109MW] Bryan Barberena (18-12-0) via Technical Submission (Face Crank) in 4:23 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Brad Tavares (1-2-0)
2024-10-12: L vs. [#29MW] Jun Yong Park (18-6-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2024-02-10: L vs. [#25MW] Gregory Rodrigues (16-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 3
2023-08-19: W vs. [*] Chris Weidman (16-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brad Tavares -229 66.48%
Elo K170 Gerald Meerschaert 1667.40 +43.36 56.21%
Elo Modified Gerald Meerschaert 1707.20 +15.74 52.26%
Glicko-1 Gerald Meerschaert 1762.42 +22.25 53.20%
WHR Gerald Meerschaert 1711.48 +71.24 60.11%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Gerald Meerschaert 37.3, Brad Tavares 37.3
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gerald Meerschaert 147, Brad Tavares 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Gerald Meerschaert leads 2-1
.

Middleweight (185)
[#139][#59UFC] Robert Valentin (10-4-0, +182) vs. [#143] Torrez Finney (10-0-0, -225)

Last 3 Fights: Robert Valentin (2-1-0)
2024-08-24: L vs. [#100MW] Ryan Loder (7-1-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 1:49 of round 2
2023-12-09: W vs. [#614MW] Zoran Dod (20-27-1) via TKO (Retirement) in 0:00 of round 1
2023-07-08: W vs. [#173MW] Samuil Shelest (14-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:51 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Torrez Finney (3-0-0)
2024-10-01: W vs. [#488MW] Abdelah Er-Ramy (7-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2024-08-20: W vs. [#296MW] Cameron Rowston (11-3-0) via UD ()
2024-05-04: W vs. [#552MW] Tyson Jeffries (16-14-0) via TKO in 1:33 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Torrez Finney -225 66.12%
Elo K170 Torrez Finney 1542.38 +24.18 53.47%
Elo Modified Torrez Finney 1571.12 +18.25 52.62%
Glicko-1 Torrez Finney 1598.67 +9.59 51.38%
WHR Robert Valentin 1567.45 +34.87 55.00%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Robert Valentin 30.0, Torrez Finney 26.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Valentin 224, Torrez Finney 186
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#42] Luis Gurule (10-0-0, -208) vs. [#109][#39UFC] Ode Osbourne (12-8-0, +170)

Last 3 Fights: Luis Gurule (3-0-0)
2024-10-15: W vs. [#189FLY] Nick Piccininni (7-1-0) via SD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-09-22: W vs. [#218FLY] Jacob Silva (12-11-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:32 of round 4
2024-04-21: W vs. [#226FLY] Alberto Trujillo (9-6-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Ode Osbourne (0-3-0)
2024-09-14: L vs. [#89FLY] Ronaldo Rodriguez (18-3-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-27)
2024-03-16: L vs. [#51FLY] Jafel Filho (16-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:27 of round 1
2023-08-05: L vs. [#20FLY] Asu Almabayev (21-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:11 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Luis Gurule -208 64.57%
Elo K170 Luis Gurule 1648.56 +255.58 81.33%
Elo Modified Luis Gurule 1643.14 +271.65 82.69%
Glicko-1 Luis Gurule 1589.76 +222.79 78.29%
WHR Luis Gurule 1545.87 +212.71 77.29%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Luis Gurule 31.4, Ode Osbourne 33.2
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Luis Gurule 172, Ode Osbourne 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#45][#32UFC] Davey Grant (16-7-0, +147) vs. [*] Daniel Santos (13-2-0, -177)

Last 3 Fights: Davey Grant (2-1-0)
2024-12-14: W vs. [#196BW] Ramon Taveras (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-07-22: L vs. [#28BW] Daniel Marcos (17-0-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-03-11: W vs. [*] Raphael Assuncao (28-10-0) via Technical Submission (Inverted Triangle Choke) in 4:43 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Santos (2-1-0)
2023-06-03: W vs. [#256BW] Johnny Munoz Jr. (13-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2022-10-01: W vs. [#52BW] John Castaneda (21-7-0) via KO (Punches and Knee) in 4:28 of round 2
2022-04-09: L vs. [#102FW] Julio Arce (19-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Daniel Santos -177 61.21%
Elo K170 Davey Grant 1679.18 +3.27 50.47%
Elo Modified Davey Grant 1732.88 +44.38 56.35%
Glicko-1 Davey Grant 1792.96 +59.55 58.49%
WHR Davey Grant 1742.64 +69.91 59.93%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Davey Grant 39.3, Daniel Santos 30.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Davey Grant 112, Daniel Santos 672
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#54][#33UFC] Dione Barbosa (7-3-0, -484) vs. [#128SW] Diana Belbita (15-9-0, +356)

Last 3 Fights: Dione Barbosa (2-1-0)
2024-07-20: L vs. [#14FLY] Miranda Maverick (15-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#47FLY] Ernesta Kareckaite (6-1-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-09-05: W vs. [#43BW] Rainn Guerrero (7-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:35 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Diana Belbita (1-2-0)
2024-02-03: L vs. [*] Molly McCann (14-8-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:59 of round 1
2023-10-07: L vs. [#47SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (16-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-06-10: W vs. [*] Maria Oliveira (13-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dione Barbosa -484 79.07%
Elo K170 Dione Barbosa 1342.11 +180.76 73.89%
Elo Modified Dione Barbosa 1369.65 +185.05 74.37%
Glicko-1 Dione Barbosa 1332.04 +199.38 75.91%
WHR Dione Barbosa 1361.57 +275.68 83.02%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Dione Barbosa 32.9, Diana Belbita 28.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dione Barbosa 259, Diana Belbita 427
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#128][#60UFC] Rhys McKee (13-6-1, +140) vs. [#142] Daniel Frunza (9-2-0, -169)

Last 3 Fights: Rhys McKee (1-2-0)
2024-03-30: L vs. [#36WW] Chidi Njokuani (25-10-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2023-09-02: L vs. [#124WW] Ange Loosa (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-04-29: W vs. [*] Jim Wallhead (33-12-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Frunza (3-0-0)
2024-09-24: W vs. [#268WW] Vadym Kutsyi (17-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:30 of round 2
2023-10-27: W vs. [#394WW] Haris Talundzic (7-2-0) via KO (Elbow and Punches) in 4:59 of round 3
2023-08-04: W vs. [*] Jalin Fuller (7-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:36 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Daniel Frunza -169 60.12%
Elo K170 Daniel Frunza 1590.58 +111.06 65.46%
Elo Modified Daniel Frunza 1623.99 +33.33 54.78%
Glicko-1 Daniel Frunza 1666.37 +20.34 52.92%
WHR Daniel Frunza 1653.56 +55.57 57.93%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Rhys McKee 29.5, Daniel Frunza 31.0
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rhys McKee 371, Daniel Frunza 193
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#47][#34UFC] Victor Henry (24-7-0, -191) vs. [#131][#58UFC] Pedro Falcao (16-4-0, +157)

Last 3 Fights: Victor Henry (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-11-02: L vs. [#29BW] Charles Jourdain (16-8-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:43 of round 2
2024-04-27: W vs. [#231BW] Rani Yahya (28-12-1) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:36 of round 3
2023-10-21: NC vs. [#99BW] Javid Basharat (14-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Pedro Falcao (2-1-0)
2024-04-06: L vs. [#205FW] Victor Hugo (25-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-11-12: W vs. [#481FW] Leonardo Morales (14-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:03 of round 2
2021-10-19: W vs. [*] James Barnes (14-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:55 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Victor Henry -191 62.78%
Elo K170 Victor Henry 1723.38 +160.01 71.53%
Elo Modified Victor Henry 1714.11 +140.01 69.12%
Glicko-1 Victor Henry 1733.77 +83.43 61.78%
WHR Victor Henry 1640.22 +60.13 58.57%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Victor Henry 37.9, Pedro Falcao 32.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Victor Henry 154, Pedro Falcao 364
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#38][#26UFC] Vanessa Demopoulos (11-6-0, -118) vs. [#75][#39UFC] Talita Alencar (5-1-1, -102)

Last 3 Fights: Vanessa Demopoulos (2-1-0)
2024-09-07: L vs. [#17SW] Jaqueline Amorim (9-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:28 of round 1
2024-05-18: W vs. [#39SW] Emily Ducote (14-9-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-10-07: W vs. [*] Kanako Murata (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Talita Alencar (1-1-1)
2024-08-10: L vs. [#42SW] Stephanie Luciano (6-2-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#73SW] Rayanne dos Santos (14-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-09-19: D vs. [#42SW] Stephanie Luciano (6-2-1) via Draw (Unanimous) in 5:00 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vanessa Demopoulos -118 51.73%
Elo K170 Vanessa Demopoulos 1454.12 +170.19 72.71%
Elo Modified Vanessa Demopoulos 1427.70 +121.91 66.86%
Glicko-1 Vanessa Demopoulos 1380.68 +138.49 68.94%
WHR Vanessa Demopoulos 1278.81 +118.14 66.37%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Vanessa Demopoulos 36.5, Talita Alencar 34.4
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vanessa Demopoulos 210, Talita Alencar 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#23][#20UFC] Konklak Suphisara (9-3-0) vs. [*] Istela Nunes (6-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Konklak Suphisara (3-0-0)
2024-02-10: W vs. [#61FLY] Bruna Brasil (10-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-02-11: W vs. [#52SW] Elise Reed (8-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:44 of round 2
2022-09-17: W vs. [#16SW] Denise Gomes (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Istela Nunes (0-3-0)
2023-07-15: L vs. [#61SW] Victoria Dudakova (8-2-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 0:34 of round 1
2022-12-03: L vs. [#49SW] Yazmin Jauregui (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 2
2022-04-16: L vs. [#27SW] Sam Hughes (10-6-0) via MD (28-28, 29-27, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Konklak Suphisara 1554.46 +416.20 91.65%
Elo Modified Konklak Suphisara 1558.92 +358.02 88.71%
Glicko-1 Konklak Suphisara 1522.42 +376.42 89.73%
WHR Konklak Suphisara 1481.46 +396.33 90.74%

Fighter Ages on Fight Day: Konklak Suphisara 29.2, Istela Nunes 32.7
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Konklak Suphisara 420, Istela Nunes 630
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Konklak Suphisara leads 1-0
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Josh Emmett
Highest Stored DD Rating: Josh Emmett
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Josh Emmett vs. Lerone Murphy
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Josh Emmett vs. Lerone Murphy
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Low [*½]
Run Date: 2025-3-30

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