Fight Matrix Program – UFC 312: Du Plessis vs Strickland 2 (02-08-2025)

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1][#5DD][#5P4P][#1UFC] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0, -206) vs. [#2][#2UFC] Sean Strickland (29-6-0, +169)
Dricus Du Plessis is the All-Time #9 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Sean Strickland is the All-Time #17 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dricus Du Plessis (3-0-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#5 MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:38 of round 4
2024-01-20: W vs. [#2 MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#7 MW] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (2-1-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#9 MW] Paulo Costa (14-4-0) via SD (49-46, 50-45, 46-49)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#1 MW][#5DD][#5P4P] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#5 MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Dricus Du Plessis	-206		64.42%
Elo K170	Dricus Du Plessis	2342.57	+202.95	76.28%
Elo Modified	Dricus Du Plessis	2265.23	+161.48	71.70%
Glicko-1	Dricus Du Plessis	2353.76	+176.08	73.37%
WHR	Dricus Du Plessis	2149.81	+110.57	65.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dricus Du Plessis 175, Sean Strickland 252
Previous Match-up Record: Dricus Du Plessis leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1][#1DD][#1P4P][#1UFC] Weili Zhang (25-3-0, -116) vs. [*] Tatiana Suarez (10-0-0, -105)
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #5 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#3 SW][#5DD][#7P4P] Xiaonan Yan (19-4-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#4 SW] Amanda Lemos (14-4-1) via UD (50-43, 50-44, 49-45)
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Carla Esparza (19-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:05 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Tatiana Suarez (3-0-0)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#12 FLY] Jessica Andrade (26-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:31 of round 2
2023-02-25: W vs. [#26 FLY] Montana De La Rosa (13-9-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:15 of round 2
2019-06-08: W vs. [*] Nina Nunes (11-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Weili Zhang	-116		51.18%
Elo K170	Weili Zhang	2044.50	+194.83	75.43%
Elo Modified	Weili Zhang	1998.60	+143.52	69.56%
Glicko-1	Weili Zhang	2019.82	+144.34	69.65%
WHR	Weili Zhang	1911.21	+34.12	54.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Weili Zhang 301, Tatiana Suarez 553
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#88][#25UFC] Justin Tafa (7-4-0, +127) vs. [#160] Tallison Teixeira (7-0-0, -154)

Last 3 Fights: Justin Tafa (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-03-23: L vs. [#75 HW+] Karl Williams (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#140 HW+] Austen Lane (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2023-06-24: NC vs. [#140 HW+] Austen Lane (13-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Tallison Teixeira (3-0-0)
2024-09-17: W vs. [#324 HW+] Arthur Lopes (6-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:57 of round 1
2024-05-03: W vs. [#625 HW+] Matheus Fonseca (4-2-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:55 of round 1
2024-01-27: W vs. [NA] Arthur Mamute (3-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:31 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Tallison Teixeira	-154		57.91%
Elo K170	Justin Tafa	1439.06	+32.89	54.72%
Elo Modified	Justin Tafa	1521.83	+89.07	62.54%
Glicko-1	Justin Tafa	1535.44	+83.04	61.73%
WHR	Justin Tafa	1434.77	+27.93	54.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Tafa 322, Tallison Teixeira 144
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[*] Jimmy Crute (12-4-1, +133) vs. [#59][#27UFC] Rodolfo Bellato (12-2-0, -161)

Last 3 Fights: Jimmy Crute (0-2-1)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#25 LHW] Alonzo Menifield (15-5-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:55 of round 2
2023-02-11: D vs. [#25 LHW] Alonzo Menifield (15-5-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2021-12-04: L vs. [#4 LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rodolfo Bellato (3-0-0)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#101 MW] Ihor Potieria (25-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 2
2023-10-03: W vs. [*] Murtaza Talha Ali (6-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:46 of round 2
2023-05-27: W vs. [*] Acacio dos Santos (15-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Rodolfo Bellato	-161		58.97%
Elo K170	Rodolfo Bellato	1635.31	+94.57	63.28%
Elo Modified	Rodolfo Bellato	1659.68	+60.73	58.65%
Glicko-1	Rodolfo Bellato	1697.93	+97.24	63.64%
WHR	Rodolfo Bellato	1621.58	+85.59	62.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jimmy Crute 581, Rodolfo Bellato 434
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#41][#28UFC] Jake Matthews (20-7-0, -220) vs. [#205 LW][#72UFC LW] Francisco Prado (12-2-0, +177)

Last 3 Fights: Jake Matthews (2-1-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#55 WW] Philip Rowe (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-11-18: L vs. [#15 WW] Michael Morales (17-0-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#287 WW] Darrius Flowers (12-8-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:37 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Francisco Prado (1-2-0)
2024-02-24: L vs. [#74 LW] Daniel Zellhuber (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#526 LW] Ottman Azaitar (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1
2023-02-11: L vs. [#163 LW] Jamie Mullarkey (17-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Jake Matthews	-220		65.56%
Elo K170	Jake Matthews	1753.78	+210.04	77.01%
Elo Modified	Jake Matthews	1778.85	+219.17	77.93%
Glicko-1	Jake Matthews	1823.85	+196.25	75.58%
WHR	Jake Matthews	1661.30	+173.39	73.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jake Matthews 252, Francisco Prado 350
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#66][#37UFC] Gabriel Santos (11-2-0, -235) vs. [#127][#56UFC] Jack Jenkins (13-3-0, +191)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Santos (1-2-0)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#101 FW] Zha Yi (25-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2023-06-24: L vs. [#46 FW] David Onama (13-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:13 of round 2
2023-03-18: L vs. [#12 FW] Lerone Murphy (15-0-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jack Jenkins (2-1-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#502 FW] Herbert Burns (11-6-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 0:48 of round 3
2023-09-09: L vs. [#35 FW] Jose Mariscal (17-6-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 3:19 of round 2
2023-06-24: W vs. [#158 FW] Jamall Emmers (20-8-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Gabriel Santos	-235		67.12%
Elo K170	Gabriel Santos	1656.29	+11.88	51.71%
Elo Modified	Gabriel Santos	1707.46	+68.97	59.80%
Glicko-1	Gabriel Santos	1741.87	+95.23	63.37%
WHR	Gabriel Santos	1798.27	+227.26	78.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gabriel Santos 154, Jack Jenkins 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#200][#69UFC] Viacheslav Borshchev (8-4-1, -141) vs. [#211][#73UFC] Tom Nolan (8-1-0, +116)

Last 3 Fights: Viacheslav Borshchev (1-1-1)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#283 WW] James Llontop (14-5-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-05-11: L vs. [#67 LW] Chase Hooper (15-3-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:00 of round 2
2023-11-11: D vs. [#161 LW] Nazim Sadykhov (9-1-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Tom Nolan (2-1-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#1746 LW] Alex Reyes (13-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#536 LW] Victor Martinez (13-6-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 3:50 of round 1
2024-01-13: L vs. [#125 LW] Nikolas Motta (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:03 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Viacheslav Borshchev	-141		55.82%
Elo K170	Tom Nolan	1595.69	+67.66	59.62%
Elo Modified	Tom Nolan	1629.92	+137.64	68.83%
Glicko-1	Tom Nolan	1618.10	+114.02	65.85%
WHR	Tom Nolan	1505.35	+6.59	50.95%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Viacheslav Borshchev 168, Tom Nolan 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#28 SW][#20UFC SW] Bruna Brasil (10-4-1, +329) vs. [#72][#35UFC] Cong Wang (6-1-0, -452)

Last 3 Fights: Bruna Brasil (2-1-0)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#60 SW] Molly McCann (14-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-02-10: L vs. [#15 SW] Konklak Suphisara (9-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#82 SW] Shauna Bannon (6-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Cong Wang (2-1-0)
2024-11-23: L vs. [#37 FLY] Gabriella Fernandes (10-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:49 of round 2
2024-08-24: W vs. [#73 FLY] Victoria Leonardo (10-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:02 of round 1
2024-05-18: W vs. [#205 FLY] Paula Luna (5-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:04 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Cong Wang	-452		77.84%
Elo K170	Bruna Brasil	1458.25	+144.13	69.63%
Elo Modified	Bruna Brasil	1498.70	+119.93	66.60%
Glicko-1	Bruna Brasil	1440.60	+131.74	68.10%
WHR	Bruna Brasil	1451.55	+157.77	71.27%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bruna Brasil 196, Cong Wang 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#309] Colby Thicknesse (7-0-0, +325) vs. [*] Aleksandre Topuria (5-1-0, -437)

Last 3 Fights: Colby Thicknesse (3-0-0)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#2459 BW] Marvin Malunes (5-4-0) via KO (Elbows) in 0:00 of round 1
2024-10-27: W vs. [#1489 BW] Norman Agcopra (5-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 1
2024-07-21: W vs. [#2453 FW] Jufri Gobel (3-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:50 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Aleksandre Topuria (3-0-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [*] Johan Segas (3-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:27 of round 1
2022-03-12: W vs. [NA] Alberto Ibanez (1-11-0) via TKO (Submission to Punches) in 1:54 of round 1
2021-12-08: W vs. [NA] Lucas Tenorio (9-31-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:48 of round 1

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Aleksandre Topuria	-437		77.57%
Elo K170	Colby Thicknesse	1437.71	+277.54	83.17%
Elo Modified	Colby Thicknesse	1509.18	+351.89	88.35%
Glicko-1	Colby Thicknesse	1469.22	+294.78	84.51%
WHR	Colby Thicknesse	1437.47	+171.57	72.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Colby Thicknesse 77, Aleksandre Topuria 630
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#145][#60UFC] Kevin Jousset (10-3-0, -250) vs. [#216] Jonathan Micallef (7-1-0, +201)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Jousset (2-1-0)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#25 WW] Bryan Battle (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:47 of round 2
2023-12-09: W vs. [#124 WW] Kenan Song (22-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#305 WW] Kiefer Crosbie (10-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:49 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jonathan Micallef (2-1-0)
2024-10-15: W vs. [#612 WW] Mohamed Ado (5-2-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:01 of round 1
2024-09-07: W vs. [#632 WW] Matt Vaile (13-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:00 of round 1
2024-03-02: L vs. [#257 WW] Aldin Bates (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 4

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kevin Jousset	-250		68.25%
Elo K170	Kevin Jousset	1576.85	+93.80	63.18%
Elo Modified	Kevin Jousset	1593.42	+42.69	56.11%
Glicko-1	Kevin Jousset	1588.78	+70.87	60.06%
WHR	Kevin Jousset	1528.76	+85.98	62.13%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Jousset 133, Jonathan Micallef 116
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#197] Quillan Salkilld (7-1-0, -454) vs. [*] Anshul Jubli (7-1-0, +325)

Last 3 Fights: Quillan Salkilld (3-0-0)
2024-09-03: W vs. [#264 LW] Gauge Young (9-2-0) via UD ()
2024-02-10: W vs. [#543 LW] Dom Mar Fan (6-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:00 of round 2
2023-10-28: W vs. [#672 WW] Brett Pastore (5-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Anshul Jubli (2-1-0)
2023-10-21: L vs. [*] Mike Breeden (11-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 3
2023-02-04: W vs. [#226 FW] Jeka Saragih (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:44 of round 2
2022-10-23: W vs. [#155 LW] Kyung Pyo Kim (14-5-0) via SD ()

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Quillan Salkilld	-454		77.69%
Elo K170	Quillan Salkilld	1504.16	+40.94	55.87%
Elo Modified	Quillan Salkilld	1562.75	+64.13	59.13%
Glicko-1	Quillan Salkilld	1514.77	+65.62	59.33%
WHR	Quillan Salkilld	1480.60	+85.77	62.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Quillan Salkilld 158, Anshul Jubli 476
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#150][#59UFC] Zhu Rong (25-6-0, +200) vs. [#283] Kody Steele (7-0-0, -239)

Last 3 Fights: Zhu Rong (2-1-0)
2024-09-07: L vs. [#96 LW] Chris Padilla (15-6-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 4:14 of round 2
2024-02-03: W vs. [#124 FW] Shin Haraguchi (9-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:06 of round 3
2023-08-27: W vs. [#458 LW] Sang Wook Kim (11-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Kody Steele (3-0-0)
2024-10-08: W vs. [#745 LW] Chasen Blair (6-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:07 of round 2
2024-04-21: W vs. [#931 LW] Alejandro Martinez (13-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 3
2023-09-24: W vs. [#453 LW] Nico Echeverry (15-7-0) via TKO in 3:32 of round 2

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Kody Steele	-239		67.89%
Elo K170	Zhu Rong	1623.28	+137.94	68.87%
Elo Modified	Zhu Rong	1649.97	+113.00	65.71%
Glicko-1	Zhu Rong	1696.92	+183.00	74.15%
WHR	Zhu Rong	1606.90	+128.40	67.68%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Zhu Rong 154, Kody Steele 123
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#74][#32UFC] Hyun Sung Park (9-0-0, -223) vs. [#127][#40UFC] Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (8-1-0, +179)

Last 3 Fights: Hyun Sung Park (3-0-0)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#587 FLY] Shannon Ross (12-9-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 3:59 of round 2
2023-02-04: W vs. [#164 FLY] Seung Guk Choi (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:11 of round 3
2022-10-23: W vs. [*] Thanongsaklek Chuwattana (9-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:05 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (2-1-0)
2024-11-23: L vs. [#112 FLY] Carlos Hernandez (10-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2023-08-27: W vs. [#361 BW] Peter Danesoe (8-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:02 of round 1
2023-05-27: W vs. [*] Thanongsaklek Chuwattana (9-6-0) via SD ()

System	Favorite	Rating	Rating Diff	Win %
Betting Odds	Hyun Sung Park	-223		65.82%
Elo K170	Hyun Sung Park	1591.55	+139.32	69.04%
Elo Modified	Hyun Sung Park	1620.11	+132.68	68.22%
Glicko-1	Hyun Sung Park	1647.80	+143.02	69.49%
WHR	Hyun Sung Park	1591.52	+118.94	66.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Hyun Sung Park 427, Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Dricus Du Plessis
Highest Stored DD Rating: Dricus Du Plessis
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Dricus Du Plessis vs. Sean Strickland
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Dricus Du Plessis vs. Sean Strickland
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2025-2-2