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Fight Matrix
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 312: Du Plessis vs Strickland 2 (02-08-2025)

Posted on February 3, 2025 by Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1][#5DD][#5P4P][#1UFC] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0, -206) vs. [#2][#2UFC] Sean Strickland (29-6-0, +169)
Dricus Du Plessis is the All-Time #9 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Sean Strickland is the All-Time #17 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dricus Du Plessis (3-0-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#5 MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:38 of round 4
2024-01-20: W vs. [#2 MW] Sean Strickland (29-6-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2023-07-08: W vs. [#7 MW] Robert Whittaker (26-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (2-1-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#9 MW] Paulo Costa (14-4-0) via SD (49-46, 50-45, 46-49)
2024-01-20: L vs. [#1 MW][#5DD][#5P4P] Dricus Du Plessis (22-2-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#5 MW] Israel Adesanya (24-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dricus Du Plessis -206 64.42%
Elo K170 Dricus Du Plessis 2342.57 +202.95 76.28%
Elo Modified Dricus Du Plessis 2265.23 +161.48 71.70%
Glicko-1 Dricus Du Plessis 2353.76 +176.08 73.37%
WHR Dricus Du Plessis 2149.81 +110.57 65.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dricus Du Plessis 175, Sean Strickland 252
Previous Match-up Record: Dricus Du Plessis leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight Championship (115)
[#1][#1DD][#1P4P][#1UFC] Weili Zhang (25-3-0, -116) vs. [*] Tatiana Suarez (10-0-0, -105)
Weili Zhang is the All-Time #5 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#3 SW][#5DD][#7P4P] Xiaonan Yan (19-4-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#4 SW] Amanda Lemos (14-4-1) via UD (50-43, 50-44, 49-45)
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Carla Esparza (19-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:05 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Tatiana Suarez (3-0-0)
2023-08-05: W vs. [#12 FLY] Jessica Andrade (26-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:31 of round 2
2023-02-25: W vs. [#26 FLY] Montana De La Rosa (13-9-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:15 of round 2
2019-06-08: W vs. [*] Nina Nunes (11-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Weili Zhang -116 51.18%
Elo K170 Weili Zhang 2044.50 +194.83 75.43%
Elo Modified Weili Zhang 1998.60 +143.52 69.56%
Glicko-1 Weili Zhang 2019.82 +144.34 69.65%
WHR Weili Zhang 1911.21 +34.12 54.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Weili Zhang 301, Tatiana Suarez 553
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#88][#25UFC] Justin Tafa (7-4-0, +127) vs. [#160] Tallison Teixeira (7-0-0, -154)

Last 3 Fights: Justin Tafa (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2024-03-23: L vs. [#75 HW+] Karl Williams (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#140 HW+] Austen Lane (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2023-06-24: NC vs. [#140 HW+] Austen Lane (13-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Tallison Teixeira (3-0-0)
2024-09-17: W vs. [#324 HW+] Arthur Lopes (6-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:57 of round 1
2024-05-03: W vs. [#625 HW+] Matheus Fonseca (4-2-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:55 of round 1
2024-01-27: W vs. [NA] Arthur Mamute (3-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:31 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tallison Teixeira -154 57.91%
Elo K170 Justin Tafa 1439.06 +32.89 54.72%
Elo Modified Justin Tafa 1521.83 +89.07 62.54%
Glicko-1 Justin Tafa 1535.44 +83.04 61.73%
WHR Justin Tafa 1434.77 +27.93 54.01%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Tafa 322, Tallison Teixeira 144
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[*] Jimmy Crute (12-4-1, +133) vs. [#59][#27UFC] Rodolfo Bellato (12-2-0, -161)

Last 3 Fights: Jimmy Crute (0-2-1)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#25 LHW] Alonzo Menifield (15-5-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:55 of round 2
2023-02-11: D vs. [#25 LHW] Alonzo Menifield (15-5-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2021-12-04: L vs. [#4 LHW] Jamahal Hill (13-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rodolfo Bellato (3-0-0)
2023-12-02: W vs. [#101 MW] Ihor Potieria (25-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 2
2023-10-03: W vs. [*] Murtaza Talha Ali (6-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:46 of round 2
2023-05-27: W vs. [*] Acacio dos Santos (15-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rodolfo Bellato -161 58.97%
Elo K170 Rodolfo Bellato 1635.31 +94.57 63.28%
Elo Modified Rodolfo Bellato 1659.68 +60.73 58.65%
Glicko-1 Rodolfo Bellato 1697.93 +97.24 63.64%
WHR Rodolfo Bellato 1621.58 +85.59 62.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jimmy Crute 581, Rodolfo Bellato 434
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#41][#28UFC] Jake Matthews (20-7-0, -220) vs. [#205 LW][#72UFC LW] Francisco Prado (12-2-0, +177)

Last 3 Fights: Jake Matthews (2-1-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#55 WW] Philip Rowe (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-11-18: L vs. [#15 WW] Michael Morales (17-0-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-29: W vs. [#287 WW] Darrius Flowers (12-8-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:37 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Francisco Prado (1-2-0)
2024-02-24: L vs. [#74 LW] Daniel Zellhuber (15-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#526 LW] Ottman Azaitar (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1
2023-02-11: L vs. [#163 LW] Jamie Mullarkey (17-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jake Matthews -220 65.56%
Elo K170 Jake Matthews 1753.78 +210.04 77.01%
Elo Modified Jake Matthews 1778.85 +219.17 77.93%
Glicko-1 Jake Matthews 1823.85 +196.25 75.58%
WHR Jake Matthews 1661.30 +173.39 73.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jake Matthews 252, Francisco Prado 350
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#66][#37UFC] Gabriel Santos (11-2-0, -235) vs. [#127][#56UFC] Jack Jenkins (13-3-0, +191)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Santos (1-2-0)
2024-09-07: W vs. [#101 FW] Zha Yi (25-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2023-06-24: L vs. [#46 FW] David Onama (13-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:13 of round 2
2023-03-18: L vs. [#12 FW] Lerone Murphy (15-0-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jack Jenkins (2-1-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#502 FW] Herbert Burns (11-6-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 0:48 of round 3
2023-09-09: L vs. [#35 FW] Jose Mariscal (17-6-0) via TKO (Arm Injury) in 3:19 of round 2
2023-06-24: W vs. [#158 FW] Jamall Emmers (20-8-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Gabriel Santos -235 67.12%
Elo K170 Gabriel Santos 1656.29 +11.88 51.71%
Elo Modified Gabriel Santos 1707.46 +68.97 59.80%
Glicko-1 Gabriel Santos 1741.87 +95.23 63.37%
WHR Gabriel Santos 1798.27 +227.26 78.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gabriel Santos 154, Jack Jenkins 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#200][#69UFC] Viacheslav Borshchev (8-4-1, -141) vs. [#211][#73UFC] Tom Nolan (8-1-0, +116)

Last 3 Fights: Viacheslav Borshchev (1-1-1)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#283 WW] James Llontop (14-5-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-05-11: L vs. [#67 LW] Chase Hooper (15-3-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:00 of round 2
2023-11-11: D vs. [#161 LW] Nazim Sadykhov (9-1-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Tom Nolan (2-1-0)
2024-08-17: W vs. [#1746 LW] Alex Reyes (13-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#536 LW] Victor Martinez (13-6-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches) in 3:50 of round 1
2024-01-13: L vs. [#125 LW] Nikolas Motta (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:03 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Viacheslav Borshchev -141 55.82%
Elo K170 Tom Nolan 1595.69 +67.66 59.62%
Elo Modified Tom Nolan 1629.92 +137.64 68.83%
Glicko-1 Tom Nolan 1618.10 +114.02 65.85%
WHR Tom Nolan 1505.35 +6.59 50.95%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Viacheslav Borshchev 168, Tom Nolan 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#28 SW][#20UFC SW] Bruna Brasil (10-4-1, +329) vs. [#72][#35UFC] Cong Wang (6-1-0, -452)

Last 3 Fights: Bruna Brasil (2-1-0)
2024-07-27: W vs. [#60 SW] Molly McCann (14-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2024-02-10: L vs. [#15 SW] Konklak Suphisara (9-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#82 SW] Shauna Bannon (6-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Cong Wang (2-1-0)
2024-11-23: L vs. [#37 FLY] Gabriella Fernandes (10-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:49 of round 2
2024-08-24: W vs. [#73 FLY] Victoria Leonardo (10-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:02 of round 1
2024-05-18: W vs. [#205 FLY] Paula Luna (5-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:04 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Cong Wang -452 77.84%
Elo K170 Bruna Brasil 1458.25 +144.13 69.63%
Elo Modified Bruna Brasil 1498.70 +119.93 66.60%
Glicko-1 Bruna Brasil 1440.60 +131.74 68.10%
WHR Bruna Brasil 1451.55 +157.77 71.27%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bruna Brasil 196, Cong Wang 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#309] Colby Thicknesse (7-0-0, +325) vs. [*] Aleksandre Topuria (5-1-0, -437)

Last 3 Fights: Colby Thicknesse (3-0-0)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#2459 BW] Marvin Malunes (5-4-0) via KO (Elbows) in 0:00 of round 1
2024-10-27: W vs. [#1489 BW] Norman Agcopra (5-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 1
2024-07-21: W vs. [#2453 FW] Jufri Gobel (3-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:50 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Aleksandre Topuria (3-0-0)
2023-05-20: W vs. [*] Johan Segas (3-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:27 of round 1
2022-03-12: W vs. [NA] Alberto Ibanez (1-11-0) via TKO (Submission to Punches) in 1:54 of round 1
2021-12-08: W vs. [NA] Lucas Tenorio (9-31-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:48 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Aleksandre Topuria -437 77.57%
Elo K170 Colby Thicknesse 1437.71 +277.54 83.17%
Elo Modified Colby Thicknesse 1509.18 +351.89 88.35%
Glicko-1 Colby Thicknesse 1469.22 +294.78 84.51%
WHR Colby Thicknesse 1437.47 +171.57 72.87%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Colby Thicknesse 77, Aleksandre Topuria 630
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#145][#60UFC] Kevin Jousset (10-3-0, -250) vs. [#216] Jonathan Micallef (7-1-0, +201)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Jousset (2-1-0)
2024-09-28: L vs. [#25 WW] Bryan Battle (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:47 of round 2
2023-12-09: W vs. [#124 WW] Kenan Song (22-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#305 WW] Kiefer Crosbie (10-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:49 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jonathan Micallef (2-1-0)
2024-10-15: W vs. [#612 WW] Mohamed Ado (5-2-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:01 of round 1
2024-09-07: W vs. [#632 WW] Matt Vaile (13-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:00 of round 1
2024-03-02: L vs. [#257 WW] Aldin Bates (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kevin Jousset -250 68.25%
Elo K170 Kevin Jousset 1576.85 +93.80 63.18%
Elo Modified Kevin Jousset 1593.42 +42.69 56.11%
Glicko-1 Kevin Jousset 1588.78 +70.87 60.06%
WHR Kevin Jousset 1528.76 +85.98 62.13%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Jousset 133, Jonathan Micallef 116
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#197] Quillan Salkilld (7-1-0, -454) vs. [*] Anshul Jubli (7-1-0, +325)

Last 3 Fights: Quillan Salkilld (3-0-0)
2024-09-03: W vs. [#264 LW] Gauge Young (9-2-0) via UD ()
2024-02-10: W vs. [#543 LW] Dom Mar Fan (6-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:00 of round 2
2023-10-28: W vs. [#672 WW] Brett Pastore (5-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Anshul Jubli (2-1-0)
2023-10-21: L vs. [*] Mike Breeden (11-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 3
2023-02-04: W vs. [#226 FW] Jeka Saragih (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:44 of round 2
2022-10-23: W vs. [#155 LW] Kyung Pyo Kim (14-5-0) via SD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Quillan Salkilld -454 77.69%
Elo K170 Quillan Salkilld 1504.16 +40.94 55.87%
Elo Modified Quillan Salkilld 1562.75 +64.13 59.13%
Glicko-1 Quillan Salkilld 1514.77 +65.62 59.33%
WHR Quillan Salkilld 1480.60 +85.77 62.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Quillan Salkilld 158, Anshul Jubli 476
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#150][#59UFC] Zhu Rong (25-6-0, +200) vs. [#283] Kody Steele (7-0-0, -239)

Last 3 Fights: Zhu Rong (2-1-0)
2024-09-07: L vs. [#96 LW] Chris Padilla (15-6-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 4:14 of round 2
2024-02-03: W vs. [#124 FW] Shin Haraguchi (9-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:06 of round 3
2023-08-27: W vs. [#458 LW] Sang Wook Kim (11-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Kody Steele (3-0-0)
2024-10-08: W vs. [#745 LW] Chasen Blair (6-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:07 of round 2
2024-04-21: W vs. [#931 LW] Alejandro Martinez (13-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 3
2023-09-24: W vs. [#453 LW] Nico Echeverry (15-7-0) via TKO in 3:32 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kody Steele -239 67.89%
Elo K170 Zhu Rong 1623.28 +137.94 68.87%
Elo Modified Zhu Rong 1649.97 +113.00 65.71%
Glicko-1 Zhu Rong 1696.92 +183.00 74.15%
WHR Zhu Rong 1606.90 +128.40 67.68%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Zhu Rong 154, Kody Steele 123
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#74][#32UFC] Hyun Sung Park (9-0-0, -223) vs. [#127][#40UFC] Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (8-1-0, +179)

Last 3 Fights: Hyun Sung Park (3-0-0)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#587 FLY] Shannon Ross (12-9-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 3:59 of round 2
2023-02-04: W vs. [#164 FLY] Seung Guk Choi (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:11 of round 3
2022-10-23: W vs. [*] Thanongsaklek Chuwattana (9-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:05 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (2-1-0)
2024-11-23: L vs. [#112 FLY] Carlos Hernandez (10-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2023-08-27: W vs. [#361 BW] Peter Danesoe (8-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:02 of round 1
2023-05-27: W vs. [*] Thanongsaklek Chuwattana (9-6-0) via SD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Hyun Sung Park -223 65.82%
Elo K170 Hyun Sung Park 1591.55 +139.32 69.04%
Elo Modified Hyun Sung Park 1620.11 +132.68 68.22%
Glicko-1 Hyun Sung Park 1647.80 +143.02 69.49%
WHR Hyun Sung Park 1591.52 +118.94 66.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Hyun Sung Park 427, Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Dricus Du Plessis
Highest Stored DD Rating: Dricus Du Plessis
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Dricus Du Plessis vs. Sean Strickland
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Dricus Du Plessis vs. Sean Strickland
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2025-2-2

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