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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – RIZIN 49: Decade (12-31-2024)

Posted on December 25, 2024 by Jason

Featherweight (145)
[#11] Chihiro Suzuki (13-4-0, +123) vs. [#41] Kleber Koike Erbst (34-7-1, -171)

Last 3 Fights: Chihiro Suzuki (3-0-0)
2024-04-29: W vs. [#63FW] Masanori Kanehara (29-13-5) via TKO (Punches) in 4:20 of round 1
2023-11-04: W vs. [#47FW] Vugar Karamov (20-5-0) via KO (Upkick and Punches) in 1:28 of round 1
2023-07-30: W vs. [#10FW] Patricio Freire (36-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:32 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kleber Koike Erbst (2-1-0)
2024-06-09: W vs. [#76FW] Juan Archuleta (29-7-0) via Submission (Inverted Heel Hook) in 2:25 of round 1
2023-12-31: W vs. [#380FW] Yutaka Saito (21-9-2) via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke) in 1:22 of round 3
2023-09-24: L vs. [#63FW] Masanori Kanehara (29-13-5) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kleber Koike Erbst -171 58.45%
Elo K170 Kleber Koike Erbst 1953.67 +19.74 52.84%
Elo Modified Kleber Koike Erbst 1916.85 +21.12 53.04%
Glicko-1 Kleber Koike Erbst 2013.58 +7.41 51.07%
WHR Kleber Koike Erbst 1872.13 +65.83 59.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chihiro Suzuki 246, Kleber Koike Erbst 205
Previous Match-up Record: Kleber Koike Erbst leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Chihiro Suzuki leads 3-1
.

Lightweight (155)
[#27] Roberto Satoshi de Souza (17-3-0, -134) vs. [#47FW] Vugar Karamov (20-5-0, -101)

Last 3 Fights: Roberto Satoshi de Souza (2-1-0)
2024-09-29: W vs. [#69LW] Luiz Gustavo (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 1
2024-03-23: W vs. [#334LW] Keita Nakamura (36-12-2) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 1:43 of round 1
2023-07-29: L vs. [#51LW] Patricky Freire (25-14-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 0:49 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Vugar Karamov (2-1-0)
2024-11-17: W vs. [#230FW] Kazumasa Majima (17-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 0:28 of round 1
2023-11-04: L vs. [#11FW] Chihiro Suzuki (13-4-0) via KO (Upkick and Punches) in 1:28 of round 1
2023-07-30: W vs. [#218FW] Mikuru Asakura (17-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:41 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Roberto Satoshi de Souza -134 53.26%
Elo K170 Roberto Satoshi de Souza 1954.67 +156.49 71.11%
Elo Modified Roberto Satoshi de Souza 1935.91 +125.74 67.34%
Glicko-1 Roberto Satoshi de Souza 2019.18 +171.75 72.88%
WHR Roberto Satoshi de Souza 1836.83 +98.48 63.80%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roberto Satoshi de Souza 93, Vugar Karamov 44
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#4] Kyoji Horiguchi (33-5-0, -463) vs. [#81] Nkazimulo Zulu (16-6-1, +292)
Kyoji Horiguchi is the All-Time #19 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kyoji Horiguchi (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-06-09: W vs. [#14BW] Sergio Pettis (23-7-0) via UD ()
2023-12-31: W vs. [#75FLY] Makoto Takahashi (18-3-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:44 of round 2
2023-07-29: NC vs. [#75FLY] Makoto Takahashi (18-3-1)

Last 3 Fights: Nkazimulo Zulu (3-0-0)
2024-09-29: W vs. [#205FLY] Jo Arai (15-13-2) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 4:12 of round 1
2024-03-07: W vs. [#472FLY] Gift Walker (5-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:38 of round 3
2023-07-13: W vs. [#2063BW] Musa Sethwape (4-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:15 of round 4

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kyoji Horiguchi -463 76.32%
Elo K170 Kyoji Horiguchi 2086.35 +571.33 96.40%
Elo Modified Kyoji Horiguchi 2061.48 +541.38 95.76%
Glicko-1 Kyoji Horiguchi 2100.02 +542.22 95.78%
WHR Kyoji Horiguchi 2003.91 +483.87 94.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyoji Horiguchi 205, Nkazimulo Zulu 93
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#81] Yuki Motoya (36-12-0, -122) vs. [#231FW] Kyoma Akimoto (7-0-0, -106)

Last 3 Fights: Yuki Motoya (2-1-0)
2024-09-29: W vs. [#130BW] Shinobu Ota (7-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:09 of round 3
2024-05-03: W vs. [#563FW] Sho Hiramatsu (7-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:44 of round 2
2023-12-31: L vs. [#70BW] Vince Morales (16-8-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Kyoma Akimoto (3-0-0)
2024-11-17: W vs. [#821FW] Hiroaki Suzuki (4-5-0) via UD ()
2024-09-29: W vs. [#370BW] Yuto Hokamura (15-14-2) via TKO (Punches and Knees) in 3:16 of round 1
2024-05-17: W vs. [#220BW] Alan Yamaniha (22-11-4) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yuki Motoya -122 51.63%
Elo K170 Yuki Motoya 1721.20 +217.60 77.77%
Elo Modified Yuki Motoya 1726.45 +179.01 73.70%
Glicko-1 Yuki Motoya 1791.04 +213.63 77.38%
WHR Yuki Motoya 1681.90 +176.62 73.43%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yuki Motoya 93, Kyoma Akimoto 44
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Atomweight (108)
[#1/#4DD/#5P4P] Seika Izawa (14-0-0, -869) vs. [NA] Lucia Apdelgarim (2-3-0, +467)

Last 3 Fights: Seika Izawa (3-0-0)
2024-09-29: W vs. [#6AW] Kanna Asakura (20-8-0) via UD ()
2024-03-24: W vs. [#4AW] Si Yoon Park (7-4-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 0:58 of round 2
2023-12-31: W vs. [#30AW] Miyuu Yamamoto (6-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:37 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Lucia Apdelgarim (1-2-0)
2023-12-30: L vs. [#75FLY] Aitana Alvarez (7-7-0) via UD ()
2023-05-13: L vs. [#58SW] Julieta Martinez (8-0-0) via UD ()
2023-05-13: W vs. [#59AW] Nadia Villagra (2-2-0) via TKO (Punches and Knees) in 0:30 of round 2

At least one fighter is debuting or below the starter rating. Cannot generate rating comparison table.

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Seika Izawa 93, Lucia Apdelgarim 367
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#44] Rajabali Shaidullaev (13-0-0, -725) vs. [#228] Yuta Kubo (5-1-0, +392)

Last 3 Fights: Rajabali Shaidullaev (3-0-0)
2024-09-29: W vs. [#76FW] Juan Archuleta (29-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:12 of round 1
2024-06-09: W vs. [#131FW] Koji Takeda (16-7-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:43 of round 1
2023-10-17: W vs. [#966FW] Magomed Al-Abdullah (13-2-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:40 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Yuta Kubo (3-0-0)
2024-07-28: W vs. [#380FW] Yutaka Saito (21-9-2) via TKO (Front Kick to the Body) in 4:19 of round 2
2024-03-23: W vs. [#341FW] Ryogo Takahashi (15-8-1) via SD ()
2023-12-31: W vs. [NA] Rukiya Anpo (0-1-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:28 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rajabali Shaidullaev -725 81.21%
Elo K170 Rajabali Shaidullaev 1798.01 +385.77 90.21%
Elo Modified Rajabali Shaidullaev 1804.96 +472.62 93.83%
Glicko-1 Rajabali Shaidullaev 1859.00 +510.15 94.97%
WHR Rajabali Shaidullaev 1814.41 +479.20 94.04%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rajabali Shaidullaev 93, Yuta Kubo 156
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#200] Tae In Kim (5-0-0, -272) vs. [#242] Mikio Ueda (3-2-0, +184)

Last 3 Fights: Tae In Kim (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#264HW+] Taisei Sekino (7-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:55 of round 1
2022-12-18: W vs. [*] Daniel Gomes (11-7-1) via KO (Punch and Knee) in 0:13 of round 1
2022-07-23: W vs. [*] Jung Kyo Park (7-12-0) via TKO (Submission to Punches) in 0:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mikio Ueda (2-1-0)
2024-06-09: L vs. [#153HW+] Przemyslaw Kowalczyk (4-0-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:08 of round 1
2023-12-31: W vs. [#243HW+] Tsuyoshi Kamiyama (9-3-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 0:55 of round 2
2023-06-24: W vs. [*] Hideki Sekine (13-7-0) via TKO (Punches and Head Kick) in 0:22 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tae In Kim -272 67.49%
Elo K170 Tae In Kim 1332.89 +116.59 66.18%
Elo Modified Tae In Kim 1389.79 +58.67 58.36%
Glicko-1 Tae In Kim 1381.43 +108.96 65.18%
WHR Tae In Kim 1426.83 +201.28 76.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tae In Kim 262, Mikio Ueda 205
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#184] Yusuke Yachi (27-14-0, -350) vs. [NA] Taisei Sakuraba (DEBUT, +232)

Last 3 Fights: Yusuke Yachi (2-1-0)
2024-09-29: W vs. [#481LW] Sho Patrick Usami (7-4-0) via UD ()
2024-05-17: L vs. [#43LW] Mansour Barnaoui (22-6-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:08 of round 1
2024-02-24: W vs. [#675FW] Rikuto Shirakawa (12-11-1) via Technical Submission (Face Crank) in 5:00 of round 2

At least one fighter is debuting or below the starter rating. Cannot generate rating comparison table.

Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#65] Karshyga Dautbek (16-3-0, -415) vs. [#600] Ren Sugiyama (2-1-0, +282)

Last 3 Fights: Karshyga Dautbek (3-0-0)
2024-09-29: W vs. [#264FW] Takeaki Kinoshita (9-8-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:48 of round 1
2024-06-09: W vs. [#548FW] Tetsuya Seki (16-10-1) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 3:11 of round 1
2024-01-21: W vs. [#234FW] Koyomi Matsushima (15-7-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 4:41 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ren Sugiyama (2-1-0)
2024-07-28: W vs. [#821FW] Hiroaki Suzuki (4-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:28 of round 1
2023-12-31: L vs. [#156FW] Ren Hiramoto (4-3-0) via UD ()
2023-05-06: W vs. [NA] Kota Miura (2-2-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 3:13 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Karshyga Dautbek -415 75.47%
Elo K170 Karshyga Dautbek 1704.47 +518.06 95.17%
Elo Modified Karshyga Dautbek 1713.55 +403.97 91.10%
Glicko-1 Karshyga Dautbek 1803.67 +568.82 96.36%
WHR Karshyga Dautbek 1738.43 +553.23 96.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Karshyga Dautbek 93, Ren Sugiyama 156
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#131] Koji Takeda (16-7-0, -247) vs. [#434] Suguru Nii (18-13-0, +168)

Last 3 Fights: Koji Takeda (1-2-0)
2024-06-09: L vs. [#44FW] Rajabali Shaidullaev (13-0-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:43 of round 1
2024-03-23: W vs. [#553FW] Kyohei Hagiwara (7-10-0) via UD ()
2023-11-04: L vs. [#39LW] Tofiq Musayev (22-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Suguru Nii (2-1-0)
2024-07-28: L vs. [#230FW] Kazumasa Majima (17-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:11 of round 2
2023-12-31: W vs. [#923FW] Satoshi Yamasu (13-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:03 of round 2
2023-09-24: W vs. [#977FW] Shinsuke Kamei (6-5-0) via Technical Submission (Leg Scissor Choke) in 1:32 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Koji Takeda -247 65.60%
Elo K170 Koji Takeda 1510.54 +100.98 64.14%
Elo Modified Koji Takeda 1546.90 +133.54 68.32%
Glicko-1 Koji Takeda 1566.78 +158.55 71.36%
WHR Koji Takeda 1508.36 +148.30 70.14%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Koji Takeda 205, Suguru Nii 156
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#109] Ryuya Fukuda (23-8-1) vs. [#683] Ryusei Ashizawa (2-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Ryuya Fukuda (2-1-0)
2024-09-16: W vs. [#251BW] Kenta Takizawa (14-12-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:19 of round 1
2024-03-09: W vs. [#495BW] Shunsuke Miyabi (7-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:59 of round 1
2023-12-06: L vs. [#22FLY] Dias Erengaipov (16-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Ryusei Ashizawa (2-1-0)
2024-11-17: W vs. [#1215BW] Shoji Maruyama (19-18-1) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 1:05 of round 2
2024-07-28: W vs. [#2148BW] Koji Tanaka (1-1-0) via UD ()
2023-12-31: L vs. [#130BW] Shinobu Ota (7-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:21 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Ryuya Fukuda 1713.75 +530.82 95.50%
Elo Modified Ryuya Fukuda 1674.52 +365.94 89.15%
Glicko-1 Ryuya Fukuda 1695.53 +504.25 94.80%
WHR Ryuya Fukuda 1604.67 +445.04 92.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryuya Fukuda 106, Ryusei Ashizawa 44
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#502] King Edokpolo (1-0-0, -237) vs. [#634] Satoshi Kamiyama (1-3-0, +174)

Last 3 Fights: King Edokpolo (1-0-0)
2024-05-26: W vs. [NA] Terry Wakanda (0-1-0) via TKO (Soccer Kicks and Stomps) in 0:32 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Satoshi Kamiyama (1-2-0)
2024-03-23: W vs. [NA] Cody Jerabek (1-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:58 of round 1
2023-10-01: L vs. [#289HW+] Hidetaka Arato (10-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:49 of round 2
2022-11-06: L vs. [*] Callyugibrainn Marinho Bo (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:35 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds King Edokpolo -237 65.83%
Elo K170 King Edokpolo 1085.00 +14.50 52.09%
Elo Modified King Edokpolo 1137.50 +70.81 60.05%
Glicko-1 King Edokpolo 1095.80 +24.45 53.51%
WHR King Edokpolo 1071.60 +36.17 55.19%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: King Edokpolo 219, Satoshi Kamiyama 283
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (130)
[#75FLY] Makoto Takahashi (18-3-1) vs. [#163] Jose Torres (12-3-1)

Last 3 Fights: Makoto Takahashi (2-1-0)
2024-11-04: W vs. [#135FLY] Kenta Hayashi (8-3-0) via SD ()
2024-07-28: L vs. [#14FLY] Hiromasa Ougikubo (27-8-2) via UD ()
2024-04-29: W vs. [#459FLY] Jung Hyun Lee (7-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 4:29 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jose Torres (1-2-0)
2024-05-11: L vs. [#102BW] Nkosi Ndebele (8-3-0) via UD ()
2023-12-15: L vs. [#102BW] Nkosi Ndebele (8-3-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 1:38 of round 3
2023-08-12: W vs. [#102BW] Nkosi Ndebele (8-3-0) via SD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Makoto Takahashi 1710.91 +195.39 75.49%
Elo Modified Makoto Takahashi 1648.18 +107.22 64.96%
Glicko-1 Makoto Takahashi 1651.14 +137.84 68.86%
WHR Makoto Takahashi 1598.15 +145.23 69.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Makoto Takahashi 57, Jose Torres 234
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (139)
[NA] Kota Miura (2-2-0) vs. [NA] Daichi Tomizawa (DEBUT)

Last 3 Fights: Kota Miura (1-2-0)
2023-12-31: L vs. [#2148BW] Koji Tanaka (1-1-0) via TKO (Punches and Soccer Kicks) in 0:59 of round 2
2023-05-06: L vs. [#600FW] Ren Sugiyama (2-1-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 3:13 of round 1
2022-09-25: W vs. [NA] Bunchuai Phonsungnoen (0-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:54 of round 1

At least one fighter is debuting or below the starter rating. Cannot generate rating comparison table.

Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#582] Hyuma Yasui (3-0-0) vs. [#821] Hiroaki Suzuki (4-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Hyuma Yasui (3-0-0)
2024-12-08: W vs. [#1172FW] Hirokaze Makino (5-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:01 of round 1
2024-08-31: W vs. [#1285FW] Ryuji Takashio (11-15-2) via UD ()
2021-09-26: W vs. [] Unknown Fighter () via Submission, Armbar in 0:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Hiroaki Suzuki (1-2-0)
2024-11-17: L vs. [#231FW] Kyoma Akimoto (7-0-0) via UD ()
2024-07-28: L vs. [#600FW] Ren Sugiyama (2-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:28 of round 1
2024-02-24: W vs. [#853FW] Takahiro Ashida (26-16-2) via TKO (Soccer Kicks and Punches) in 4:29 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Hyuma Yasui 1200.94 +86.67 62.22%
Elo Modified Hyuma Yasui 1322.46 +127.73 67.60%
Glicko-1 Hyuma Yasui 1201.71 +21.55 53.10%
WHR Hyuma Yasui 1240.27 +83.74 61.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Hyuma Yasui 23, Hiroaki Suzuki 44
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#637] Hiroto Gomyo (6-4-0) vs. [NA] Koki Akada (DEBUT)

Last 3 Fights: Hiroto Gomyo (2-1-0)
2024-11-23: W vs. [#2161FW] Jae Wook Myung (6-3-0) via UD ()
2024-09-16: L vs. [#303FW] Kazuki Aimoto (7-0-0) via UD ()
2024-05-26: W vs. [#1394FW] Motonori Takiguchi (11-9-1) via UD ()

At least one fighter is debuting or below the starter rating. Cannot generate rating comparison table.

Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Kyoji Horiguchi
Highest Stored DD Rating: Kyoji Horiguchi
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Chihiro Suzuki vs. Kleber Koike Erbst
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Nkazimulo Zulu
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Good [***]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2024-12-25

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