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Fight Matrix

Betting on UFC Underdogs – When to Take a Risk

Posted on December 16, 2024 by A. J. Riot

Betting on UFC underdogs can be an exciting and rewarding strategy for bettors looking to maximize their returns. While the majority of MMA fans and bettors tend to focus on favorites, there’s a unique thrill that comes with betting on the underdog in UFC fights. The risks are higher, but the potential rewards can be substantial. In this article, we will explore the benefits of betting on UFC underdogs, why it can be a smart move, and how online betting platforms make it easier to take advantage of these high-risk, high-reward opportunities.

1. High Potential Returns – Small Bets, Big Wins

One of the most compelling reasons to bet on UFC underdogs is the potential for high returns with relatively small wagers. Underdogs often come with significantly higher odds compared to favorites, meaning that even a modest bet can yield a significant profit. For example, if you place a $20 bet on an underdog with odds of +400, you could win $80 if they pull off an upset. This kind of payoff is much more difficult to achieve when betting on favorites, who often have odds closer to -200, meaning you would need to bet more to see a meaningful return.

The high odds for underdogs create an exciting opportunity for bettors to win big with a smaller investment. By carefully selecting which underdogs to back, you can maximize your betting value and increase your chances of scoring a significant payout.

2. Underdogs Can Surprise – The Unpredictability of UFC

The UFC, like any other combat sport, is inherently unpredictable. Even the most dominant fighters can lose unexpectedly, and underdogs are often the ones who surprise us. Fighters who might not have the star power or mainstream appeal of the favorites can still be incredibly skilled and capable of pulling off an upset.

UFC history is filled with instances where underdogs shocked the world with unexpected victories. For example, in 2007, Matt Serra defeated Georges St-Pierre to become the UFC welterweight champion, despite being an 8-to-1 underdog. More recently, Holly Holm’s stunning knockout of Ronda Rousey in 2015 left fans and bookmakers alike in disbelief.

By betting on underdogs, you’re taking a chance that one of these surprising moments will happen. If you’ve done your research and understand the fighters’ strengths and weaknesses, you could stand to profit from an upset that many other bettors overlooked.

3. Increased Betting Value – Underdogs Are Often Undervalued

Underdogs often present better value than favorites in terms of betting odds. Bookmakers tend to skew the odds in favor of popular fighters, who are more likely to attract large amounts of public betting money. However, this doesn’t always reflect the true capabilities of the fighters. Underdogs, particularly those with a unique skill set or an advantageous matchup, can be undervalued by the betting market, offering bettors the chance to find value in their odds.

For example, a fighter with strong wrestling skills may be facing an opponent who has trouble defending takedowns, but the public may still favor the more well-known striker. By carefully analyzing the fighters’ styles and history, you can identify underdogs with the potential to outperform expectations. This is where the true value in betting on UFC underdogs lies — not just in the odds themselves but in understanding how the fight will likely unfold based on the fighters’ skill sets.

“Betting on UFC underdogs offers a unique blend of excitement and potential reward. While it requires a keen understanding of the fighters and the sport, the high odds often make it an enticing choice for bettors looking to maximize their return. The key is to analyze the fighters’ strengths, weaknesses, and recent form — and when you get it right, the payoff can be substantial.”

— Jussi Alanen, Chief Editor at Vedonlyontiyhtiot.com

4. The Thrill of Risk-Taking

Betting on UFC underdogs is not just about the financial reward, but also about the thrill of taking a calculated risk. UFC betting can feel like a game of chance when you place bets on favorites with low odds, but betting on an underdog brings a sense of excitement and unpredictability.

When you back a fighter who is seen as an underdog, you’re not just betting on a fighter to win — you’re betting on the possibility of a big upset. The excitement of watching a fighter overcome the odds and deliver a stunning performance is what makes underdog betting so rewarding. If the underdog wins, it’s a massive payoff for both the fighter and the bettor, and the satisfaction of predicting the upset can make the victory feel even sweeter.

5. Research and Strategy – Reducing the Risk

While betting on UFC underdogs can be risky, it doesn’t have to be a blind gamble. With proper research and preparation, you can make informed decisions that reduce the inherent risk. The key to successful underdog betting is to dive deep into each fighter’s background, form, and fighting style.

Here are a few factors to consider when researching UFC underdogs:

  • Recent Form: How has the underdog been performing in recent fights? Are they coming off a winning streak or struggling with consistency?
  • Fighting Style: Does the underdog’s style match up well against their opponent? For example, a wrestler might have an advantage against a striker with poor takedown defense.
  • Training and Camp Updates: Are there any recent changes to the fighter’s camp, such as a new coach or improved training regimen? How has the fighter performed in training camps leading up to the fight?
  • Injuries and Recovery: Is the underdog fully healthy, or have they been dealing with injuries that could affect their performance?

By considering these factors, you can identify underdogs who have a realistic chance of winning, thereby reducing the overall risk of your bet.

6. Online Betting Platforms – Accessibility and Promotions

Online betting has made it easier than ever to place wagers on UFC fights, including underdog bets. Online sportsbooks offer a variety of bet types, from moneyline bets to prop bets, giving bettors the flexibility to choose the type of wager that best suits their strategy. Many platforms also offer bonuses, such as free bets or enhanced odds, which can reduce the financial risk associated with underdog bets.

For example, some sportsbooks may offer “odds boosts” for certain underdog fighters, increasing the potential payout if they win. Others might give new users free bets or deposit bonuses, allowing you to place underdog bets without risking as much of your own money. These promotions can provide a safety net when you’re placing higher-risk wagers, making it even more attractive to bet on UFC underdogs.

7. Long-Term Strategy – Balancing Risk and Reward

Betting on UFC underdogs is not about placing wagers on every underdog fight. It’s about finding opportunities where the risk is worth the potential reward. When building a long-term betting strategy, it’s important to balance your bets between favorites and underdogs. While favorites can offer consistent, smaller returns, underdogs can provide the chance for big wins, which can more than offset any losses from favorites.

By incorporating underdog bets into your overall strategy, you diversify your approach and increase your chances of making a profitable return over time. If you can spot valuable underdog opportunities consistently, the wins from these bets can add up, resulting in significant long-term profits.

Betting on UFC underdogs is a strategy that offers both high rewards and high risks. By understanding the dynamics of the fight, carefully researching fighters, and taking advantage of online betting platforms, you can reduce the inherent risks and increase your chances of making profitable wagers. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or a newcomer to UFC betting, embracing the unpredictability of underdog bets can add excitement to your betting strategy, and with the right research, it can be a highly rewarding way to place your wagers.

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