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Fight Matrix
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph
Best Betting Sites in Philippines at MightyTips.ph

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis (09-28-2024)

Posted on September 23, 2024 by Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#10] Renato Carneiro (19-5-1, +218) vs. [#17] Benoit St. Denis (13-2-0, -272)

Last 3 Fights: Renato Carneiro (3-0-0)
2024-04-13: W vs. [#16LW] Jalin Turner (14-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 2
2024-02-03: W vs. [#53LW] Drew Dober (27-14-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-11-12: W vs. [*] Brad Riddell (10-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Benoit St. Denis (2-1-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#5LW] Dustin Poirier (30-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 2
2023-11-11: W vs. [#40LW] Matt Frevola (11-4-1) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:31 of round 1
2023-09-02: W vs. [#71LW] Thiago Moises (18-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Benoit St. Denis -272 69.92%
Elo K170 Renato Carneiro 1997.08 +52.63 57.52%
Elo Modified Renato Carneiro 1984.31 +38.77 55.56%
Glicko-1 Renato Carneiro 2046.80 +33.15 54.76%
WHR Renato Carneiro 1911.47 +47.84 56.84%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Renato Carneiro 168, Benoit St. Denis 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#6] Nassourdine Imavov (14-4-0, -225) vs. [#11] Brendan Allen (24-5-0, +181)

Last 3 Fights: Nassourdine Imavov (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#10MW] Jared Cannonier (17-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 4
2024-02-03: W vs. [#13MW] Roman Dolidze (13-3-0) via MD (49-44, 47-47, 48-46)
2023-06-10: NC vs. [#18MW] Chris Curtis (31-11-0)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (3-0-0)
2024-04-06: W vs. [#18MW] Chris Curtis (31-11-0) via SD (48-47, 49-46, 47-48)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#23MW] Paul Craig (17-8-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:38 of round 3
2023-06-24: W vs. [#38MW] Bruno Silva (23-11-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:39 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nassourdine Imavov -225 66.04%
Elo K170 Brendan Allen 2130.54 +113.17 65.73%
Elo Modified Brendan Allen 2063.38 +74.49 60.56%
Glicko-1 Brendan Allen 2136.30 +86.22 62.16%
WHR Brendan Allen 1948.37 +29.73 54.27%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nassourdine Imavov 112, Brendan Allen 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#24] Joanderson Brito (17-3-1, -267) vs. [#97] William Gomis (13-2-0, +214)

Last 3 Fights: Joanderson Brito (3-0-0)
2024-05-04: W vs. [#66FW] Jack Shore (17-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:35 of round 2
2023-11-18: W vs. [#63FW] Jonathan Pearce (14-6-0) via Submission (Ninja Choke) in 3:54 of round 2
2023-07-01: W vs. [#156FW] Westin Wilson (17-9-0) via TKO in 2:54 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: William Gomis (3-0-0)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#408BW] Yanis Ghemmouri (12-3-0) via TKO (Body Kick) in 2:20 of round 3
2023-04-22: W vs. [#332LW] Francis Marshall (8-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-09-03: W vs. [#173FW] Jarno Errens (14-6-1) via MD (29-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joanderson Brito -267 69.55%
Elo K170 Joanderson Brito 1947.55 +229.55 78.94%
Elo Modified Joanderson Brito 1930.17 +268.04 82.39%
Glicko-1 Joanderson Brito 2009.15 +351.54 88.32%
WHR Joanderson Brito 1887.20 +292.73 84.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joanderson Brito 147, William Gomis 392
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#92] Bryan Battle (10-2-0, -162) vs. [#108] Kevin Jousset (10-2-0, +133)

Last 3 Fights: Bryan Battle (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2024-03-16: NC vs. [#124WW] Ange Loosa (10-4-0)
2023-09-23: W vs. [#312WW] A.J. Fletcher (10-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:32 of round 2
2023-05-13: W vs. [*] Gabriel Green (11-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:14 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Jousset (3-0-0)
2023-12-09: W vs. [#121LW] Kenan Song (22-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#300WW] Kiefer Crosbie (10-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:49 of round 1
2023-05-26: W vs. [#362WW] Kitt Campbell (13-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:53 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bryan Battle -162 59.02%
Elo K170 Bryan Battle 1690.67 +37.69 55.40%
Elo Modified Bryan Battle 1701.04 +18.95 52.72%
Glicko-1 Bryan Battle 1774.43 +113.66 65.80%
WHR Bryan Battle 1631.94 +36.53 55.24%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bryan Battle 196, Kevin Jousset 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#100] Morgan Charriere (19-10-1, -581) vs. [#292] Gabriel Miranda (17-6-0, +405)

Last 3 Fights: Morgan Charriere (2-1-0)
2024-04-06: L vs. [#30FW] Jose Mariscal (17-6-0) via SD (29-28, 27-30, 29-28)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#563FW] Manolo Zecchini (11-4-0) via KO (Body Kick and Punches) in 3:51 of round 1
2023-07-21: W vs. [#320LW] Diego Silva (16-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Miranda (2-1-0)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#566FW] Shane Young (13-8-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:59 of round 1
2022-09-03: L vs. [#17LW] Benoit St. Denis (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:16 of round 2
2021-10-23: W vs. [NA] Diego Siqueira (5-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:15 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Morgan Charriere -581 81.16%
Elo K170 Morgan Charriere 1560.44 +80.12 61.33%
Elo Modified Morgan Charriere 1645.70 +142.82 69.47%
Glicko-1 Morgan Charriere 1718.51 +171.36 72.84%
WHR Morgan Charriere 1658.16 +155.17 70.96%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Morgan Charriere 175, Gabriel Miranda 385
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#40] Matt Frevola (11-4-1, -111) vs. [#77] Fares Ziam (15-4-0, -110)

Last 3 Fights: Matt Frevola (2-1-0)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#17LW] Benoit St. Denis (13-2-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:31 of round 1
2023-05-06: W vs. [#53LW] Drew Dober (27-14-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:08 of round 1
2022-11-12: W vs. [#518LW] Ottman Azaitar (13-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:30 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Fares Ziam (3-0-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#86LW] Claudio Puelles (12-5-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)
2023-07-22: W vs. [#113LW] Jai Herbert (13-5-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-09-03: W vs. [#358LW] Michal Figlak (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Matt Frevola -111 50.10%
Elo K170 Fares Ziam 1797.48 +34.53 54.95%
Elo Modified Fares Ziam 1755.97 +16.62 52.39%
Glicko-1 Matt Frevola 1810.51 +105.81 64.78%
WHR Matt Frevola 1663.77 +6.26 50.90%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matt Frevola 322, Fares Ziam 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#29] Ion Cutelaba (17-10-1, -125) vs. [#52] Ivan Erslan (14-3-0, +102)

Last 3 Fights: Ion Cutelaba (1-2-0)
2024-03-09: L vs. [#17LHW] Philipe Lins (18-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#72LHW] Tanner Boser (21-10-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:05 of round 1
2022-11-19: L vs. [#35LHW] Kennedy Nzechukwu (12-5-0) via TKO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 1:02 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ivan Erslan (2-1-0)
2024-02-24: W vs. [#121LHW] Bogdan Gnidko (10-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:54 of round 1
2023-10-14: L vs. [#30LHW] Rafal Haratyk (19-5-2) via KO (Punches) in 4:26 of round 1
2023-05-28: W vs. [#220HW+] Dirlei Broenstrup (17-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:57 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ion Cutelaba -125 52.88%
Elo K170 Ivan Erslan 1641.26 +132.18 68.16%
Elo Modified Ivan Erslan 1662.20 +90.54 62.74%
Glicko-1 Ivan Erslan 1721.62 +122.96 66.99%
WHR Ivan Erslan 1637.07 +57.26 58.17%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ion Cutelaba 203, Ivan Erslan 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#39] Oumar Sy (10-0-0, -456) vs. [#55] Da Woon Jung (15-5-1, +331)

Last 3 Fights: Oumar Sy (3-0-0)
2024-05-18: W vs. [#127LHW] George Tokkos (10-4-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 3:43 of round 1
2023-06-30: W vs. [*] Ildemar Alcantara (26-18-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:21 of round 1
2023-03-17: W vs. [#76LHW] Henrique da Silva (19-10-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:40 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Da Woon Jung (0-3-0)
2023-09-09: L vs. [#18LHW] Carlos Ulberg (11-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:49 of round 3
2023-02-04: L vs. [#46LHW] Devin Clark (14-9-0) via UD ()
2022-07-16: L vs. [#24LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-9-1) via KO (Punch) in 3:13 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Oumar Sy -456 77.94%
Elo K170 Oumar Sy 1637.14 +127.67 67.59%
Elo Modified Oumar Sy 1697.56 +145.79 69.83%
Glicko-1 Oumar Sy 1704.42 +134.32 68.42%
WHR Oumar Sy 1654.40 +158.41 71.34%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Oumar Sy 133, Da Woon Jung 385
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#39] Ludovit Klein (22-4-1, -801) vs. [#148] Roosevelt Roberts (12-5-0, +519)

Last 3 Fights: Ludovit Klein (3-0-0)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#71LW] Thiago Moises (18-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-03-02: W vs. [#733LW] A.J. Cunningham (11-4-0) via TKO (Front Kick to the Body and Punches) in 4:36 of round 1
2023-08-05: W vs. [#47LW] Ignacio Bahamondes (17-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Roosevelt Roberts (2-1-0)
2023-11-11: L vs. [#46LW] Mateusz Rebecki (20-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:08 of round 1
2022-05-20: W vs. [*] Alexandre Almeida (21-11-0) via UD ()
2021-12-10: W vs. [#195WW] Darren Smith Jr. (26-13-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:32 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ludovit Klein -801 84.61%
Elo K170 Ludovit Klein 1881.76 +318.68 86.23%
Elo Modified Ludovit Klein 1879.71 +253.86 81.18%
Glicko-1 Ludovit Klein 1885.30 +215.48 77.56%
WHR Ludovit Klein 1802.07 +241.08 80.03%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ludovit Klein 112, Roosevelt Roberts 322
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ludovit Klein leads 1-0
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#42] Taylor Lapilus (20-4-0, -348) vs. [#48] Vince Morales (16-7-0, +263)

Last 3 Fights: Taylor Lapilus (2-1-0)
2024-06-08: W vs. [#67BW] Cody Stamann (21-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2024-01-13: L vs. [#39BW] Farid Basharat (12-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#163BW] Caolan Loughran (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Vince Morales (3-0-0)
2024-08-30: W vs. [#162BW] Hunter Azure (11-4-0) via Submission (Peruvian Necktie) in 4:06 of round 3
2024-05-24: W vs. [#604FW] Luis Guerrero (12-4-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:09 of round 2
2023-12-31: W vs. [#144BW] Yuki Motoya (35-12-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Taylor Lapilus -348 73.81%
Elo K170 Taylor Lapilus 1804.25 +86.29 62.17%
Elo Modified Taylor Lapilus 1806.44 +85.95 62.12%
Glicko-1 Taylor Lapilus 1824.43 +43.71 56.26%
WHR Taylor Lapilus 1729.61 +36.54 55.24%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Taylor Lapilus 112, Vince Morales 29
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#17] Ailin Perez (10-2-0, -268) vs. [#24] Darya Zheleznyakova (9-1-0, +216)

Last 3 Fights: Ailin Perez (3-0-0)
2024-06-01: W vs. [#47BW] Joselyne Edwards (13-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-11-18: W vs. [#60BW] Lucie Pudilova (15-10-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#114BW] Ashlee Evans-Smith (6-6-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Darya Zheleznyakova (2-1-0)
2024-03-23: W vs. [#37BW] Montserrat Rendon (6-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-04-07: W vs. [#216FLY] Marie Loiseau (6-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:27 of round 1
2022-11-03: L vs. [#22BW] Melissa Mullins (6-1-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:59 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ailin Perez -268 69.70%
Elo K170 Ailin Perez 1469.52 +5.13 50.74%
Elo Modified Darya Zheleznyakova 1513.56 +1.42 50.20%
Glicko-1 Ailin Perez 1501.35 +54.35 57.76%
WHR Ailin Perez 1388.88 +37.46 55.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ailin Perez 119, Darya Zheleznyakova 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#103] Victor Altamirano (12-4-0, +101) vs. [#335] Daniel Barez (16-6-0, -124)

Last 3 Fights: Victor Altamirano (1-2-0)
2024-02-24: L vs. [#102FLY] Felipe dos Santos (9-2-0) via SD (29-28, 27-30, 29-28)
2023-06-03: L vs. [#20FLY] Tim Elliott (20-13-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-03-25: W vs. [#488BW] Vinicius Salvador (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Barez (2-1-0)
2023-07-22: L vs. [#46FLY] Jafel Filho (16-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:26 of round 1
2023-02-24: W vs. [#1070BW] Soslenis da Silva Carvalh (16-14-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:33 of round 1
2022-11-25: W vs. [#1547BW] Francisco Benitez (4-15-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:15 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Daniel Barez -124 52.66%
Elo K170 Victor Altamirano 1431.48 +10.83 51.56%
Elo Modified Victor Altamirano 1493.62 +31.56 54.53%
Glicko-1 Victor Altamirano 1521.87 +53.12 57.59%
WHR Victor Altamirano 1435.54 +31.73 54.55%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Victor Altamirano 217, Daniel Barez 434
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#9] Nora Cornolle (8-1-0, +148) vs. [#18] Jacqueline Cavalcanti (7-1-0, -186)

Last 3 Fights: Nora Cornolle (3-0-0)
2024-04-06: W vs. [#22BW] Melissa Mullins (6-1-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body and Head Kicks) in 3:06 of round 2
2023-09-02: W vs. [#47BW] Joselyne Edwards (13-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2023-03-17: W vs. [#118BW] Hassna Gaber (5-3-0) via TKO (Leg Injury) in 2:45 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jacqueline Cavalcanti (3-0-0)
2024-08-24: W vs. [#27BW] Josiane Nunes (10-3-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-09-02: W vs. [#37FW] Zarah Fairn (6-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-04-21: W vs. [#38BW] Melissa Croden (5-2-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jacqueline Cavalcanti -186 61.72%
Elo K170 Nora Cornolle 1535.51 +83.28 61.76%
Elo Modified Nora Cornolle 1559.48 +109.02 65.19%
Glicko-1 Nora Cornolle 1547.64 +121.18 66.76%
WHR Nora Cornolle 1459.90 +38.40 55.50%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nora Cornolle 175, Jacqueline Cavalcanti 35
Previous Match-up Record: Jacqueline Cavalcanti leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#169] Bolaji Oki (9-1-0, -217) vs. [#200] Chris Duncan (11-2-0, +178)

Last 3 Fights: Bolaji Oki (3-0-0)
2024-02-10: W vs. [#263FW] Timothy Cuamba (8-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2023-08-29: W vs. [#306LW] Dylan Salvador (6-2-0) via TKO (Punch to the Body) in 2:46 of round 1
2023-03-05: W vs. [#900LW] Jocimar Ferreira (10-18-0) via TKO (Knee to the Body) in 0:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Chris Duncan (2-1-0)
2024-02-24: L vs. [#125LW] Manuel Torres (15-3-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:46 of round 1
2023-07-22: W vs. [#156LW] Yanal Ashmoz (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-03-18: W vs. [*] Omar Morales (11-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Bolaji Oki -217 65.55%
Elo K170 Bolaji Oki 1630.29 +74.25 60.53%
Elo Modified Bolaji Oki 1623.29 +64.63 59.20%
Glicko-1 Bolaji Oki 1618.49 +79.63 61.26%
WHR Bolaji Oki 1529.39 +16.48 52.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bolaji Oki 231, Chris Duncan 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– Implied probability (odds) listed is not the pure mathematical conversion, but the fighters’ share of the combined probability (both added = 100%).

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Nassourdine Imavov
Highest Stored DD Rating: Nassourdine Imavov
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Nassourdine Imavov vs. Brendan Allen
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Nassourdine Imavov vs. Brendan Allen
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2024-9-22

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