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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland (09-09-2023)

Posted on September 4, 2023 by Jason

Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1/#8DD/#4P4P] Israel Adesanya (24-2-0, -606) vs. [#8] Sean Strickland (27-5-0, +417)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #2 ranked Middleweight and #15 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (2-1-0)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#1LHW] Alex Pereira (8-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2
2022-11-12: L vs. [#1LHW] Alex Pereira (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 5
2022-07-02: W vs. [#2MW] Jared Cannonier (17-6-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Strickland (2-1-0)
2023-07-01: W vs. [#59MW] Abusupiyan Magomedov (25-5-1) via TKO in 4:20 of round 2
2023-01-14: W vs. [#18MW] Nassourdine Imavov (12-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2022-12-17: L vs. [#2MW] Jared Cannonier (17-6-0) via SD (49-46, 46-49, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Israel Adesanya -606 81.61%
Elo K170 Israel Adesanya 2253.11 +236.14 74.63%
Elo Modified Israel Adesanya 2239.36 +232.60 73.46%
Glicko-1 Israel Adesanya 2286.67 +217.10 77.72%
WHR Israel Adesanya 2106.25 +155.67 67.06%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 154, Sean Strickland 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Israel Adesanya leads 2-0
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#5] Alexander Volkov (36-10-0, -204) vs. [#8] Tai Tuivasa (14-5-0, +166)
Alexander Volkov is the All-Time #28 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkov (2-1-0)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#18HW+] Alexander Romanov (17-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 1
2022-06-04: W vs. [#13HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (13-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 1
2022-03-19: L vs. [#6HW+] Tom Aspinall (13-3-0) via Submission (Straight Armbar) in 3:45 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tai Tuivasa (1-2-0)
2022-12-03: L vs. [#3HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (18-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:54 of round 1
2022-09-03: L vs. [#2HW+] Ciryl Gane (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:23 of round 3
2022-02-12: W vs. [#11HW+] Derrick Lewis (27-11-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:40 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexander Volkov -204 64.09%
Elo K170 Alexander Volkov 1975.43 +170.75 68.57%
Elo Modified Alexander Volkov 1995.43 +163.30 67.15%
Glicko-1 Alexander Volkov 2079.41 +199.98 75.97%
WHR Alexander Volkov 1937.97 +200.93 71.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkov 182, Tai Tuivasa 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#7] Manel Kape (18-6-0, -381) vs. [#133] Felipe dos Santos (8-0-0, +280)
Manel Kape is the All-Time #41 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Manel Kape (3-0-0)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#32FLY] David Dvorak (20-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-12-04: W vs. [#70FLY] Zhalgas Zhumagulov (14-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:02 of round 1
2021-08-07: W vs. [#55FLY] Ode Osbourne (12-6-0) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 4:44 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Felipe dos Santos (3-0-0)
2022-11-04: W vs. [#310FLY] Hugo Paiva (6-2-0) via UD ()
2022-05-29: W vs. [#521BW] Rafael Montouro Ribeiro (7-3-0) via SD ()
2022-03-06: W vs. [#87FLY] Marcos Degli (9-4-0) via Submission in 0:33 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Manel Kape -381 75.05%
Elo K170 Manel Kape 1772.48 +296.09 79.46%
Elo Modified Manel Kape 1786.23 +308.51 79.42%
Glicko-1 Manel Kape 1859.08 +398.22 90.83%
WHR Manel Kape 1791.15 +296.98 79.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manel Kape 266, Felipe dos Santos 309
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#81] Austen Lane (12-3-0, +191) vs. [#87] Justin Tafa (6-3-0, -245)

Last 3 Fights: Austen Lane (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2023-06-24: NC vs. [#87HW+] Justin Tafa (6-3-0)
2022-09-20: W vs. [#213HW+] Richard Jacobi (7-1-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:34 of round 1
2022-02-27: W vs. [*] Eric Lunsford (7-4-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 1:39 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Justin Tafa (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2023-06-24: NC vs. [#81HW+] Austen Lane (12-3-0)
2023-02-11: W vs. [#121HW+] Parker Porter (13-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 1
2021-12-18: W vs. [#246LHW] Harry Hunsucker (7-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:54 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Justin Tafa -245 67.39%
Elo K170 Austen Lane 1518.45 +115.16 62.86%
Elo Modified Austen Lane 1561.98 +67.45 57.33%
Glicko-1 Austen Lane 1585.45 +73.85 60.47%
WHR Austen Lane 1469.81 +38.18 54.35%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Austen Lane 77, Justin Tafa 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#80] Tyson Pedro (9-4-0, -126) vs. [#129] Anton Turkalj (8-2-0, +103)

Last 3 Fights: Tyson Pedro (2-1-0)
2023-02-11: L vs. [#44LHW] Modestas Bukauskas (15-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-20: W vs. [#246LHW] Harry Hunsucker (7-6-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:05 of round 1
2022-04-23: W vs. [*] Isaac Villanueva (18-14-0) via KO (Leg Kick and Punches) in 4:55 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Anton Turkalj (1-2-0)
2023-03-11: L vs. [#43LHW] Vitor Petrino (9-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2022-09-10: L vs. [#10HW+] Jailton Almeida (19-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:27 of round 1
2022-07-26: W vs. [#166LHW] Acacio dos Santos (15-6-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tyson Pedro -126 53.09%
Elo K170 Tyson Pedro 1460.35 +50.65 55.76%
Elo Modified Tyson Pedro 1513.46 +70.30 57.63%
Glicko-1 Tyson Pedro 1541.79 +90.28 62.71%
WHR Tyson Pedro 1518.09 +77.09 58.72%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tyson Pedro 210, Anton Turkalj 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#39] Carlos Ulberg (9-1-0, -294) vs. [#50] Da Woon Jung (15-4-1, +224)

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Ulberg (3-0-0)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#76LHW] Ihor Potieria (24-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1
2022-11-12: W vs. [#82LHW] Nicolae Negumereanu (13-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:44 of round 1
2022-06-25: W vs. [#167MW] Tafon Nchukwi (6-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Da Woon Jung (1-2-0)
2023-02-04: L vs. [#37LHW] Devin Clark (14-8-0) via UD ()
2022-07-16: L vs. [#18LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-7-1) via KO (Punch) in 3:13 of round 1
2021-11-13: W vs. [#32LHW] Kennedy Nzechukwu (12-4-0) via KO (Elbows) in 3:04 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Carlos Ulberg -294 70.74%
Elo K170 Carlos Ulberg 1697.50 +134.54 64.90%
Elo Modified Carlos Ulberg 1745.54 +147.31 65.59%
Glicko-1 Carlos Ulberg 1733.67 +95.50 63.41%
WHR Carlos Ulberg 1729.01 +160.99 67.60%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlos Ulberg 119, Da Woon Jung 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Da Woon Jung leads 1-0
.

Featherweight (145)
[#58] Jose Mariscal (14-6-0, +174) vs. [#114] Jack Jenkins (12-2-0, -217)

Last 3 Fights: Jose Mariscal (3-0-0)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#182LW] Trevor Peek (8-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-02-17: W vs. [#121FW] Guilherme Faria de Souza (19-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 2
2022-07-22: W vs. [#518FW] Jordan Beltran (13-10-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:29 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jack Jenkins (3-0-0)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#168FW] Jamall Emmers (19-7-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2023-02-11: W vs. [#389LW] Don Shainis (15-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-09-27: W vs. [#714FW] Freddy Emiliano Linares (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:30 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jack Jenkins -217 65.22%
Elo K170 Jack Jenkins 1666.49 +34.28 53.91%
Elo Modified Jose Mariscal 1651.66 +13.06 51.43%
Glicko-1 Jose Mariscal 1695.46 +60.04 58.55%
WHR Jose Mariscal 1634.07 +56.53 56.42%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Mariscal 77, Jack Jenkins 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#129] Jamie Mullarkey (16-6-0, -192) vs. [#145] John Makdessi (18-8-0, +153)

Last 3 Fights: Jamie Mullarkey (2-1-0)
2023-06-03: L vs. [#97LW] Muhammadjon Naimov (9-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:59 of round 2
2023-02-11: W vs. [#189LW] Francisco Prado (13-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-07-09: W vs. [#78LW] Michael Johnson (21-19-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: John Makdessi (1-2-0)
2022-09-03: L vs. [#58LW] Nasrat Haqparast (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-04-10: W vs. [#93LW] Ignacio Bahamondes (15-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2020-03-14: L vs. [#41WW] Francisco Trinaldo (28-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jamie Mullarkey -192 62.45%
Elo K170 John Makdessi 1613.62 +84.54 59.54%
Elo Modified John Makdessi 1578.57 +48.12 55.25%
Glicko-1 John Makdessi 1581.03 +70.71 60.04%
WHR John Makdessi 1528.71 +19.86 52.27%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamie Mullarkey 98, John Makdessi 371
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#58] Nasrat Haqparast (14-5-0, -416) vs. [#369] Landon Quinones Stewart (7-1-1, +305)

Last 3 Fights: Nasrat Haqparast (1-2-0)
2022-09-03: W vs. [#145LW] John Makdessi (18-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-02-12: L vs. [#16LW] Bobby Green (30-14-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-09-25: L vs. [#13LW] Dan Hooker (23-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Landon Quinones Stewart (3-0-0)
2022-11-18: W vs. [#438LW] Yemi Oduwole (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:17 of round 2
2022-04-10: W vs. [#200LHW] Reynaldo Acevedo (11-4-0) via TKO in 3:13 of round 3
2020-06-26: W vs. [#1100LW] Geralbert Castillo (6-4-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nasrat Haqparast -416 76.55%
Elo K170 Nasrat Haqparast 1745.70 +386.41 85.39%
Elo Modified Nasrat Haqparast 1719.06 +291.58 78.19%
Glicko-1 Nasrat Haqparast 1738.93 +318.97 86.25%
WHR Nasrat Haqparast 1657.70 +266.62 77.17%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nasrat Haqparast 371, Landon Quinones Stewart 295
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#243] Charlie Radtke (7-3-0, -243) vs. [#1004] Mike Mathetha (3-2-0, +195)

Last 3 Fights: Charlie Radtke (3-0-0)
2023-04-01: W vs. [#365WW] Raheam Forest (7-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:20 of round 1
2022-07-14: W vs. [#498MW] Caleb Crump (5-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:48 of round 1
2022-03-17: W vs. [#303WW] Jonathan Piersma (6-1-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Mike Mathetha (1-2-0)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#421WW] Orion Cosce (8-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-02-12: L vs. [#62WW] Jeremiah Wells (12-3-1) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:38 of round 1
2020-02-22: W vs. [*] Dimps Tahau Tiopira Gilli (6-4-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Charlie Radtke -243 67.63%
Elo K170 Charlie Radtke 1422.05 +252.35 76.01%
Elo Modified Charlie Radtke 1431.85 +142.34 65.09%
Glicko-1 Charlie Radtke 1387.93 +216.00 77.62%
WHR Charlie Radtke 1428.45 +263.12 76.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charlie Radtke 161, Mike Mathetha 406
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#595LW] Gabriel Miranda (16-6-0, +137) vs. [#475] Shane Young (13-7-0, -171)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Miranda (2-1-0)
2022-09-03: L vs. [#27LW] Benoit St. Denis (12-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:16 of round 2
2021-10-23: W vs. [NA] Diego Siqueira (5-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:15 of round 1
2021-09-24: W vs. [NA] Jefferson Morais (3-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:32 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Shane Young (0-3-0)
2023-02-11: L vs. [#182FW] Blake Bilder (8-1-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2021-03-27: L vs. [#305LW] Omar Morales (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2020-09-26: L vs. [#65LW] Ludovit Klein (20-4-1) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:16 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Shane Young -171 59.92%
Elo K170 Gabriel Miranda 1399.04 +16.18 51.85%
Elo Modified Gabriel Miranda 1427.24 +9.27 51.02%
Glicko-1 Gabriel Miranda 1452.19 +4.47 50.64%
WHR Gabriel Miranda 1423.75 +92.40 60.40%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gabriel Miranda 371, Shane Young 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#118] Kiefer Crosbie (10-3-0, +110) vs. [#261] Kevin Jousset (8-2-0, -135)

Last 3 Fights: Kiefer Crosbie (2-1-0)
2023-04-01: W vs. [#212MW] Alex Oliveira (25-15-1) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:14 of round 1
2022-07-02: W vs. [NA] Brian Lo-A-Njoe (6-13-3) via TKO (Elbows) in 1:28 of round 1
2021-07-31: L vs. [#181LW] Georgi Karakhanyan (31-14-1) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Jousset (3-0-0)
2023-05-26: W vs. [#539WW] Kitt Campbell (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:53 of round 3
2023-02-24: W vs. [#355MW] Priscus Fogagnolo (11-2-0) via SD ()
2022-12-10: W vs. [NA] James Craughwell (0-2-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kevin Jousset -135 54.67%
Elo K170 Kevin Jousset 1499.49 +61.79 57.01%
Elo Modified Kevin Jousset 1519.17 +40.15 54.38%
Glicko-1 Kevin Jousset 1501.48 +44.70 56.40%
WHR Kevin Jousset 1425.64 +14.74 51.68%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kiefer Crosbie 161, Kevin Jousset 106
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Israel Adesanya
Highest Stored DD Rating: Israel Adesanya
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Israel Adesanya vs. Sean Strickland
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Israel Adesanya vs. Sean Strickland
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2023-9-3

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