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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos (08-12-2023)

Posted on August 7, 2023 by Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#10] Vicente Luque (21-9-1, +105) vs. [#16] Rafael dos Anjos (32-14-0, -129)
Vicente Luque is the All-Time #44 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Rafael dos Anjos is the All-Time #28 ranked Welterweight and #26 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (1-2-0)
2022-08-06: L vs. [#9WW] Geoff Neal (15-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 3
2022-04-16: L vs. [#3WW/#10P4P] Belal Muhammad (23-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
2021-08-07: W vs. [#24WW] Michael Chiesa (16-7-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Rafael dos Anjos (2-1-0)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#78MW] Bryan Barberena (18-11-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:20 of round 2
2022-07-09: L vs. [#7LW] Rafael Fiziev (12-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:18 of round 5
2022-03-05: W vs. [#22LW] Renato Carneiro (17-5-1) via UD (49-44, 50-44, 49-45)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Rafael dos Anjos -129 53.59%
Elo K170 Rafael dos Anjos 1990.24 +21.03 52.40%
Elo Modified Rafael dos Anjos 1948.85 +6.68 50.73%
Glicko-1 Vicente Luque 1992.87 +6.28 50.90%
WHR Rafael dos Anjos 1890.04 +49.95 55.68%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vicente Luque 371, Rafael dos Anjos 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Vicente Luque leads 2-1
.

Featherweight (145)
[#38] Cub Swanson (28-13-0, +197) vs. [#63] Hakeem Dawodu (13-3-1, -245)
Cub Swanson is the All-Time #18 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cub Swanson (1-2-0)
2022-10-15: L vs. [#13BW] Jonathan Martinez (18-4-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 4:19 of round 2
2021-12-18: W vs. [#65FW] Darren Elkins (27-11-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 2:12 of round 1
2021-05-01: L vs. [*] Giga Chikadze (14-3-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:03 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Hakeem Dawodu (1-2-0)
2022-09-10: L vs. [#98FW] Julian Erosa (28-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-02-05: W vs. [#78FW] Michael Trizano (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-06-12: L vs. [#11FW] Movsar Evloev (17-0-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Hakeem Dawodu -245 67.83%
Elo K170 Hakeem Dawodu 1725.57 +22.34 52.55%
Elo Modified Cub Swanson 1720.20 +58.98 56.42%
Glicko-1 Cub Swanson 1745.94 +92.19 62.96%
WHR Cub Swanson 1662.72 +80.30 59.07%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cub Swanson 301, Hakeem Dawodu 336
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#16HW+] Chris Daukaus (12-6-0, +165) vs. [#19] Khalil Rountree (11-6-0, -208)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Daukaus (0-3-0)
2022-12-10: L vs. [#13HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (13-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:23 of round 1
2022-03-26: L vs. [#4HW+] Curtis Blaydes (17-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:17 of round 2
2021-12-18: L vs. [#11HW+] Derrick Lewis (27-11-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (3-0-0)
2022-10-29: W vs. [#26LHW] Dustin Jacoby (19-7-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-03-12: W vs. [#130LHW] Karl Roberson (9-6-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:25 of round 2
2021-09-04: W vs. [#44LHW] Modestas Bukauskas (15-5-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 2:30 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Khalil Rountree -208 64.14%
Elo K170 Khalil Rountree 1724.86 +88.66 59.99%
Elo Modified Khalil Rountree 1691.92 +46.97 55.12%
Glicko-1 Khalil Rountree 1722.77 +39.99 55.73%
WHR Khalil Rountree 1689.95 +126.73 64.08%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chris Daukaus 245, Khalil Rountree 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#28] Polyana Viana (13-5-0, +156) vs. [#54] Iasmin Lucindo (14-5-0, -194)

Last 3 Fights: Polyana Viana (2-1-0)
2022-11-05: W vs. [#76SW] Jinh Yu Frey (11-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:47 of round 1
2022-05-21: L vs. [#13SW] Tabatha Ricci (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-02-13: W vs. [#117SW] Mallory Martin (7-6-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:18 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Iasmin Lucindo (2-1-0)
2023-04-22: W vs. [#122FLY] Brogan Walker (7-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-08-13: L vs. [#36SW] Yazmin Jauregui (10-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-04-09: W vs. [*] Lucrezia Ria (8-4-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Iasmin Lucindo -194 62.81%
Elo K170 Iasmin Lucindo 1422.19 +78.42 58.86%
Elo Modified Iasmin Lucindo 1421.31 +8.46 50.93%
Glicko-1 Polyana Viana 1407.16 +0.28 50.04%
WHR Polyana Viana 1382.49 +41.28 54.70%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Polyana Viana 280, Iasmin Lucindo 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#146] Tafon Nchukwi (6-3-0, -146) vs. [#249] A.J. Dobson (6-2-0, +120)

Last 3 Fights: Tafon Nchukwi (1-2-0)
2022-06-25: L vs. [#39LHW] Carlos Ulberg (9-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:15 of round 1
2022-03-12: L vs. [#17LHW] Azamat Murzakanov (13-0-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 0:44 of round 3
2021-09-18: W vs. [#140HW+] Mike Rodriguez (12-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: A.J. Dobson (1-2-0)
2022-10-22: L vs. [#63MW] Armen Petrosyan (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-02-12: L vs. [#90MW] Jacob Malkoun (7-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-09-21: W vs. [*] Hashem Arkhagha (6-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:21 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tafon Nchukwi -146 56.63%
Elo K170 Tafon Nchukwi 1346.26 +34.59 53.94%
Elo Modified Tafon Nchukwi 1457.69 +35.73 53.90%
Glicko-1 Tafon Nchukwi 1409.18 +45.37 56.49%
WHR Tafon Nchukwi 1480.56 +86.57 59.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tafon Nchukwi 413, A.J. Dobson 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#141] Josh Fremd (10-4-0, -312) vs. [#190] Jamie Pickett (13-9-0, +240)

Last 3 Fights: Josh Fremd (1-2-0)
2023-03-11: W vs. [#144MW] Sedriques Dumas (8-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:00 of round 2
2022-10-29: L vs. [#178MW] Tresean Gore (4-2-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:49 of round 2
2022-04-09: L vs. [#29MW] Anthony Hernandez (11-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jamie Pickett (0-3-0)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#111MW] Bo Nickal (5-0-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:54 of round 1
2022-09-10: L vs. [#121MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-7-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:52 of round 2
2022-02-19: L vs. [#88MW] Kyle Daukaus (12-4-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:59 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Josh Fremd -312 72.02%
Elo K170 Josh Fremd 1434.67 +225.09 73.66%
Elo Modified Josh Fremd 1474.07 +186.25 69.32%
Glicko-1 Josh Fremd 1474.51 +233.96 79.36%
WHR Josh Fremd 1474.57 +224.71 73.63%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Fremd 154, Jamie Pickett 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#206] Marcus McGhee (7-1-0, -387) vs. [#648] J.P. Buys (9-5-0, +284)

Last 3 Fights: Marcus McGhee (3-0-0)
2023-04-29: W vs. [#308BW] Journey Newson (11-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:03 of round 2
2023-01-06: W vs. [#952FW] Luciano Ramos (7-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:39 of round 3
2022-11-10: W vs. [#1671FW] Abram Sellers (5-4-0) via TKO in 0:24 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: J.P. Buys (0-3-0)
2022-06-25: L vs. [#21FLY] Cody Durden (16-4-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:08 of round 1
2021-09-18: L vs. [#26BW] Montel Jackson (13-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-03-20: L vs. [#19FLY] Bruno Silva (13-6-2) via TKO (Punch) in 2:56 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marcus McGhee -387 75.31%
Elo K170 Marcus McGhee 1420.88 +124.63 63.86%
Elo Modified Marcus McGhee 1474.44 +175.56 68.32%
Glicko-1 Marcus McGhee 1475.23 +183.02 74.15%
WHR Marcus McGhee 1403.84 +103.21 61.58%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcus McGhee 105, J.P. Buys 413
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#186] Terrance McKinney (13-6-0, -283) vs. [*] Mike Breeden (10-5-0, +236)

Last 3 Fights: Terrance McKinney (1-2-0)
2023-07-15: L vs. [#129LW] Nazim Sadykhov (9-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:07 of round 2
2023-01-21: L vs. [#82LW] Ismael Bonfim (19-4-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 2:17 of round 2
2022-08-06: W vs. [#411LW] Erick Gonzalez (14-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mike Breeden (1-2-0)
2022-04-30: L vs. [#263LW] Natan Levy (8-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2021-10-02: L vs. [#31LW] Alexander Hernandez (14-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:20 of round 1
2021-05-07: W vs. [#817LW] Nick Compton (13-12-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Terrance McKinney -283 71.28%
Elo K170 Terrance McKinney 1481.31 +160.17 67.52%
Elo Modified Terrance McKinney 1498.39 +138.92 64.75%
Glicko-1 Terrance McKinney 1514.14 +142.06 69.38%
WHR Terrance McKinney 1487.23 +161.39 67.64%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Terrance McKinney 28, Mike Breeden 469
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#230] Francis Marshall (7-1-0, -177) vs. [*] Isaac Dulgarian (5-0-0, +146)

Last 3 Fights: Francis Marshall (2-1-0)
2023-04-22: L vs. [#111FW] William Gomis (12-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#329FW] Marcelo Rojo (17-10-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:14 of round 2
2022-08-02: W vs. [#433FW] Connor Matthews (7-1-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Isaac Dulgarian (3-0-0)
2022-02-06: W vs. [*] Terry Britton (7-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:13 of round 1
2021-12-10: W vs. [NA] Ray Ostrander (3-4-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:49 of round 1
2021-07-30: W vs. [NA] Jessy Ebrecht (3-6-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 0:35 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Francis Marshall -177 61.11%
Elo K170 Francis Marshall 1396.55 +88.04 59.92%
Elo Modified Francis Marshall 1480.79 +140.48 64.91%
Glicko-1 Francis Marshall 1497.44 +156.31 71.09%
WHR Francis Marshall 1474.91 +216.14 72.86%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Francis Marshall 112, Isaac Dulgarian 552
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[#58] Martin Buday (12-1-0, -202) vs. [#188] Josh Parisian (15-6-0, +165)

Last 3 Fights: Martin Buday (3-0-0)
2023-04-29: W vs. [#93HW+] Jake Collier (13-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-13: W vs. [#170HW+] Lukasz Brzeski (8-3-1) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-04-16: W vs. [#55HW+] Chris Barnett (23-8-0) via TUD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Josh Parisian (1-2-0)
2023-02-18: L vs. [#153HW+] Jamal Pogues (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-06-25: W vs. [#360HW+] Alan Baudot (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 2
2021-12-18: L vs. [#53HW+] Dontale Mayes (10-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:26 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Martin Buday -202 63.93%
Elo K170 Martin Buday 1661.85 +354.84 83.49%
Elo Modified Martin Buday 1638.41 +293.23 78.31%
Glicko-1 Martin Buday 1650.91 +315.67 86.02%
WHR Martin Buday 1583.46 +303.72 80.02%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Martin Buday 105, Josh Parisian 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#69] Jaqueline Amorim (6-1-0, -264) vs. [*] Montserrat Ruiz (10-2-0, +205)

Last 3 Fights: Jaqueline Amorim (2-1-0)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#29SW] Sam Hughes (8-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-09-16: W vs. [#86SW] Ashley Nichols (5-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:39 of round 1
2022-02-25: W vs. [*] Lovethpatra Young (3-2-1) via Submission (Kneebar) in 1:26 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Montserrat Ruiz (2-1-0)
2021-07-17: L vs. [#6SW/#8P4P] Amanda Lemos (13-2-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 1
2021-03-20: W vs. [#66SW] Cheyanne Vlismas (7-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)
2020-07-30: W vs. [*] Janaisa Morandin (10-5-0) via Submission (Scarf Hold Armlock) in 3:28 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jaqueline Amorim -264 68.86%
Elo K170 Montserrat Ruiz 1381.60 +106.38 61.92%
Elo Modified Montserrat Ruiz 1420.49 +88.96 59.62%
Glicko-1 Montserrat Ruiz 1375.76 +62.34 58.88%
WHR Montserrat Ruiz 1324.93 +38.82 54.42%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jaqueline Amorim 126, Montserrat Ruiz 756
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight (125)
[#65] Luana Santos (5-1-0, -142) vs. [#92] Juliana Miller (3-2-0, +117)

Last 3 Fights: Luana Santos (2-1-0)
2023-03-10: W vs. [#194FLY] Bartira Rodrigues (2-1-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:05 of round 1
2022-11-04: W vs. [#210FLY] Waleska Sousa (4-3-0) via UD ()
2022-07-08: L vs. [#46FLY] Jena Bishop (5-0-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Juliana Miller (1-2-0)
2023-03-18: L vs. [#54FLY] Veronica Hardy (7-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-08-06: W vs. [#122FLY] Brogan Walker (7-4-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:57 of round 3
2021-05-21: L vs. [#36BW] Claire Guthrie (5-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Luana Santos -142 56.01%
Elo K170 Luana Santos 1287.12 +51.39 55.84%
Elo Modified Luana Santos 1400.73 +130.61 63.92%
Glicko-1 Luana Santos 1353.35 +117.07 66.24%
WHR Luana Santos 1302.39 +68.55 57.77%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Luana Santos 155, Juliana Miller 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Vicente Luque
Highest Stored DD Rating: Vicente Luque
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Vicente Luque vs. Rafael dos Anjos
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Vicente Luque vs. Rafael dos Anjos
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Low [*½]
Run Date: 2023-8-6

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