Lightweight (155)
[#3] Dustin Poirier (29-7-0, -135) vs. [#4] Justin Gaethje (24-4-0, +110)
Dustin Poirier is the All-Time #4 ranked Lightweight and #33 ranked Absolute fighter.
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #13 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Dustin Poirier (2-1-0)
2022-11-12: W vs. [#6LW] Michael Chandler (23-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:00 of round 3
2021-12-11: L vs. [#2LW/#6DD] Charles Oliveira (34-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:02 of round 3
2021-07-10: W vs. [*] Conor McGregor (22-6-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (2-1-0)
2023-03-18: W vs. [#7LW] Rafael Fiziev (12-2-0) via MD (29-28, 28-28, 29-28)
2022-05-07: L vs. [#2LW/#6DD] Charles Oliveira (34-9-0) via NC in 3:22 of round 1
2021-11-06: W vs. [#6LW] Michael Chandler (23-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Dustin Poirier | -135 | 54.67% | |
| Elo K170 | Dustin Poirier | 2339.16 | +67.27 | 57.62% |
| Elo Modified | Dustin Poirier | 2268.61 | +83.13 | 59.00% |
| Glicko-1 | Dustin Poirier | 2371.95 | +140.17 | 69.15% |
| WHR | Dustin Poirier | 2132.55 | +144.85 | 65.97% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dustin Poirier 259, Justin Gaethje 133
Previous Match-up Record: Dustin Poirier leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#2MW] Alex Pereira (7-2-0, -102) vs. [#2] Jan Blachowicz (29-9-1, -122)
Jan Blachowicz is the All-Time #10 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Alex Pereira (2-1-0)
2023-04-08: L vs. [#1MW/#7DD/#6P4P] Israel Adesanya (24-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2
2022-11-12: W vs. [#1MW/#7DD/#6P4P] Israel Adesanya (24-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 5
2022-07-02: W vs. [#9MW] Sean Strickland (27-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (1-1-1)
2022-12-10: D vs. [#5LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (17-1-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 5
2022-05-14: W vs. [#10LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (14-3-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 1:11 of round 3
2021-10-30: L vs. [*] Glover Teixeira (33-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:02 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Jan Blachowicz | -122 | 52.11% | |
| Elo K170 | Jan Blachowicz | 2201.23 | +303.60 | 80.01% |
| Elo Modified | Jan Blachowicz | 2180.16 | +236.23 | 73.77% |
| Glicko-1 | Jan Blachowicz | 2286.45 | +292.90 | 84.37% |
| WHR | Jan Blachowicz | 2024.04 | +35.90 | 54.09% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Pereira 112, Jan Blachowicz 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#28] Tony Ferguson (25-8-0, +251) vs. [#29] Bobby Green (29-14-1, -340)
Tony Ferguson is the All-Time #9 ranked Lightweight and #47 ranked Absolute fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Tony Ferguson (0-3-0)
2022-09-10: L vs. [#15WW] Nate Diaz (21-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:52 of round 4
2022-05-07: L vs. [#6LW] Michael Chandler (23-8-0) via KO (Front Kick) in 0:17 of round 2
2021-05-15: L vs. [#5LW] Beneil Dariush (22-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Last 3 Fights: Bobby Green (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2023-04-22: NC vs. [#69LW] Jared Gordon (19-6-0)
2022-12-17: L vs. [#26LW] Drew Dober (26-12-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:45 of round 2
2022-02-26: L vs. [#1LW/#2DD/#3P4P] Islam Makhachev (24-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:23 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Bobby Green | -340 | 73.06% | |
| Elo K170 | Tony Ferguson | 1863.13 | +124.81 | 63.88% |
| Elo Modified | Tony Ferguson | 1836.84 | +113.18 | 62.14% |
| Glicko-1 | Tony Ferguson | 1888.29 | +120.28 | 66.65% |
| WHR | Tony Ferguson | 1702.31 | +10.14 | 51.16% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Ferguson 322, Bobby Green 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tony Ferguson leads 3-2
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Welterweight (170)
[#9] Kevin Holland (24-9-0, -157) vs. [*] Michael Chiesa (16-6-0, +126)
Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (1-2-0)
2023-04-08: W vs. [#30WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:16 of round 3
2022-12-03: L vs. [#6WW] Stephen Thompson (17-6-1) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2022-09-10: L vs. [#6MW] Khamzat Chimaev (12-0-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:13 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Michael Chiesa (1-2-0)
2021-11-20: L vs. [#14WW] Sean Brady (15-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-08-07: L vs. [#10WW] Vicente Luque (21-9-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 3:25 of round 1
2021-01-20: W vs. [#12WW] Neil Magny (28-10-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Kevin Holland | -157 | 57.99% | |
| Elo K170 | Michael Chiesa | 1942.23 | +41.20 | 54.69% |
| Elo Modified | Michael Chiesa | 1917.65 | +19.82 | 52.17% |
| Glicko-1 | Kevin Holland | 1972.35 | +8.87 | 51.28% |
| WHR | Kevin Holland | 1799.73 | +4.34 | 50.50% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 112, Michael Chiesa 616
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#6] Stephen Thompson (17-6-1, -210) vs. [#36] Michel Pereira (29-11-0, +165)
Stephen Thompson is the All-Time #14 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Stephen Thompson (1-2-0)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#9WW] Kevin Holland (24-9-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2021-12-18: L vs. [#3WW/#10P4P] Belal Muhammad (23-3-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-26)
2021-07-10: L vs. [#4WW] Gilbert Burns (22-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Michel Pereira (3-0-0)
2022-05-21: W vs. [#30WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-7-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-01-22: W vs. [#69WW] Andre Fialho (16-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-07-10: W vs. [#93WW] Niko Price (15-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Stephen Thompson | -210 | 64.22% | |
| Elo K170 | Stephen Thompson | 2009.89 | +96.30 | 60.82% |
| Elo Modified | Stephen Thompson | 1997.69 | +116.72 | 62.50% |
| Glicko-1 | Stephen Thompson | 2058.97 | +156.77 | 71.14% |
| WHR | Stephen Thompson | 1942.98 | +229.34 | 74.04% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stephen Thompson 238, Michel Pereira 434
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#13] Derrick Lewis (26-11-0, +104) vs. [#21] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (21-8-1, -131)
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #26 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (0-3-0)
2023-02-04: L vs. [#9HW+] Sergey Spivak (16-3-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:05 of round 1
2022-07-30: L vs. [#3HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (18-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 1
2022-02-12: L vs. [#8HW+] Tai Tuivasa (14-5-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:40 of round 2
Last 3 Fights: Marcos Rogerio de Lima (2-1-0)
2023-04-29: W vs. [#49HW+] Waldo Cortes-Acosta (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-10-29: W vs. [#69HW+] Andrei Arlovski (34-22-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:50 of round 1
2022-05-07: L vs. [#24HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | -131 | 53.63% | |
| Elo K170 | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | 1809.27 | +85.82 | 59.68% |
| Elo Modified | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | 1835.71 | +88.15 | 59.53% |
| Glicko-1 | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | 1860.34 | +87.66 | 62.36% |
| WHR | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | 1699.07 | +5.34 | 50.61% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Derrick Lewis 175, Marcos Rogerio de Lima 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Derrick Lewis leads 1-0
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Welterweight (170)
[#94] Trevin Giles (16-4-0, +229) vs. [#101] Gabriel Bonfim (14-0-0, -302)
Last 3 Fights: Trevin Giles (2-1-0)
2023-03-25: W vs. [#164WW] Preston Parsons (10-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#598WW] Louis Cosce (7-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-01-22: L vs. [#29WW] Michael Morales (15-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Bonfim (3-0-0)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#153WW] Mounir Lazzez (11-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:49 of round 1
2022-09-06: W vs. [#171WW] Trey Waters (8-1-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 4:13 of round 1
2022-03-11: W vs. [#564WW] Eduardo Garvon (14-4-1) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 1:19 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Gabriel Bonfim | -302 | 71.19% | |
| Elo K170 | Gabriel Bonfim | 1717.92 | +53.28 | 56.06% |
| Elo Modified | Gabriel Bonfim | 1737.43 | +102.93 | 61.08% |
| Glicko-1 | Gabriel Bonfim | 1809.11 | +192.23 | 75.15% |
| WHR | Gabriel Bonfim | 1830.68 | +242.03 | 75.13% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Trevin Giles 126, Gabriel Bonfim 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#58] Roman Kopylov (10-2-0, -238) vs. [#146] Claudio Ribeiro (11-3-0, +185)
Last 3 Fights: Roman Kopylov (2-1-0)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#87MW] Punahele Soriano (9-3-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 3:19 of round 2
2022-09-03: W vs. [#125MW] Alessio Di Chirico (13-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 3
2021-10-30: L vs. [#72MW] Albert Duraev (16-5-0) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 29-27)
Last 3 Fights: Claudio Ribeiro (2-1-0)
2023-05-06: W vs. [#226MW] Joseph Holmes (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:21 of round 2
2023-01-14: L vs. [#74MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:28 of round 2
2022-08-16: W vs. [#366MW] Ivan Valenzuela (8-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:25 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Roman Kopylov | -238 | 66.73% | |
| Elo K170 | Roman Kopylov | 1700.89 | +186.99 | 70.15% |
| Elo Modified | Roman Kopylov | 1748.61 | +194.22 | 70.06% |
| Glicko-1 | Roman Kopylov | 1804.66 | +188.93 | 74.79% |
| WHR | Roman Kopylov | 1685.95 | +157.35 | 67.24% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roman Kopylov 196, Claudio Ribeiro 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#84] C.J. Vergara (11-4-1, -177) vs. [#152] Vinicius Salvador (14-5-0, +140)
Last 3 Fights: C.J. Vergara (2-1-0)
2023-03-25: W vs. [#390FLY] Daniel da Silva (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:04 of round 2
2022-10-15: L vs. [#81BW] Tatsuro Taira (14-0-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:19 of round 2
2022-05-07: W vs. [#92FLY] Kleydson Rodrigues (8-2-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
Last 3 Fights: Vinicius Salvador (2-1-0)
2023-03-25: L vs. [#74FLY] Victor Altamirano (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-02: W vs. [#465FLY] Shannon Ross (12-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:22 of round 2
2022-04-16: W vs. [NA] Wallace Vampirinho (0-1-0) via TKO in 2:38 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | C.J. Vergara | -177 | 60.52% | |
| Elo K170 | C.J. Vergara | 1490.44 | +85.91 | 59.69% |
| Elo Modified | C.J. Vergara | 1498.05 | +77.86 | 58.44% |
| Glicko-1 | C.J. Vergara | 1500.47 | +36.87 | 55.29% |
| WHR | C.J. Vergara | 1477.63 | +79.93 | 59.03% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: C.J. Vergara 126, Vinicius Salvador 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#60] Jake Matthews (18-6-0) vs. [#129] Darrius Flowers (12-5-1)
Last 3 Fights: Jake Matthews (1-2-0)
2022-12-17: L vs. [#59WW] Matthew Semelsberger (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-06-11: W vs. [#69WW] Andre Fialho (16-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:24 of round 2
2021-03-06: L vs. [#14WW] Sean Brady (15-1-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:28 of round 3
Last 3 Fights: Darrius Flowers (3-0-0)
2022-08-23: W vs. [#174MW] Amiran Gogoladze (15-3-0) via TKO (Submission to Slam) in 1:13 of round 1
2022-05-06: W vs. [#257LHW] Tim Hiley (9-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:43 of round 1
2022-04-22: W vs. [*] Daniel Gadley (4-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:46 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Elo K170 | Jake Matthews | 1706.42 | +194.87 | 70.90% |
| Elo Modified | Jake Matthews | 1711.26 | +174.72 | 68.24% |
| Glicko-1 | Jake Matthews | 1738.73 | +178.63 | 73.66% |
| WHR | Jake Matthews | 1630.42 | +192.80 | 70.70% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jake Matthews 224, Darrius Flowers 340
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#28] Priscila Cachoeira (12-4-0, +266) vs. [#30] Miranda Maverick (11-5-0, -342)
Last 3 Fights: Priscila Cachoeira (2-1-0)
2022-08-13: W vs. [#25FLY] Ariane Lipski (16-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:05 of round 1
2022-02-26: W vs. [#118FLY] Ji Yeon Kim (9-7-2) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-12-11: L vs. [#15SW] Gillian Robertson (12-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:59 of round 1
Last 3 Fights: Miranda Maverick (2-1-0)
2023-06-10: L vs. [#19FLY] Jasmine Jasudavicius (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-11-05: W vs. [#59FLY] Shanna Young (9-5-0) via UD ()
2022-03-12: W vs. [*] Sabina Mazo (9-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:15 of round 2
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Miranda Maverick | -342 | 73.90% | |
| Elo K170 | Priscila Cachoeira | 1440.72 | +47.94 | 55.45% |
| Elo Modified | Priscila Cachoeira | 1474.50 | +2.93 | 50.32% |
| Glicko-1 | Priscila Cachoeira | 1466.53 | +9.89 | 51.42% |
| WHR | Miranda Maverick | 1482.52 | +74.02 | 58.37% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Priscila Cachoeira 350, Miranda Maverick 49
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Miranda Maverick leads 1-0
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Welterweight (170)
[#59] Matthew Semelsberger (11-5-0, -145) vs. [#232LW] Uros Medic (8-1-0, +119)
Last 3 Fights: Matthew Semelsberger (1-2-0)
2023-04-22: L vs. [#45WW] Jeremiah Wells (12-2-1) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2022-12-17: W vs. [#60WW] Jake Matthews (18-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-07-30: L vs. [#24WW] Alex Morono (23-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
Last 3 Fights: Uros Medic (2-1-0)
2022-05-21: W vs. [#306LW] Omar Morales (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:05 of round 2
2021-09-25: L vs. [#27LW] Jalin Turner (13-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:01 of round 1
2021-03-06: W vs. [#140LW] Aalon Cruz (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:40 of round 1
| System | Favorite | Rating | Rating Diff | Win % |
| Betting Odds | Matthew Semelsberger | -145 | 56.44% | |
| Elo K170 | Matthew Semelsberger | 1622.33 | +121.37 | 63.52% |
| Elo Modified | Matthew Semelsberger | 1671.26 | +139.49 | 64.81% |
| Glicko-1 | Matthew Semelsberger | 1746.10 | +198.91 | 75.86% |
| WHR | Uros Medic | 1586.40 | +3.21 | 50.37% |
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matthew Semelsberger 98, Uros Medic 434
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
Fight Card Statistics
Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Alex Pereira
Highest Stored DD Rating: Dustin Poirier
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Alex Pereira vs. Jan Blachowicz
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Dustin Poirier vs. Justin Gaethje
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2023-7-23