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Fight Matrix

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva (07-15-2023)

Posted on July 10, 2023 by Jason

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#5] Holly Holm (15-6-0, -163) vs. [#7] Mayra Bueno Silva (10-2-1, +132)
Holly Holm is the All-Time #17 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Holly Holm (2-1-0)
2023-03-25: W vs. [#12BW] Yana Santos (14-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2022-05-21: L vs. [#4BW] Ketlen Vieira (13-3-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2020-10-03: W vs. [#3BW] Irene Aldana (14-7-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-45)

Last 3 Fights: Mayra Bueno Silva (3-0-0)
2023-02-18: W vs. [*] Lina Lansberg (10-8-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 4:45 of round 2
2022-08-06: W vs. [#21BW] Stephanie Egger (8-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:17 of round 1
2022-04-16: W vs. [#68BW] Yanan Wu (12-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Holly Holm -163 58.98%
Elo K170 Holly Holm 1669.35 +132.00 64.64%
Elo Modified Holly Holm 1718.29 +151.50 66.00%
Glicko-1 Holly Holm 1712.99 +118.38 66.41%
WHR Holly Holm 1753.37 +215.80 72.83%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Holly Holm 112, Mayra Bueno Silva 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#43] Jun Yong Park (16-5-0, -151) vs. [#57] Albert Duraev (16-4-0, +125)

Last 3 Fights: Jun Yong Park (3-0-0)
2023-02-04: W vs. [#122MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-7-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:05 of round 1
2022-10-29: W vs. [#222MW] Joseph Holmes (8-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:04 of round 2
2022-05-21: W vs. [#52MW] Eryk Anders (15-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Albert Duraev (2-1-0)
2023-03-25: W vs. [#62MW] Chidi Njokuani (22-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2022-06-18: L vs. [#42WW] Joaquin Buckley (16-6-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2021-10-30: W vs. [#56MW] Roman Kopylov (10-2-0) via UD (29-27, 30-27, 29-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jun Yong Park -151 57.51%
Elo K170 Albert Duraev 1864.86 +139.12 65.38%
Elo Modified Albert Duraev 1819.88 +105.21 61.32%
Glicko-1 Albert Duraev 1845.43 +118.88 66.47%
WHR Albert Duraev 1727.35 +60.07 56.82%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jun Yong Park 161, Albert Duraev 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Heavyweight (265)
[*] Walt Harris (13-10-0, -207) vs. [#188] Josh Parisian (15-6-0, +163)

Last 3 Fights: Walt Harris (0-3-0)
2021-06-05: L vs. [#14HW+] Marcin Tybura (24-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 1
2020-10-24: L vs. [#5HW+] Alexander Volkov (36-10-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:15 of round 2
2020-05-16: L vs. [*] Alistair Overeem (47-19-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Josh Parisian (1-2-0)
2023-02-18: L vs. [#116HW+] Jamal Pogues (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-06-25: W vs. [#361HW+] Alan Baudot (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 2
2021-12-18: L vs. [#53HW+] Dontale Mayes (10-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:26 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Walt Harris -207 63.94%
Elo K170 Walt Harris 1597.91 +290.91 79.07%
Elo Modified Walt Harris 1650.79 +320.62 80.28%
Glicko-1 Walt Harris 1698.05 +362.82 88.98%
WHR Walt Harris 1590.49 +291.66 79.13%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Walt Harris 770, Josh Parisian 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Featherweight (145)
[#5] Norma Dumont (9-2-0, -144) vs. [#15] Chelsea Chandler (5-1-0, +117)

Last 3 Fights: Norma Dumont (2-1-0)
2023-04-22: W vs. [#13FW] Karol Rosa (17-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-09-10: W vs. [#45FW] Danyelle Wolf (1-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2022-05-07: L vs. [#8BW] Macy Chiasson (8-3-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Chelsea Chandler (3-0-0)
2022-10-01: W vs. [#23BW] Julija Stoliarenko (10-7-2) via TKO (Punches) in 4:15 of round 1
2022-05-11: W vs. [#39FW] Courtney King (4-3-0) via UD ()
2020-07-02: W vs. [NA] Olivia Parker (4-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:05 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Norma Dumont -144 56.15%
Elo K170 Norma Dumont 1579.23 +148.07 66.30%
Elo Modified Norma Dumont 1626.23 +97.79 60.54%
Glicko-1 Norma Dumont 1571.95 +125.16 67.27%
WHR Norma Dumont 1505.14 +115.11 62.85%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Norma Dumont 84, Chelsea Chandler 287
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#219] Ottman Azaitar (13-1-0, +108) vs. [#315] Francisco Prado (12-1-0, -135)

Last 3 Fights: Ottman Azaitar (2-1-0)
2022-11-12: L vs. [#22LW] Matt Frevola (11-3-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:30 of round 1
2020-09-12: W vs. [#233LW] Khama Worthy (19-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:33 of round 1
2019-09-07: W vs. [*] Teemu Packalen (8-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:33 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Francisco Prado (2-1-0)
2023-02-11: L vs. [#128LW] Jamie Mullarkey (16-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-12-16: W vs. [#774WW] Jose Barrios Vargas (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:17 of round 1
2022-10-15: W vs. [#1143LW] Adrian Perrone (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:48 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Francisco Prado -135 54.43%
Elo K170 Ottman Azaitar 1640.36 +175.99 69.08%
Elo Modified Ottman Azaitar 1658.26 +173.04 68.08%
Glicko-1 Ottman Azaitar 1675.52 +132.82 68.24%
WHR Ottman Azaitar 1572.98 +125.58 63.96%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ottman Azaitar 245, Francisco Prado 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#145] Terrance McKinney (13-5-0, +126) vs. [#300] Nazim Sadykhov (8-1-0, -156)

Last 3 Fights: Terrance McKinney (1-2-0)
2023-01-21: L vs. [#80LW] Ismael Bonfim (19-4-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 2:17 of round 2
2022-08-06: W vs. [#404LW] Erick Gonzalez (14-8-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:17 of round 1
2022-03-12: L vs. [#26LW] Drew Dober (26-12-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 3:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Nazim Sadykhov (3-0-0)
2023-02-18: W vs. [#690LW] Evan Elder (7-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 0:38 of round 3
2022-08-16: W vs. [#998LW] Ahmad Suhail Hasanzada (9-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:59 of round 3
2022-03-27: W vs. [#1341WW] Joe Boerschig (6-8-0) via KO in 0:55 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Nazim Sadykhov -156 57.93%
Elo K170 Terrance McKinney 1588.86 +95.07 60.69%
Elo Modified Terrance McKinney 1591.33 +70.84 57.69%
Glicko-1 Terrance McKinney 1619.53 +65.23 59.28%
WHR Terrance McKinney 1567.15 +126.29 64.04%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Terrance McKinney 175, Nazim Sadykhov 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#33] Ailin Perez (7-2-0, -160) vs. [*] Ashlee Evans-Smith (6-5-0, +128)

Last 3 Fights: Ailin Perez (2-1-0)
2022-09-03: L vs. [#21BW] Stephanie Egger (8-4-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:54 of round 2
2022-05-22: W vs. [#65BW] Stephanie Bragayrac (8-5-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2022-02-12: W vs. [NA] Romina Aguirre (0-2-2) via TKO (Punches) in 3:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ashlee Evans-Smith (1-2-0)
2020-11-28: L vs. [#5FW] Norma Dumont (9-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-02-17: L vs. [#17FLY] Andrea Lee (13-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-04-07: W vs. [NA] Bec Rawlings (8-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ailin Perez -160 58.38%
Elo K170 Ailin Perez 1240.58 +106.67 61.95%
Elo Modified Ailin Perez 1324.43 +125.58 63.41%
Glicko-1 Ailin Perez 1325.51 +207.64 76.77%
WHR Ailin Perez 1265.04 +94.57 60.64%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ailin Perez 315, Ashlee Evans-Smith 959
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#157] Azat Maksum (16-0-0, -429) vs. [#165] Tyson Nam (21-13-1, +314)

Last 3 Fights: Azat Maksum (3-0-0)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#373FLY] Fabricio Nunes (8-1-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:57 of round 1
2022-06-11: W vs. [#497FLY] Alan Gabriel dos Santos (12-8-0) via UD ()
2021-12-11: W vs. [*] Azamat Karabekov (8-6-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 0:54 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tyson Nam (1-2-0)
2023-03-11: L vs. [#20FLY] Bruno Silva (13-6-2) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 1:23 of round 2
2022-08-13: W vs. [#35FLY] Ode Osbourne (12-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:59 of round 1
2021-01-20: L vs. [#22FLY] Matt Schnell (16-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Azat Maksum -429 77.05%
Elo K170 Azat Maksum 1673.32 +210.47 72.34%
Elo Modified Azat Maksum 1695.19 +184.84 69.19%
Glicko-1 Azat Maksum 1758.48 +222.96 78.30%
WHR Azat Maksum 1670.76 +172.56 68.75%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Azat Maksum 175, Tyson Nam 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#283] Carl Deaton (17-6-0, +120) vs. [*] Alex Munoz (6-2-0, -148)

Last 3 Fights: Carl Deaton (2-1-0)
2023-02-25: L vs. [#76LW] Joe Solecki (13-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:55 of round 2
2022-10-15: W vs. [#972LW] Antoine Blassingame (7-9-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:53 of round 2
2022-02-05: W vs. [*] Justin Jaynes (16-9-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Alex Munoz (1-2-0)
2021-04-17: L vs. [#235LW] Luis Pena (11-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2020-08-08: L vs. [#56LW] Nasrat Haqparast (14-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-12: W vs. [*] Troy Lamson (13-5-0) via UD ()

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alex Munoz -148 56.76%
Elo K170 Alex Munoz 1417.53 +19.70 52.25%
Elo Modified Alex Munoz 1497.37 +66.30 57.21%
Glicko-1 Alex Munoz 1483.99 +33.05 54.74%
WHR Alex Munoz 1416.72 +35.53 54.05%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carl Deaton 140, Alex Munoz 819
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#588] Genaro Valdez (10-2-0, +227) vs. [#690] Evan Elder (7-2-0, -289)

Last 3 Fights: Genaro Valdez (1-2-0)
2022-12-03: L vs. [#258LW] Natan Levy (8-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-01-22: L vs. [#22LW] Matt Frevola (11-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 1
2021-10-05: W vs. [#892LW] Patrik White (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:44 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Evan Elder (1-2-0)
2023-02-18: L vs. [#300LW] Nazim Sadykhov (8-1-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 0:38 of round 3
2022-04-23: L vs. [#168WW] Preston Parsons (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2021-12-10: W vs. [#2146WW] Marcus Andrusia (9-22-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:01 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Evan Elder -289 70.84%
Elo K170 Genaro Valdez 1349.29 +90.34 60.17%
Elo Modified Genaro Valdez 1395.64 +80.58 58.73%
Glicko-1 Genaro Valdez 1387.28 +92.53 63.01%
WHR Genaro Valdez 1393.02 +144.09 65.89%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Genaro Valdez 224, Evan Elder 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#21] Victoria Dudakova (6-0-0, -293) vs. [#151] Istela Nunes (6-4-0, +226)

Last 3 Fights: Victoria Dudakova (3-0-0)
2022-08-30: W vs. [#29SW] Maria Silva (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-11-14: W vs. [#67FLY] Marina Shutova (5-2-0) via Submission in 4:05 of round 2
2021-06-12: W vs. [*] Kseniya Lachkova (11-7-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:10 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Istela Nunes (0-3-0)
2022-12-03: L vs. [#34SW] Yazmin Jauregui (10-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 2
2022-04-16: L vs. [#28SW] Sam Hughes (8-5-0) via MD (28-28, 29-27, 29-27)
2021-10-16: L vs. [#52SW] Ariane Carnelossi (14-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:57 of round 3

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Victoria Dudakova -293 70.85%
Elo K170 Victoria Dudakova 1490.34 +328.89 81.79%
Elo Modified Victoria Dudakova 1542.04 +317.69 80.07%
Glicko-1 Victoria Dudakova 1508.23 +322.81 86.51%
WHR Victoria Dudakova 1441.25 +303.01 79.97%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Victoria Dudakova 319, Istela Nunes 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#167LW] Melquizael Costa (19-6-0, -203) vs. [#207] Austin Lingo (9-2-0, +162)

Last 3 Fights: Melquizael Costa (2-1-0)
2023-01-21: L vs. [#25LW] Thiago Moises (17-6-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:05 of round 2
2022-11-18: W vs. [#338LW] Jose Cleiton de Melo Jr. (11-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 3
2022-08-20: W vs. [#659FW] Tom Santos (12-12-0) via TKO in 4:24 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Austin Lingo (2-1-0)
2023-03-25: L vs. [#42FW] Nate Landwehr (17-5-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:11 of round 2
2021-08-21: W vs. [#137FW] Luis Saldana (16-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-01-16: W vs. [#907FW] Jacob Kilburn (8-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Melquizael Costa -203 63.70%
Elo K170 Melquizael Costa 1558.56 +84.01 59.48%
Elo Modified Melquizael Costa 1579.95 +70.53 57.66%
Glicko-1 Melquizael Costa 1623.20 +138.62 68.96%
WHR Melquizael Costa 1545.22 +134.13 64.86%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Melquizael Costa 175, Austin Lingo 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#157] Tucker Lutz (12-3-0, +172) vs. [#222] Melsik Baghdasaryan (7-2-0, -220)

Last 3 Fights: Tucker Lutz (1-2-0)
2023-03-25: L vs. [#54FW] Daniel Pineda (28-15-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:50 of round 2
2021-11-20: L vs. [#49FW] Pat Sabatini (18-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2021-05-15: W vs. [*] Kevin Aguilar (17-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Melsik Baghdasaryan (2-1-0)
2023-02-11: L vs. [#63FW] Joshua Culibao (12-1-1) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:02 of round 2
2021-11-06: W vs. [*] Bruno Souza (11-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2021-07-31: W vs. [#902FW] Collin Anglin (8-5-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:50 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Melsik Baghdasaryan -220 65.15%
Elo K170 Tucker Lutz 1487.25 +11.45 51.31%
Elo Modified Tucker Lutz 1523.34 +66.75 57.25%
Glicko-1 Tucker Lutz 1535.40 +106.50 64.86%
WHR Tucker Lutz 1445.17 +48.58 55.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tucker Lutz 112, Melsik Baghdasaryan 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Jun Yong Park
Highest Stored DD Rating: Holly Holm
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jun Yong Park vs. Albert Duraev
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Holly Holm vs. Mayra Bueno Silva
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Low [*½]
Run Date: 2023-7-9

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