Posted on January 19, 2012 by Jonathan

On 9/19/11, I wrote this “Keep an Eye Out For…” article:

“[#35FW] Daniel Pineda (14 – 7 – 0) has rattled off 4 stoppage wins, after losing via kneebar to [*] Chas Skelly (7 – 0 – 0) at Bellator 19 in May 2010.  These wins include

• 1st round rear naked choke on lightweight [*] Reynaldo Trujillo (8 – 7 – 0) in July 2010
• 1st round heel hook on lightweight prospect [#332LW] Levi Forrest (6 – 1 – 0) in January 2011
• KO in under 1:00 of the 1st round over lightweight [*] Ray Blodgett (5 – 1 – 0) in April 2011
• 3rd round rear naked choke on WEC veteran [#141FW] Frank Gomez (10 – 4 – 0) in July 2011.

Pineda has won every one of his victories via stoppage, and he has only gone to a decision once in his career.  These aren’t 0-1 fighters he is beating, they are legit prospects and tough veterans.  At 26 years old, the Houston, Texas native has a lot of time to hone his skills and make it to the big show.”

Pineda is now ranked [#40FW] and sports a (15 – 7 – 0) record with a 5th stoppage win in a row in December 2011 over featherweight [*] Gilbert Jiminez (5 – 4 – 1).  He will be making his UFC debut this friday at UFC on FX 1 against undefeated St. Paul, Minnesota fighter [#227FW] Pat Schilling (5 – 0 – 0).  Pineda has the edge in experience, but Schilling is a finisher.  In fact, 4 of Schilling’s 5 wins come by way of submission, while Pineda has lost 6 times by submission.  With both of these guys being relatively unknown to the general UFC audience at this point, this could be either fighter’s coming out party.

Twitter – @Jonathan_Grand

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Posted on January 18, 2012 by jcs

Lightweight (156)
[#12] Jim Miller (20-3-0, 155.0lb) vs. [#24] Melvin Guillard (27-10-2, 156.0lb)
Jim Miller is the All-Time #24 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jim Miller (2-1-0)
2011-08-14: L vs. [#3LW] Ben Henderson (15-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 29-28)
2011-03-19: W vs. [#53LW] Kamal Shalorus (7-1-2) via TKO (Punches) in 2:15 of round 3
2010-12-11: W vs. [#100LW] Charles Oliveira (14-2-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 1:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Melvin Guillard (2-1-0)
2011-10-08: L vs. [#11LW] Joe Lauzon (21-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:47 of round 1
2011-07-02: W vs. [#54LW] Shane Roller (10-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 1
2011-01-22: W vs. [#37LW] Evan Dunham (12-2-0) via TKO (Knees) in 2:58 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jim Miller 159, Melvin Guillard 104
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#35] Josh Neer (32-10-1, 171.0lb) vs. [#53] Duane Ludwig (21-11-0, 170.5lb)

Last 3 Fights: Josh Neer (3-0-0)
2011-10-01: W vs. [#114WW] Keith Wisniewski (28-13-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2011-08-20: W vs. [#736WW] Blas Avena (7-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:54 of round 1
2011-06-25: W vs. [#73WW] Jesse Juarez (17-7-0) via TKO (Injury) in 5:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Duane Ludwig (2-1-0)
2011-08-14: W vs. [#60WW] Amir Sadollah (5-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2010-11-13: W vs. [#211WW] Nick Osipczak (5-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2010-03-21: L vs. [#27FW] Darren Elkins (13-2-0) via TKO (Ankle Injury) in 0:44 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Neer 111, Duane Ludwig 159
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#49] Jared Papazian (14-6-0, 135.5lb) vs. [#65] Mike Easton (10-1-0, 135.0lb)

Last 3 Fights: Jared Papazian (3-0-0)
2011-09-15: W vs. [#296BW] Marvin Garcia (7-1-0) via UD (50-45, 48-47, 48-47)
2011-06-24: W vs. [#90BW] Abel Cullum (19-6-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2011-03-27: W vs. [#129BW] Kana Hyatt (9-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Easton (3-0-0)
2011-10-01: W vs. [#252BW] Byron Bloodworth (6-2-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:52 of round 2
2009-10-03: W vs. [#48FW] Chase Beebe (18-8-1) via SD (49-46, 46-49, 48-47)
2009-04-25: W vs. [#415BW] Josh Ferguson (8-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:06 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jared Papazian 127, Mike Easton 111
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Continue reading 'FightMatrix Program: UFC on FX (01-20-2011)'

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Posted on January 17, 2012 by jcs

When gambling on an MMA fight, it is essential to keep tabs on the betting odds for MMA.  Anything can happen in such a volatile sport, but knowing who the consistent fighters are, as well as when the available odds understate their chance of winning will maximize your chances of earning money.

We’ve had a bit of a break from these gambling articles, but all four previous posts were 100% accurate in predicting the victor and extremely close in the type of victory.  Taking a look at the upcoming main event on Friday, Jim Miller vs. Melvin Guillard, in this author’s opinion, is a moderately good bet.

Jim Miller is one of the most consistent fighters in the UFC Lightweight division.  In all three fights he’s lost, he’s lost by decision, and in two of those losses, he’s lost to elite fighters within the division — with the jury still being out on Ben Henderson.  Not only this, but he’s fought nearly his entire career in the same division, another mark of consistency.  Guillard, has not been the mark of consistency, which can also make him a risky play.  The current betting line on Miller is -213, which means you get a return of $100 for every $213 you bet on Miller.  Without compensating for “the juice”, this line suggests Miller has a 68% chance of winning.  I’d put Miller’s odds of winning closer to 75% and therefore, I think he is a good play for a moderate bet to win.  I’ll take him by 2nd round submission.

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Posted on January 16, 2012 by jcs

[#151 WW] Habib Nurmagomedov (16-0) will be accomplishing many firsts on Friday.  Not only is he debuting in the UFC, but it is also his first fight outside of Russia and Ukraine.  Furthermore, he’s dropping to Lightweight for the first time according to our records.  He’s also never faced an opponent as legit as [#53] Kamal Shalrous (7-1-2), whose record is much better than Nurmagomedov’s average opponent — roughly 4-2, and let’s not even discuss THEIR collective opposition.

Will the Russian prospect start his career at 17-0?  How about 17 wins without a split or majority decision?  Or will he also walk away with his first loss?

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Posted on January 16, 2012 by jcs

Shannon Ritch has the 2nd most pro fights at 127 and honestly, we’re likely missing a few.  In these 127 pro fights, he has NEVER went to a decision.  This is the record, by far.

Not only that, he has only been past the first round 5 times.

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Posted on January 15, 2012 by jcs

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Posted on January 11, 2012 by jcs

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#6DD] Jose Aldo (20-1-0) vs. [#5] Chad Mendes (11-0-0)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #2 ranked Featherweight and #21 ranked Absolute fighter.
Chad Mendes is the All-Time #12 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (3-0-0)
2011-10-08: W vs. [#3FW] Kenny Florian (14-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2011-04-30: W vs. [#26FW] Mark Hominick (20-10-0) via UD (48-45, 48-46, 49-46)
2010-09-30: W vs. [#20FW] Manny Gamburyan (11-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Chad Mendes (3-0-0)
2011-08-06: W vs. [#29FW] Rani Yahya (16-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2011-02-05: W vs. [#32FW] Michihiro Omigawa (13-10-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2010-11-11: W vs. [#23FW] Javier Vazquez (16-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 98, Chad Mendes 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#8] Vitor Belfort (20-9-0) vs. [#11WW] Anthony Johnson (10-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Vitor Belfort (2-1-0)
2011-08-06: W vs. [#63MW] Yoshihiro Akiyama (13-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:52 of round 1
2011-02-05: L vs. [#1MW/#1DD] Anderson Silva (31-4-0) via KO (Front Kick and Punches) in 3:25 of round 1
2009-09-19: W vs. [#13LHW] Rich Franklin (28-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:02 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Johnson (2-1-0)
2011-10-01: W vs. [#32WW] Charlie Brenneman (14-3-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:49 of round 1
2011-03-26: W vs. [#44WW] Dan Hardy (23-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2009-11-21: L vs. [#5WW] Josh Koscheck (16-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:47 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vitor Belfort 161, Anthony Johnson 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#25] Mike Pyle (21-8-1) vs. [#241] Ricardo Funch (8-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Pyle (2-1-0)
2011-08-06: L vs. [#13WW] Rory MacDonald (12-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:54 of round 1
2011-03-19: W vs. [#30WW] Ricardo Almeida (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2010-10-16: W vs. [#39WW] John Hathaway (15-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ricardo Funch (1-2-0)
2011-12-03: W vs. [#318WW] Ryan Quinn (6-3-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2010-06-12: L vs. [#37WW] Claude Patrick (14-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:48 of round 2
2009-12-12: L vs. [#7WW] Johny Hendricks (12-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-25)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mike Pyle 161, Ricardo Funch 42
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Continue reading 'FightMatrix Program: UFC 142 (1-14-2011)'

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Posted on January 8, 2012 by jcs

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Posted on January 6, 2012 by jcs

Cyborg, who took 2nd in our Women’s Fighter of the Year standing for 2011, just tested positive for stanozolol.  Although a positive steroid test does not disqualify you from our awards, this also rendered her only 2011 fight a “no contest”.

As such, Tate will be moved up to #2, and Sarah Kaufman will move in at #3, for the third consecutive year.

In other award-related news, due to recent data changes at Sherdog, we re-assigned the men’s rookie of the year to Sultan Aliev.  Sorry, Levan.

Maybe next year, we’ll wait a little longer to dish out these awards.

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Posted on January 3, 2012 by jcs

Middleweight (185)
[#15LHW] Keith Jardine (17-10-2) vs. [#12] Luke Rockhold (8-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Keith Jardine (2-0-1)
2011-04-09: D vs. [#8LHW] Gegard Mousasi (32-3-2) via Draw in 5:00 of round 3
2011-03-04: W vs. [#290LHW] Aron Lofton (8-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:30 of round 1
2010-12-11: W vs. [#89LHW] Francisco France (7-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Luke Rockhold (3-0-0)
2011-09-10: W vs. [#14MW] Ronaldo Souza (14-3-0) via UD (50-45, 48-47, 48-47)
2010-02-26: W vs. [#99WW] Paul Bradley (18-4-0) via TKO (Knees to the Body) in 2:24 of round 1
2009-11-06: W vs. [#29MW] Jesse Taylor (20-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:42 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Keith Jardine 273, Luke Rockhold 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#23] Robbie Lawler (18-8-0) vs. [#30] Adlan Amagov (9-1-1)
Robbie Lawler is the All-Time #14 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Robbie Lawler (1-2-0)
2011-07-30: L vs. [#10MW] Tim Kennedy (14-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2011-01-29: L vs. [#14MW] Ronaldo Souza (14-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:00 of round 3
2010-12-04: W vs. [#75MW] Matt Lindland (22-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:50 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Adlan Amagov (3-0-0)
2011-11-18: W vs. [#53MW] Anthony Smith (14-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:32 of round 1
2011-07-22: W vs. [#283MW] Ronald Stallings (9-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2010-12-18: W vs. [#539HW+] Evgeny Erohin (1-1-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:28 of round 1

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robbie Lawler 161, Adlan Amagov 50
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#9] Muhammed Lawal (8-1-0) vs. [#57] Lorenz Larkin (12-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Muhammed Lawal (2-1-0)
2011-09-10: W vs. [#23LHW] Roger Gracie (4-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 1
2010-08-21: L vs. [#18LHW] Rafael Cavalcante (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 1:14 of round 3
2010-04-17: W vs. [#8LHW] Gegard Mousasi (32-3-2) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-45)

Last 3 Fights: Lorenz Larkin (3-0-0)
2011-09-23: W vs. [#96LHW] Nick Rossborough (20-15-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2011-06-24: W vs. [#158LHW] Gian Villante (8-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2011-04-01: W vs. [#249LHW] Scott Lighty (7-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Muhammed Lawal 119, Lorenz Larkin 106
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Continue reading 'FightMatrix Program: StrikeForce (1-7-2012)'

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