Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez (2020-07-18)

16 Jul , 2020,
Jason

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#10DD] Deiveson Figueiredo (18-1-0, -212) vs. [#2] Joseph Benavidez (28-6-0, +172)
Deiveson Figueiredo is the All-Time #9 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Joseph Benavidez is the All-Time #6 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (3-0-0)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#2FLY] Joseph Benavidez (28-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:54 of round 2
2019-10-12: W vs. [#25FLY] Tim Elliott (16-11-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:08 of round 1
2019-07-27: W vs. [#5FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (22-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Benavidez (2-1-0)
2020-02-29: L vs. [#1FLY/#10DD] Deiveson Figueiredo (18-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:54 of round 2
2019-06-29: W vs. [#7FLY] Jussier Formiga (23-8-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:47 of round 2
2019-01-19: W vs. [*] Dustin Ortiz (19-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Deiveson Figueiredo -212 64.89%
Elo K170 Deiveson Figueiredo 2060.54 +106.61 61.94%
Elo Modified Deiveson Figueiredo 2023.02 +92.80 60.02%
Glicko-1 Deiveson Figueiredo 2104.12 +127.63 67.58%
WHR Deiveson Figueiredo 1914.11 +57.38 56.52%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Deiveson Figueiredo 140, Joseph Benavidez 140
Previous Match-up Record: Deiveson Figueiredo leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Joseph Benavidez leads 4-2
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Middleweight (185)
[#9] Kelvin Gastelum (15-5-0, -121) vs. [#10] Jack Hermansson (20-5-0, -103)
Kelvin Gastelum is the All-Time #29 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (1-2-0)
2019-11-02: L vs. [#8MW] Darren Till (18-2-1) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 27-30)
2019-04-13: L vs. [#1MW/#7P4P] Israel Adesanya (19-0-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-46)
2018-05-12: W vs. [#8LHW] Ronaldo Souza (26-8-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (2-1-0)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#7MW] Jared Cannonier (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:27 of round 2
2019-04-27: W vs. [#8LHW] Ronaldo Souza (26-8-0) via UD (49-45, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-03-30: W vs. [#27MW] David Branch (22-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:49 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kelvin Gastelum -121 51.90%
Elo K170 Jack Hermansson 1949.96 +9.13 51.04%
Elo Modified Kelvin Gastelum 1973.09 +12.37 51.35%
Glicko-1 Kelvin Gastelum 2058.33 +29.60 54.25%
WHR Kelvin Gastelum 1876.39 +4.64 50.53%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kelvin Gastelum 259, Jack Hermansson 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#74] Marc Diakiese (14-3-0, -165) vs. [#121] Rafael Fiziev (7-1-0, +137)

Last 3 Fights: Marc Diakiese (2-1-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#34LW] Lando Vannata (11-4-2) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2019-03-16: W vs. [*] Joseph Duffy (16-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-07-22: L vs. [#90LW] Nasrat Haqparast (11-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (2-1-0)
2019-10-26: W vs. [#152LW] Alex White (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-04-20: L vs. [#107LW] Magomed Mustafaev (14-4-0) via TKO (Spinning Back Kick and Punches) in 1:26 of round 1
2018-12-21: W vs. [*] Nurzhan Tutkaev (5-5-0) via KO (Body Kick) in 0:51 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Marc Diakiese -165 59.60%
Elo K170 Marc Diakiese 1596.14 +90.87 60.23%
Elo Modified Marc Diakiese 1638.81 +87.55 59.47%
Glicko-1 Marc Diakiese 1679.60 +125.19 67.28%
WHR Marc Diakiese 1677.02 +138.10 65.27%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marc Diakiese 294, Rafael Fiziev 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featured Upcoming Bouts (Outside of UFC)

Friday, August 21st 2020: Bellator 244: Bader vs. Nemkov
 [#2 LHW] Ryan Bader [#6 LHW] Vadim Nemkov
Last Fight Date: 9/07/2019 [BellatorFC]
Last Opponent: [#11 HW] Cheick Kongo
Last 5: W W W W NC
Last Fight Date: 10/12/2019 [BellatorFC]
Last Opponent: [#38 LHW] Rafael Carvalho
Last 5: W W W W W
Sunday, August 9th 2020: RIZIN 22
 [#2 W105] Ayaka Hamasaki [#10 W105] Tomo Maesawa
Last Fight Date: 12/31/2019 [Rizin Fighting Federation]
Last Opponent: [#1 W105] Seo Hee Ham
Last 5: W W W W L
Last Fight Date: 10/22/2019 [DEEP]
Last Opponent: [NR] Emi Tomimatsu
Last 5: W W L L W
Thursday, September 17th 2020: Invicta FC 42: Cummins vs. Zappitella
 [#7 W105] Ashley Cummins [#8 W105] Alesha Zappitella
Last Fight Date: 2/07/2020 [Invicta FC]
Last Opponent: [#41 W115] Jinh Yu Frey
Last 5: W L W W L
Last Fight Date: 7/02/2020 [Invicta FC]
Last Opponent: [#14 W105] Lindsey VanZandt
Last 5: W L L W W

Miocic vs Cormier III: Why It’s All on the Line in Heavyweight Scrap for the Ages

15 Jul , 2020,
A. J. Riot

There’s an old maxim that “good things come in threes”, which anyone who has sat through the third part of the Back to the Future, Rocky and The Godfather trilogies will have solid ground to disagree with. But just occasionally triple headers can deliver the goods, and the hope is that Stipe Miocic and Daniel Cormier’s third encounter adds to that pantheon.

The Heavyweight Championship will be on the line when the two are scheduled to meet at UFC 252 on August 15 in the UFC’s APEX production facility in Las Vegas, but there’s much more than just gold and bragging rights at stake here.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN 18: Kattar vs. Ige (2020-07-15)

14 Jul , 2020,
Jason

Featherweight (146)
[#8] Calvin Kattar (21-4-0, 146.0lb, -312) vs. [#10] Dan Ige (14-2-0, 145.0lb, +244)

Last 3 Fights: Calvin Kattar (2-1-0)
2020-05-09: W vs. [#17FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-18-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:42 of round 2
2019-11-09: L vs. [#6FW] Zabit Magomedsharipov (18-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#19FW] Ricardo Lamas (19-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dan Ige (3-0-0)
2020-05-16: W vs. [#18FW] Edson Barboza (20-9-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#34FW] Mirsad Bektic (13-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-06-22: W vs. [#111LW] Kevin Aguilar (17-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Calvin Kattar -312 72.26%
Elo K170 Dan Ige 1996.74 +96.28 60.82%
Elo Modified Dan Ige 1890.44 +5.11 50.56%
Glicko-1 Calvin Kattar 1964.66 +69.50 59.87%
WHR Calvin Kattar 1869.12 +149.54 66.45%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Calvin Kattar 67, Dan Ige 60
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Dan Ige leads 1-0
.

Flyweight (126)
[#57] Tim Elliott (15-11-1, 125.0lb, -125) vs. [#70] Ryan Benoit (10-6-0, 126.0lb, +101)
Tim Elliott is the All-Time #48 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tim Elliott (0-3-0)
2020-05-30: L vs. [#13FLY] Brandon Royval (11-4-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 2
2020-01-18: L vs. [#8FLY] Askar Askarov (11-0-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#1FLY/#10DD] Deiveson Figueiredo (18-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Benoit (1-2-0)
2019-12-21: L vs. [#133BW] Heili Alateng (14-7-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-11-18: W vs. [#844BW] Ashkan Mokhtarian (13-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:38 of round 3
2016-12-03: L vs. [#3FLY] Brandon Moreno (17-5-1) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Tim Elliott -125 52.75%
Elo K170 Tim Elliott 1522.08 +155.25 67.02%
Elo Modified Tim Elliott 1525.71 +67.90 57.38%
Glicko-1 Tim Elliott 1539.76 +49.78 57.12%
WHR Tim Elliott 1470.38 +22.14 52.53%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tim Elliott 46, Ryan Benoit 207
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#30] Cody Stamann (19-2-1, 145.0lb, +114) vs. [#14BW] Jimmie Rivera (22-4-0, 145.0lb, -140)

Last 3 Fights: Cody Stamann (2-0-1)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#57FW] Brian Kelleher (21-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-12-07: D vs. [#15BW] Yadong Song (16-4-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-03-02: W vs. [#43BW] Alejandro Perez (21-8-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jimmie Rivera (1-2-0)
2019-06-08: L vs. [#1BW/#5DD/#10P4P] Petr Yan (15-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-17: L vs. [#3BW] Aljamain Sterling (19-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#10BW] John Dodson (21-11-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jimmie Rivera -140 55.52%
Elo K170 Cody Stamann 1889.26 +68.81 57.80%
Elo Modified Cody Stamann 1838.42 +30.68 53.35%
Glicko-1 Jimmie Rivera 1863.80 +9.12 51.31%
WHR Jimmie Rivera 1789.13 +90.21 60.16%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cody Stamann 39, Jimmie Rivera 403
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal (2020-07-11)

9 Jul , 2020,
Jason

Welterweight Championship (170)
[#1/#3DD/#5P4P] Kamaru Usman (16-1-0, -250) vs. [#2] Jorge Masvidal (35-13-0, +199)
Kamaru Usman is the All-Time #6 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Jorge Masvidal is the All-Time #24 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (3-0-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#4WW] Colby Covington (15-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 5
2019-03-02: W vs. [#6WW] Tyron Woodley (19-5-1) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-44)
2018-11-30: W vs. [#11WW] Rafael dos Anjos (29-13-0) via UD (49-45, 50-43, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Jorge Masvidal (3-0-0)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#12WW] Nate Diaz (20-12-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-07-06: W vs. [*] Ben Askren (19-2-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 0:05 of round 1
2019-03-16: W vs. [#8MW] Darren Till (18-2-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:05 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Kamaru Usman -250 68.11%
Elo K170 Kamaru Usman 2396.13 +176.08 69.09%
Elo Modified Kamaru Usman 2317.36 +101.19 60.90%
Glicko-1 Kamaru Usman 2384.93 +27.47 53.95%
WHR Kamaru Usman 2146.61 +63.71 57.22%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kamaru Usman 210, Jorge Masvidal 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kamaru Usman leads 1-0
.

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#4DD/#6P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (21-1-0, -217) vs. [#2/#6DD] Max Holloway (21-5-0, +176)
Alexander Volkanovski is the All-Time #7 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Max Holloway is the All-Time #2 ranked Featherweight and #14 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkanovski (3-0-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#2FW/#6DD] Max Holloway (21-5-0) via UD (50-45, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-05-11: W vs. [#3BW] Jose Aldo (28-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-29: W vs. [*] Chad Mendes (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:14 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (1-2-0)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#1FW/#4DD/#6P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (21-1-0) via UD (50-45, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-07-27: W vs. [#7FW] Frankie Edgar (23-8-1) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 48-47)
2019-04-13: L vs. [#3LW/#7DD] Dustin Poirier (26-6-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexander Volkanovski -217 65.38%
Elo K170 Alexander Volkanovski 2308.02 +119.40 63.31%
Elo Modified Alexander Volkanovski 2269.35 +115.50 62.38%
Glicko-1 Alexander Volkanovski 2338.08 +89.98 62.67%
WHR Alexander Volkanovski 2101.19 +50.64 55.76%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkanovski 210, Max Holloway 210
Previous Match-up Record: Alexander Volkanovski leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 2-1
.

Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#3] Jose Aldo (28-6-0, +180) vs. [#4] Petr Yan (14-1-0, -224)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #3 ranked Absolute fighter.
Petr Yan is the All-Time #40 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (1-2-0)
2019-12-14: L vs. [#1BW/#9DD] Marlon Moraes (23-6-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-05-11: L vs. [#1FW/#4DD/#6P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (21-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#25LW] Renato Carneiro (14-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:44 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Petr Yan (3-0-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#16BW] Urijah Faber (35-11-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:43 of round 3
2019-06-08: W vs. [#14BW] Jimmie Rivera (22-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#10BW] John Dodson (21-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Petr Yan -224 65.94%
Elo K170 Petr Yan 2060.78 +70.94 58.03%
Elo Modified Petr Yan 2050.13 +23.41 52.56%
Glicko-1 Jose Aldo 2118.97 +27.90 54.01%
WHR Petr Yan 1993.22 +59.83 56.79%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 210, Petr Yan 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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WHR Ratings Updated (Again)

6 Jul , 2020,
Jason

Thanks to computerrank over at BoxRec, WHR framework has been updated to allow for explicit scoring of win types (like Glicko and standard system).  See the FAQ for more info.

 

Ranking the 2020 UFC Rookie Class

1 Jul , 2020,
Richard Mann

The following table shows the peak quarterly ranking of all fighters to make their UFC debut in 2020 as well as the corresponding ranking of their debut opponent. The fighter with the highest peak ranking was former Invicta FC champion Jinh Yu Frey. However, her highest ranking, #2 Women’s Atomweight, came in a division not currently promoted by the UFC. So far this year, 10 fighters have made their promotional debut against a fighter whose peak ranking was in the top 25. In those fights, debuting fighters have gone 3-7. UFC rookies have gone 17-22 overall in their debut fights.

Event Date Fighter Peak Prior to Fight Opponent Opponent Prior Peak W/L Result
UFC 246 1/18/2020 Ode Osbourne #240 Bantamweight Brian Kelleher #11 Bantamweight Loss SUB Guillotine Choke
UFC 246 1/18/2020 Aleksa Camur #231 Light Heavyweight Justin Ledet #49 Heayvweight Win U-DEC
UFC Raleigh 1/25/2020 Jamahal Hill #87 Light Heavyweight Darko Stosic #53 Light Heavyweight Win U-DEC
UFC Raleigh 1/25/2020 Tony Gravely #53 Bantamweight Brett Johns #14 Bantamweight Loss SUB Rear Naked Choke
UFC Raleigh 1/25/2020 Herbert Burns #73 Featherweight Nate Landwehr #43 Featherweight Win KO/TKO Knee
UFC Raleigh 1/25/2020 Nate Landwehr #43 Featherweight Herbert Burns #73 Featherweight Loss KO/TKO Knee
UFC 247 2/8/2020 Khaos Williams #194 Welterweight Alex Morono #38 Welterweight Win KO/TKO Punch
UFC 247 2/8/2020 Youssef Zalal #333 Featherweight Austin Lingo #411 Featherweight Win U-DEC
UFC 247 2/8/2020 Austin Lingo #411 Featherweight Youssef Zalal #333 Featherweight Loss U-DEC
UFC Rio Rancho 2/15/2020 Brok Weaver #272 Welterweight Kazula Vargas #155 Lightweight Win DQ
UFC Rio Rancho 2/15/2020 Daniel Rodriguez #169 Bantamweight Tim Means #24 Welterweight Win SUB Guillotine Choke
UFC Rio Rancho 2/15/2020 Shanna Young #54 Women’s Flyweight Macy Chiasson #4 Women’s Bantamweight Loss U-DEC
UFC Auckland 2/22/2020 Josh Culibao #167 Featherweight Jalin Turner #187 Lightweight Loss KO/TKO Punches
UFC Norfolk 2/29/2020 Norma Dumont Not Ranked Megan Anderson #4 Women’s Featherweight Loss KO/TKO Punch
UFC Norfolk 2/29/2020 Darrick Minner #57 Bantamweight Grant Dawson #44 Featherweight Loss SUB Rear Naked Choke
UFC Norfolk 2/29/2020 Kyler Phillips #126 Bantamweight Gabriel Silva #74 Featherweight Win U-DEC
UFC Norfolk 2/29/2020 Steve Garcia #147 Featherweight Luis Pena #106 Featherweight Loss U-DEC
UFC Norfolk 2/29/2020 TJ Brown #166 Featherweight Jordan Griffin #75 Featherweight Loss SUB Guillotine Choke
UFC Norfolk 2/29/2020 Spike Carlyle #262 Lightweight Aalon Cruz #174 Featherweight Win KO/TKO Punches
UFC Norfolk 2/29/2020 Aalon Cruz #174 Featherweight Spike Carlyle #262 Lightweight Loss KO/TKO Punches
UFC 248 3/7/2020 Jamall Emmers #110 Featherweight Giga Chikadze #99 Featherweight Loss S-DEC
UFC Brasilia 3/14/2020 David Dvorak #41 Flyweight Bruno Silva #67 Flyweight Win U-DEC
UFC Jax 5/13/2020 Philipe Lins #23 Heavyweight Andrei Arlovski #3 Heavyweight Loss U-DEC
UFC Jax 5/13/2020 Ike Villanueva #116 Light Heavyweight Chase Sherman #69 Heavyweight Win KO/TKO Elbow
UFC FL 5/16/2020 Irwin Rivera #132 Bantamweight Giga Chikadze #99 Featherweight Loss U-DEC
UFC FL 5/16/2020 Rodrigo Nascimento #134 Heavyweight Don’Tale Mayes #93 Heavyweight Win SUB Rear Naked Choke
UFC Vegas 5/30/2020 Gabe Green #154 Lightweight Daniel Rodriguez #64 Welterweight Loss U-DEC
UFC Vegas 5/30/2020 Brandon Royval #34 Flyweight Tim Elliott #7 Flyweight Win SUB Arm Triangle
UFC Vegas 2 6/13/2020 Mariya Agapova #23 Women’s Flyweight Hannah Cifers #31 Women’s Strawweight Win SUB Rear Naked Choke
UFC Vegas 2 6/13/2020 Gustavo Lopez #126 Bantamweight Merab Dvalishvili #22 Bantamweight Loss U-DEC
UFC Vegas 2 6/13/2020 Zarrukh Adashev Not Ranked Tyson Nam #5 Bantamweight Loss KO/TKO Punch
UFC Vegas 2 6/13/2020 Christian Aguilera #235 Welterweight Anthony Ivy #129 Welterweight Win KO/TKO Punches
UFC Vegas 2 6/13/2020 Anthony Ivy #129 Welterweight Christian Aguilera #235 Welterweight Loss KO/TKO Punches
UFC Vegas 3 6/20/2020 Justin Jaynes #220 Featherweight Frank Camacho #135 Lightweight Win KO/TKO Punches
UFC Vegas 3 6/20/2020 Max Rohskopf #344 Lightweight Austin Hubbard #115 Lightweight Loss KO/TKO
UFC Vegas 4 6/27/2020 Kyle Daukaus #69 Middleweight Brendan Allen #27 Middleweight Loss U-DEC
UFC Vegas 4 6/27/2020 Jason Witt #89 Lightweight Takashi Sato #81 Welterweight Loss KO/TKO Punches
UFC Vegas 4 6/27/2020 Kay Hansen #33 Women’s Strawweight Jinh Yu Frey #2 Women’s Atomweight Win SUB Armbar
UFC Vegas 4 6/27/2020 Jinh Yu Frey #2 Women’s Atomweight Kay Hansen #33 Women’s Strawweight Loss SUB Armbar