2018 Awards: Upsets of the Year

2 Jan , 2019,
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Note: We have two ways that we derive biggest “upsets” based on points difference between winner and loser.

“Most Noteworthy” (X minus Y)
“Most Lopsided” (X divided by Y)

 

Most Noteworthy: Vadim Nemkov SD(3) Phil Davis

Nemkov, a virtual unknown, manages to take a close decision over the perennial Top 10, Phil Davis.

 

Most Lopsided: Jared Cannonier TKO(2) David Branch

About 2.5 years prior, Cannonier fought at 241 pounds.  Here, in his Middleweight debut, pulled off quite an impressive upset.

Featured Upcoming Bouts (Outside of UFC)

Saturday, January 26th 2019: Bellator 214: Fedor vs. Bader
 [#5 HW] Ryan Bader [#19 HW] Fedor Emelianenko
Last Fight Date: 10/12/2018 [BellatorFC]
Last Opponent: [#13 HW] Matt Mitrione
Last 5: W W W W W
Last Fight Date: 10/13/2018 [BellatorFC]
Last Opponent: [#29 HW] Chael Sonnen
Last 5: W W L W W
Saturday, February 16th 2019: Bellator 216: MVP vs. Daley
 [#14 HW] Cheick Kongo [#16 HW] Vitaly Minakov
Last Fight Date: 10/13/2018 [BellatorFC]
Last Opponent: [#46 HW] Timothy Johnson
Last 5: W W W W W
Last Fight Date: 12/16/2017 [Fight Nights Global]
Last Opponent: [#36 HW] Tony Johnson
Last 5: W W W W W
Friday, February 15th 2019: Bellator 215: Mitrione vs. Kharitonov
 [#13 HW] Matt Mitrione [#17 HW] Sergei Kharitonov
Last Fight Date: 10/12/2018 [BellatorFC]
Last Opponent: [#5 HW] Ryan Bader
Last 5: W W W W L
Last Fight Date: 10/12/2018 [BellatorFC]
Last Opponent: [#24 HW] Roy Nelson
Last 5: W W W NC W

Current MMA Rankings Updated (12-31-2018)

1 Jan , 2019,
jcs
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Notable Info

  • End-of-year current rankings update, even though it didn’t finish until 2019.
  • 2018 awards to come in the next week or so.

Current & All-Time MMA Rankings Updated (12-30-2018)

30 Dec , 2018,
jcs
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Notable Info

  • Jon Jones jumped from #5 to #3 on the Absolute list, after his win at last night’s UFC.  He is in a virtual tie with Jose Aldo, Anderson Silva and Fedor Emelianenko for the runner-up position.
  • Regardless of Dana White’s opinions of the All-Time standing of Amanda Nunes, she remains at #3 on the All-Time Women’s list, as her career achievements are not yet at the level of Ronda Rousey or Cris Cyborg. However, last night’s win gave her a comfortable lead over the #4, Joanna Jedrzedczyk, whose name I almost spelled correctly on the first try.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 (12-29-2018)

23 Dec , 2018,
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Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[*] Jon Jones (22-1-0, -279) vs. [*] Alexander Gustafsson (18-4-0, +223)
Jon Jones is the All-Time #1 ranked Light Heavyweight and #5 ranked Absolute fighter.
Alexander Gustafsson is the All-Time #20 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jon Jones (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2017-07-29: NC vs. [#1HW+/#2DD/#1P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0)
2016-04-23: W vs. [#17LHW] Ovince St. Preux (23-12-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-45)
2015-01-03: W vs. [#1HW+/#2DD/#1P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Gustafsson (2-1-0)
2017-05-28: W vs. [#5LHW] Glover Teixeira (27-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 5
2016-09-03: W vs. [#8LHW] Jan Blachowicz (23-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2015-10-03: L vs. [#1HW+/#2DD/#1P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 49-46)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jon Jones – Win%: 70.39
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jon Jones (2366.85) [+318.97] – Win%: 81.11
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jon Jones (2367.71) [+291.36] – Win%: 78.17
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jon Jones 518, Alexander Gustafsson 580
Previous Match-up Record: Jon Jones leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 4 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (16-4-0, +211) vs. [#1/#2DD/#3P4P] Cristiane Justino (20-1-0, -264)
Amanda Nunes is the All-Time #3 ranked Women’s fighter.
Cristiane Justino is the All-Time #1 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Nunes (3-0-0)
2018-05-12: W vs. [#6BW] Raquel Pennington (9-7-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:36 of round 5
2017-09-09: W vs. [#1FLY/#4DD/#5P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (16-3-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2016-12-30: W vs. [*] Ronda Rousey (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Cristiane Justino (3-0-0)
2018-03-03: W vs. [#11BW] Yana Kunitskaya (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 1
2017-12-30: W vs. [#3BW/#9DD] Holly Holm (12-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2017-07-29: W vs. [#13BW] Tonya Evinger (19-7-0) via TKO in 1:56 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Cristiane Justino – Win%: 69.28
Elo Favorite (Standard): Amanda Nunes (1895.59) [+10.50] – Win%: 51.20
Elo Favorite (Modified): Cristiane Justino (1890.09) [+45.36] – Win%: 54.95
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Nunes 231, Cristiane Justino 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#41] Carlos Condit (30-12-0, +150) vs. [#33LW] Michael Chiesa (14-4-0, -181)
Carlos Condit is the All-Time #6 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Condit (0-3-0)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#20WW] Alex Oliveira (20-6-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:17 of round 2
2017-12-30: L vs. [#17WW] Neil Magny (21-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2016-08-27: L vs. [#15WW] Demian Maia (25-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:52 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chiesa (1-2-0)
2018-07-07: L vs. [#10LW] Anthony Pettis (21-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 0:52 of round 2
2017-06-25: L vs. [#7LW] Kevin Lee (17-4-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:37 of round 1
2016-04-16: W vs. [#19LW] Beneil Dariush (15-4-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:20 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Michael Chiesa – Win%: 61.68
Elo Favorite (Standard): Michael Chiesa (1806.78) [+40.94] – Win%: 54.66
Elo Favorite (Modified): Michael Chiesa (1781.86) [+3.84] – Win%: 50.42
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlos Condit 259, Michael Chiesa 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Current MMA Rankings Updated (12-16-2018)

16 Dec , 2018,
jcs
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Notable Info

  • Fixed bug which incorrectly weighted lopsided decisions.  This affected over 500 bouts, so there will be fluctuations throughout the rankings.

Fight Matrix Program – UFC on FOX 31: Iaquinta vs. Lee 2 (12-15-2018)

13 Dec , 2018,
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Lightweight (155)
[#6] Kevin Lee (17-3-0, -318) vs. [#16] Al Iaquinta (14-4-1, +250)
Kevin Lee is the All-Time #40 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Al Iaquinta is the All-Time #47 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Lee (2-1-0)
2018-04-21: W vs. [#10LW] Edson Barboza (19-6-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 2:18 of round 5
2017-10-07: L vs. [#2LW/#8DD/#9P4P] Tony Ferguson (24-3-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:02 of round 3
2017-06-25: W vs. [#31LW] Michael Chiesa (14-4-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:37 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Al Iaquinta (2-1-0)
2018-04-07: L vs. [#1LW/#5DD/#8P4P] Khabib Nurmagomedov (27-0-0) via UD (50-44, 50-43, 50-43)
2017-04-22: W vs. [#56WW] Diego Sanchez (28-11-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:38 of round 1
2015-04-04: W vs. [#11WW] Jorge Masvidal (32-13-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kevin Lee – Win%: 72.69
Elo Favorite (Standard): Kevin Lee (2106.90) [+111.50] – Win%: 62.47
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kevin Lee (2061.22) [+132.84] – Win%: 64.14
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Lee 238, Al Iaquinta 252
Previous Match-up Record: Al Iaquinta leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kevin Lee leads 1-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#10] Edson Barboza (19-6-0, -114) vs. [#17] Dan Hooker (17-7-0, -110)
Edson Barboza is the All-Time #27 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (1-2-0)
2018-04-21: L vs. [#6LW] Kevin Lee (17-3-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 2:18 of round 5
2017-12-30: L vs. [#1LW/#5DD/#8P4P] Khabib Nurmagomedov (27-0-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-24)
2017-03-11: W vs. [#19LW] Beneil Dariush (15-4-1) via TKO in 4:35 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Dan Hooker (3-0-0)
2018-07-07: W vs. [#28LW] Gilbert Burns (14-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:28 of round 1
2018-04-21: W vs. [#40LW] Jim Miller (29-12-0) via KO (Knee) in 3:00 of round 1
2017-12-30: W vs. [#182LW] Marc Diakiese (12-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:42 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Edson Barboza – Win%: 50.42
Elo Favorite (Standard): Edson Barboza (1943.31) [+93.86] – Win%: 60.56
Elo Favorite (Modified): Edson Barboza (1925.90) [+83.72] – Win%: 59.06
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edson Barboza 238, Dan Hooker 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#4FLY] Sergio Pettis (17-4-0, +142) vs. [#22] Rob Font (15-4-0, -172)

Last 3 Fights: Sergio Pettis (1-2-0)
2018-10-06: L vs. [#3FLY] Jussier da Silva (22-5-0) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#5FLY] Joseph Benavidez (26-5-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-12-02: L vs. [#1FLY/#6DD/#6P4P] Henry Cejudo (13-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Rob Font (1-2-0)
2018-07-07: L vs. [#6BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-01-20: W vs. [#56BW] Thomas Almeida (21-3-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:24 of round 2
2017-10-28: L vs. [#11BW] Pedro Munhoz (17-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:03 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Rob Font – Win%: 60.48
Elo Favorite (Standard): Sergio Pettis (1753.24) [+29.37] – Win%: 53.35
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rob Font (1715.40) [+18.67] – Win%: 52.04
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergio Pettis 70, Rob Font 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega (12-08-2018)

3 Dec , 2018,
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Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#1DD/#2P4P] Max Holloway (19-3-0, -127) vs. [#2] Brian Ortega (14-0-0, +102)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #3 ranked Featherweight and #36 ranked Absolute fighter.
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #18 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (3-0-0)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#3FW] Jose Aldo (27-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2017-06-03: W vs. [#3FW] Jose Aldo (27-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 3
2016-12-10: W vs. [#8LW] Anthony Pettis (21-8-0) via TKO (Kick to the Body and Punches) in 4:50 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (3-0-0)
2018-03-03: W vs. [#4FW] Frankie Edgar (23-6-1) via KO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 1
2017-12-09: W vs. [#20FW] Cub Swanson (25-10-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:22 of round 2
2017-07-29: W vs. [#9FW] Renato Carneiro (13-1-1) via SUB in 2:59 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Max Holloway – Win%: 53.05
Elo Favorite (Standard): Max Holloway (2319.31) [+173.07] – Win%: 68.80
Elo Favorite (Modified): Max Holloway (2279.17) [+195.86] – Win%: 70.21
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 371, Brian Ortega 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#8DD/#9P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (15-3-0, -338) vs. [#3SW/#6DD/#5P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (15-2-0, +260)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #26 ranked Women’s fighter.
Joanna Jedrzejczyk is the All-Time #4 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (2-1-0)
2018-02-03: W vs. [#17FLY] Priscila Cachoeira (8-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:25 of round 2
2017-09-09: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (16-4-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2017-01-28: W vs. [*] Julianna Pena (8-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:29 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Joanna Jedrzejczyk (1-2-0)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#11SW] Tecia Torres (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-04-07: L vs. [#1SW/#3DD/#2P4P] Rose Namajunas (8-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2017-11-04: L vs. [#1SW/#3DD/#2P4P] Rose Namajunas (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:03 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Valentina Shevchenko – Win%: 73.53
Elo Favorite (Standard): Joanna Jedrzejczyk (1729.36) [+75.56] – Win%: 58.54
Elo Favorite (Modified): Joanna Jedrzejczyk (1733.65) [+45.28] – Win%: 54.94
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 308, Joanna Jedrzejczyk 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#16] Alex Oliveira (20-5-1, +127) vs. [*] Gunnar Nelson (16-3-1, -150)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Oliveira (2-1-0)
2018-09-22: W vs. [#159WW] Carlo Pedersoli Jr. (11-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:39 of round 1
2018-04-14: W vs. [#23WW] Carlos Condit (30-12-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:17 of round 2
2017-12-02: L vs. [#21WW] Yancy Medeiros (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Gunnar Nelson (2-1-0)
2017-07-16: L vs. [#8WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (27-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2017-03-18: W vs. [#44WW] Alan Jouban (16-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:46 of round 2
2016-05-08: W vs. [#38WW] Albert Tumenov (20-4-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:15 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Gunnar Nelson – Win%: 57.66
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alex Oliveira (1978.87) [+133.12] – Win%: 64.75
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alex Oliveira (1969.51) [+113.43] – Win%: 62.17
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Oliveira 77, Gunnar Nelson 510
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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