Category Archives: Event Previews

Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 25: Felder vs. Hooker (02-22-2020)

19 Feb , 2020,
Jason

Lightweight (155)
[#8] Dan Hooker (19-8-0, -136) vs. [#9] Paul Felder (17-4-0, +112)
Paul Felder is the All-Time #48 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Dan Hooker (2-1-0)
2019-10-05: W vs. [#13LW] Al Iaquinta (15-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#112WW] James Vick (13-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:33 of round 1
2018-12-15: L vs. [#15LW] Edson Barboza (20-8-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 2:19 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Paul Felder (2-1-0)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#15LW] Edson Barboza (20-8-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-17: W vs. [#112WW] James Vick (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-07-07: L vs. [#30WW] Mike Perry (13-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Dan Hooker – Win%: 54.99
Elo Favorite (Standard): Paul Felder (1997.16) [+12.99] – Win%: 51.48
Elo Favorite (Modified): Dan Hooker (1969.78) [+19.40] – Win%: 52.12
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Dan Hooker (1981.82) [+20.38] – Win%: 53.71
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dan Hooker 140, Paul Felder 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#34] Jim Crute (10-1-0, +125) vs. [#42] Michal Oleksiejczuk (16-3-0, -149)

Last 3 Fights: Jim Crute (2-1-0)
2019-09-14: L vs. [#20LHW] Misha Cirkunov (15-5-0) via Submission (Peruvian Necktie) in 3:38 of round 1
2019-02-09: W vs. [#39LHW] Sam Alvey (33-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:49 of round 1
2018-12-01: W vs. [#47LHW] Paul Craig (12-4-1) via Submission (Kimura) in 4:51 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Michal Oleksiejczuk (2-1-0)
2019-09-28: L vs. [#21LHW] Ovince St. Preux (24-13-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 2:14 of round 2
2019-04-20: W vs. [#85LHW] Gadzhimurad Antigulov (20-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:44 of round 1
2019-02-23: W vs. [#44LHW] Gian Villante (17-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Michal Oleksiejczuk – Win%: 57.38
Elo Favorite (Standard): Michal Oleksiejczuk (1646.75) [+41.12] – Win%: 54.68
Elo Favorite (Modified): Michal Oleksiejczuk (1664.15) [+3.19] – Win%: 50.35
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Michal Oleksiejczuk (1664.40) [+47.53] – Win%: 58.97
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jim Crute 161, Michal Oleksiejczuk 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#59] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (16-6-1, -146) vs. [#144] Ben Sosoli (7-2-0, +121)

Last 3 Fights: Marcos Rogerio de Lima (1-2-0)
2019-02-23: L vs. [#37HW+] Stefan Struve (29-12-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:21 of round 2
2018-11-03: W vs. [*] Adam Wieczorek (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-04-22: L vs. [#21LHW] Ovince St. Preux (24-13-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 2:11 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ben Sosoli (1-0-0, 2 NC)
2019-10-18: NC vs. [#104HW+] Greg Hardy (5-2-0)
2019-08-27: NC vs. [#223HW+] Dustin Joynson (5-0-0)
2019-03-29: W vs. [#318HW+] Kelvin Fitial (15-9-2) via KO (Punches) in 1:42 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Marcos Rogerio de Lima – Win%: 56.73
Elo Favorite (Standard): Marcos Rogerio de Lima (1527.20) [+167.14] – Win%: 68.21
Elo Favorite (Modified): Marcos Rogerio de Lima (1573.28) [+202.54] – Win%: 70.82
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Marcos Rogerio de Lima (1514.40) [+120.68] – Win%: 72.16
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcos Rogerio de Lima 364, Ben Sosoli 127
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 25: Anderson vs. Blachowicz 2 (02-15-2020)

11 Feb , 2020,
Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#5] Jan Blachowicz (25-8-0, +184) vs. [#9] Corey Anderson (13-4-0, -227)
Jan Blachowicz is the All-Time #29 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.
Corey Anderson is the All-Time #38 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (2-1-0)
2019-11-16: W vs. [#10MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-8-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#12LHW] Luke Rockhold (16-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:39 of round 2
2019-02-23: L vs. [#3LHW] Thiago Santos (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:39 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Corey Anderson (3-0-0)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#27LHW] Johnny Walker (17-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:07 of round 1
2018-12-29: W vs. [#47HW+] Ilir Latifi (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-22: W vs. [#11LHW] Glover Teixeira (30-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Corey Anderson – Win%: 66.34
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jan Blachowicz (2064.49) [+64.86] – Win%: 57.36
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jan Blachowicz (2017.04) [+3.13] – Win%: 50.34
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Jan Blachowicz (2033.48) [+26.79] – Win%: 54.90
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jan Blachowicz 91, Corey Anderson 105
Previous Match-up Record: Corey Anderson leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#61] Diego Sanchez (29-12-0, +133) vs. [#142] Michel Pereira (24-10-0, -160)
Diego Sanchez is the All-Time #23 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Diego Sanchez (2-1-0)
2019-07-06: L vs. [#9WW] Michael Chiesa (17-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#155WW] Mickey Gall (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 2
2018-09-08: W vs. [#248WW] Craig White (14-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Michel Pereira (2-1-0)
2019-09-14: L vs. [#92WW] Tristan Connelly (14-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-28)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#115WW] Danny Roberts (17-5-0) via KO (Flying Knee and Punch) in 1:47 of round 1
2019-02-23: W vs. [#571HW+] Dae Sung Kim (4-6-0) via TKO in 1:02 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Michel Pereira – Win%: 58.91
Elo Favorite (Standard): Diego Sanchez (1711.43) [+187.22] – Win%: 70.17
Elo Favorite (Modified): Diego Sanchez (1707.76) [+158.73] – Win%: 66.70
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Diego Sanchez (1668.64) [+98.66] – Win%: 68.00
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Diego Sanchez 224, Michel Pereira 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#57] Devin Clark (10-4-0) vs. [#164] Dequan Townsend (22-10-0)

Last 3 Fights: Devin Clark (1-2-0)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#14LHW] Ryan Spann (17-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:01 of round 2
2019-06-01: W vs. [#121LHW] Darko Stosic (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#19LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dequan Townsend (1-2-0)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#128MW] Bevon Lewis (7-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-06-29: L vs. [#74LHW] Dalcha Lungiambula (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 0:42 of round 3
2019-03-09: W vs. [#399LHW] Wayman Carter (7-10-0) via SUB in of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Devin Clark (1553.42) [+247.08] – Win%: 75.56
Elo Favorite (Modified): Devin Clark (1573.65) [+242.13] – Win%: 74.27
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Devin Clark (1535.67) [+188.83] – Win%: 81.19
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Devin Clark 126, Dequan Townsend 21
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Jon Jones and the State of the Light-Heavyweight Division

3 Feb , 2020,
oleg

UFC is kicking off 2020 with back-to-back Pay-Per-View events showcasing two of their biggest stars: while UFC 246 featured the long-awaited return of Conor McGregor, this coming Saturday UFC 247 will take us to Houston, Texas – where the reigning light-heavyweight champion and top ranked Jon Jones will put his title on the line against the undefeated [#9] Dominick Reyes.

Besides the big stars in the main event, these cards have something else in common. For one, a relatively weak undercard – something to be expected these days with a big-name main event. UFC 247 does have another title fight, with Valentina Schevchenko defending the women’s flyweight belt against Katlyn Chookagian in the co-main, but the quality of match-ups drops off drastically after that. The quality of the undercard aside, even the main event seems like a foregone conclusion. This was true for McGregor vs Cerrone, and the fight played out much like most fans and pundits envisioned.  The same seems to be the case for Jones vs Reyes. Some MMA sportsbooks are offering great odds for this fight, if you want to drop a few bucks on the champion, or try to win big betting on the underdog challenger. But I am not a gambler, so I will instead examine this fight from the sporting perspective – as well as the overall state of the UFC’s light-heavyweight division, which was once the showcase of the promotion.

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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes (02-08-2020)

Feb , 2020,
Jason

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1/#9DD/#1P4P] Jon Jones (25-1-0, -450) vs. [#9] Dominick Reyes (12-0-0, +337)
Jon Jones is the All-Time #1 ranked Light Heavyweight and #2 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jon Jones (3-0-0)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#3LHW] Thiago Santos (21-7-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#4LHW] Anthony Smith (32-14-0) via UD (48-44, 48-44, 48-44)
2018-12-29: W vs. [*] Alexander Gustafsson (18-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Dominick Reyes (3-0-0)
2019-10-18: W vs. [#14MW] Chris Weidman (14-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:43 of round 1
2019-03-16: W vs. [#10LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (17-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-10-06: W vs. [#21LHW] Ovince St. Preux (24-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jon Jones – Win%: 78.14
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jon Jones (2426.11) [+440.21] – Win%: 88.20
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jon Jones (2358.60) [+420.93] – Win%: 86.33
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Jon Jones (2352.40) [+350.78] – Win%: 92.59
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jon Jones 217, Dominick Reyes 113
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#3DD/#2P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (18-3-0, -1226) vs. [#2/#6P4P] Katlyn Chookagian (13-2-0, +722)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #11 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (3-0-0)
2019-08-10: W vs. [#4FLY] Liz Carmouche (13-7-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#3FLY] Jessica Eye (15-7-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:26 of round 2
2018-12-08: W vs. [#3SW/#7DD/#10P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (16-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Katlyn Chookagian (2-1-0)
2019-11-02: W vs. [#6FLY] Jennifer Maia (17-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#8FLY] Joanne Calderwood (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#3FLY] Jessica Eye (15-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Valentina Shevchenko – Win%: 88.36
Elo Favorite (Standard): Valentina Shevchenko (1854.94) [+134.20] – Win%: 64.86
Elo Favorite (Modified): Valentina Shevchenko (1860.55) [+110.34] – Win%: 61.85
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Valentina Shevchenko (1851.42) [+117.13] – Win%: 70.38
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 182, Katlyn Chookagian 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Valentina Shevchenko leads 2-0
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Heavyweight (265)
[#173] Juan Adams (5-2-0, -226) vs. [#349] Justin Tafa (3-1-0, +183)

Last 3 Fights: Juan Adams (1-2-0)
2019-07-20: L vs. [#104HW+] Greg Hardy (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1
2019-05-04: L vs. [#67HW+] Arjan Singh Bhullar (10-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#230HW+] Chris de la Rocha (5-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:58 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Justin Tafa (2-1-0)
2019-10-05: L vs. [#146HW+] Yorgan De Castro (6-0-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:10 of round 1
2019-05-24: W vs. [NA] David Taumoepeau (1-3-0) via TKO in 0:30 of round 2
2018-07-28: W vs. [*] Jeremy Joiner (4-3-0) via TKO in 0:28 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Juan Adams – Win%: 66.23
Elo Favorite (Standard): Juan Adams (1270.41) [+121.23] – Win%: 63.50
Elo Favorite (Modified): Juan Adams (1412.99) [+159.56] – Win%: 66.79
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Juan Adams (1326.52) [+117.55] – Win%: 71.89
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Juan Adams 203, Justin Tafa 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 166: Blaydes vs. dos Santos (01-25-2020)

22 Jan , 2020,
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#4] Junior dos Santos (21-6-0, +197) vs. [#7] Curtis Blaydes (12-2-0, -245)
Junior dos Santos is the All-Time #6 ranked Heavyweight and #25 ranked Absolute fighter.
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #41 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Junior dos Santos (2-1-0)
2019-06-29: L vs. [#3HW+] Francis Ngannou (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 1
2019-03-09: W vs. [#5HW+] Derrick Lewis (22-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:58 of round 2
2018-12-01: W vs. [#44HW+] Tai Tuivasa (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (2-1-0)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#17HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-6-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punch) in 2:22 of round 2
2019-03-23: W vs. [#16HW+] Justin Willis (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-25)
2018-11-24: L vs. [#3HW+] Francis Ngannou (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Curtis Blaydes – Win%: 67.83
Elo Favorite (Standard): Junior dos Santos (2018.18) [+70.21] – Win%: 57.95
Elo Favorite (Modified): Junior dos Santos (2029.22) [+65.99] – Win%: 57.17
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Junior dos Santos (2019.20) [+66.54] – Win%: 62.07
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Junior dos Santos 210, Curtis Blaydes 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Curtis Blaydes leads 2-1
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Welterweight (170)
[#7] Rafael dos Anjos (29-12-0, -260) vs. [#25] Michael Chiesa (16-4-0, +209)
Rafael dos Anjos is the All-Time #24 ranked Welterweight and #31 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rafael dos Anjos (1-2-0)
2019-07-20: L vs. [#5WW] Leon Edwards (18-3-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#6LW] Kevin Lee (18-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:47 of round 4
2018-11-30: L vs. [#1WW/#3DD/#6P4P] Kamaru Usman (16-1-0) via UD (49-45, 50-43, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chiesa (2-1-0)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#63WW] Diego Sanchez (29-12-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2018-12-29: W vs. [#75WW] Carlos Condit (30-13-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 0:56 of round 2
2018-07-07: L vs. [#12LW] Anthony Pettis (22-10-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 0:52 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Rafael dos Anjos – Win%: 69.05
Elo Favorite (Standard): Rafael dos Anjos (2029.40) [+89.18] – Win%: 60.05
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rafael dos Anjos (1994.37) [+67.74] – Win%: 57.36
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Rafael dos Anjos (2007.12) [+76.27] – Win%: 63.60
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael dos Anjos 189, Michael Chiesa 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Rafael dos Anjos leads 2-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#7] Josh Emmett (15-2-0, -103) vs. [#32] Arnold Allen (15-1-0, -120)

Last 3 Fights: Josh Emmett (2-1-0)
2019-07-13: W vs. [#26FW] Mirsad Bektic (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 1
2019-03-30: W vs. [#84LW] Michael Johnson (19-15-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:14 of round 3
2018-02-24: L vs. [#14FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-17-0) via KO (Elbows) in 1:35 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Arnold Allen (3-0-0)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#100FW] Gilbert Melendez (22-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#86FW] Jordan Rinaldi (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-26)
2018-05-27: W vs. [#81FW] Mads Burnell (13-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:41 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Arnold Allen – Win%: 51.80
Elo Favorite (Standard): Josh Emmett (1954.82) [+113.53] – Win%: 62.68
Elo Favorite (Modified): Josh Emmett (1940.09) [+106.52] – Win%: 61.45
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Josh Emmett (1937.01) [+96.57] – Win%: 67.16
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Josh Emmett 196, Arnold Allen 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cerrone (01-18-2020)

13 Jan , 2020,
Jason

Welterweight (170)
[#16] Donald Cerrone (36-13-0, +247) vs. [*] Conor McGregor (21-4-0, -316)
Conor McGregor is the All-Time #43 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Donald Cerrone (1-2-0)
2019-09-14: L vs. [#4LW] Justin Gaethje (21-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:18 of round 1
2019-06-08: L vs. [#2LW/#5DD/#9P4P] Tony Ferguson (25-3-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2019-05-04: W vs. [#12LW] Al Iaquinta (15-6-1) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Conor McGregor (2-1-0)
2018-10-06: L vs. [#1LW/#1DD/#4P4P] Khabib Nurmagomedov (28-0-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:03 of round 4
2016-11-12: W vs. [#27WW] Eddie Alvarez (30-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 2
2016-08-20: W vs. [#11WW] Nate Diaz (20-12-0) via MD (47-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Conor McGregor – Win%: 72.49
Elo Favorite (Standard): Conor McGregor (2172.99) [+190.54] – Win%: 70.49
Elo Favorite (Modified): Conor McGregor (2111.55) [+152.79] – Win%: 66.12
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Conor McGregor (2112.86) [+120.48] – Win%: 70.54
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Donald Cerrone 126, Conor McGregor 469
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Conor McGregor leads 3-2
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#3] Holly Holm (12-5-0, -137) vs. [#5] Raquel Pennington (10-7-0, +112)
Holly Holm is the All-Time #17 ranked Women’s fighter.
Raquel Pennington is the All-Time #47 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Holly Holm (1-2-0)
2019-07-06: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (19-4-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2018-06-09: W vs. [#6FW] Megan Anderson (9-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-12-30: L vs. [#1FW/#5DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (21-2-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Raquel Pennington (1-2-0)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#6BW] Irene Aldana (12-5-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-10: L vs. [#2BW/#8DD] Germaine de Randamie (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-05-12: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (19-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:36 of round 5

Odds Favorite (Implied): Holly Holm – Win%: 55.06
Elo Favorite (Standard): Raquel Pennington (1583.55) [+56.64] – Win%: 56.43
Elo Favorite (Modified): Raquel Pennington (1542.93) [+10.96] – Win%: 51.20
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Holly Holm (1561.35) [+30.00] – Win%: 55.62
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Holly Holm 196, Raquel Pennington 182
Previous Match-up Record: Holly Holm leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Raquel Pennington leads 2-1
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Heavyweight (265)
[#18] Alexey Oleynik (59-13-1, +110) vs. [#58] Maurice Greene (8-3-0, -135)

Last 3 Fights: Alexey Oleynik (1-2-0)
2019-07-20: L vs. [#14HW+] Walt Harris (13-7-0) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 0:12 of round 1
2019-04-20: L vs. [#9HW+] Alistair Overeem (45-18-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 1
2018-09-15: W vs. [#19HW+] Mark Hunt (13-14-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:26 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Maurice Greene (2-1-0)
2019-10-26: L vs. [#36HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (14-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 1
2019-06-29: W vs. [#72HW+] Junior Albini (14-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:38 of round 1
2019-03-09: W vs. [#94HW+] Jeff Hughes (10-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Maurice Greene – Win%: 54.67
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alexey Oleynik (1634.72) [+94.73] – Win%: 60.65
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alexey Oleynik (1693.73) [+155.53] – Win%: 66.39
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Alexey Oleynik (1680.24) [+164.59] – Win%: 78.08
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexey Oleynik 182, Maurice Greene 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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McGregor vs Cerrone – Preview

5 Jan , 2020,
oleg

After taking a couple of weeks off, UFC will be kicking off 2020 with a return of their biggest star of the decade taking on the most decorated veteran and record holder who has never held a title. UFC 246: McGregor vs Cerrone will be one of those events that doesn’t have a star-studded undercard, and is marketed on the strength of the main event alone.

Conor McGregor will be facing Donald ‘Cowboy’ Cerrone at welterweight; and while this is not a particularly meaningful fight from the divisional title perspective and not exactly a ‘Super-Fight’ either, it is an interesting bout which should be competitive and fun for as long as it lasts.  Here, I will be taking a look at the careers of both fighters, the numerous acclaims and records they hold in the UFC, and the stylistic matchup. And if you are into UFC betting, putting some cash on whoever you think will take home the W might make watching this fight even more exciting.

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Fight Matrix Program – PFL 2019 #10 (12-31-2019)

30 Dec , 2019,
Jason

Women Featherweight (154)
[#5] Larissa Pacheco (13-3-0, 153.6lb, +711) vs. [#7] Kayla Harrison (6-0-0, 154.8lb, -1245)

Last 3 Fights: Larissa Pacheco (2-1-0)
2019-10-11: W vs. [#8FW] Sarah Kaufman (21-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-07-11: W vs. [#29FW] Bobbi Jo Dalziel (5-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:31 of round 1
2019-05-09: L vs. [#7FW] Kayla Harrison (6-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Kayla Harrison (3-0-0)
2019-10-11: W vs. [#29FW] Bobbi Jo Dalziel (5-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:32 of round 1
2019-07-11: W vs. [#55FW] Morgan Frier (4-3-0) via Submission (Key Lock) in 3:35 of round 1
2019-05-09: W vs. [#5FW] Larissa Pacheco (13-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-25)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kayla Harrison – Win%: 88.24
Elo Favorite (Standard): Kayla Harrison (1440.10) [+10.97] – Win%: 51.25
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kayla Harrison (1547.65) [+50.90] – Win%: 55.55
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Kayla Harrison (1481.80) [+14.37] – Win%: 52.79
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Larissa Pacheco 81, Kayla Harrison 81
Previous Match-up Record: Kayla Harrison leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (169)
[#39] David Michaud (18-5-0, 169.5lb, +113) vs. [#53] Ray Cooper III (19-7-1, 168.6lb, -142)

Last 3 Fights: David Michaud (3-0-0)
2019-10-11: W vs. [#69WW] Glaico Franca (22-6-0) via MD ()
2019-10-11: W vs. [#62WW] John Howard (28-16-1) via UD ()
2019-07-11: W vs. [#80WW] Handesson Ferreira (14-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:37 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ray Cooper III (1-1-1)
2019-10-11: W vs. [#89WW] Chris Curtis (21-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:11 of round 2
2019-10-11: D vs. [#88WW] Sadibou Sy (8-5-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 2
2019-07-11: L vs. [#62WW] John Howard (28-16-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:23 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ray Cooper III – Win%: 55.55
Elo Favorite (Standard): David Michaud (1821.04) [+103.32] – Win%: 61.59
Elo Favorite (Modified): David Michaud (1785.77) [+65.77] – Win%: 57.15
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): David Michaud (1763.86) [+5.34] – Win%: 51.00
Days Since Last Pro Fight: David Michaud 81, Ray Cooper III 81
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: David Michaud leads 2-1
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Heavyweight (258)
[#20] Ali Isaev (8-0-0, 258.8lb, -507) vs. [#36] Jared Rosholt (20-7-0, 250.6lb, +366)

Last 3 Fights: Ali Isaev (3-0-0)
2019-10-31: W vs. [#35HW+] Denis Goltsov (25-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 3
2019-10-31: W vs. [#51HW+] Kelvin Tiller (11-5-0) via UD ()
2019-08-08: W vs. [#138HW+] Carl Seumanutafa (12-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jared Rosholt (3-0-0)
2019-10-31: W vs. [#51HW+] Kelvin Tiller (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-10-31: W vs. [#86HW+] Muhammed DeReese (8-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:41 of round 1
2019-08-08: W vs. [#55HW+] Satoshi Ishii (22-10-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ali Isaev – Win%: 79.55
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ali Isaev (1777.99) [+35.78] – Win%: 54.08
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ali Isaev (1818.91) [+48.46] – Win%: 55.28
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Ali Isaev (1799.19) [+51.12] – Win%: 59.42
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ali Isaev 61, Jared Rosholt 61
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – RIZIN 20 (12-31-2019)

Dec , 2019,
Jason

Women Atomweight Championship (108)
[#1/#6DD/#5P4P] Ayaka Hamasaki (19-2-0, 107.7lb, -106) vs. [#2/#10DD] Seo Hee Ham (22-8-0, 107.8lb, -128)
Ayaka Hamasaki is the All-Time #6 ranked Women’s fighter.
Seo Hee Ham is the All-Time #35 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ayaka Hamasaki (3-0-0)
2019-08-18: W vs. [#14AW] Suwanan Boonsorn (4-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:29 of round 1
2019-06-02: W vs. [#3AW] Jinh Yu Frey (8-4-0) via UD ()
2018-12-31: W vs. [#8AW] Kanna Asakura (16-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:34 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Seo Hee Ham (3-0-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#7AW] Miyuu Yamamoto (5-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:42 of round 2
2019-07-28: W vs. [#9AW] Tomo Maesawa (13-10-0) via TKO (Knees) in 3:14 of round 1
2018-12-15: W vs. [#11AW] Jeong Eun Park (7-6-1) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Seo Hee Ham – Win%: 52.17
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ayaka Hamasaki (1721.26) [+148.00] – Win%: 66.29
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ayaka Hamasaki (1718.22) [+128.62] – Win%: 63.71
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Ayaka Hamasaki (1697.97) [+94.67] – Win%: 67.12
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ayaka Hamasaki 135, Seo Hee Ham 80
Previous Match-up Record: Ayaka Hamasaki leads 2-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ayaka Hamasaki leads 6-4
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Lightweight (157)
[#43] Tofiq Musayev (16-3-0, 156.9lb, -170) vs. [#45] Johnny Case (27-6-1, 156.9lb, +132)

Last 3 Fights: Tofiq Musayev (3-0-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#87LW] Damien Brown (19-13-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:14 of round 1
2019-06-02: W vs. [#119LW] Daron Cruickshank (22-13-0) via UD ()
2018-12-31: W vs. [#431LW] Nobumitsu Osawa (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:19 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Case (3-0-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#129LW] Roberto de Souza (9-1-0) via TKO (Submission to Punch) in 1:15 of round 1
2019-07-28: W vs. [#202LW] Satoru Kitaoka (42-20-9) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2018-12-31: W vs. [#103LW] Yusuke Yachi (21-9-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 4:47 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tofiq Musayev – Win%: 59.36
Elo Favorite (Standard): Johnny Case (1811.05) [+18.84] – Win%: 52.15
Elo Favorite (Modified): Johnny Case (1806.39) [+9.23] – Win%: 51.01
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Johnny Case (1802.04) [+8.14] – Win%: 51.54
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tofiq Musayev 80, Johnny Case 80
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (157)
[#12] Patricky Freire (22-8-0, 156.4lb, -443) vs. [#82] Luiz Gustavo Felix dos Santos (10-1-0, 155.8lb, +316)
Patricky Freire is the All-Time #46 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Patricky Freire (3-0-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#203LW] Tatsuya Kawajiri (37-14-2) via KO (Flying Knee and Punches) in 1:10 of round 1
2019-02-09: W vs. [#88LW] Ryan Scope (10-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-09-21: W vs. [#345LW] Roger Huerta (24-12-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:43 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Luiz Gustavo Felix dos Santos (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#210LW] Hiroto Uesako (18-9-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:55 of round 1
2019-04-21: L vs. [#95FW] Mikuru Asakura (12-1-0) via UD ()
2018-08-12: W vs. [#103LW] Yusuke Yachi (21-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:32 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Patricky Freire – Win%: 77.23
Elo Favorite (Standard): Patricky Freire (1998.49) [+376.15] – Win%: 84.80
Elo Favorite (Modified): Patricky Freire (1941.33) [+300.83] – Win%: 78.86
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Patricky Freire (1906.50) [+211.70] – Win%: 83.01
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Patricky Freire 80, Luiz Gustavo Felix dos Santos 80
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – Bellator 237: Fedor vs. Rampage (12-28-2019)

23 Dec , 2019,
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#25] Fedor Emelianenko (38-6-0) vs. [*] Quinton Jackson (38-13-0)
Fedor Emelianenko is the All-Time #1 ranked Heavyweight and #5 ranked Absolute fighter.
Quinton Jackson is the All-Time #28 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Fedor Emelianenko (2-1-0)
2019-01-26: L vs. [#7HW+] Ryan Bader (27-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 1
2018-10-13: W vs. [*] Chael Sonnen (30-17-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:46 of round 1
2018-04-28: W vs. [#33HW+] Frank Mir (19-13-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Quinton Jackson (1-2-0)
2018-09-29: W vs. [*] Wanderlei Silva (35-14-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 2
2018-01-20: L vs. [*] Chael Sonnen (30-17-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-03-31: L vs. [#62LHW] Muhammed Lawal (21-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Fedor Emelianenko (1938.70) [+147.43] – Win%: 66.23
Elo Favorite (Modified): Fedor Emelianenko (1941.39) [+168.05] – Win%: 67.60
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Fedor Emelianenko (1915.70) [+108.98] – Win%: 69.18
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Fedor Emelianenko 336, Quinton Jackson 455
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 6 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#16] Michael Chandler (19-5-0) vs. [#66] Sidney Outlaw (14-3-0)
Michael Chandler is the All-Time #21 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chandler (2-1-0)
2019-05-11: L vs. [#4FW] Patricio Freire (30-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:01 of round 1
2018-12-14: W vs. [#30LW] Brent Primus (9-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2018-04-13: W vs. [#55LW] Brandon Girtz (16-8-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sidney Outlaw (3-0-0)
2019-11-15: W vs. [#346LW] Roger Huerta (24-12-1) via UD ()
2019-05-17: W vs. [#565LW] Cesar Balmaceda (6-2-0) via SUB in 2:30 of round 1
2018-12-21: W vs. [#328LW] Zach Fears (10-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:52 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Michael Chandler (1951.78) [+229.17] – Win%: 74.02
Elo Favorite (Modified): Michael Chandler (1902.13) [+152.42] – Win%: 66.09
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Michael Chandler (1893.90) [+124.75] – Win%: 71.52
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Chandler 231, Sidney Outlaw 43
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#23] Lorenz Larkin (21-7-0) vs. [#148] Keita Nakamura (35-10-2)

Last 3 Fights: Lorenz Larkin (3-0-0)
2019-10-04: W vs. [#36WW] Andrey Koreshkov (22-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-10-12: W vs. [#162WW] Ion Pascu (18-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-01-26: W vs. [#108WW] Fernando Gonzalez (28-18-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Keita Nakamura (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#427WW] Marcos Yoshio Souza (8-2-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 1:15 of round 1
2019-04-20: L vs. [#118WW] Sultan Aliev (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#357WW] Salim Touahri (10-4-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Lorenz Larkin (1967.32) [+366.32] – Win%: 84.20
Elo Favorite (Modified): Lorenz Larkin (1896.42) [+296.21] – Win%: 78.53
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Lorenz Larkin (1883.80) [+242.60] – Win%: 85.85
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lorenz Larkin 85, Keita Nakamura 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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