Author Archives: Jason

Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev (03-02-2024)

Feb 26, 2024
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#13] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (13-5-0, +119) vs. [#37] Shamil Gaziev (12-0-0, -146)
Jairzinho Rozenstruik is the All-Time #47 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (1-2-0)
2023-05-13: L vs. [#7HW+] Jailton Almeida (20-2-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 3:43 of round 1
2022-12-10: W vs. [#30LHW] Chris Daukaus (12-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:23 of round 1
2022-06-04: L vs. [#5HW+] Alexander Volkov (37-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Shamil Gaziev (3-0-0)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#69HW+] Martin Buday (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:56 of round 2
2023-09-19: W vs. [#146HW+] Greg Velasco (6-1-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 1
2023-02-18: W vs. [#47HW+] Darko Stosic (20-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:54 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Shamil Gaziev -146 56.51%
Elo K170 Shamil Gaziev 1753.20 +13.23 51.51%
Elo Modified Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1760.24 +25.72 52.81%
Glicko-1 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1814.26 +25.36 53.64%
WHR Shamil Gaziev 1740.76 +23.48 52.68%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jairzinho Rozenstruik 294, Shamil Gaziev 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#27] Vitor Petrino (10-0-0, -287) vs. [#62] Tyson Pedro (10-4-0, +224)

Last 3 Fights: Vitor Petrino (3-0-0)
2023-11-04: W vs. [#51LHW] Modestas Bukauskas (15-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:03 of round 2
2023-07-08: W vs. [#36LHW] Marcin Prachnio (17-7-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:42 of round 3
2023-03-11: W vs. [#155LHW] Anton Turkalj (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Tyson Pedro (2-1-0)
2023-09-09: W vs. [#155LHW] Anton Turkalj (8-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:12 of round 1
2023-02-11: L vs. [#51LHW] Modestas Bukauskas (15-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-08-20: W vs. [*] Harry Hunsucker (7-6-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 1:05 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Vitor Petrino -287 70.61%
Elo K170 Vitor Petrino 1740.71 +207.33 72.06%
Elo Modified Vitor Petrino 1761.62 +200.28 70.62%
Glicko-1 Vitor Petrino 1786.69 +167.98 72.45%
WHR Vitor Petrino 1826.11 +241.20 75.06%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vitor Petrino 119, Tyson Pedro 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Vitor Petrino leads 2-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#61] Eryk Anders (15-8-0, -331) vs. [#205] Jamie Pickett (13-10-0, +251)

Last 3 Fights: Eryk Anders (1-2-0)
2023-06-10: L vs. [#39MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (17-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-12-03: W vs. [#77MW] Kyle Daukaus (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:45 of round 2
2022-05-21: L vs. [#32MW] Jun Yong Park (17-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jamie Pickett (0-3-0)
2023-08-12: L vs. [#130MW] Josh Fremd (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#124MW] Bo Nickal (5-0-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:54 of round 1
2022-09-10: L vs. [#155MW] Denis Tiuliulin (10-9-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:52 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Eryk Anders -331 72.94%
Elo K170 Eryk Anders 1545.43 +370.68 84.47%
Elo Modified Eryk Anders 1606.85 +357.24 82.69%
Glicko-1 Eryk Anders 1650.23 +438.85 92.59%
WHR Eryk Anders 1594.96 +385.96 85.36%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Eryk Anders 266, Jamie Pickett 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Eryk Anders leads 1-0
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 (02-23-2024)

Feb 19, 2024
Jason

Flyweight (125)
[#2/#4DD/#4P4P] Brandon Moreno (21-7-2, -253) vs. [#5] Brandon Royval (15-7-0, +201)
Brandon Moreno is the All-Time #3 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Brandon Royval is the All-Time #26 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Moreno (2-1-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#3P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (27-5-0) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 48-47)
2023-01-21: W vs. [#10BW] Deiveson Figueiredo (22-3-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 3
2022-07-30: W vs. [#4FLY] Kai Kara-France (24-11-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 4:34 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Royval (2-1-0)
2023-12-16: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#3P4P] Alexandre Pantoja (27-5-0) via UD (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)
2023-04-15: W vs. [#10FLY] Matheus Nicolau (19-3-1) via KO (Knee and Elbows) in 2:09 of round 1
2022-05-07: W vs. [#41FLY] Matt Schnell (16-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:14 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Brandon Moreno -253 68.32%
Elo K170 Brandon Moreno 2022.28 +171.15 68.61%
Elo Modified Brandon Moreno 2026.57 +266.16 76.23%
Glicko-1 Brandon Moreno 2145.82 +329.02 86.92%
WHR Brandon Moreno 2027.83 +281.22 78.33%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Moreno 231, Brandon Royval 70
Previous Match-up Record: Brandon Moreno leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brandon Moreno leads 2-1
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Featherweight (145)
[#4] Yair Rodriguez (19-4-0, -173) vs. [*] Brian Ortega (15-3-0, +141)
Yair Rodriguez is the All-Time #18 ranked Featherweight fighter.
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #11 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Yair Rodriguez (2-1-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#2FW/#6DD] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:19 of round 3
2023-02-11: W vs. [#6FW] Josh Emmett (19-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:19 of round 2
2022-07-16: W vs. [*] Brian Ortega (15-3-0) via TKO (Shoulder Injury) in 4:11 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (1-2-0)
2022-07-16: L vs. [#4FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-4-0) via TKO (Shoulder Injury) in 4:11 of round 1
2021-09-25: L vs. [#2FW/#6DD] Alexander Volkanovski (26-4-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 49-46)
2020-10-17: W vs. [*] Chan Sung Jung (17-8-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Yair Rodriguez -173 60.43%
Elo K170 Yair Rodriguez 2113.37 +125.87 63.99%
Elo Modified Yair Rodriguez 2044.32 +99.92 60.76%
Glicko-1 Yair Rodriguez 2128.98 +138.90 68.99%
WHR Yair Rodriguez 1955.28 +117.46 63.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yair Rodriguez 231, Brian Ortega 588
Previous Match-up Record: Yair Rodriguez leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Brian Ortega leads 2-1
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Lightweight (155)
[#64] Daniel Zellhuber (14-1-0, -261) vs. [#186] Francisco Prado (13-1-0, +206)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Zellhuber (2-1-0)
2023-09-16: W vs. [#95LW] Christos Giagos (20-11-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 3:26 of round 2
2023-04-15: W vs. [#263LW] Lando Vannata (12-7-2) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2022-09-17: L vs. [#176LW] Trey Ogden (16-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Francisco Prado (2-1-0)
2023-07-15: W vs. [#522LW] Ottman Azaitar (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1
2023-02-11: L vs. [#114LW] Jamie Mullarkey (17-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2022-12-16: W vs. [#717WW] Jose Barrios Vargas (14-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:17 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Daniel Zellhuber -261 68.87%
Elo K170 Daniel Zellhuber 1740.90 +145.15 66.00%
Elo Modified Daniel Zellhuber 1768.02 +165.55 67.36%
Glicko-1 Daniel Zellhuber 1802.83 +124.56 67.20%
WHR Daniel Zellhuber 1659.94 +127.03 64.11%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Daniel Zellhuber 161, Francisco Prado 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria (02-16-2024)

Feb 12, 2024
Jason

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#2DD/#5P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (26-3-0, -115) vs. [#4] Ilia Topuria (14-0-0, -106)
Alexander Volkanovski is the All-Time #2 ranked Featherweight and #7 ranked Absolute fighter.
Ilia Topuria is the All-Time #45 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkanovski (1-2-0)
2023-10-21: L vs. [#1LW/#1DD/#1P4P] Islam Makhachev (25-1-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:06 of round 1
2023-07-08: W vs. [#3FW] Yair Rodriguez (19-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:19 of round 3
2023-02-11: L vs. [#1LW/#1DD/#1P4P] Islam Makhachev (25-1-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Ilia Topuria (3-0-0)
2023-06-24: W vs. [#6FW] Josh Emmett (19-4-0) via UD (49-45, 50-44, 50-42)
2022-12-10: W vs. [#14FW] Bryce Mitchell (16-2-0) via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 3:10 of round 2
2022-03-19: W vs. [#128LW] Jai Herbert (12-5-1) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Alexander Volkanovski -115 50.96%
Elo K170 Alexander Volkanovski 2321.36 +256.15 76.32%
Elo Modified Alexander Volkanovski 2262.80 +222.64 72.61%
Glicko-1 Alexander Volkanovski 2350.37 +251.14 80.93%
WHR Alexander Volkanovski 2221.72 +172.17 68.71%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Volkanovski 119, Ilia Topuria 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#7] Robert Whittaker (24-7-0, -217) vs. [*] Paulo Costa (14-2-0, +174)
Robert Whittaker is the All-Time #5 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Paulo Costa is the All-Time #26 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Robert Whittaker (1-2-0)
2023-07-08: L vs. [#2MW/#10DD] Dricus Du Plessis (21-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:23 of round 2
2022-09-03: W vs. [#8MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD ()
2022-02-12: L vs. [#1MW/#8DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Paulo Costa (1-2-0)
2022-08-20: W vs. [*] Luke Rockhold (16-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2021-10-23: L vs. [#8MW] Marvin Vettori (19-7-1) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-46)
2020-09-26: L vs. [#1MW/#8DD] Israel Adesanya (24-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 3:59 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Robert Whittaker -217 65.22%
Elo K170 Robert Whittaker 2141.38 +140.79 65.55%
Elo Modified Robert Whittaker 2118.40 +114.65 62.29%
Glicko-1 Robert Whittaker 2177.03 +93.48 63.14%
WHR Robert Whittaker 1951.77 +57.07 56.48%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Whittaker 224, Paulo Costa 546
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Robert Whittaker leads 4-2
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Welterweight (170)
[#11] Ian Garry (13-0-0, -231) vs. [#13] Geoff Neal (15-5-0, +184)

Last 3 Fights: Ian Garry (3-0-0)
2023-08-19: W vs. [#17WW] Neil Magny (29-11-0) via UD (30-26, 30-24, 30-26)
2023-05-13: W vs. [#38WW] Daniel Rodriguez (17-4-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 2:57 of round 1
2023-03-04: W vs. [#166WW] Kenan Song (20-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:22 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Geoff Neal (2-1-0)
2023-03-04: L vs. [#5WW] Shavkat Rakhmonov (18-0-0) via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 3
2022-08-06: W vs. [#9WW] Vicente Luque (22-9-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:01 of round 3
2021-12-11: W vs. [#32WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-7-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Ian Garry -231 66.46%
Elo K170 Geoff Neal 1980.69 +1.27 50.15%
Elo Modified Ian Garry 1970.17 +39.99 54.37%
Glicko-1 Ian Garry 2004.00 +34.99 55.02%
WHR Ian Garry 1918.30 +74.75 58.46%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ian Garry 182, Geoff Neal 350
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ian Garry leads 1-0
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer (02-10-2024)

Feb 5, 2024
Jason

Middleweight (185)
[#15] Jack Hermansson (23-8-0, +178) vs. [#29] Joseph Pyfer (12-2-0, -223)
Jack Hermansson is the All-Time #40 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jack Hermansson (1-2-0)
2022-12-03: L vs. [#14MW] Roman Dolidze (12-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:06 of round 2
2022-07-23: W vs. [#20MW] Chris Curtis (31-10-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2022-02-05: L vs. [#3MW/#10DD] Sean Strickland (28-6-0) via SD (49-46, 47-48, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Pyfer (3-0-0)
2023-10-07: W vs. [#79MW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (12-6-0) via Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2023-04-08: W vs. [#53MW] Gerald Meerschaert (35-17-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 1
2022-09-17: W vs. [*] Alen Amedovski (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:55 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Joseph Pyfer -223 65.74%
Elo K170 Jack Hermansson 1864.46 +187.12 70.16%
Elo Modified Jack Hermansson 1909.80 +200.20 70.61%
Glicko-1 Jack Hermansson 1965.84 +178.50 73.64%
WHR Jack Hermansson 1805.63 +127.58 64.17%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Hermansson 434, Joseph Pyfer 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#15] Dan Ige (17-7-0, -176) vs. [#52] Andre Fili (23-10-0, +145)

Last 3 Fights: Dan Ige (2-1-0)
2023-09-23: L vs. [#14FW] Bryce Mitchell (16-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2023-06-10: W vs. [#42FW] Nate Landwehr (17-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2023-01-14: W vs. [#36FW] Damon Jackson (22-6-1) via KO (Punch) in 4:13 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Andre Fili (2-1-0)
2023-12-16: W vs. [#178FW] Lucas Almeida (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:32 of round 1
2023-07-22: L vs. [#35FW] Nathaniel Wood (19-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2022-09-17: W vs. [#18FW] Bill Algeo (18-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Dan Ige -176 60.97%
Elo K170 Dan Ige 1830.30 +109.34 62.24%
Elo Modified Dan Ige 1795.55 +117.13 62.55%
Glicko-1 Dan Ige 1834.04 +124.33 67.17%
WHR Dan Ige 1724.77 +83.67 59.44%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dan Ige 140, Andre Fili 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#83] Robert Bryczek (17-5-0) vs. [#185] Ihor Potieria (24-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Robert Bryczek (3-0-0)
2023-07-28: W vs. [#102LHW] Samuel Kristofic (17-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:55 of round 1
2023-05-20: W vs. [#276MW] Lee Chadwick (28-19-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:41 of round 1
2022-12-03: W vs. [#331MW] Abdel Rahmane Driai (8-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ihor Potieria (1-2-0)
2023-12-02: L vs. [#61LHW] Rodolfo Bellato (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 2
2023-05-13: L vs. [#31LHW] Carlos Ulberg (10-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:09 of round 1
2023-01-21: W vs. [*] Mauricio Rua (27-14-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Robert Bryczek 1645.42 +199.96 71.37%
Elo Modified Robert Bryczek 1661.97 +191.74 69.83%
Glicko-1 Robert Bryczek 1741.82 +261.39 81.83%
WHR Robert Bryczek 1670.09 +241.68 75.10%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Bryczek 197, Ihor Potieria 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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