Author Archives: Jason

Fight Matrix Program – Anthony Smith vs Glover Teixeira (05-13-2020)

11 May , 2020,
Jason

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#4] Anthony Smith (33-14-0, -173) vs. [#11] Glover Teixeira (30-7-0, +143)
Glover Teixeira is the All-Time #21 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (2-1-0)
2019-06-01: W vs. [*] Alexander Gustafsson (18-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:38 of round 4
2019-03-02: L vs. [#1LHW/#9DD/#1P4P] Jon Jones (26-1-0) via UD (48-44, 48-44, 48-44)
2018-10-27: W vs. [#10LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (17-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:26 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Glover Teixeira (3-0-0)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#13LHW] Nikita Krylov (26-7-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#39LHW] Ion Cutelaba (15-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:37 of round 2
2019-01-19: W vs. [#43MW] Karl Roberson (9-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:21 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Anthony Smith – Win%: 60.62
Elo Favorite (Standard): Anthony Smith (2080.27) [+125.09] – Win%: 63.91
Elo Favorite (Modified): Anthony Smith (2091.57) [+163.18] – Win%: 67.14
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Anthony Smith (2088.13) [+156.02] – Win%: 76.09
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Anthony Smith 347, Glover Teixeira 242
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Anthony Smith leads 2-1
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Heavyweight (265)
[#30] Ben Rothwell (37-12-0, +124) vs. [#22LHW] Ovince St. Preux (24-13-0, -150)
Ben Rothwell is the All-Time #47 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ben Rothwell (1-2-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#37HW+] Stefan Struve (29-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:57 of round 2
2019-07-20: L vs. [#40HW+] Andrei Arlovski (28-19-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-09: L vs. [#12HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (18-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ovince St. Preux (1-2-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#47LHW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (16-4-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 2:14 of round 2
2019-04-13: L vs. [#13LHW] Nikita Krylov (26-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:30 of round 2
2018-10-06: L vs. [#7LHW] Dominick Reyes (12-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ovince St. Preux – Win%: 57.33
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ovince St. Preux (1733.16) [+31.62] – Win%: 53.60
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ovince St. Preux (1757.42) [+18.91] – Win%: 52.07
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Ben Rothwell (1735.59) [+5.80] – Win%: 51.12
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ben Rothwell 158, Ovince St. Preux 228
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#10] Alexander Hernandez (11-2-0) vs. [#35] Drew Dober (22-9-0)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Hernandez (2-1-0)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#18LW] Francisco Trinaldo (25-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-01-19: L vs. [#25WW] Donald Cerrone (36-15-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:42 of round 2
2018-07-28: W vs. [#50LW] Olivier Aubin-Mercier (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Drew Dober (2-1-0)
2020-01-18: W vs. [#90LW] Nasrat Haqparast (11-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:10 of round 1
2019-06-29: W vs. [#438FW] Marco Polo Reyes (8-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 1
2019-03-09: L vs. [#16LW] Beneil Dariush (18-4-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:41 of round 2

Elo Favorite (Standard): Alexander Hernandez (1843.03) [+75.41] – Win%: 58.53
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alexander Hernandez (1817.88) [+56.68] – Win%: 56.17
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Alexander Hernandez (1824.03) [+53.17] – Win%: 59.85
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Hernandez 298, Drew Dober 116
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexander Hernandez leads 2-0
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Fight Matrix Program – UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje (05-09-2020)

3 May , 2020,
Jason

Lightweight Championship (155)
[#2/#6DD/#9P4P] Tony Ferguson (25-3-0, -179) vs. [#4] Justin Gaethje (21-2-0, +150)
Tony Ferguson is the All-Time #10 ranked Lightweight and #49 ranked Absolute fighter.
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #29 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tony Ferguson (3-0-0)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#20WW] Donald Cerrone (36-14-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2018-10-06: W vs. [#12LW] Anthony Pettis (22-10-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2017-10-07: W vs. [#8LW] Kevin Lee (18-6-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:02 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (3-0-0)
2019-09-14: W vs. [#20WW] Donald Cerrone (36-14-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:18 of round 1
2019-03-30: W vs. [#15LW] Edson Barboza (20-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:30 of round 1
2018-08-25: W vs. [#113WW] James Vick (13-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:27 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tony Ferguson – Win%: 61.59
Elo Favorite (Standard): Tony Ferguson (2326.98) [+147.38] – Win%: 66.23
Elo Favorite (Modified): Tony Ferguson (2265.16) [+142.16] – Win%: 65.07
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Tony Ferguson (2285.64) [+124.10] – Win%: 71.07
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tony Ferguson 336, Justin Gaethje 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Justin Gaethje leads 3-2
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Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#9DD/#2P4P] Henry Cejudo (15-2-0, -222) vs. [*] Dominick Cruz (22-2-0, +181)
Henry Cejudo is the All-Time #15 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Dominick Cruz is the All-Time #1 ranked Bantamweight and #33 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Henry Cejudo (3-0-0)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#2BW/#10DD] Marlon Moraes (23-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2019-01-19: W vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:32 of round 1
2018-08-04: W vs. [#8BW/#3P4P] Demetrious Johnson (30-3-1) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Dominick Cruz (2-1-0)
2016-12-30: L vs. [#25BW] Cody Garbrandt (11-3-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-47)
2016-06-04: W vs. [#16BW] Urijah Faber (35-11-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2016-01-17: W vs. [*] T.J. Dillashaw (16-4-0) via SD (46-49, 48-47, 49-46)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Henry Cejudo – Win%: 65.95
Elo Favorite (Standard): Henry Cejudo (2247.66) [+229.12] – Win%: 74.01
Elo Favorite (Modified): Henry Cejudo (2163.15) [+213.73] – Win%: 71.82
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Henry Cejudo (2199.49) [+209.55] – Win%: 81.83
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Henry Cejudo 336, Dominick Cruz 1226
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Dominick Cruz leads 4-2
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Heavyweight (265)
[#3] Francis Ngannou (14-3-0, -285) vs. [#7] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (10-0-0, +229)
Francis Ngannou is the All-Time #26 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Francis Ngannou (3-0-0)
2019-06-29: W vs. [#6HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 1
2019-02-17: W vs. [#26HW+] Cain Velasquez (14-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 1
2018-11-24: W vs. [#4HW+] Curtis Blaydes (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (3-0-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#8HW+] Alistair Overeem (45-18-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:56 of round 5
2019-11-02: W vs. [#38HW+] Andrei Arlovski (28-19-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:29 of round 1
2019-06-22: W vs. [#147HW+] Allen Crowder (10-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:09 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Francis Ngannou – Win%: 70.88
Elo Favorite (Standard): Francis Ngannou (2149.39) [+337.67] – Win%: 82.39
Elo Favorite (Modified): Francis Ngannou (2133.52) [+301.99] – Win%: 78.95
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Francis Ngannou (2117.05) [+278.58] – Win%: 88.98
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Francis Ngannou 315, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Pro Bouts: 2019 vs 2020

22 Apr , 2020,
Jason

Pro Bout Counts

April has an asterisk, because it isn’t over yet, so I took the pro bouts for the month (15) and projected the month’s total.

Technically, the more recent a bout is, the more likely it is that we don’t have the results yet, so 2020 is at a bit of a disadvantage.  I figure I have 50% of the results within 30 days, with the other 50% coming later — but I should have about 90% within 60 days.

Either way, the above statement doesn’t make 2020 any less depressing for MMA fans.

Here it is by week #, if interested.

Pro Bouts Count 2

 

Current MMA Rankings Updated (03-28-2020)

29 Mar , 2020,
Jason

Quarantine/Coronavirus Update #2

  • Probably the least impactful standard ranking update in the site’s history.