Fight Matrix Program – UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 (2020-08-15)

9 Aug , 2020,
Jason

Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#1/#5P4P] Stipe Miocic (19-3-0, -111) vs. [#2/#9P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-2-0, -113)
Stipe Miocic is the All-Time #3 ranked Heavyweight and #15 ranked Absolute fighter.
Daniel Cormier is the All-Time #13 ranked Heavyweight and #11 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Stipe Miocic (2-1-0)
2019-08-17: W vs. [#2HW+/#9P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:09 of round 4
2018-07-07: L vs. [#2HW+/#9P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 1
2018-01-20: W vs. [#3HW+] Francis Ngannou (15-3-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Cormier (2-1-0)
2019-08-17: L vs. [#1HW+/#5P4P] Stipe Miocic (19-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:09 of round 4
2018-11-03: W vs. [#5HW+] Derrick Lewis (24-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:14 of round 2
2018-07-07: W vs. [#1HW+/#5P4P] Stipe Miocic (19-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Daniel Cormier -113 50.20%
Elo K170 Stipe Miocic 2325.93 +35.56 54.05%
Elo Modified Stipe Miocic 2296.39 +34.58 53.78%
Glicko-1 Stipe Miocic 2430.16 +66.44 59.45%
WHR Stipe Miocic 2236.45 +16.95 51.93%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stipe Miocic 364, Daniel Cormier 364
Previous Match-up Record: Even: 1-1-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#23] Sean OMalley (12-0-0, -319) vs. [#28] Marlon Vera (16-6-1, +248)

Last 3 Fights: Sean OMalley (3-0-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#56BW] Eddie Wineland (24-14-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:54 of round 1
2020-03-07: W vs. [#93BW] Jose Alberto Quinonez (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 1
2018-03-03: W vs. [#111BW] Andre Soukhamthath (13-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Vera (2-1-0)
2020-05-16: L vs. [#16BW] Yadong Song (16-4-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#55BW] Andre Ewell (16-6-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 3:17 of round 3
2019-07-06: W vs. [#167BW] Nohelin Hernandez (10-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:25 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Sean OMalley -319 72.59%
Elo K170 Sean OMalley 1767.59 +81.27 59.18%
Elo Modified Sean OMalley 1798.87 +116.44 62.47%
Glicko-1 Sean OMalley 1844.44 +105.31 64.71%
WHR Sean OMalley 1721.94 +111.80 62.50%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean OMalley 70, Marlon Vera 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#21] Magomed Ankalaev (13-1-0, -304) vs. [#40] Ion Cutelaba (15-5-0, +239)

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (3-0-0)
2020-02-29: W vs. [#40LHW] Ion Cutelaba (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches and Kicks) in 0:38 of round 1
2019-11-09: W vs. [#68LHW] Dalcha Lungiambula (10-2-0) via KO (Front Kick and Punch) in 0:29 of round 3
2019-02-23: W vs. [#43LHW] Klidson Abreu (15-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ion Cutelaba (1-2-0)
2020-02-29: L vs. [#21LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (13-1-0) via TKO (Punches and Kicks) in 0:38 of round 1
2019-09-28: W vs. [#44LHW] Khalil Rountree (8-5-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:35 of round 1
2019-04-27: L vs. [#7LHW] Glover Teixeira (31-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:37 of round 2

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Magomed Ankalaev -304 71.83%
Elo K170 Magomed Ankalaev 1870.41 +257.72 76.45%
Elo Modified Magomed Ankalaev 1873.45 +234.88 73.65%
Glicko-1 Magomed Ankalaev 1933.39 +249.52 80.79%
WHR Magomed Ankalaev 1809.53 +208.47 72.16%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Magomed Ankalaev 168, Ion Cutelaba 168
Previous Match-up Record: Magomed Ankalaev leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#6] Junior dos Santos (21-7-0, +127) vs. [#7] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (10-1-0, -153)
Junior dos Santos is the All-Time #6 ranked Heavyweight and #28 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Junior dos Santos (1-2-0)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#4HW+] Curtis Blaydes (14-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 2
2019-06-29: L vs. [#3HW+] Francis Ngannou (15-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:11 of round 1
2019-03-09: W vs. [#5HW+] Derrick Lewis (24-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:58 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (2-1-0)
2020-05-09: L vs. [#3HW+] Francis Ngannou (15-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:20 of round 1
2019-12-07: W vs. [#8HW+] Alistair Overeem (46-18-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:56 of round 5
2019-11-02: W vs. [#28HW+] Andrei Arlovski (29-19-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:29 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Jairzinho Rozenstruik -153 57.85%
Elo K170 Junior dos Santos 1916.20 +125.83 63.99%
Elo Modified Junior dos Santos 1937.12 +142.14 65.07%
Glicko-1 Junior dos Santos 1993.10 +131.82 68.11%
WHR Junior dos Santos 1896.41 +83.18 59.39%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Junior dos Santos 203, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jairzinho Rozenstruik leads 1-0
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Bantamweight (135)
[#12] John Dodson (21-11-0, +156) vs. [#21] Merab Dvalishvili (11-4-0, -188)
John Dodson is the All-Time #29 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: John Dodson (1-2-0)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#34BW] Nathaniel Wood (17-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:16 of round 3
2019-02-23: L vs. [#1BW/#6DD] Petr Yan (15-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-09-08: L vs. [#6BW] Jimmie Rivera (23-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (3-0-0)
2020-06-13: W vs. [#324FW] Gustavo Lopez (11-5-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-26)
2020-02-15: W vs. [#40BW] Casey Kenney (14-2-1) via UD (30-27, 30-25, 29-28)
2019-05-04: W vs. [#87BW] Brad Katona (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Merab Dvalishvili -188 62.56%
Elo K170 John Dodson 1829.66 +61.99 57.03%
Elo Modified John Dodson 1826.96 +42.69 54.66%
Glicko-1 John Dodson 1917.60 +118.24 66.39%
WHR John Dodson 1830.83 +123.86 63.78%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: John Dodson 182, Merab Dvalishvili 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#16] Livinha Souza (13-2-0, -156) vs. [#35] Ashley Yoder (7-5-0, +129)
Livinha Souza is the All-Time #40 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Livinha Souza (2-1-0)
2019-07-13: L vs. [#15SW] Brianna Van Buren (9-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#40FLY] Sarah Frota (9-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-09-22: W vs. [*] Alex Chambers (5-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:21 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ashley Yoder (2-1-0)
2019-10-26: L vs. [#21SW] Randa Markos (10-8-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-06-22: W vs. [#101SW] Syuri Kondo (6-3-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-24)
2018-11-10: W vs. [#65FLY] Amanda Bobby Cooper (4-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Livinha Souza -156 58.25%
Elo K170 Livinha Souza 1552.62 +271.16 77.54%
Elo Modified Livinha Souza 1559.07 +210.25 71.51%
Glicko-1 Livinha Souza 1558.65 +237.92 79.73%
WHR Livinha Souza 1434.46 +128.43 64.26%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Livinha Souza 399, Ashley Yoder 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#19] Virna Jandiroba (15-1-0, -300) vs. [*] Felice Herrig (14-8-0, +236)

Last 3 Fights: Virna Jandiroba (2-1-0)
2019-12-07: W vs. [#55SW] Mallory Martin (6-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:16 of round 2
2019-04-27: L vs. [#7SW] Carla Esparza (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-09-01: W vs. [#99SW] Janaisa Morandin (10-4-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:23 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Felice Herrig (1-2-0)
2018-10-06: L vs. [#11SW] Michelle Waterson (17-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-26)
2018-04-07: L vs. [#26SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (12-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#26FLY] Cortney Casey (9-8-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Virna Jandiroba -300 71.59%
Elo K170 Virna Jandiroba 1571.94 +160.08 67.51%
Elo Modified Virna Jandiroba 1568.01 +122.55 63.10%
Glicko-1 Virna Jandiroba 1584.13 +161.61 71.72%
WHR Virna Jandiroba 1518.69 +167.72 68.27%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Virna Jandiroba 252, Felice Herrig 679
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#29] Daniel Pineda (28-13-0, +208) vs. [#30] Herbert Burns (11-2-0, -261)

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Pineda (3-0-0)
2019-10-17: W vs. [#68FW] Jeremy Kennedy (15-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:00 of round 1
2019-10-17: W vs. [#60FW] Movlid Khaybulaev (14-1-1) via TKO (Kicks and Punches) in 0:29 of round 1
2019-05-24: W vs. [#811FW] Rey Trujillo (25-28-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 3:32 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Herbert Burns (3-0-0)
2020-06-06: W vs. [#118FW] Evan Dunham (18-9-1) via Submission Rear Naked Choke) in 1:20 of round 1
2020-01-25: W vs. [#34FW] Nate Landwehr (14-3-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:43 of round 1
2019-08-06: W vs. [#132FW] Darrick Minner (24-11-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 2:29 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Betting Odds Herbert Burns -261 69.00%
Elo K170 Daniel Pineda 1841.33 +16.96 51.94%
Elo Modified Daniel Pineda 1854.38 +20.34 52.22%
Glicko-1 Daniel Pineda 1910.01 +23.52 53.38%
WHR Daniel Pineda 1835.41 +29.59 53.37%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Daniel Pineda 303, Herbert Burns 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Daniel Pineda leads 1-0
.

Featherweight (145)
[#226] T.J. Brown (14-7-0) vs. [#325] Danny Chavez (10-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: T.J. Brown (2-1-0)
2020-02-29: L vs. [#126FW] Jordan Griffin (18-8-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:38 of round 2
2019-08-27: W vs. [#452FW] Dylan Lockard (6-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:59 of round 3
2019-05-24: W vs. [#437LW] Ken Beverly (9-5-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:45 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Danny Chavez (3-0-0)
2020-07-18: W vs. [#980FW] Dylan Cala (6-3-0) via KO in 2:24 of round 1
2018-12-15: W vs. [#516BW] Felipe Vargas (5-2-0) via TKO (Head Kick) in 2:50 of round 1
2018-03-17: W vs. [NA] Leandro Manhaes Paes (8-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:08 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Danny Chavez 1427.58 +66.29 57.51%
Elo Modified Danny Chavez 1447.44 +55.81 56.08%
Glicko-1 Danny Chavez 1445.95 +14.87 52.14%
WHR Danny Chavez 1467.74 +125.18 63.92%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: T.J. Brown 168, Danny Chavez 28
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#130] Parker Porter (9-5-0) vs. [#167] Chris Daukaus (8-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Parker Porter (2-1-0)
2019-09-07: W vs. [#209HW+] Dirlei Broenstrup (16-8-0) via TKO in 3:17 of round 3
2019-05-31: W vs. [#287HW+] Kevin Ray Sears (8-6-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:29 of round 2
2018-11-02: L vs. [#120HW+] Keith Bell (11-9-1) via DQ (Punches to Back of Head) in 2:30 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Chris Daukaus (2-1-0)
2019-08-16: W vs. [NA] Danny Holmes (4-5-0) via TKO in 1:30 of round 1
2019-03-02: L vs. [#98HW+] Azunna Anyanwu (15-6-0) via TKO in of round 2
2018-09-21: W vs. [#522HW+] Edwin Smart (3-3-0) via TKO in 3:49 of round 1

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Parker Porter 1338.31 +37.31 54.25%
Elo Modified Parker Porter 1409.46 +55.52 56.05%
Glicko-1 Parker Porter 1425.86 +66.86 59.51%
WHR Parker Porter 1361.04 +66.91 57.58%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Parker Porter 343, Chris Daukaus 365
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#34] Jim Miller (32-14-0) vs. [#79] Vinc Pichel (12-2-0)
Jim Miller is the All-Time #40 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jim Miller (2-1-0)
2020-06-20: W vs. [#74LW] Roosevelt Roberts (10-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:25 of round 1
2020-02-15: L vs. [#33LW] Scott Holtzman (14-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-08-03: W vs. [#71LW] Clay Guida (35-20-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Vinc Pichel (2-1-0)
2019-06-29: W vs. [#74LW] Roosevelt Roberts (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-06-01: L vs. [#23LW] Gregor Gillespie (13-1-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:06 of round 2
2018-01-27: W vs. [#119LW] Joaquim Silva (11-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

System Favorite Rating Rating Diff Win %
Elo K170 Jim Miller 1776.49 +33.99 53.87%
Elo Modified Jim Miller 1759.57 +28.40 53.10%
Glicko-1 Jim Miller 1830.89 +94.91 63.33%
WHR Jim Miller 1719.84 +60.00 56.81%

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jim Miller 56, Vinc Pichel 413
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Modified rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko/WHR Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Stipe Miocic
Highest Stored DD Rating: Stipe Miocic
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Stipe Miocic vs. Daniel Cormier
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Stipe Miocic vs. Daniel Cormier
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2020-8-9