Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris (05-16-2020)

16 May , 2020,
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#9] Alistair Overeem (45-18-0, +130) vs. [#16] Walt Harris (13-7-0, -158)
Alistair Overeem is the All-Time #14 ranked Heavyweight and #47 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alistair Overeem (2-1-0)
2019-12-07: L vs. [#8HW+] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (10-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:56 of round 5
2019-04-20: W vs. [#13HW+] Alexey Oleynik (61-13-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 1
2018-11-24: W vs. [#34HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (14-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Walt Harris (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#13HW+] Alexey Oleynik (61-13-1) via KO (Knee and Punches) in 0:12 of round 1
2019-05-04: W vs. [#42HW+] Sergey Spivak (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:50 of round 1
2018-12-29: NC vs. [#40HW+] Andrei Arlovski (29-19-0)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Walt Harris – Win%: 58.47
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alistair Overeem (1836.95) [+120.35] – Win%: 63.41
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alistair Overeem (1860.35) [+58.47] – Win%: 56.36
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Alistair Overeem (1805.87) [+11.27] – Win%: 52.15
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alistair Overeem 161, Walt Harris 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alistair Overeem leads 3-1
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#9] Claudia Gadelha (17-4-0, -194) vs. [#16] Angela Hill (12-7-0, +162)
Claudia Gadelha is the All-Time #30 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Claudia Gadelha (2-1-0)
2019-07-06: W vs. [#22SW] Randa Markos (10-8-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#8SW] Nina Ansaroff (10-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#6SW] Carla Esparza (16-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (3-0-0)
2020-02-22: W vs. [#99SW] Konklak Suphisara (4-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2020-01-25: W vs. [#43SW] Hannah Cifers (10-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 4:26 of round 2
2019-09-21: W vs. [#54SW] Ariane Carnelossi (12-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:56 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Claudia Gadelha – Win%: 63.35
Elo Favorite (Standard): Claudia Gadelha (1627.84) [+102.04] – Win%: 61.45
Elo Favorite (Modified): Claudia Gadelha (1619.37) [+80.08] – Win%: 58.68
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Claudia Gadelha (1599.79) [+50.98] – Win%: 59.52
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Claudia Gadelha 315, Angela Hill 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Claudia Gadelha leads 2-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#14LW] Edson Barboza (20-8-0, -132) vs. [#21] Dan Ige (13-2-0, +107)

Last 3 Fights: Edson Barboza (1-2-0)
2019-09-07: L vs. [#11LW] Paul Felder (17-5-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-03-30: L vs. [#2LW/#6DD/#9P4P] Justin Gaethje (22-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:30 of round 1
2018-12-15: W vs. [#7LW] Dan Hooker (20-8-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 2:19 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Dan Ige (3-0-0)
2020-02-08: W vs. [#32FW] Mirsad Bektic (13-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2019-06-22: W vs. [#54FW] Kevin Aguilar (17-3-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#153FW] Danny Henry (12-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:17 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Edson Barboza – Win%: 54.08
Elo Favorite (Standard): Dan Ige (1935.29) [+99.08] – Win%: 61.13
Elo Favorite (Modified): Edson Barboza (1887.89) [+10.73] – Win%: 51.17
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Edson Barboza (1909.09) [+57.43] – Win%: 60.42
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edson Barboza 252, Dan Ige 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#22] Krzysztof Jotko (21-4-0, -164) vs. [#31] Eryk Anders (13-4-0, +137)

Last 3 Fights: Krzysztof Jotko (2-1-0)
2019-07-27: W vs. [#74MW] Marc-Andre Barriault (11-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-04-20: W vs. [#308MW] Alen Amedovski (8-2-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-26)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#29MW] Brad Tavares (17-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Eryk Anders (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#38MW] Gerald Meerschaert (31-12-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-06-29: W vs. [#152LHW] Vinicius Moreira Castro (9-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:18 of round 1
2019-04-13: L vs. [#41LHW] Khalil Rountree (8-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Krzysztof Jotko – Win%: 59.55
Elo Favorite (Standard): Krzysztof Jotko (1778.67) [+106.39] – Win%: 61.92
Elo Favorite (Modified): Krzysztof Jotko (1763.71) [+60.25] – Win%: 56.55
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Krzysztof Jotko (1730.61) [+9.76] – Win%: 51.81
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Krzysztof Jotko 294, Eryk Anders 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#19] Marlon Vera (16-5-1, +150) vs. [#26] Yadong Song (15-4-1, -180)

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Vera (3-0-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#58BW] Andre Ewell (16-6-0) via TKO (Elbow and Punches) in 3:17 of round 3
2019-07-06: W vs. [#177BW] Nohelin Hernandez (10-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:25 of round 2
2019-03-23: W vs. [#84BW] Frankie Saenz (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (2-0-1)
2019-12-07: D vs. [#20BW] Cody Stamann (18-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2019-07-06: W vs. [#46BW] Alejandro Perez (21-8-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:04 of round 1
2018-11-24: W vs. [#298BW] Vince Morales (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Yadong Song – Win%: 61.64
Elo Favorite (Standard): Marlon Vera (1785.95) [+58.83] – Win%: 56.68
Elo Favorite (Modified): Marlon Vera (1769.66) [+44.38] – Win%: 54.84
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Marlon Vera (1782.55) [+61.20] – Win%: 61.32
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marlon Vera 217, Yadong Song 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#32] Matt Brown (22-16-0, +169) vs. [#280] Miguel Baeza (8-0-0, -205)
Matt Brown is the All-Time #41 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Matt Brown (2-1-0)
2019-12-14: W vs. [#103WW] Ben Saunders (22-13-2) via KO (Elbows) in 4:55 of round 2
2017-11-11: W vs. [#64WW] Diego Sanchez (30-12-0) via KO (Elbow) in 3:44 of round 1
2016-12-10: L vs. [#25WW] Donald Cerrone (36-15-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:34 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Miguel Baeza (3-0-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#1118WW] Hector Aldana (4-3-0) via TKO (Leg Kick and Elbows) in 2:32 of round 2
2019-06-25: W vs. [#361WW] Victor Reyna (11-4-0) via UD ()
2018-12-15: W vs. [#602WW] Matthew Colquhoun (7-4-0) via KO in 3:31 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Miguel Baeza – Win%: 64.38
Elo Favorite (Standard): Matt Brown (1863.80) [+367.71] – Win%: 84.29
Elo Favorite (Modified): Matt Brown (1846.11) [+362.42] – Win%: 83.02
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Matt Brown (1829.25) [+313.73] – Win%: 91.40
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matt Brown 154, Miguel Baeza 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#50] Kevin Holland (16-5-0, -112) vs. [#116] Anthony Hernandez (7-1-0, -112)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2019-10-18: L vs. [#27MW] Brendan Allen (14-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:38 of round 2
2019-06-22: W vs. [#104MW] Alessio Di Chirico (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-30: W vs. [#38MW] Gerald Meerschaert (31-12-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Hernandez (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2019-08-31: W vs. [#70MW] Jun Yong Park (11-4-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:39 of round 2
2019-02-02: L vs. [#108MW] Markus Perez (12-3-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:07 of round 2
2018-06-19: NC vs. [#130MW] Jordan Wright (10-0-0)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kevin Holland – Win%: 50.00
Elo Favorite (Standard): Kevin Holland (1668.97) [+168.93] – Win%: 68.39
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kevin Holland (1642.13) [+70.45] – Win%: 57.65
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Kevin Holland (1636.61) [+81.78] – Win%: 65.16
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 211, Anthony Hernandez 259
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Anthony Hernandez leads 1-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#99] Giga Chikadze (10-2-0, +170) vs. [#233] Mike Davis (8-2-0, -208)

Last 3 Fights: Giga Chikadze (3-0-0)
2020-03-07: W vs. [#101FW] Jamall Emmers (17-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#206FW] Brandon Davis (10-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2019-03-23: W vs. [NA] Damien Manzanares (0-3-0) via Submission (Punches) in 0:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mike Davis (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#414LW] Thomas Gifford (17-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:45 of round 3
2019-04-27: L vs. [#9WW] Gilbert Burns (18-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:15 of round 2
2019-03-22: W vs. [NA] Carlos Guerra (3-5-0) via SUB in 2:08 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Mike Davis – Win%: 64.57
Elo Favorite (Standard): Giga Chikadze (1477.11) [+46.01] – Win%: 55.24
Elo Favorite (Modified): Mike Davis (1479.89) [+96.41] – Win%: 60.40
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Mike Davis (1468.41) [+58.54] – Win%: 61.21
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Giga Chikadze 70, Mike Davis 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[*] Cortney Casey (8-7-0, -164) vs. [#53] Mara Romero Borella (12-7-0, +137)

Last 3 Fights: Cortney Casey (1-2-0)
2019-02-17: L vs. [#10SW] Cynthia Calvillo (8-1-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-08-25: W vs. [#16SW] Angela Hill (12-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#12SW] Michelle Waterson (17-8-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mara Romero Borella (1-2-0)
2020-02-15: L vs. [#22FLY] Montana De La Rosa (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-08-03: L vs. [#12FLY] Lauren Murphy (12-4-0) via TKO (Knee and Elbows) in 1:46 of round 3
2019-02-02: W vs. [*] Taila Santos (15-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Cortney Casey – Win%: 59.55
Elo Favorite (Standard): Cortney Casey (1377.86) [+126.51] – Win%: 64.06
Elo Favorite (Modified): Cortney Casey (1438.17) [+200.33] – Win%: 70.62
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Cortney Casey (1400.26) [+155.36] – Win%: 77.33
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cortney Casey 454, Mara Romero Borella 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#30] Darren Elkins (24-8-0, -121) vs. [#74] Nate Landwehr (13-3-0, -102)
Darren Elkins is the All-Time #48 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Darren Elkins (0-3-0)
2019-07-13: L vs. [#19FW] Ryan Hall (8-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-17: L vs. [#17FW] Ricardo Lamas (19-8-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:09 of round 3
2018-07-14: L vs. [#1FW/#2DD/#7P4P] Alexander Volkanovski (21-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Nate Landwehr (2-1-0)
2020-01-25: L vs. [#41FW] Herbert Burns (10-2-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:43 of round 1
2019-06-28: W vs. [#102FW] Viktor Kolesnik (18-4-1) via UD ()
2018-12-15: W vs. [#187FW] Andrey Lezhnev (18-9-0) via TKO in 3:10 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Darren Elkins – Win%: 52.01
Elo Favorite (Standard): Darren Elkins (1679.49) [+4.37] – Win%: 50.50
Elo Favorite (Modified): Darren Elkins (1679.52) [+17.96] – Win%: 51.96
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Darren Elkins (1684.17) [+20.58] – Win%: 53.90
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Darren Elkins 308, Nate Landwehr 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#123] Dontale Mayes (7-3-0) vs. [#139] Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira (7-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Dontale Mayes (2-1-0)
2019-10-26: L vs. [#51HW+] Ciryl Gane (6-0-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 4:46 of round 3
2019-07-16: W vs. [#151HW+] Ricardo Prasel (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2018-11-17: W vs. [NA] Nkemdirim Oti (2-6-0) via SUB in 2:15 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira (3-0-0)
2019-07-30: W vs. [#65HW+] Michal Martinek (8-1-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:16 of round 1
2017-10-07: W vs. [*] Everton dos Anjos (4-2-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:39 of round 1
2016-11-19: W vs. [*] Fabio Moreira (2-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:00 of round 2

Elo Favorite (Standard): Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira (1452.10) [+75.26] – Win%: 58.51
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira (1518.34) [+36.75] – Win%: 54.01
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira (1481.35) [+55.82] – Win%: 60.77
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dontale Mayes 203, Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira 291
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– The Glicko-1 scores in this post are adjusted to better match the 1000 Elo starter rating for an easier comparison.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Alistair Overeem
Highest Stored DD Rating: Edson Barboza
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Alistair Overeem vs. Walt Harris
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Edson Barboza vs. Dan Ige
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2020-5-16