Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 27: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo (02-29-2020)

24 Feb , 2020,
Jason

Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1] Joseph Benavidez (28-5-0, -129) vs. [#3] Deiveson Figueiredo (17-1-0, +104)
Joseph Benavidez is the All-Time #6 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Deiveson Figueiredo is the All-Time #15 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Benavidez (3-0-0)
2019-06-29: W vs. [#2FLY] Jussier Formiga (23-6-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 4:47 of round 2
2019-01-19: W vs. [#9FLY] Dustin Ortiz (19-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-30: W vs. [#8FLY] Alex Perez (23-5-0) via TKO (Strikes) in 4:19 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#21FLY] Tim Elliott (15-10-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:08 of round 1
2019-07-27: W vs. [#4FLY] Alexandre Pantoja (22-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-03-23: L vs. [#2FLY] Jussier Formiga (23-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Joseph Benavidez – Win%: 53.46
Elo Favorite (Standard): Joseph Benavidez (2067.41) [+119.82] – Win%: 63.36
Elo Favorite (Modified): Joseph Benavidez (2051.53) [+134.33] – Win%: 64.29
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Joseph Benavidez (2034.93) [+85.36] – Win%: 65.15
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Benavidez 245, Deiveson Figueiredo 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Joseph Benavidez leads 4-2
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Women Featherweight (145)
[#5] Felicia Spencer (7-1-0, -746) vs. [#24] Zarah Fairn dos Santos (6-3-0, +510)

Last 3 Fights: Felicia Spencer (2-1-0)
2019-07-27: L vs. [#1FW/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (22-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#6FW] Megan Anderson (9-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:24 of round 1
2018-11-16: W vs. [#11FW] Pam Sorenson (8-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:23 of round 4

Last 3 Fights: Zarah Fairn dos Santos (2-1-0)
2019-10-05: L vs. [#6FW] Megan Anderson (9-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:57 of round 1
2017-12-15: W vs. [#215FLY] Izabela Badurek (7-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:55 of round 1
2017-09-09: W vs. [#50FLY] Suvi Salmimies (11-6-1) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Felicia Spencer – Win%: 84.32
Elo Favorite (Standard): Felicia Spencer (1489.70) [+233.01] – Win%: 74.36
Elo Favorite (Modified): Felicia Spencer (1535.41) [+222.53] – Win%: 72.60
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Felicia Spencer (1473.25) [+156.74] – Win%: 77.55
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Felicia Spencer 217, Zarah Fairn dos Santos 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Felicia Spencer leads 1-0
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#27] Magomed Ankalaev (12-1-0, -249) vs. [#30] Ion Cutelaba (15-4-0, +200)

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Ankalaev (3-0-0)
2019-11-09: W vs. [#74LHW] Dalcha Lungiambula (10-2-0) via KO (Front Kick and Punch) in 0:29 of round 3
2019-02-23: W vs. [#34LHW] Klidson Abreu (15-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-09-15: W vs. [*] Marcin Prachnio (13-4-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:09 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ion Cutelaba (2-1-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#42LHW] Khalil Rountree (8-5-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:35 of round 1
2019-04-27: L vs. [#11LHW] Glover Teixeira (30-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:37 of round 2
2018-07-28: W vs. [#85LHW] Gadzhimurad Antigulov (20-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:25 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Magomed Ankalaev – Win%: 68.16
Elo Favorite (Standard): Magomed Ankalaev (1822.00) [+161.16] – Win%: 67.62
Elo Favorite (Modified): Magomed Ankalaev (1825.13) [+138.49] – Win%: 64.71
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Magomed Ankalaev (1793.40) [+89.59] – Win%: 66.39
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Magomed Ankalaev 112, Ion Cutelaba 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Featherweight (145)
[#6] Megan Anderson (9-4-0, -242) vs. [*] Norma Dumont Viana (4-0-0, +194)

Last 3 Fights: Megan Anderson (2-1-0)
2019-10-05: W vs. [#24FW] Zarah Fairn dos Santos (6-3-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:57 of round 1
2019-05-18: L vs. [#5FW] Felicia Spencer (7-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:24 of round 1
2018-12-29: W vs. [#9FW] Cat Zingano (10-4-0) via TKO (Eye Injury) in 1:01 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Norma Dumont Viana (3-0-0)
2018-08-05: W vs. [#30BW] Mariana Morais (14-10-0) via MD ()
2017-09-16: W vs. [NA] Erica Leidianny Ribeiro (1-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:43 of round 1
2017-07-15: W vs. [#133FLY] Patricia Borges Fernandes (4-4-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Megan Anderson – Win%: 67.53
Elo Favorite (Standard): Megan Anderson (1449.85) [+173.51] – Win%: 68.84
Elo Favorite (Modified): Megan Anderson (1485.91) [+146.14] – Win%: 65.47
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Megan Anderson (1487.08) [+198.32] – Win%: 82.28
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Megan Anderson 147, Norma Dumont Viana 573
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#49] Grant Dawson (14-1-0) vs. [#129] Darrick Minner (24-10-0)

Last 3 Fights: Grant Dawson (3-0-0)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#162FW] Michael Trizano (8-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:27 of round 2
2019-03-09: W vs. [#190FW] Julian Erosa (22-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-27, 30-26)
2017-08-15: W vs. [*] Adrian Diaz (11-7-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:15 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Darrick Minner (2-1-0)
2019-12-06: W vs. [#768FW] Charlie DuBray (15-14-0) via SUB in 1:33 of round 1
2019-10-19: W vs. [#353FW] Terrance McKinney (7-3-0) via SUB in 0:57 of round 1
2019-08-06: L vs. [#43FW] Herbert Burns (10-2-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 2:29 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Grant Dawson (1739.68) [+259.94] – Win%: 76.63
Elo Favorite (Modified): Grant Dawson (1729.76) [+208.51] – Win%: 71.36
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Grant Dawson (1689.39) [+143.55] – Win%: 75.08
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Grant Dawson 287, Darrick Minner 85
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#139] Gabriel Silva (8-1-0, -120) vs. [#181] Kyler Phillips (6-1-0, -104)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Silva (2-1-0)
2019-07-20: L vs. [#5FLY] Ray Borg (13-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-03-29: W vs. [#815FW] Jake Heffernan (7-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:23 of round 1
2017-03-11: W vs. [#370FW] Kamil Lebkowski (19-9-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Kyler Phillips (2-1-0)
2019-02-01: W vs. [#642BW] Emeka Ifekandu (6-3-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:30 of round 1
2018-10-20: L vs. [#24BW] Victor Henry (20-4-0) via SD ()
2017-08-01: W vs. [#915BW] James Gray Jr. (5-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 0:46 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Gabriel Silva – Win%: 51.69
Elo Favorite (Standard): Gabriel Silva (1525.59) [+174.61] – Win%: 68.95
Elo Favorite (Modified): Gabriel Silva (1560.60) [+51.80] – Win%: 55.65
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Gabriel Silva (1496.40) [+27.36] – Win%: 55.34
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gabriel Silva 224, Kyler Phillips 393
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[*] Tom Breese (11-1-0, -128) vs. [#46] Brendan Allen (13-3-0, +103)

Last 3 Fights: Tom Breese (2-1-0)
2018-05-27: W vs. [*] Daniel Kelly (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:33 of round 1
2016-06-04: L vs. [*] Sean Strickland (20-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2016-02-27: W vs. [#144WW] Keita Nakamura (35-11-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Brendan Allen (3-0-0)
2019-10-18: W vs. [#54MW] Kevin Holland (16-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:38 of round 2
2019-07-16: W vs. [#267MW] Aaron Jeffery (7-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:23 of round 1
2019-02-22: W vs. [#294MW] Moses Murrietta (8-4-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tom Breese – Win%: 53.26
Elo Favorite (Standard): Tom Breese (1766.25) [+43.74] – Win%: 54.98
Elo Favorite (Modified): Tom Breese (1832.49) [+89.10] – Win%: 59.63
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Tom Breese (1805.03) [+85.32] – Win%: 65.71
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tom Breese 643, Brendan Allen 134
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#31] Marcin Tybura (17-6-0, -111) vs. [#33] Sergey Spivak (10-1-0, -111)

Last 3 Fights: Marcin Tybura (1-2-0)
2019-09-14: L vs. [#26HW+] Augusto Sakai (14-1-1) via KO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 1
2019-04-20: L vs. [#17HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:15 of round 2
2018-07-22: W vs. [#38HW+] Stefan Struve (29-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Sergey Spivak (2-1-0)
2019-10-05: W vs. [#42HW+] Tai Tuivasa (10-4-0) via Technical Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:14 of round 2
2019-05-04: L vs. [#13HW+] Walt Harris (13-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:50 of round 1
2018-09-29: W vs. [#156HW+] Tony Lopez (64-32-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 4:12 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Marcin Tybura – Win%: 50.00
Elo Favorite (Standard): Sergey Spivak (1579.42) [+0.95] – Win%: 50.11
Elo Favorite (Modified): Sergey Spivak (1627.64) [+25.20] – Win%: 52.75
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Sergey Spivak (1622.59) [+51.19] – Win%: 59.75
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcin Tybura 168, Sergey Spivak 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#170] Jordan Griffin (17-7-0, -136) vs. [#174] T.J. Brown (14-6-0, +113)

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Griffin (1-2-0)
2019-09-14: L vs. [#84FW] Chas Skelly (18-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-12-15: L vs. [#24FW] Dan Ige (13-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-31: W vs. [#797BW] Maurice Mitchell (11-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:57 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: T.J. Brown (3-0-0)
2019-08-27: W vs. [#495FW] Dylan Lockard (6-2-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:59 of round 3
2019-05-24: W vs. [#452LW] Ken Beverly (9-5-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:45 of round 1
2019-04-13: W vs. [#263LW] CJay Hunter (6-6-0) via SUB in 4:50 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jordan Griffin – Win%: 55.10
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jordan Griffin (1478.67) [+51.76] – Win%: 55.88
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jordan Griffin (1509.07) [+58.36] – Win%: 56.35
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Jordan Griffin (1486.08) [+39.59] – Win%: 57.83
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jordan Griffin 168, T.J. Brown 186
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#183] Aalon Cruz (8-2-0, -154) vs. [#187] Spike Carlyle (8-1-0, +131)

Last 3 Fights: Aalon Cruz (3-0-0)
2019-07-30: W vs. [#634FW] Steven Nguyen (6-1-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 4:36 of round 3
2019-02-08: W vs. [#429FW] Gui Cury (9-5-1) via UD ()
2018-06-02: W vs. [#108FW] Steve Garcia (11-3-0) via Submission in 1:47 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Spike Carlyle (3-0-0)
2019-11-15: W vs. [#1895LW] Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (2-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:50 of round 1
2019-08-30: W vs. [#618LW] Matthew Colquhoun (7-4-0) via KO (Spinning Backfist) in 3:58 of round 1
2019-03-09: W vs. [#286FW] Fernando Padilla (12-4-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Aalon Cruz – Win%: 58.34
Elo Favorite (Standard): Aalon Cruz (1480.66) [+50.55] – Win%: 55.75
Elo Favorite (Modified): Spike Carlyle (1504.18) [+3.11] – Win%: 50.34
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Spike Carlyle (1488.10) [+18.13] – Win%: 53.55
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aalon Cruz 214, Spike Carlyle 106
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#39] Ismail Naurdiev (19-3-0, -134) vs. [#85] Sean Brady (11-0-0, +109)

Last 3 Fights: Ismail Naurdiev (2-1-0)
2019-09-28: W vs. [#79WW] Siyar Bahadurzada (24-8-1) via UD (30-26, 30-25, 30-26)
2019-07-06: L vs. [#64WW] Chance Rencountre (15-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#46WW] Michel Prazeres (26-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Brady (3-0-0)
2019-10-18: W vs. [#96WW] Court McGee (19-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2019-02-16: W vs. [#409WW] Tajuddin Abdul Hakim (8-2-0) via TKO in 3:36 of round 4
2018-09-14: W vs. [#350MW] Gilbert Urbina (6-1-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ismail Naurdiev – Win%: 54.47
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ismail Naurdiev (1780.69) [+60.20] – Win%: 56.83
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ismail Naurdiev (1774.53) [+3.20] – Win%: 50.35
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Ismail Naurdiev (1801.15) [+86.30] – Win%: 65.70
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ismail Naurdiev 154, Sean Brady 134
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– The Glicko-1 scores in this post are adjusted to better match the 1000 Elo starter rating for an easier comparison.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Joseph Benavidez
Highest Stored DD Rating: Joseph Benavidez
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Joseph Benavidez vs. Deiveson Figueiredo
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Joseph Benavidez vs. Deiveson Figueiredo
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2020-2-23