Fight Matrix Program – Bellator 237: Fedor vs. Rampage (12-28-2019)

Dec 23, 2019
Jason

Heavyweight (265)
[#25] Fedor Emelianenko (38-6-0) vs. [*] Quinton Jackson (38-13-0)
Fedor Emelianenko is the All-Time #1 ranked Heavyweight and #5 ranked Absolute fighter.
Quinton Jackson is the All-Time #28 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Fedor Emelianenko (2-1-0)
2019-01-26: L vs. [#7HW+] Ryan Bader (27-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 1
2018-10-13: W vs. [*] Chael Sonnen (30-17-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:46 of round 1
2018-04-28: W vs. [#33HW+] Frank Mir (19-13-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Quinton Jackson (1-2-0)
2018-09-29: W vs. [*] Wanderlei Silva (35-14-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:32 of round 2
2018-01-20: L vs. [*] Chael Sonnen (30-17-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-03-31: L vs. [#62LHW] Muhammed Lawal (21-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Fedor Emelianenko (1938.70) [+147.43] – Win%: 66.23
Elo Favorite (Modified): Fedor Emelianenko (1941.39) [+168.05] – Win%: 67.60
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Fedor Emelianenko (1915.70) [+108.98] – Win%: 69.18
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Fedor Emelianenko 336, Quinton Jackson 455
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 6 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#16] Michael Chandler (19-5-0) vs. [#66] Sidney Outlaw (14-3-0)
Michael Chandler is the All-Time #21 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chandler (2-1-0)
2019-05-11: L vs. [#4FW] Patricio Freire (30-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:01 of round 1
2018-12-14: W vs. [#30LW] Brent Primus (9-1-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2018-04-13: W vs. [#55LW] Brandon Girtz (16-8-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sidney Outlaw (3-0-0)
2019-11-15: W vs. [#346LW] Roger Huerta (24-12-1) via UD ()
2019-05-17: W vs. [#565LW] Cesar Balmaceda (6-2-0) via SUB in 2:30 of round 1
2018-12-21: W vs. [#328LW] Zach Fears (10-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:52 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Michael Chandler (1951.78) [+229.17] – Win%: 74.02
Elo Favorite (Modified): Michael Chandler (1902.13) [+152.42] – Win%: 66.09
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Michael Chandler (1893.90) [+124.75] – Win%: 71.52
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Chandler 231, Sidney Outlaw 43
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#23] Lorenz Larkin (21-7-0) vs. [#148] Keita Nakamura (35-10-2)

Last 3 Fights: Lorenz Larkin (3-0-0)
2019-10-04: W vs. [#36WW] Andrey Koreshkov (22-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-10-12: W vs. [#162WW] Ion Pascu (18-10-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-01-26: W vs. [#108WW] Fernando Gonzalez (28-18-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Keita Nakamura (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [#427WW] Marcos Yoshio Souza (8-2-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 1:15 of round 1
2019-04-20: L vs. [#118WW] Sultan Aliev (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#357WW] Salim Touahri (10-4-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Lorenz Larkin (1967.32) [+366.32] – Win%: 84.20
Elo Favorite (Modified): Lorenz Larkin (1896.42) [+296.21] – Win%: 78.53
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Lorenz Larkin (1883.80) [+242.60] – Win%: 85.85
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lorenz Larkin 85, Keita Nakamura 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#30] Kana Watanabe (8-0-1) vs. [#65] Ilara Joanne (9-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Kana Watanabe (3-0-0)
2019-10-22: W vs. [NA] Hee Eun Kang (0-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:48 of round 1
2019-04-21: W vs. [#157FLY] Justyna Haba (1-1-0) via UD ()
2019-03-08: W vs. [NA] Soo Min Kang (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ilara Joanne (3-0-0)
2019-10-25: W vs. [#120FLY] Bec Rawlings (7-9-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 3:35 of round 2
2018-10-25: W vs. [#229FLY] Cristiane Lima Silva (5-6-0) via UD ()
2017-12-16: W vs. [NA] Erika Alcantara (1-5-0) via UD ()

Elo Favorite (Standard): Kana Watanabe (1443.64) [+223.98] – Win%: 73.56
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kana Watanabe (1497.00) [+218.58] – Win%: 72.25
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Kana Watanabe (1405.66) [+99.48] – Win%: 68.92
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kana Watanabe 67, Ilara Joanne 64
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#31] Goiti Yamauchi (24-4-0) vs. [#117] Daron Cruickshank (22-12-0)

Last 3 Fights: Goiti Yamauchi (2-1-0)
2019-10-04: W vs. [#131WW] Saad Awad (23-13-0) via Verbal Submission (Armbar) in 1:40 of round 1
2018-11-30: W vs. [#25FW] Daniel Weichel (40-11-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 27-30)
2018-01-20: L vs. [#16LW] Michael Chandler (19-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-25, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Daron Cruickshank (1-2-0)
2019-06-02: L vs. [#43LW] Tofiq Musayev (16-3-0) via UD ()
2018-12-31: L vs. [#87LW] Damien Brown (19-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:19 of round 1
2018-09-30: W vs. [#54FW] Diego Brandao (25-15-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 0:17 of round 2

Elo Favorite (Standard): Goiti Yamauchi (1888.70) [+338.99] – Win%: 82.47
Elo Favorite (Modified): Goiti Yamauchi (1830.84) [+263.65] – Win%: 76.03
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Goiti Yamauchi (1824.38) [+230.47] – Win%: 84.97
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Goiti Yamauchi 85, Daron Cruickshank 209
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#42] Michael Page (16-1-0) vs. [#209] Shinsho Anzai (11-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Page (2-1-0)
2019-11-23: W vs. [#297WW] Giovanni Melillo (13-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:47 of round 1
2019-09-27: W vs. [#697WW] Richard Kiely (3-2-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 2:42 of round 1
2019-05-11: L vs. [#6WW] Douglas Lima (32-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:35 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Shinsho Anzai (2-1-0)
2019-09-08: W vs. [#434WW] Yoichiro Sato (21-11-2) via TMD ()
2018-06-23: L vs. [#82WW] Jake Matthews (15-4-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:44 of round 1
2017-09-22: W vs. [#146WW] Luke Jumeau (13-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Michael Page (1883.81) [+347.15] – Win%: 83.01
Elo Favorite (Modified): Michael Page (1872.62) [+343.02] – Win%: 81.78
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Michael Page (1862.18) [+320.42] – Win%: 91.58
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Page 35, Shinsho Anzai 111
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#170] Ai Shimizu (6-1-0) vs. [NA] Andy Nguyen (6-8-0)

Last 3 Fights: Ai Shimizu (3-0-0)
2019-08-18: W vs. [NA] Tabatha Ann Watkins (3-3-0) via UD ()
2019-06-09: W vs. [#242SW] Sayuri Yamaguchi (2-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:45 of round 2
2019-03-08: W vs. [NA] Sae Kokuho (0-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:08 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Andy Nguyen (1-2-0)
2019-01-19: L vs. [#226FLY] Tiani Valle (3-2-0) via TKO in 1:29 of round 1
2018-09-30: L vs. [#7AW] Miyuu Yamamoto (5-4-0) via UD ()
2018-05-04: W vs. [NA] Cassie Robb (2-11-0) via UD ()

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ai Shimizu 132, Andy Nguyen 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[*] Jon Tuck (10-5-0) vs. [#213] Ryuichiro Sumimura (15-6-0)

Last 3 Fights: Jon Tuck (1-2-0)
2018-08-25: L vs. [#59LW] Drew Dober (21-9-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-06-17: W vs. [*] Takanori Gomi (36-15-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:12 of round 1
2016-11-26: L vs. [#87LW] Damien Brown (19-13-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ryuichiro Sumimura (2-1-0)
2019-10-22: W vs. [#498WW] Yoshitomo Watanabe (16-17-3) via SUB in 2:30 of round 3
2018-08-12: L vs. [#178WW] Kiichi Kunimoto (20-9-2) via Technical Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:59 of round 1
2018-04-28: W vs. [#434WW] Yoichiro Sato (21-11-2) via UD ()

Elo Favorite (Standard): Ryuichiro Sumimura (1618.28) [+192.29] – Win%: 70.65
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ryuichiro Sumimura (1642.44) [+119.88] – Win%: 62.83
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Ryuichiro Sumimura (1589.66) [+82.18] – Win%: 65.69
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jon Tuck 490, Ryuichiro Sumimura 67
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#29] Jarred Brooks (15-2-0) vs. [#1SW] Haruo Ochi (19-7-2)

Last 3 Fights: Jarred Brooks (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2019-10-30: W vs. [#219FLY] Victor Altamirano (6-1-0) via SUB in 4:19 of round 2
2019-08-18: NC vs. [#1SW] Haruo Ochi (19-7-2)
2018-09-08: W vs. [*] Roberto Sanchez (8-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Haruo Ochi (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2019-08-18: NC vs. [#29FLY] Jarred Brooks (15-2-0)
2019-03-09: W vs. [#936BW] Namiki Kawahara (5-3-2) via UD ()
2018-09-30: W vs. [#10SW] Mitsuhisa Sunabe (29-9-4) via KO (Punch and Soccer Kicks) in 2:53 of round 3

Elo Favorite (Standard): Haruo Ochi (1658.15) [+24.78] – Win%: 52.83
Elo Favorite (Modified): Haruo Ochi (1652.78) [+22.56] – Win%: 52.47
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Haruo Ochi (1660.43) [+40.99] – Win%: 57.70
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jarred Brooks 59, Haruo Ochi 132
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#142] Yusuke Yachi (20-9-0) vs. [#180] Hiroto Uesako (18-8-0)

Last 3 Fights: Yusuke Yachi (0-3-0)
2019-07-28: L vs. [#96FW] Mikuru Asakura (12-1-0) via UD ()
2018-12-31: L vs. [#45LW] Johnny Case (27-6-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 4:47 of round 2
2018-08-12: L vs. [#82LW] Luiz Gustavo Felix dos Sa (10-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:32 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Hiroto Uesako (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: L vs. [#82LW] Luiz Gustavo Felix dos Sa (10-1-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:55 of round 1
2019-08-18: W vs. [#381LW] Yves Landu (15-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:45 of round 2
2019-03-17: W vs. [#194LW] Salimkhan Sadulloev (8-4-0) via TKO in 0:16 of round 2

Elo Favorite (Standard): Hiroto Uesako (1513.95) [+16.38] – Win%: 51.87
Elo Favorite (Modified): Hiroto Uesako (1535.46) [+45.77] – Win%: 54.99
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Hiroto Uesako (1551.71) [+85.01] – Win%: 66.05
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yusuke Yachi 153, Hiroto Uesako 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Hiroto Uesako leads 1-0
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Women Atomweight (105)
[#8] Kanna Asakura (15-4-0) vs. [*] Jayme Hinshaw (4-3-0)

Last 3 Fights: Kanna Asakura (2-1-0)
2019-08-18: W vs. [#16AW] Alesha Zappitella (5-2-0) via SD ()
2019-06-02: L vs. [#7AW] Miyuu Yamamoto (5-4-0) via UD ()
2019-03-08: W vs. [#9AW] Tomo Maesawa (13-10-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Jayme Hinshaw (3-0-0)
2018-07-21: W vs. [#158SW] Bi Nguyen (5-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:01 of round 2
2017-11-10: W vs. [#198SW] Melissa Karagianis (3-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:16 of round 4
2017-07-08: W vs. [NA] Kelly Vilarino (0-4-0) via UD ()

Elo Favorite (Standard): Kanna Asakura (1452.55) [+292.33] – Win%: 79.18
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kanna Asakura (1411.22) [+221.37] – Win%: 72.50
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Kanna Asakura (1367.69) [+136.01] – Win%: 74.16
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kanna Asakura 132, Jayme Hinshaw 525
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[*] Sergey Shemetov (10-7-0) vs. [#392] Shoma Shibisai (5-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Sergey Shemetov (3-0-0)
2015-12-30: W vs. [NA] Daniel Amar Singh (1-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:56 of round 1
2015-02-28: W vs. [NA] Karl Fogan (1-2-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:08 of round 1
2015-02-28: W vs. [NA] Abdelkader Lahmizi (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:18 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Shoma Shibisai (2-1-0)
2019-10-12: W vs. [NA] Chang Hee Kim (1-5-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:09 of round 1
2018-07-28: L vs. [*] Unurjargal Boldpurev (2-0-0) via UD ()
2016-12-17: W vs. [#284LHW] Ryo Sakai (8-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:41 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Sergey Shemetov (1272.39) [+110.84] – Win%: 62.39
Elo Favorite (Modified): Sergey Shemetov (1288.77) [+51.99] – Win%: 55.67
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Sergey Shemetov (1274.99) [+77.71] – Win%: 65.40
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergey Shemetov 1459, Shoma Shibisai 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– The Glicko-1 scores in this post are adjusted to better match the 1000 Elo starter rating for an easier comparison.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Lorenz Larkin
Highest Stored DD Rating: Haruo Ochi
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Michael Chandler vs. Sidney Outlaw
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Jarred Brooks vs. Haruo Ochi
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2019-12-23

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