UFC 243 Program: Whittaker vs. Adesanya (10-01-2019)

1 Oct , 2019,
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Middleweight Championship (185)
[*] Robert Whittaker (20-4-0, -114) vs. [#2] Israel Adesanya (17-0-0, -109)
Robert Whittaker is the All-Time #13 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #28 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Robert Whittaker (3-0-0)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#3MW] Yoel Romero (13-4-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2017-07-08: W vs. [#3MW] Yoel Romero (13-4-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2017-04-15: W vs. [#8MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-7-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:28 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (3-0-0)
2019-04-13: W vs. [#6MW] Kelvin Gastelum (15-4-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-46)
2019-02-09: W vs. [#17MW] Anderson Silva (34-10-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-03: W vs. [#12MW] Derek Brunson (20-7-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:51 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Robert Whittaker – Win%: 50.53
Elo Favorite (Standard): Robert Whittaker (2327.08) [+145.06] – Win%: 65.98
Elo Favorite (Modified): Robert Whittaker (2255.01) [+102.73] – Win%: 61.06
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Robert Whittaker (2269.34) [+87.96] – Win%: 65.20
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Whittaker 483, Israel Adesanya 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#8] Al Iaquinta (15-5-1, +108) vs. [#16] Dan Hooker (18-8-0, -134)
Al Iaquinta is the All-Time #43 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Al Iaquinta (1-2-0)
2019-05-04: L vs. [#5LW] Donald Cerrone (36-13-0) via UD (49-45, 49-45, 49-46)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#33WW] Kevin Lee (17-5-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2018-04-07: L vs. [#1LW/#1DD/#4P4P] Khabib Nurmagomedov (28-0-0) via UD (50-44, 50-43, 50-43)

Last 3 Fights: Dan Hooker (2-1-0)
2019-07-20: W vs. [#34LW] James Vick (13-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:33 of round 1
2018-12-15: L vs. [#12LW] Edson Barboza (20-8-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 2:19 of round 3
2018-07-07: W vs. [#19WW] Gilbert Burns (17-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:28 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Dan Hooker – Win%: 54.35
Elo Favorite (Standard): Al Iaquinta (1989.25) [+118.96] – Win%: 63.26
Elo Favorite (Modified): Al Iaquinta (1937.79) [+60.28] – Win%: 56.56
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Al Iaquinta (1942.90) [+56.02] – Win%: 60.23
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Al Iaquinta 154, Dan Hooker 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#29] Tai Tuivasa (8-2-0, -358) vs. [#91] Sergey Spivak (9-1-0, +277)

Last 3 Fights: Tai Tuivasa (1-2-0)
2019-06-08: L vs. [#13HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (18-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-12-01: L vs. [#4HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 2
2018-06-09: W vs. [#32HW+] Andrei Arlovski (28-18-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Sergey Spivak (2-1-0)
2019-05-04: L vs. [#12HW+] Walt Harris (13-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:50 of round 1
2018-09-29: W vs. [#143HW+] Tony Lopez (62-31-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 4:12 of round 1
2018-03-24: W vs. [NA] Ivo Cuk (12-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:21 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tai Tuivasa – Win%: 74.66
Elo Favorite (Standard): Tai Tuivasa (1610.54) [+155.57] – Win%: 67.06
Elo Favorite (Modified): Tai Tuivasa (1656.16) [+135.25] – Win%: 64.38
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Tai Tuivasa (1601.31) [+88.92] – Win%: 66.70
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tai Tuivasa 119, Sergey Spivak 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#84] Dhiego Lima (14-7-0, -186) vs. [*] Luke Jumeau (13-4-0, +154)

Last 3 Fights: Dhiego Lima (2-1-0)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#93WW] Court McGee (19-8-0) via SD (28-29, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#168WW] Chad Laprise (13-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:37 of round 1
2018-04-14: L vs. [#144MW] Yushin Okami (35-14-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Luke Jumeau (2-1-0)
2018-02-10: W vs. [#272WW] Daichi Abe (6-4-0) via UD (28-27, 29-28, 29-27)
2017-09-22: L vs. [#198WW] Shinsho Anzai (11-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-06-10: W vs. [#107MW] Dominique Steele (17-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Dhiego Lima – Win%: 62.28
Elo Favorite (Standard): Dhiego Lima (1734.99) [+224.74] – Win%: 73.63
Elo Favorite (Modified): Dhiego Lima (1678.87) [+134.18] – Win%: 64.28
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Dhiego Lima (1668.08) [+109.22] – Win%: 69.52
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dhiego Lima 161, Luke Jumeau 602
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#87] Jake Matthews (14-4-0, -280) vs. [#357] Rostem Akman (6-1-0, +224)

Last 3 Fights: Jake Matthews (2-1-0)
2018-12-01: L vs. [#21WW] Anthony Rocco Martin (16-5-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:19 of round 3
2018-06-23: W vs. [#198WW] Shinsho Anzai (11-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:44 of round 1
2018-02-10: W vs. [#28WW] Jingliang Li (17-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Rostem Akman (2-1-0)
2019-06-01: L vs. [#207WW] Sergey Khandozhko (27-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2019-05-11: W vs. [#516WW] Mauricio Reis (18-11-0) via TKO in 1:10 of round 3
2019-04-13: W vs. [#1273WW] Frodi Vitalis Hansen (9-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 5:00 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jake Matthews – Win%: 70.48
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jake Matthews (1705.51) [+360.02] – Win%: 83.82
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jake Matthews (1713.81) [+317.37] – Win%: 80.05
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Jake Matthews (1657.66) [+242.26] – Win%: 86.83
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jake Matthews 308, Rostem Akman 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#177] Yorgan De Castro (5-0-0, -110) vs. [#245] Justin Tafa (3-0-0, -115)

Last 3 Fights: Yorgan De Castro (3-0-0)
2019-06-18: W vs. [#433HW+] Sanford Alton Meeks (3-1-0) via TKO (Leg Kick and Punches) in 4:45 of round 1
2019-01-19: W vs. [#555HW+] Carlton Little Sr. (6-6-0) via UD ()
2018-11-17: W vs. [#538HW+] Ras Hylton (4-3-0) via TKO in 2:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Justin Tafa (3-0-0)
2019-05-24: W vs. [NA] David Taumoepeau (1-2-0) via TKO in 0:30 of round 2
2018-07-28: W vs. [#444HW+] Jeremy Joiner (4-3-0) via TKO in 0:28 of round 1
2017-05-20: W vs. [NA] Dylan Tiaaleaiga (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:35 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Justin Tafa – Win%: 50.52
Elo Favorite (Standard): Yorgan De Castro (1311.03) [+101.63] – Win%: 61.40
Elo Favorite (Modified): Yorgan De Castro (1361.71) [+20.75] – Win%: 52.27
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Yorgan De Castro (1335.34) [+66.70] – Win%: 62.91
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yorgan De Castro 109, Justin Tafa 134
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#219] Maki Pitolo (11-4-0, -249) vs. [#289LW] Callan Potter (17-8-0, +201)

Last 3 Fights: Maki Pitolo (3-0-0)
2019-07-09: W vs. [#256MW] Justin Sumter (7-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:37 of round 1
2018-12-15: W vs. [#450WW] Chris Cisneros (18-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:40 of round 3
2017-10-21: W vs. [#993WW] Thiago Rela (10-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Callan Potter (1-2-0)
2019-02-09: L vs. [#277LW] Jalin Turner (8-5-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:53 of round 1
2018-12-08: W vs. [#632LW] B.J. Bland (12-10-0) via SD ()
2018-06-16: L vs. [#24LW] Marcin Held (26-7-0) via Technical Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:09 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Maki Pitolo – Win%: 68.23
Elo Favorite (Standard): Maki Pitolo (1525.68) [+96.94] – Win%: 60.89
Elo Favorite (Modified): Maki Pitolo (1550.80) [+116.35] – Win%: 62.46
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Maki Pitolo (1552.51) [+142.77] – Win%: 75.28
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Maki Pitolo 88, Callan Potter 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Featherweight (145)
[#5] Megan Anderson (9-4-0, -438) vs. [*] Zarah Fairn dos Santos (6-2-0, +334)

Last 3 Fights: Megan Anderson (1-2-0)
2019-05-18: L vs. [#3FW] Felicia Spencer (7-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:24 of round 1
2018-12-29: W vs. [#9FW] Cat Zingano (10-4-0) via TKO (Eye Injury) in 1:01 of round 1
2018-06-09: L vs. [#3BW] Holly Holm (12-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Zarah Fairn dos Santos (3-0-0)
2017-12-15: W vs. [#217FLY] Izabela Badurek (7-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:55 of round 1
2017-09-09: W vs. [#57FLY] Suvi Salmimies (11-6-1) via UD ()
2017-02-18: W vs. [NA] Kerry Hughes (3-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:53 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Megan Anderson – Win%: 77.94
Elo Favorite (Standard): Megan Anderson (1381.82) [+51.00] – Win%: 55.80
Elo Favorite (Modified): Megan Anderson (1440.64) [+63.13] – Win%: 56.86
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Megan Anderson (1383.68) [+9.47] – Win%: 51.88
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Megan Anderson 140, Zarah Fairn dos Santos 659
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#262] Jamie Mullarkey (12-2-0, +116) vs. [#536] Brad Riddell (5-1-0, -141)

Last 3 Fights: Jamie Mullarkey (3-0-0)
2019-05-03: W vs. [#2264LW] Edimar Teixeira (3-4-0) via TKO in of round 2
2018-11-16: W vs. [#493LW] Abel Brites (12-6-0) via TKO in 1:51 of round 2
2018-04-14: W vs. [#1402LW] Josh Togo (6-3-0) via TKO in of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brad Riddell (3-0-0)
2019-07-12: W vs. [#1718WW] Mikey Vaotuua (5-9-0) via DEC ()
2019-05-25: W vs. [#1209LW] Maxim Pugachev (9-5-1) via TKO in of round 3
2019-04-16: W vs. [NA] Shem Murdoch (1-3-0) via TKO in 3:42 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Brad Riddell – Win%: 55.82
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jamie Mullarkey (1453.10) [+156.07] – Win%: 67.11
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jamie Mullarkey (1497.96) [+184.98] – Win%: 69.20
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Jamie Mullarkey (1464.29) [+148.03] – Win%: 76.33
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jamie Mullarkey 155, Brad Riddell 85
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Jamie Mullarkey leads 1-0
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#62] Ji Yeon Kim (8-2-2, -177) vs. [#137] Nadia Kassem (5-1-0, +146)

Last 3 Fights: Ji Yeon Kim (2-1-0)
2018-11-30: L vs. [#11FLY] Antonina Shevchenko (8-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-06-23: W vs. [*] Melinda Fabian (4-4-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-01-27: W vs. [*] Justine Kish (6-2-0) via UD (28-29, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Nadia Kassem (2-1-0)
2019-02-09: L vs. [#50FLY] Montana De La Rosa (9-5-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:37 of round 2
2017-11-18: W vs. [#122SW] Alex Chambers (5-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-28)
2017-02-24: W vs. [NA] Jasita Yotawan (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:27 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ji Yeon Kim – Win%: 61.11
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ji Yeon Kim (1319.00) [+132.15] – Win%: 64.65
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ji Yeon Kim (1315.48) [+69.68] – Win%: 57.57
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Ji Yeon Kim (1290.89) [+55.77] – Win%: 60.90
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ji Yeon Kim 309, Nadia Kassem 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#112] Khalid Taha (13-2-0, -250) vs. [#316] Bruno Silva (10-3-2, +201)

Last 3 Fights: Khalid Taha (2-1-0)
2019-04-13: W vs. [#488BW] Boston Salmon (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:25 of round 1
2018-07-22: L vs. [#113FW] Nad Narimani (12-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-05-11: W vs. [#285BW] Hamza Kooheji (8-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in ? of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Bruno Silva (2-0-1)
2018-10-27: W vs. [#644BW] Ralph Acosta (17-14-0) via UD ()
2017-08-19: W vs. [#1746BW] Joe Madrid (6-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:23 of round 1
2017-05-05: D vs. [#29BW] Casey Kenney (13-1-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Khalid Taha – Win%: 68.25
Elo Favorite (Standard): Khalid Taha (1568.07) [+143.01] – Win%: 65.78
Elo Favorite (Modified): Khalid Taha (1585.90) [+167.16] – Win%: 67.52
Glicko-1 Favorite (Adj): Khalid Taha (1571.02) [+143.13] – Win%: 75.01
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khalid Taha 175, Bruno Silva 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo/Glicko Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
– The Glicko-1 scores in this post are adjusted to better match the 1000 Elo starter rating for an easier comparison.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Robert Whittaker
Highest Stored DD Rating: Robert Whittaker
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Robert Whittaker vs. Israel Adesanya
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Robert Whittaker vs. Israel Adesanya
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2019-10-1