Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 14: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 (08-10-2019)

6 Aug , 2019,
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Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#3DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (17-3-0, -1017) vs. [#2] Liz Carmouche (13-6-0, +640)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #13 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (3-0-0)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#4FLY] Jessica Eye (14-7-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:26 of round 2
2018-12-08: W vs. [#3SW/#8DD] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (15-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2018-02-03: W vs. [#73FLY] Priscila Cachoeira (8-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:25 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Liz Carmouche (2-1-0)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#47FLY] Lucie Pudilova (8-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-07-14: W vs. [#5BW/#10P4P] Jennifer Maia (17-5-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-12-09: L vs. [#15FLY] Alexis Davis (19-10-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Valentina Shevchenko – Win%: 87.07
Elo Favorite (Standard): Valentina Shevchenko (1810.62) [+181.20] – Win%: 69.59
Elo Favorite (Modified): Valentina Shevchenko (1830.49) [+180.64] – Win%: 68.80
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 63, Liz Carmouche 168
Previous Match-up Record: Liz Carmouche leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Valentina Shevchenko leads 2-1
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#11] Volkan Oezdemir (15-4-0, -148) vs. [#13] Ilir Latifi (14-6-0, +123)
Volkan Oezdemir is the All-Time #38 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Volkan Oezdemir (0-3-0)
2019-03-16: L vs. [#9LHW] Dominick Reyes (11-0-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-10-27: L vs. [#3LHW] Anthony Smith (32-14-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:26 of round 3
2018-01-20: L vs. [#1HW+/#3DD/#3P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ilir Latifi (2-1-0)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#7LHW] Corey Anderson (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#28LHW] Ovince St. Preux (23-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:48 of round 1
2017-09-09: W vs. [#52LHW] Tyson Pedro (7-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Volkan Oezdemir – Win%: 57.09
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ilir Latifi (1797.74) [+110.23] – Win%: 62.33
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ilir Latifi (1820.19) [+92.45] – Win%: 59.98
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Volkan Oezdemir 147, Ilir Latifi 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#20] Mike Perry (13-4-0, +180) vs. [#27] Vicente Luque (16-6-1, -224)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Perry (2-1-0)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#29WW] Alex Oliveira (20-7-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-10: L vs. [#4LW] Donald Cerrone (36-12-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:46 of round 1
2018-07-07: W vs. [#9LW] Paul Felder (16-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (3-0-0)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#93WW] Derrick Krantz (24-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:52 of round 1
2019-02-17: W vs. [#88WW] Bryan Barberena (14-7-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:54 of round 3
2018-10-06: W vs. [#266LW] Jalin Turner (8-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:52 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Vicente Luque – Win%: 65.94
Elo Favorite (Standard): Vicente Luque (1900.29) [+62.90] – Win%: 57.14
Elo Favorite (Modified): Vicente Luque (1925.79) [+126.51] – Win%: 63.50
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mike Perry 105, Vicente Luque 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#225] Humberto Bandenay (14-6-0, +110) vs. [#274] Luiz Eduardo Garagorri (12-0-0, -135)

Last 3 Fights: Humberto Bandenay (1-2-0)
2018-11-17: L vs. [#224FW] Austin Arnett (16-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-27)
2018-05-19: L vs. [#37FW] Gabriel Benitez (21-6-0) via KO (Slam) in 0:39 of round 1
2017-08-05: W vs. [#245FW] Martin Bravo (11-2-0) via KO (Knee) in 0:26 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Luiz Eduardo Garagorri (3-0-0)
2019-05-18: W vs. [NA] Stevens Diogo (0-1-0) via SUB in 2:57 of round 1
2019-03-09: W vs. [NA] Agustin Marquez Tejera (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1
2018-06-09: W vs. [#615FW] Pablo Sepulveda (8-4-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in ? of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Luiz Eduardo Garagorri – Win%: 54.67
Elo Favorite (Standard): Luiz Eduardo Garagorri (1517.11) [+126.37] – Win%: 64.05
Elo Favorite (Modified): Luiz Eduardo Garagorri (1545.15) [+147.26] – Win%: 65.58
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Humberto Bandenay 266, Luiz Eduardo Garagorri 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#79] Oskar Piechota (11-1-1, +149) vs. [#138] Rodolfo Vieira (5-0-0, -178)

Last 3 Fights: Oskar Piechota (2-1-0)
2018-07-06: L vs. [#44MW] Gerald Meerschaert (29-11-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:55 of round 2
2018-02-18: W vs. [#115MW] Tim Williams (15-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:54 of round 1
2017-10-21: W vs. [*] Jonathan Wilson (7-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Rodolfo Vieira (3-0-0)
2019-06-08: W vs. [#227MW] Vitaliy Nemchinov (10-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:02 of round 1
2018-06-16: W vs. [#674MW] Jacob Holyman-Tague (3-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:51 of round 1
2018-03-09: W vs. [*] Alexander Neufang (3-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:42 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Rodolfo Vieira – Win%: 61.45
Elo Favorite (Standard): Oskar Piechota (1609.37) [+185.48] – Win%: 70.00
Elo Favorite (Modified): Oskar Piechota (1639.71) [+89.21] – Win%: 59.64
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Oskar Piechota 400, Rodolfo Vieira 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#96] Raphael Pessoa (9-0-0, +311) vs. [#111] Ciryl Gane (3-0-0, -408)

Last 3 Fights: Raphael Pessoa (3-0-0)
2018-09-21: W vs. [#141HW+] Brian Heden (32-17-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:39 of round 1
2017-11-26: W vs. [*] Wagner Maia (5-2-0) via UD ()
2017-08-26: W vs. [NA] Diego Pimenta (0-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:23 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ciryl Gane (3-0-0)
2019-05-24: W vs. [#119HW+] Roggers Souza (9-2-0) via TKO in 4:26 of round 1
2018-09-21: W vs. [#264HW+] Adam Dyczka (8-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:57 of round 2
2018-08-02: W vs. [NA] Bobby Sullivan (1-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:42 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ciryl Gane – Win%: 76.74
Elo Favorite (Standard): Raphael Pessoa (1465.77) [+111.34] – Win%: 62.45
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ciryl Gane (1556.83) [+55.56] – Win%: 56.05
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raphael Pessoa 323, Ciryl Gane 78
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#61] Enrique Barzola (16-4-1, -192) vs. [#93] Bobby Moffett (14-4-0, +159)

Last 3 Fights: Enrique Barzola (2-1-0)
2019-03-30: L vs. [#39FW] Kevin Aguilar (17-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-05-19: W vs. [#189BW] Brandon Davis (10-5-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2018-01-20: W vs. [#117FW] Matt Bessette (23-9-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Moffett (2-1-0)
2019-03-23: L vs. [#79FW] Bryce Mitchell (11-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-11-10: W vs. [#97FW] Chas Skelly (17-4-0) via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:43 of round 2
2018-08-07: W vs. [#612FW] Jacob Kilburn (6-2-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 1:02 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Enrique Barzola – Win%: 63.00
Elo Favorite (Standard): Enrique Barzola (1641.45) [+68.69] – Win%: 57.78
Elo Favorite (Modified): Enrique Barzola (1676.92) [+88.24] – Win%: 59.54
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Enrique Barzola 133, Bobby Moffett 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#14] Tecia Torres (10-4-0, -151) vs. [#16] Marina Rodriguez (11-0-1, +125)

Last 3 Fights: Tecia Torres (0-3-0)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#5SW/#8P4P] Weili Zhang (19-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-07-28: L vs. [#3SW/#8DD] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-02-24: L vs. [#1SW/#2DD/#2P4P] Jessica Andrade (20-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Marina Rodriguez (2-0-1)
2019-03-30: W vs. [#30SW] Jessica Aguilar (20-8-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-26)
2018-09-22: D vs. [#15SW] Randa Markos (9-7-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2018-08-11: W vs. [#115SW] Maria de Oliveira Neta (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:03 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tecia Torres – Win%: 57.51
Elo Favorite (Standard): Marina Rodriguez (1569.00) [+125.28] – Win%: 63.93
Elo Favorite (Modified): Marina Rodriguez (1591.94) [+138.83] – Win%: 64.74
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tecia Torres 161, Marina Rodriguez 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#20] Rogerio Bontorin (15-1-0, -146) vs. [#38] Raulian Paiva (18-2-0, +120)

Last 3 Fights: Rogerio Bontorin (3-0-0)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#28FLY] Magomed Bibulatov (14-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-08-10: W vs. [#368BW] Gustavo Gabriel Silva (13-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:37 of round 2
2018-04-07: W vs. [*] Paulo Cesar Cardoso (8-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:46 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Raulian Paiva (2-1-0)
2019-02-09: L vs. [#21FLY] Kai Kara-France (19-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-08-11: W vs. [#62FLY] Allan Nascimento (17-5-0) via SD ()
2017-11-30: W vs. [#742BW] Iliarde Santos (32-16-1) via KO (Punches) in of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Rogerio Bontorin – Win%: 56.63
Elo Favorite (Standard): Rogerio Bontorin (1691.33) [+136.60] – Win%: 65.12
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rogerio Bontorin (1651.22) [+67.03] – Win%: 57.28
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rogerio Bontorin 189, Raulian Paiva 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#190] Rodrigo Vargas (10-2-0) vs. [#351] Alex da Silva Coelho (20-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Rodrigo Vargas (2-1-0)
2018-05-18: W vs. [#516LW] Mike de la Torre (14-9-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:18 of round 1
2017-06-30: W vs. [#879LW] Danny Ramirez (6-5-0) via UD ()
2017-01-19: L vs. [#287LW] Marco Antonio Elpidio (9-3-1) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Alex da Silva Coelho (2-1-0)
2019-04-20: L vs. [#110LW] Alexander Yakovlev (25-9-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:10 of round 2
2018-12-01: W vs. [#1664WW] Slavoljub Mitic (5-2-1) via TKO in 1:11 of round 1
2017-09-09: W vs. [#1127WW] Fernando Colman (7-4-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:49 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Rodrigo Vargas (1444.87) [+0.75] – Win%: 50.09
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rodrigo Vargas (1527.64) [+42.08] – Win%: 54.59
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rodrigo Vargas 449, Alex da Silva Coelho 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#30] Alexey Kunchenko (20-0-0, -121) vs. [#30LW] Gilbert Burns (15-3-0, -111)

Last 3 Fights: Alexey Kunchenko (3-0-0)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#130MW] Yushin Okami (35-14-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2018-09-15: W vs. [#75WW] Thiago Alves (23-14-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-03-30: W vs. [#271WW] Alexander Butenko (48-15-3) via TKO (Punches and Knees) in 4:04 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Burns (2-1-0)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#649LW] Mike Davis (7-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:15 of round 2
2018-12-08: W vs. [#45LW] Olivier Aubin-Mercier (11-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-07-07: L vs. [#15LW] Dan Hooker (18-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:28 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Alexey Kunchenko – Win%: 50.99
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alexey Kunchenko (2012.99) [+208.97] – Win%: 72.21
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alexey Kunchenko (2004.10) [+186.09] – Win%: 69.31
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexey Kunchenko 252, Gilbert Burns 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#45SW] Polyana Viana (10-3-0) vs. [#137] Veronica Macedo (5-3-1)

Last 3 Fights: Polyana Viana (1-2-0)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#44SW] Hannah Cifers (9-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-08-04: L vs. [#42FLY] J.J. Aldrich (7-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-02-03: W vs. [*] Maia Kahaunaele-Stevenson (6-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:50 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Veronica Macedo (0-3-0)
2019-02-23: L vs. [#16FLY] Gillian Robertson (7-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:27 of round 2
2018-05-19: L vs. [#7FLY] Andrea Lee (11-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-09-03: L vs. [#70FLY] Ashlee Evans-Smith (6-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:46 of round 3

Elo Favorite (Standard): Polyana Viana (1248.41) [+174.22] – Win%: 68.91
Elo Favorite (Modified): Polyana Viana (1358.60) [+247.45] – Win%: 74.71
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Polyana Viana 161, Veronica Macedo 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[*] Chris Gutierrez (13-4-1, -135) vs. [#79] Geraldo de Freitas Jr. (12-4-0, +110)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Gutierrez (2-1-0)
2019-03-23: W vs. [#261BW] Ryan MacDonald (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-30: L vs. [#14BW] Raoni Barcelos (14-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:12 of round 2
2018-10-19: W vs. [#106BW] Ray Rodriguez (15-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:47 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Geraldo de Freitas Jr. (3-0-0)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#184BW] Felipe Dias Colares (9-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2018-05-11: W vs. [*] Rafael Rafael (4-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:37 of round 1
2017-08-27: W vs. [#340FW] Luciano Benicio (13-4-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Chris Gutierrez – Win%: 54.67
Elo Favorite (Standard): Geraldo de Freitas Jr. (1651.25) [+47.37] – Win%: 55.39
Elo Favorite (Modified): Geraldo de Freitas Jr. (1706.31) [+126.74] – Win%: 63.52
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chris Gutierrez 140, Geraldo de Freitas Jr. 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Mike Perry
Highest Stored DD Rating: Valentina Shevchenko
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Mike Perry vs. Vicente Luque
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Valentina Shevchenko vs. Liz Carmouche
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2019-8-6