Fight Matrix Program – UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar (07-27-2019)

22 Jul , 2019,
jcs

Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#1DD/#10P4P] Max Holloway (20-4-0, -411) vs. [*] Frankie Edgar (23-6-1, +317)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #2 ranked Featherweight and #24 ranked Absolute fighter.
Frankie Edgar is the All-Time #8 ranked Featherweight and #13 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (2-1-0)
2019-04-13: L vs. [#1LW/#2DD/#6P4P] Dustin Poirier (25-5-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#3FW] Brian Ortega (14-1-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2017-12-02: W vs. [#4FW] Jose Aldo (28-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Frankie Edgar (2-1-0)
2018-04-21: W vs. [#34FW] Cub Swanson (25-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-03-03: L vs. [#3FW] Brian Ortega (14-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 1
2017-05-13: W vs. [#28FW] Yair Rodriguez (11-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Max Holloway – Win%: 77.03
Elo Favorite (Standard): Max Holloway (2246.96) [+155.78] – Win%: 67.08
Elo Favorite (Modified): Max Holloway (2203.94) [+139.69] – Win%: 64.83
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 105, Frankie Edgar 462
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 6-4
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Women Featherweight (145)
[#1/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (20-2-0, -674) vs. [#3] Felicia Spencer (7-0-0, +466)
Cristiane Justino is the All-Time #1 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cristiane Justino (2-1-0)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (18-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:51 of round 1
2018-03-03: W vs. [#9BW] Yana Kunitskaya (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 1
2017-12-30: W vs. [#3BW] Holly Holm (12-5-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Felicia Spencer (3-0-0)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#5FW] Megan Anderson (9-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:24 of round 1
2018-11-16: W vs. [#24FW] Pam Sorenson (7-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:23 of round 4
2018-07-21: W vs. [#60FW] Helena Kolesnyk (5-2-0) via Submission (rear Naked Choke) in 1:47 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Cristiane Justino – Win%: 83.13
Elo Favorite (Standard): Cristiane Justino (1801.65) [+282.57] – Win%: 78.43
Elo Favorite (Modified): Cristiane Justino (1801.09) [+232.65] – Win%: 73.46
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cristiane Justino 210, Felicia Spencer 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#46] Niko Price (13-2-0, +232) vs. [#54] Geoff Neal (11-2-0, -289)

Last 3 Fights: Niko Price (2-1-0)
2019-03-09: W vs. [#77WW] Tim Means (28-11-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:50 of round 1
2018-09-08: L vs. [#63WW] Abdul Razak Alhassan (10-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:43 of round 1
2018-07-14: W vs. [#76WW] Randy Brown (11-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:09 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Geoff Neal (3-0-0)
2019-01-19: W vs. [#32WW] Belal Muhammad (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#133LW] Frank Camacho (23-7-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:23 of round 2
2018-02-18: W vs. [*] Brian Camozzi (7-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:48 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Geoff Neal – Win%: 71.15
Elo Favorite (Standard): Geoff Neal (1749.14) [+29.06] – Win%: 53.31
Elo Favorite (Modified): Niko Price (1759.76) [+31.17] – Win%: 53.40
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Niko Price 140, Geoff Neal 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#38] Olivier Aubin-Mercier (11-4-0, +182) vs. [#136] Arman Tsarukyan (13-3-0, -225)

Last 3 Fights: Olivier Aubin-Mercier (1-2-0)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#28LW] Gilbert Burns (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-07-28: L vs. [#8LW] Alexander Hernandez (11-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-04-07: W vs. [*] Evan Dunham (18-8-1) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 0:53 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Arman Tsarukyan (2-1-0)
2019-04-20: L vs. [#20LW] Islam Makhachev (17-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-08-22: W vs. [#812LW] Felipe Olivieri (15-7-0) via KO (Head kick) in 1:25 of round 3
2018-05-26: W vs. [#521LW] Junior Assuncao (16-8-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Arman Tsarukyan – Win%: 66.12
Elo Favorite (Standard): Olivier Aubin-Mercier (1663.92) [+65.14] – Win%: 57.39
Elo Favorite (Modified): Olivier Aubin-Mercier (1666.24) [+53.15] – Win%: 55.79
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Olivier Aubin-Mercier 231, Arman Tsarukyan 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#25] Krzysztof Jotko (20-4-0, -177) vs. [#77] Marc-Andre Barriault (11-2-0, +148)

Last 3 Fights: Krzysztof Jotko (1-2-0)
2019-04-20: W vs. [#197MW] Alen Amedovski (8-1-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-26)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#15MW] Brad Tavares (17-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 3
2017-09-16: L vs. [#14MW] Uriah Hall (14-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:25 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Marc-Andre Barriault (2-1-0)
2019-05-04: L vs. [#49MW] Andrew Sanchez (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-09-21: W vs. [#217LHW] Adam Hunter (7-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:28 of round 1
2018-05-04: W vs. [#200MW] Brendan Kornberger (9-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Krzysztof Jotko – Win%: 61.31
Elo Favorite (Standard): Krzysztof Jotko (1729.02) [+169.58] – Win%: 68.46
Elo Favorite (Modified): Krzysztof Jotko (1777.55) [+215.77] – Win%: 72.00
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Krzysztof Jotko 98, Marc-Andre Barriault 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#7] Alexis Davis (19-9-0, +220) vs. [#30] Viviane Araujo (7-1-0, -273)
Alexis Davis is the All-Time #17 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexis Davis (1-2-0)
2019-03-23: L vs. [#5BW/#10P4P] Jennifer Maia (17-5-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-28: L vs. [#3FLY/#9P4P] Katlyn Chookagian (12-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-12-09: W vs. [#2FLY] Liz Carmouche (13-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Viviane Araujo (3-0-0)
2019-05-11: W vs. [#29BW] Talita Bernardo (6-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:48 of round 3
2018-08-05: W vs. [#32SW] Emi Fujino (23-11-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 0:19 of round 3
2017-10-08: W vs. [#52FLY] Ayaka Miura (8-2-0) via TKO (Eye Injury) in 5:00 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Viviane Araujo – Win%: 70.07
Elo Favorite (Standard): Viviane Araujo (1502.21) [+19.50] – Win%: 52.22
Elo Favorite (Modified): Viviane Araujo (1529.53) [+63.19] – Win%: 56.87
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexis Davis 126, Viviane Araujo 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#124] Hakeem Dawodu (9-1-1, -395) vs. [#363] Yoshinori Horie (7-1-0, +305)

Last 3 Fights: Hakeem Dawodu (2-1-0)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#166FW] Kyle Bochniak (8-4-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#223FW] Austin Arnett (16-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-03-17: L vs. [#118FW] Danny Henry (12-3-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:39 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Yoshinori Horie (2-1-0)
2018-11-25: W vs. [#489BW] Masaya Takita (15-19-4) via TKO (Punch) in 3:58 of round 1
2018-03-11: L vs. [#366FW] Issei Tamura (12-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:28 of round 2
2017-11-12: W vs. [#293FW] Katsushi Sugiyama (14-7-1) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Hakeem Dawodu – Win%: 76.37
Elo Favorite (Standard): Hakeem Dawodu (1621.32) [+224.09] – Win%: 73.57
Elo Favorite (Modified): Hakeem Dawodu (1632.21) [+219.96] – Win%: 72.37
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Hakeem Dawodu 231, Yoshinori Horie 244
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#241] Sung Woo Choi (8-2-0, +141) vs. [*] Gavin Tucker (10-1-0, -169)

Last 3 Fights: Sung Woo Choi (2-1-0)
2019-04-20: L vs. [#65FW] Movsar Evloev (11-0-0) via UD (29-27, 29-26, 29-27)
2017-12-09: W vs. [#93BW] Jae Woong Kim (8-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:47 of round 2
2017-07-22: W vs. [*] Young Bok Kil (8-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:33 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Gavin Tucker (2-1-0)
2017-09-09: L vs. [#54FW] Rick Glenn (21-6-1) via UD (30-24, 29-27, 30-25)
2017-02-19: W vs. [#32FW] Sam Sicilia (17-9-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-07-23: W vs. [*] Chris Coggins (7-11-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:37 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Gavin Tucker – Win%: 60.22
Elo Favorite (Standard): Gavin Tucker (1469.66) [+52.18] – Win%: 55.93
Elo Favorite (Modified): Gavin Tucker (1486.73) [+34.09] – Win%: 53.72
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sung Woo Choi 98, Gavin Tucker 686
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#3] Alexandre Pantoja (21-3-0, -100) vs. [#5] Deiveson Figueiredo (15-1-0, -124)
Alexandre Pantoja is the All-Time #28 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Deiveson Figueiredo is the All-Time #29 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexandre Pantoja (3-0-0)
2019-04-13: W vs. [#7FLY] Wilson Reis (23-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:58 of round 1
2018-11-17: W vs. [#62BW] Yuta Sasaki (22-6-2) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:18 of round 1
2018-05-19: W vs. [#6FLY] Brandon Moreno (15-5-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (2-1-0)
2019-03-23: L vs. [#2FLY] Jussier Formiga (23-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-08-25: W vs. [#8FLY] John Moraga (19-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 2
2018-02-03: W vs. [#43FLY] Joseph Morales (9-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:34 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Deiveson Figueiredo – Win%: 52.54
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alexandre Pantoja (1832.81) [+41.29] – Win%: 54.70
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alexandre Pantoja (1809.18) [+40.02] – Win%: 54.37
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexandre Pantoja 105, Deiveson Figueiredo 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#16] Sarah Frota (9-1-0, +128) vs. [#43] Gillian Robertson (6-3-0, -155)

Last 3 Fights: Sarah Frota (2-1-0)
2019-02-02: L vs. [#12SW] Livinha Souza (13-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-08-10: W vs. [#86SW] Maiara Amanajas dos Santo (8-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:26 of round 1
2018-02-17: W vs. [#86SW] Maiara Amanajas dos Santo (8-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:43 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Gillian Robertson (2-1-0)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#136FLY] Veronica Macedo (5-3-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:27 of round 2
2018-09-22: L vs. [#12FLY] Mayra Bueno Silva (5-0-0) via Submission (Ambar) in 4:55 of round 1
2018-05-27: W vs. [#15FLY] Molly McCann (9-2-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Gillian Robertson – Win%: 58.08
Elo Favorite (Standard): Sarah Frota (1455.67) [+138.36] – Win%: 65.30
Elo Favorite (Modified): Sarah Frota (1525.22) [+172.44] – Win%: 68.02
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sarah Frota 175, Gillian Robertson 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#156] Kyle Stewart (11-2-0, -134) vs. [*] Erik Koch (15-6-0, +109)

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Stewart (1-2-0)
2019-01-19: L vs. [#43WW] Chance Rencountre (15-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:25 of round 1
2018-11-09: W vs. [#276WW] Braden Smith (10-3-0) via UD ()
2018-07-27: L vs. [#43MW] James Nakashima (11-0-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Erik Koch (1-2-0)
2018-01-27: L vs. [#70LW] Bobby Green (24-9-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-06-25: L vs. [#42LW] Clay Guida (35-18-0) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 29-26)
2016-05-29: W vs. [#167LW] Shane Campbell (17-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:02 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kyle Stewart – Win%: 54.47
Elo Favorite (Standard): Erik Koch (1498.20) [+2.92] – Win%: 50.33
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kyle Stewart (1528.89) [+6.74] – Win%: 50.74
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyle Stewart 189, Erik Koch 546
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#71] Tanner Boser (16-5-1, -158) vs. [#137] Giacomo Lemos (5-0-0, +132)

Last 3 Fights: Tanner Boser (1-1-1)
2019-05-24: W vs. [#311HW+] Jared Kilkenny (13-11-0) via TKO (Leg Kick) in 2:17 of round 4
2019-03-30: D vs. [#110HW+] Zaur Gadzhibabayev (7-2-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2018-11-10: L vs. [#42HW+] Salimgerey Rasulov (17-7-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Giacomo Lemos (3-0-0)
2019-01-28: W vs. [#292HW+] Sang Soo Lee (18-13-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2018-04-21: W vs. [#439HW+] Eli Reger Schablatura Pin (10-18-0) via TKO in 2:49 of round 1
2017-09-09: W vs. [*] Bruno Chaves (2-1-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:58 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tanner Boser – Win%: 58.69
Elo Favorite (Standard): Tanner Boser (1482.08) [+154.35] – Win%: 66.93
Elo Favorite (Modified): Tanner Boser (1544.91) [+99.70] – Win%: 60.74
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tanner Boser 64, Giacomo Lemos 180
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Max Holloway
Highest Stored DD Rating: Max Holloway
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Max Holloway vs. Frankie Edgar
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Max Holloway vs. Frankie Edgar
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Large [***½]
Run Date: 2019-7-21