Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN 4: dos Anjos vs. Edwards (07-20-2019)

15 Jul , 2019,
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Welterweight (170)
[#5] Rafael dos Anjos (29-11-0, +106) vs. [#13] Leon Edwards (17-3-0, -131)
Rafael dos Anjos is the All-Time #24 ranked Welterweight and #31 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rafael dos Anjos (1-2-0)
2019-05-18: W vs. [#33WW] Kevin Lee (17-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:47 of round 4
2018-11-30: L vs. [#1WW/#5DD/#5P4P] Kamaru Usman (15-1-0) via UD (49-45, 50-43, 48-47)
2018-06-09: L vs. [#3WW] Colby Covington (14-1-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (3-0-0)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#18WW] Gunnar Nelson (17-4-1) via SD (29-28, 29-27, 28-29)
2018-06-23: W vs. [#4LW] Donald Cerrone (36-12-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2018-03-17: W vs. [*] Peter Sobotta (17-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Leon Edwards – Win%: 53.88
Elo Favorite (Standard): Rafael dos Anjos (2119.56) [+26.40] – Win%: 53.01
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rafael dos Anjos (2085.70) [+65.62] – Win%: 57.13
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael dos Anjos 63, Leon Edwards 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Rafael dos Anjos leads 2-1
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Heavyweight (265)
[#11] Alexey Oleynik (59-12-1, +128) vs. [#45] Walt Harris (12-7-0, -154)

Last 3 Fights: Alexey Oleynik (2-1-0)
2019-04-20: L vs. [#7HW+] Alistair Overeem (45-17-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:45 of round 1
2018-09-15: W vs. [#15HW+] Mark Hunt (13-14-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:26 of round 1
2018-05-12: W vs. [#65HW+] Junior Albini (14-6-0) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 1:45 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Walt Harris (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2019-05-04: W vs. [#88HW+] Sergey Spivak (9-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:50 of round 1
2018-12-29: NC vs. [#35HW+] Andrei Arlovski (27-18-0)
2018-06-01: W vs. [#120HW+] Daniel Spitz (6-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Walt Harris – Win%: 58.02
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alexey Oleynik (1756.64) [+162.34] – Win%: 67.74
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alexey Oleynik (1789.45) [+83.42] – Win%: 59.03
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexey Oleynik 91, Walt Harris 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexey Oleynik leads 2-1
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Heavyweight (265)
[#125] Juan Adams (5-1-0, -114) vs. [#144] Greg Hardy (4-1-0, -109)

Last 3 Fights: Juan Adams (2-1-0)
2019-05-04: L vs. [#84HW+] Arjan Singh Bhullar (9-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#205HW+] Chris de la Rocha (5-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:58 of round 3
2018-07-31: W vs. [#264HW+] Shawn Teed (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Greg Hardy (2-1-0)
2019-04-27: W vs. [#317HW+] Dmitry Smoliakov (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:15 of round 1
2019-01-19: L vs. [#134HW+] Allen Crowder (10-4-0) via DQ (Illegal Knee to Grounded Fighter) in 2:28 of round 2
2018-09-29: W vs. [NA] Ray Jones (0-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:53 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Juan Adams – Win%: 50.53
Elo Favorite (Standard): Juan Adams (1371.43) [+66.20] – Win%: 57.50
Elo Favorite (Modified): Greg Hardy (1502.08) [+34.06] – Win%: 53.72
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Juan Adams 77, Greg Hardy 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#20] Dan Hooker (17-8-0, -157) vs. [#26] James Vick (13-3-0, +129)

Last 3 Fights: Dan Hooker (2-1-0)
2018-12-15: L vs. [#10LW] Edson Barboza (20-7-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 2:19 of round 3
2018-07-07: W vs. [#29LW] Gilbert Burns (15-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:28 of round 1
2018-04-21: W vs. [#37LW] Jim Miller (30-13-0) via KO (Knee) in 3:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: James Vick (1-2-0)
2019-02-17: L vs. [#9LW] Paul Felder (16-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-08-25: L vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (20-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:27 of round 1
2018-02-18: W vs. [#27LW] Francisco Trinaldo (23-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Dan Hooker – Win%: 58.31
Elo Favorite (Standard): James Vick (1791.09) [+4.78] – Win%: 50.55
Elo Favorite (Modified): James Vick (1802.44) [+19.71] – Win%: 52.16
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Dan Hooker 217, James Vick 153
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#14] Alexander Hernandez (10-2-0, -168) vs. [#27] Francisco Trinaldo (23-6-0, +140)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Hernandez (2-1-0)
2019-01-19: L vs. [#4LW] Donald Cerrone (36-12-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:42 of round 2
2018-07-28: W vs. [#38LW] Olivier Aubin-Mercier (11-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-03-03: W vs. [#15LW] Beneil Dariush (16-4-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:42 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Francisco Trinaldo (2-1-0)
2018-09-22: W vs. [*] Evan Dunham (18-8-1) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 4:10 of round 2
2018-02-18: L vs. [#26LW] James Vick (13-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-10-28: W vs. [#37LW] Jim Miller (30-13-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Alexander Hernandez – Win%: 60.07
Elo Favorite (Standard): Francisco Trinaldo (1925.75) [+216.00] – Win%: 72.84
Elo Favorite (Modified): Francisco Trinaldo (1886.94) [+167.36] – Win%: 67.54
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Hernandez 182, Francisco Trinaldo 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#35] Andrei Arlovski (27-18-0, +157) vs. [#53] Ben Rothwell (36-11-0, -190)
Andrei Arlovski is the All-Time #19 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Ben Rothwell is the All-Time #47 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Andrei Arlovski (0-2-0, 1 NC)
2019-04-27: L vs. [#33HW+] Augusto Sakai (13-1-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-12-29: NC vs. [#45HW+] Walt Harris (12-7-0)
2018-09-15: L vs. [#12HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (20-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Ben Rothwell (1-2-0)
2019-03-09: L vs. [#13HW+] Blagoy Ivanov (18-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2016-04-10: L vs. [#5HW+] Junior dos Santos (21-6-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2016-01-30: W vs. [*] Josh Barnett (35-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:48 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ben Rothwell – Win%: 62.74
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ben Rothwell (1742.94) [+266.69] – Win%: 77.18
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ben Rothwell (1796.50) [+225.43] – Win%: 72.84
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andrei Arlovski 84, Ben Rothwell 133
Previous Match-up Record: Andrei Arlovski leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ben Rothwell leads 8-5
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Featherweight (145)
[#119] Alex Caceres (14-12-0, -160) vs. [#156] Steven Peterson (17-8-0, +133)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Caceres (1-2-0)
2019-02-17: L vs. [#36FW] Kron Gracie (5-0-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:06 of round 1
2018-07-06: W vs. [#231FW] Martin Bravo (11-2-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2017-11-25: L vs. [*] Guan Wang (19-1-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Steven Peterson (1-2-0)
2019-03-23: L vs. [#130LW] Luis Pena (7-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-07-06: W vs. [#157FW] Matt Bessette (23-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-02-18: L vs. [#180BW] Brandon Davis (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Alex Caceres – Win%: 58.91
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alex Caceres (1445.90) [+82.70] – Win%: 59.34
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alex Caceres (1499.18) [+98.23] – Win%: 60.59
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Caceres 153, Steven Peterson 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#5] Raquel Pennington (9-7-0, +134) vs. [#8] Irene Aldana (10-4-0, -161)

Last 3 Fights: Raquel Pennington (1-2-0)
2018-11-10: L vs. [#2BW/#4DD/#5P4P] Germaine de Randamie (9-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-05-12: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (18-4-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:36 of round 5
2016-11-12: W vs. [*] Miesha Tate (18-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Irene Aldana (3-0-0)
2019-05-11: W vs. [#20BW] Bethe Correia (10-4-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:24 of round 3
2018-09-08: W vs. [#47FLY] Lucie Pudilova (8-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2018-01-14: W vs. [#27BW] Talita Bernardo (6-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Irene Aldana – Win%: 59.07
Elo Favorite (Standard): Irene Aldana (1504.94) [+8.48] – Win%: 50.97
Elo Favorite (Modified): Irene Aldana (1517.96) [+0.80] – Win%: 50.09
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raquel Pennington 252, Irene Aldana 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#25] Sam Alvey (33-12-0, +136) vs. [#49] Klidson Abreu (14-3-0, -164)

Last 3 Fights: Sam Alvey (1-2-0)
2019-02-09: L vs. [#18LHW] Jim Crute (10-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:49 of round 1
2018-09-22: L vs. [#19LHW] Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (23-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 2
2018-06-01: W vs. [#42LHW] Gian Villante (17-11-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Klidson Abreu (2-1-0)
2019-02-23: L vs. [#31LHW] Magomed Ankalaev (11-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-11-17: W vs. [#48HW+] Anton Vyazigin (13-3-0) via Submission (Straight Armbar) in 3:16 of round 2
2018-07-09: W vs. [#35LHW] Viktor Nemkov (29-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:02 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Klidson Abreu – Win%: 59.45
Elo Favorite (Standard): Sam Alvey (1633.70) [+17.51] – Win%: 52.00
Elo Favorite (Modified): Klidson Abreu (1658.12) [+24.36] – Win%: 52.66
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sam Alvey 161, Klidson Abreu 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#5] Jennifer Maia (16-5-1, -134) vs. [#15] Roxanne Modafferi (23-15-0, +110)
Jennifer Maia is the All-Time #23 ranked Women’s fighter.
Roxanne Modafferi is the All-Time #21 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jennifer Maia (2-1-0)
2019-03-23: W vs. [#8FLY] Alexis Davis (19-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-14: L vs. [#2FLY] Liz Carmouche (13-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-12-08: W vs. [*] Aga Niedzwiedz (10-1-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Roxanne Modafferi (2-1-0)
2019-04-20: W vs. [#23FLY] Antonina Shevchenko (7-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-11-03: L vs. [#15BW] Sijara Eubanks (4-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-07-06: W vs. [#55FLY] Barb Honchak (10-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:32 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jennifer Maia – Win%: 54.59
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jennifer Maia (1643.50) [+181.78] – Win%: 69.65
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jennifer Maia (1610.27) [+160.55] – Win%: 66.88
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jennifer Maia 119, Roxanne Modafferi 91
Previous Match-up Record: Jennifer Maia leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Roxanne Modafferi leads 3-2
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Bantamweight (135)
[#92FW] Gabriel Silva (8-0-0, +223) vs. [#95] Ray Borg (11-4-0, -278)

Last 3 Fights: Gabriel Silva (3-0-0)
2019-03-29: W vs. [#463FW] Jake Heffernan (7-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:23 of round 1
2017-03-11: W vs. [#331FW] Kamil Lebkowski (19-9-0) via UD ()
2015-09-12: W vs. [*] Wendel Araujo Rocha (5-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Ray Borg (1-2-0)
2019-03-30: L vs. [#41BW] Casey Kenney (12-1-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-10-07: L vs. [#11BW/#4P4P] Demetrious Johnson (28-3-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:15 of round 5
2017-03-11: W vs. [#2FLY] Jussier Formiga (23-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ray Borg – Win%: 70.37
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ray Borg (1617.65) [+9.75] – Win%: 51.11
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ray Borg (1670.24) [+41.65] – Win%: 54.55
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Gabriel Silva 113, Ray Borg 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#108] Jin Soo Son (10-3-0, -205) vs. [#330] Mario Bautista (6-1-0, +169)

Last 3 Fights: Jin Soo Son (2-1-0)
2018-09-15: L vs. [#6BW] Petr Yan (13-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-04-28: W vs. [#638BW] Toshiaki Kitada (22-12-4) via TKO (Punches) in 2:39 of round 2
2017-10-21: W vs. [#226BW] Makoto Kamaya (32-17-4) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Mario Bautista (2-1-0)
2019-01-19: L vs. [#8BW] Cory Sandhagen (11-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:31 of round 1
2018-10-13: W vs. [#748BW] Juan Pablo Gonzalez (7-3-2) via UD ()
2018-06-29: W vs. [#1291BW] A.J. Robb (2-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:30 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jin Soo Son – Win%: 64.38
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jin Soo Son (1514.55) [+178.07] – Win%: 69.29
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jin Soo Son (1523.51) [+123.86] – Win%: 63.23
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jin Soo Son 308, Mario Bautista 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#142] Domingo Pilarte (8-1-0, -276) vs. [#469FW] Felipe Dias Colares (8-1-0, +220)

Last 3 Fights: Domingo Pilarte (3-0-0)
2018-07-17: W vs. [#291BW] Vince Morales (9-4-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:52 of round 2
2017-03-24: W vs. [#177BW] Adrian Yanez (9-3-0) via SD ()
2016-09-16: W vs. [*] Chris Pham (5-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:38 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Felipe Dias Colares (2-1-0)
2019-02-02: L vs. [#80BW] Geraldo de Freitas Jr. (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2017-09-30: W vs. [#468FW] Caio Gregorio (6-3-0) via UD ()
2016-04-30: W vs. [#1776FW] Jordano Abdon (6-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:25 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Domingo Pilarte – Win%: 70.13
Elo Favorite (Standard): Domingo Pilarte (1474.85) [+42.43] – Win%: 54.83
Elo Favorite (Modified): Felipe Dias Colares (1462.77) [+17.15] – Win%: 51.88
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Domingo Pilarte 368, Felipe Dias Colares 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Rafael dos Anjos
Highest Stored DD Rating: Rafael dos Anjos
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Rafael dos Anjos vs. Leon Edwards
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Rafael dos Anjos vs. Leon Edwards
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2019-7-15