Fight Matrix Program – UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos (07-06-2019)

1 Jul , 2019,
jcs
No Comments

Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[#1/#4DD/#1P4P] Jon Jones (24-1-0, -669) vs. [#6] Thiago Santos (21-6-0, +466)
Jon Jones is the All-Time #1 ranked Light Heavyweight and #2 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jon Jones (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#2LHW] Anthony Smith (32-14-0) via UD (48-44, 48-44, 48-44)
2018-12-29: W vs. [*] Alexander Gustafsson (18-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 3
2017-07-29: NC vs. [#1HW+/#2DD/#2P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Santos (3-0-0)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#13LHW] Jan Blachowicz (23-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:39 of round 3
2018-12-08: W vs. [#28LHW] Jimi Manuwa (17-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:41 of round 2
2018-09-22: W vs. [#38LHW] Eryk Anders (12-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 5:00 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jon Jones – Win%: 83.11
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jon Jones (2406.65) [+357.14] – Win%: 83.64
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jon Jones (2407.56) [+355.16] – Win%: 82.56
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jon Jones 126, Thiago Santos 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight Championship (135)
[#1/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (17-4-0, -353) vs. [#3/#10DD] Holly Holm (12-4-0, +278)
Amanda Nunes is the All-Time #3 ranked Women’s fighter.
Holly Holm is the All-Time #18 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Nunes (3-0-0)
2018-12-29: W vs. [#1FW/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (20-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:51 of round 1
2018-05-12: W vs. [#5BW] Raquel Pennington (9-7-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:36 of round 5
2017-09-09: W vs. [#1FLY/#2DD/#3P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (17-3-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Holly Holm (2-1-0)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#5FW] Megan Anderson (9-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-12-30: L vs. [#1FW/#4DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (20-2-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2017-06-17: W vs. [#18BW] Bethe Correia (10-4-1) via KO (Head Kick and Punch) in 1:09 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Amanda Nunes – Win%: 74.65
Elo Favorite (Standard): Amanda Nunes (1984.89) [+442.75] – Win%: 88.32
Elo Favorite (Modified): Amanda Nunes (1938.10) [+373.22] – Win%: 83.67
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Nunes 189, Holly Holm 392
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Amanda Nunes leads 7-2
.

Welterweight (170)
[#4] Jorge Masvidal (33-13-0, +187) vs. [#12] Ben Askren (19-0-0, -232)
Jorge Masvidal is the All-Time #32 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Ben Askren is the All-Time #33 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jorge Masvidal (1-2-0)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#7WW] Darren Till (17-2-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:05 of round 2
2017-11-04: L vs. [#9WW] Stephen Thompson (14-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-05-13: L vs. [#13WW] Demian Maia (27-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ben Askren (3-0-0)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#17WW] Robbie Lawler (28-13-0) via Technical Submission (Bulldog Choke) in 3:20 of round 1
2017-11-24: W vs. [#111WW] Shinya Aoki (43-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:57 of round 1
2017-09-02: W vs. [#37MW] Zebaztian Kadestam (12-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:09 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ben Askren – Win%: 66.73
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ben Askren (2200.38) [+173.66] – Win%: 68.86
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ben Askren (2158.83) [+100.22] – Win%: 60.79
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jorge Masvidal 112, Ben Askren 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[*] Luke Rockhold (16-4-0, -222) vs. [#13] Jan Blachowicz (23-8-0, +179)

Last 3 Fights: Luke Rockhold (1-2-0)
2018-02-10: L vs. [#2MW] Yoel Romero (13-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:48 of round 3
2017-09-16: W vs. [#16MW] David Branch (22-6-0) via TKO (Submission to Punches) in 4:05 of round 2
2016-06-04: L vs. [*] Michael Bisping (30-9-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:36 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jan Blachowicz (2-1-0)
2019-02-23: L vs. [#6LHW] Thiago Santos (21-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:39 of round 3
2018-09-15: W vs. [#16LHW] Nikita Krylov (25-6-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:41 of round 2
2018-03-17: W vs. [#28LHW] Jimi Manuwa (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Luke Rockhold – Win%: 65.79
Elo Favorite (Standard): Luke Rockhold (2101.94) [+270.01] – Win%: 77.44
Elo Favorite (Modified): Luke Rockhold (2080.50) [+234.38] – Win%: 73.62
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Luke Rockhold 511, Jan Blachowicz 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#27] Michael Chiesa (15-4-0, -345) vs. [#54] Diego Sanchez (29-11-0, +270)
Diego Sanchez is the All-Time #22 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chiesa (1-2-0)
2018-12-29: W vs. [#65WW] Carlos Condit (30-13-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 0:56 of round 2
2018-07-07: L vs. [#6WW] Anthony Pettis (22-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 0:52 of round 2
2017-06-25: L vs. [#34WW] Kevin Lee (17-5-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:37 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Diego Sanchez (2-1-0)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#185WW] Mickey Gall (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 2
2018-09-08: W vs. [#184WW] Craig White (14-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-11-11: L vs. [*] Matt Brown (21-16-0) via KO (Elbow) in 3:44 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Michael Chiesa – Win%: 74.14
Elo Favorite (Standard): Michael Chiesa (1881.80) [+113.31] – Win%: 62.66
Elo Favorite (Modified): Michael Chiesa (1858.49) [+113.64] – Win%: 62.19
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michael Chiesa 189, Diego Sanchez 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Michael Chiesa leads 2-1
.

Featherweight (145)
[#42] Arnold Allen (14-1-0, -357) vs. [*] Gilbert Melendez (22-7-0, +279)
Gilbert Melendez is the All-Time #34 ranked Featherweight and #49 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Arnold Allen (3-0-0)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#72FW] Jordan Rinaldi (14-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-26)
2018-05-27: W vs. [#79FW] Mads Burnell (12-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:41 of round 3
2017-03-18: W vs. [#35FW] Makwan Amirkhani (15-3-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Melendez (0-3-0)
2017-09-09: L vs. [#8FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-16-0) via UD (30-26, 30-25, 30-26)
2016-07-23: L vs. [#11LW] Edson Barboza (20-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2015-06-13: L vs. [#29WW] Eddie Alvarez (29-7-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Arnold Allen – Win%: 74.74
Elo Favorite (Standard): Arnold Allen (1761.45) [+37.19] – Win%: 54.24
Elo Favorite (Modified): Gilbert Melendez (1767.49) [+19.38] – Win%: 52.12
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Arnold Allen 112, Gilbert Melendez 665
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#24] Marlon Vera (14-5-1) vs. [#124] Nohelin Hernandez (10-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Vera (3-0-0)
2019-03-23: W vs. [#68BW] Frankie Saenz (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:25 of round 1
2018-11-17: W vs. [#206BW] Guido Cannetti (8-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:31 of round 2
2018-08-04: W vs. [#500BW] Wuliji Buren (10-7-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 4:53 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nohelin Hernandez (3-0-0)
2018-11-09: W vs. [#210FW] Kyle Reyes (14-6-0) via SD ()
2018-09-28: W vs. [#541BW] Rolando Velasco (13-6-1) via UD ()
2018-05-12: W vs. [#363FW] Josh San Diego (9-4-0) via UD ()

Elo Favorite (Standard): Marlon Vera (1657.38) [+106.58] – Win%: 61.94
Elo Favorite (Modified): Marlon Vera (1672.13) [+200.37] – Win%: 70.62
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marlon Vera 105, Nohelin Hernandez 239
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Strawweight (115)
[#9] Claudia Gadelha (16-4-0, -230) vs. [#12] Randa Markos (9-6-1, +186)
Claudia Gadelha is the All-Time #25 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Claudia Gadelha (1-2-0)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#8SW] Nina Ansaroff (10-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#11SW] Carla Esparza (14-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-09-22: L vs. [#1SW/#3DD/#2P4P] Jessica Andrade (20-6-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Randa Markos (1-1-1)
2019-03-23: W vs. [#24SW] Angela Hill (9-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:24 of round 1
2018-09-22: D vs. [#16SW] Marina Rodriguez (11-0-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2018-07-28: L vs. [#8SW] Nina Ansaroff (10-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Claudia Gadelha – Win%: 66.59
Elo Favorite (Standard): Claudia Gadelha (1570.61) [+117.80] – Win%: 63.14
Elo Favorite (Modified): Claudia Gadelha (1550.80) [+40.24] – Win%: 54.39
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Claudia Gadelha 210, Randa Markos 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Claudia Gadelha leads 3-1
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#23] Alejandro Perez (21-7-1, +188) vs. [#69] Yadong Song (14-3-0, -228)

Last 3 Fights: Alejandro Perez (2-1-0)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#16BW] Cody Stamann (18-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-07-14: W vs. [#35BW] Eddie Wineland (24-13-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-04-14: W vs. [#73BW] Matthew Lopez (10-4-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 3:42 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (3-0-0)
2018-11-24: W vs. [#248BW] Vince Morales (9-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-06-23: W vs. [*] Felipe Arantes (18-10-1) via KO (Elbow) in 4:59 of round 2
2017-11-25: W vs. [*] Bharat Khandare (6-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:16 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Yadong Song – Win%: 66.68
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alejandro Perez (1728.28) [+153.19] – Win%: 66.81
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alejandro Perez (1713.32) [+116.72] – Win%: 62.50
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alejandro Perez 126, Yadong Song 224
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Middleweight (185)
[#47] Edmen Shahbazyan (9-0-0, -616) vs. [#84] Jack Marshman (23-8-0, +439)

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (3-0-0)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#115MW] Charles Byrd (10-6-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 0:38 of round 1
2018-11-30: W vs. [#52MW] Darren Stewart (10-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-07-17: W vs. [#199MW] Antonio Jones (6-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:40 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jack Marshman (1-2-0)
2019-03-16: W vs. [#183MW] John Phillips (21-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-11-03: L vs. [#61MW] Karl Roberson (7-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2017-10-28: L vs. [#21MW] Antonio Carlos Jr. (10-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:30 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Edmen Shahbazyan – Win%: 82.26
Elo Favorite (Standard): Edmen Shahbazyan (1620.02) [+58.92] – Win%: 56.69
Elo Favorite (Modified): Edmen Shahbazyan (1603.85) [+59.98] – Win%: 56.53
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Edmen Shahbazyan 126, Jack Marshman 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#32] Ismail Naurdiev (18-2-0, -501) vs. [#98] Chance Rencountre (14-3-0, +376)

Last 3 Fights: Ismail Naurdiev (3-0-0)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#40WW] Michel Prazeres (26-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2019-02-02: W vs. [#393WW] Paulistenio Rocha (15-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 1
2017-11-18: W vs. [#251WW] Georgi Valentinov (20-5-0) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 3:10 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Chance Rencountre (2-1-0)
2019-01-19: W vs. [#154WW] Kyle Stewart (11-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:25 of round 1
2018-06-01: L vs. [#33WW] Belal Muhammad (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-02-10: W vs. [#162MW] Chris Harris (11-3-0) via Submission in 2:42 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ismail Naurdiev – Win%: 79.86
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ismail Naurdiev (1796.81) [+157.90] – Win%: 67.29
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ismail Naurdiev (1780.69) [+119.27] – Win%: 62.76
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ismail Naurdiev 133, Chance Rencountre 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#10] Pannie Kianzad (11-4-0, +186) vs. [#16] Julia Avila (6-1-0, -231)

Last 3 Fights: Pannie Kianzad (2-1-0)
2019-05-11: W vs. [#23BW] Iony Razafiarison (5-3-0) via UD ()
2018-11-30: L vs. [#6BW] Macy Chiasson (5-0-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:11 of round 2
2018-06-09: W vs. [#83BW] Kerry Hughes (3-4-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Julia Avila (2-1-0)
2018-11-16: W vs. [#37BW] Alexa Conners (5-3-0) via TKO (Front Kick and Punches) in 4:43 of round 2
2018-08-25: W vs. [#197FLY] Ashley Deen (4-5-0) via TKO in 2:08 of round 1
2018-05-04: L vs. [#24BW] Marciea Allen (7-2-0) via TKO (Finger Injury) in 0:49 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Julia Avila – Win%: 66.61
Elo Favorite (Standard): Pannie Kianzad (1441.62) [+126.01] – Win%: 64.01
Elo Favorite (Modified): Pannie Kianzad (1499.50) [+74.45] – Win%: 58.08
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Pannie Kianzad 56, Julia Avila 232
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Jon Jones
Highest Stored DD Rating: Jon Jones
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jon Jones vs. Thiago Santos
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Jon Jones vs. Thiago Santos
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Good [***]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Large [****]
Run Date: 2019-7-3