Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 11: Gustafsson vs. Smith (06-01-2019)

27 May , 2019,
jcs
No Comments

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#4] Alexander Gustafsson (18-5-0, -307) vs. [#5] Anthony Smith (31-14-0, +245)
Alexander Gustafsson is the All-Time #20 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Gustafsson (2-1-0)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#1LHW/#7DD/#1P4P] Jon Jones (24-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 3
2017-05-28: W vs. [#8LHW] Glover Teixeira (29-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 5
2016-09-03: W vs. [#12LHW] Jan Blachowicz (23-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Smith (2-1-0)
2019-03-02: L vs. [#1LHW/#7DD/#1P4P] Jon Jones (24-1-0) via UD (48-44, 48-44, 48-44)
2018-10-27: W vs. [#10LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (15-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:26 of round 3
2018-07-22: W vs. [#23LHW] Mauricio Rua (26-11-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:29 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Alexander Gustafsson – Win%: 72.23
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alexander Gustafsson (2023.87) [+38.26] – Win%: 54.36
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alexander Gustafsson (2066.46) [+86.57] – Win%: 59.36
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexander Gustafsson 154, Anthony Smith 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#10] Volkan Oezdemir (15-4-0, -120) vs. [#11] Ilir Latifi (14-6-0, -104)
Volkan Oezdemir is the All-Time #37 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Volkan Oezdemir (0-3-0)
2019-03-16: L vs. [#9LHW] Dominick Reyes (11-0-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-10-27: L vs. [#5LHW] Anthony Smith (31-14-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:26 of round 3
2018-01-20: L vs. [#1HW+/#4DD/#2P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Ilir Latifi (2-1-0)
2018-12-29: L vs. [#6LHW] Corey Anderson (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#26LHW] Ovince St. Preux (23-13-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:48 of round 1
2017-09-09: W vs. [#50LHW] Tyson Pedro (7-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Volkan Oezdemir – Win%: 51.69
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ilir Latifi (1797.69) [+110.23] – Win%: 62.33
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ilir Latifi (1820.13) [+92.57] – Win%: 60.00
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Volkan Oezdemir 77, Ilir Latifi 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#21] Jimi Manuwa (17-5-0, +177) vs. [#29] Aleksandar Rakic (11-1-0, -219)
Jimi Manuwa is the All-Time #47 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jimi Manuwa (0-3-0)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#7LHW] Thiago Santos (21-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:41 of round 2
2018-03-17: L vs. [#12LHW] Jan Blachowicz (23-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-07-29: L vs. [#10LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (15-4-0) via TKO in 0:22 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Aleksandar Rakic (3-0-0)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#76LHW] Devin Clark (9-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1
2018-07-22: W vs. [#132LHW] Justin Ledet (9-2-0) via UD (30-24, 30-24, 30-25)
2017-09-02: W vs. [#51HW+] Francimar Barroso (22-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Aleksandar Rakic – Win%: 65.53
Elo Favorite (Standard): Aleksandar Rakic (1717.89) [+53.64] – Win%: 56.10
Elo Favorite (Modified): Aleksandar Rakic (1708.94) [+18.23] – Win%: 51.99
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jimi Manuwa 175, Aleksandar Rakic 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[#40] Makwan Amirkhani (14-3-0, +104) vs. [#93] Chris Fishgold (18-2-1, -127)

Last 3 Fights: Makwan Amirkhani (2-1-0)
2018-05-27: W vs. [#58FW] Jason Knight (20-6-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2017-03-18: L vs. [#38FW] Arnold Allen (14-1-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)
2016-02-27: W vs. [#742LW] Mike Wilkinson (9-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Fishgold (2-1-0)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#454FW] Daniel Teymur (6-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:10 of round 2
2018-10-27: L vs. [#28FW] Calvin Kattar (19-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:11 of round 1
2017-10-28: W vs. [#445LW] Alexander Jacobsen (9-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:15 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Chris Fishgold – Win%: 53.30
Elo Favorite (Standard): Chris Fishgold (1637.98) [+7.92] – Win%: 50.90
Elo Favorite (Modified): Chris Fishgold (1662.16) [+29.62] – Win%: 53.24
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Makwan Amirkhani 370, Chris Fishgold 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#50] Damir Hadzovic (13-4-0, -186) vs. [#73] Christos Giagos (16-7-0, +156)

Last 3 Fights: Damir Hadzovic (2-1-0)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#199LW] Marco Polo Reyes (8-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:03 of round 2
2018-07-22: W vs. [#185LW] Nick Hein (14-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2018-02-03: L vs. [#61LW] Alan Patrick Silva Alves (15-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Christos Giagos (2-1-0)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#320LW] Mizuto Hirota (18-10-2) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 30-28)
2018-09-22: L vs. [#7LW] Charles Oliveira (27-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:22 of round 2
2018-03-09: W vs. [#209LW] Herdeson Batista (12-4-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Damir Hadzovic – Win%: 62.47
Elo Favorite (Standard): Damir Hadzovic (1725.42) [+67.84] – Win%: 57.69
Elo Favorite (Modified): Damir Hadzovic (1699.38) [+1.99] – Win%: 50.22
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Damir Hadzovic 98, Christos Giagos 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (145)
[*] Sung Bin Jo (9-0-0, -158) vs. [#454] Daniel Teymur (6-3-0, +131)

Last 3 Fights: Sung Bin Jo (3-0-0)
2018-02-26: W vs. [#751FW] Jun Young Hong (9-4-0) via TKO in 2:17 of round 4
2017-07-22: W vs. [*] Yoshifumi Nakamura (20-11-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:32 of round 2
2016-10-30: W vs. [*] Stefan Pijuk (5-7-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 0:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Teymur (0-3-0)
2019-02-23: L vs. [#93FW] Chris Fishgold (18-2-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:10 of round 2
2018-06-01: L vs. [#66FW] Julio Arce (16-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:55 of round 3
2017-07-16: L vs. [#109FW] Danny Henry (12-3-0) via UD (29-26, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Sung Bin Jo – Win%: 58.58
Elo Favorite (Standard): Sung Bin Jo (1416.25) [+82.39] – Win%: 59.30
Elo Favorite (Modified): Sung Bin Jo (1427.56) [+8.95] – Win%: 50.98
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sung Bin Jo 460, Daniel Teymur 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#294] Sergey Khandozhko (26-5-1) vs. [#581] Rostem Akman (4-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Sergey Khandozhko (2-1-0)
2018-08-22: W vs. [#717WW] Adriano Rodrigues (13-3-0) via KO (Kick to the body) in 3:19 of round 2
2018-05-26: W vs. [#1380WW] Muller da Silva Couto (14-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:59 of round 2
2017-08-26: L vs. [#143MW] Stanislav Vlasenko (13-3-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:34 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Rostem Akman (3-0-0)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#1210WW] Shah Hussain (11-14-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:58 of round 1
2018-05-19: W vs. [NA] Holivan Vieira (2-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:48 of round 3
2017-12-02: W vs. [*] Gard Olve Sagen (1-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in of round 3

Elo Favorite (Standard): Sergey Khandozhko (1477.55) [+217.88] – Win%: 73.01
Elo Favorite (Modified): Sergey Khandozhko (1469.44) [+122.62] – Win%: 63.11
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergey Khandozhko 283, Rostem Akman 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Women Bantamweight (135)
[#12] Tonya Evinger (19-7-0, -246) vs. [#25] Lina Lansberg (8-4-0, +201)
Tonya Evinger is the All-Time #48 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Tonya Evinger (1-2-0)
2018-10-06: L vs. [#4BW] Aspen Ladd (8-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:26 of round 1
2017-07-29: L vs. [#1FW/#5DD/#4P4P] Cristiane Justino (20-2-0) via TKO in 1:56 of round 3
2017-03-25: W vs. [#9BW] Yana Kunitskaya (12-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:32 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Lina Lansberg (1-2-0)
2018-10-06: L vs. [#9BW] Yana Kunitskaya (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-05-27: W vs. [#42BW] Gina Mazany (5-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-10-21: L vs. [#4BW] Aspen Ladd (8-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:33 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tonya Evinger – Win%: 68.15
Elo Favorite (Standard): Tonya Evinger (1487.77) [+187.22] – Win%: 70.17
Elo Favorite (Modified): Tonya Evinger (1509.26) [+162.96] – Win%: 67.11
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tonya Evinger 238, Lina Lansberg 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tonya Evinger leads 2-0
.

Lightweight (155)
[#52] Stevie Ray (22-8-0, +190) vs. [*] Leonardo Santos (16-3-1, -237)

Last 3 Fights: Stevie Ray (1-2-0)
2018-10-27: W vs. [#284LW] Jessin Ayari (16-5-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-03-17: L vs. [#51LW] Kajan Johnson (23-13-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-07-16: L vs. [#10LW] Paul Felder (16-4-0) via KO (Elbows) in 3:57 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Leonardo Santos (3-0-0)
2016-10-08: W vs. [#235WW] Adriano Martins (28-10-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2015-12-12: W vs. [#34WW] Kevin Lee (17-5-0) via TKO in 3:26 of round 1
2015-03-21: W vs. [#22WW] Anthony Rocco Martin (16-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:29 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Leonardo Santos – Win%: 67.10
Elo Favorite (Standard): Leonardo Santos (1961.13) [+247.69] – Win%: 75.61
Elo Favorite (Modified): Leonardo Santos (1890.45) [+161.43] – Win%: 66.97
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stevie Ray 217, Leonardo Santos 966
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#185] Nick Hein (14-4-0, -114) vs. [#230] Frank Camacho (22-7-0, -109)

Last 3 Fights: Nick Hein (1-2-0)
2018-07-22: L vs. [#50LW] Damir Hadzovic (13-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2018-05-12: L vs. [#54LW] Davi Ramos (10-2-0) via Submission (Face Crank) in 4:15 of round 1
2016-09-03: W vs. [*] Tae Hyun Bang (18-10-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Frank Camacho (1-2-0)
2018-09-08: L vs. [#51WW] Geoff Neal (11-2-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:23 of round 2
2018-01-27: L vs. [#63LW] Drew Dober (20-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-11-18: W vs. [#56LW] Damien Brown (19-12-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Nick Hein – Win%: 50.53
Elo Favorite (Standard): Nick Hein (1517.46) [+145.03] – Win%: 65.98
Elo Favorite (Modified): Nick Hein (1611.67) [+252.00] – Win%: 75.09
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nick Hein 314, Frank Camacho 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Nick Hein leads 2-0
.

Women Featherweight (145)
[*] Duda Santanna (3-0-0, -116) vs. [#43] Bea Malecki (2-0-0, -109)

Last 3 Fights: Duda Santanna (3-0-0)
2017-12-15: W vs. [NA] Ana Costa Monteiro (1-4-0) via UD ()
2017-08-05: W vs. [NA] Alexandra de Cassia Rodri (3-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in ? of round 1
2017-03-25: W vs. [#142SW] Heloisa Azevedo (4-1-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Bea Malecki (2-0-0)
2018-02-02: W vs. [NA] Tracy Smith (0-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:22 of round 1
2017-11-04: W vs. [NA] Faye David (0-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:59 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Duda Santanna – Win%: 50.73
Elo Favorite (Standard): Duda Santanna (1204.11) [+127.65] – Win%: 64.18
Elo Favorite (Modified): Duda Santanna (1312.29) [+185.71] – Win%: 69.27
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Duda Santanna 533, Bea Malecki 484
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (205)
[#62] Darko Stosic (13-1-0, -145) vs. [#76] Devin Clark (9-3-0, +121)

Last 3 Fights: Darko Stosic (3-0-0)
2018-07-22: W vs. [#78LHW] Jeremy Kimball (17-8-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:13 of round 1
2017-09-30: W vs. [*] Tomasz Czerwinski (9-15-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:00 of round 1
2017-03-11: W vs. [*] Emil Zahariev (22-8-1) via TKO (Leg Kicks) in 2:07 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Devin Clark (1-2-0)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#29LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (11-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1
2018-04-07: W vs. [#86LHW] Mike Rodriguez (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-10-21: L vs. [#12LHW] Jan Blachowicz (23-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:02 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Darko Stosic – Win%: 56.66
Elo Favorite (Standard): Darko Stosic (1615.96) [+132.30] – Win%: 64.67
Elo Favorite (Modified): Darko Stosic (1646.71) [+138.43] – Win%: 64.70
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Darko Stosic 314, Devin Clark 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#216] Joel Alvarez (15-2-0, -140) vs. [#303] Danilo Belluardo (12-3-0, +115)

Last 3 Fights: Joel Alvarez (2-1-0)
2019-02-23: L vs. [#57LW] Damir Ismagulov (18-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-24: W vs. [#653LW] Radu Maxim (9-2-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:29 of round 1
2018-09-29: W vs. [#975LW] Julio Cesar Alves (16-11-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:02 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Danilo Belluardo (3-0-0)
2019-03-09: W vs. [#576LW] Denilson Neves de Oliveir (15-8-0) via UD ()
2018-11-17: W vs. [#1321LW] Elia Madau (4-5-0) via Submission (DArce Choke) in 4:27 of round 1
2018-06-09: W vs. [#2213LW] Dragoljub Stanojevic (6-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:27 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Joel Alvarez – Win%: 55.63
Elo Favorite (Standard): Joel Alvarez (1602.20) [+166.77] – Win%: 68.18
Elo Favorite (Modified): Joel Alvarez (1616.62) [+162.62] – Win%: 67.08
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joel Alvarez 98, Danilo Belluardo 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Alexander Gustafsson
Highest Stored DD Rating: Alexander Gustafsson
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Alexander Gustafsson vs. Anthony Smith
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Alexander Gustafsson vs. Anthony Smith
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2019-5-26