Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 151: Iaquinta vs. Cerrone (05-04-2019)

2 May , 2019,
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Lightweight (155)
[#4] Donald Cerrone (35-11-0, +102) vs. [#6] Al Iaquinta (15-4-1, -126)
Donald Cerrone is the All-Time #17 ranked Lightweight fighter.
Al Iaquinta is the All-Time #43 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Donald Cerrone (2-1-0)
2019-01-19: W vs. [#15LW] Alexander Hernandez (10-2-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:42 of round 2
2018-11-10: W vs. [#21WW] Mike Perry (13-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:46 of round 1
2018-06-23: L vs. [#13WW] Leon Edwards (17-3-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Al Iaquinta (2-1-0)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#7LW] Kevin Lee (17-4-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 48-47)
2018-04-07: L vs. [#2LW/#6DD/#9P4P] Khabib Nurmagomedov (27-0-0) via UD (50-44, 50-43, 50-43)
2017-04-22: W vs. [#54WW] Diego Sanchez (29-11-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:38 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Al Iaquinta – Win%: 52.96
Elo Favorite (Standard): Al Iaquinta (2106.46) [+121.90] – Win%: 63.57
Elo Favorite (Modified): Al Iaquinta (2034.11) [+73.35] – Win%: 57.96
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Donald Cerrone 105, Al Iaquinta 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Al Iaquinta leads 1-0
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Middleweight (185)
[#13] Derek Brunson (18-7-0, -112) vs. [#18] Elias Theodorou (16-2-0, -112)
Derek Brunson is the All-Time #48 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Derek Brunson (1-2-0)
2018-11-03: L vs. [#4MW] Israel Adesanya (17-0-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:51 of round 1
2018-01-27: L vs. [#7MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-7-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:50 of round 1
2017-10-28: W vs. [#11MW] Lyoto Machida (25-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Elias Theodorou (3-0-0)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#59LHW] Eryk Anders (11-4-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2018-05-27: W vs. [#55MW] Trevor Smith (15-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-11-18: W vs. [*] Daniel Kelly (13-4-0) via UD (30-28, 30-27, 30-26)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Derek Brunson – Win%: 50.00
Elo Favorite (Standard): Elias Theodorou (1916.76) [+98.11] – Win%: 61.02
Elo Favorite (Modified): Elias Theodorou (1869.13) [+40.07] – Win%: 54.37
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Derek Brunson 182, Elias Theodorou 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#24] Cub Swanson (25-10-0, +142) vs. [#39] Shane Burgos (11-1-0, -171)
Cub Swanson is the All-Time #15 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cub Swanson (0-3-0)
2018-08-04: L vs. [#10FW] Renato Carneiro (13-2-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:15 of round 1
2018-04-21: L vs. [#4FW] Frankie Edgar (23-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-12-09: L vs. [#3FW] Brian Ortega (14-1-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:22 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Shane Burgos (2-1-0)
2018-11-03: W vs. [#183LW] Kurt Holobaugh (17-6-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:11 of round 1
2018-01-20: L vs. [#29FW] Calvin Kattar (19-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:32 of round 3
2017-07-22: W vs. [#241LW] Godofredo Castro (14-6-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Shane Burgos – Win%: 60.42
Elo Favorite (Standard): Cub Swanson (1781.75) [+60.54] – Win%: 56.87
Elo Favorite (Modified): Cub Swanson (1753.86) [+35.76] – Win%: 53.91
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cub Swanson 273, Shane Burgos 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#37] Brad Katona (8-0-0, +135) vs. [#65] Merab Dvalishvili (8-4-0, -162)

Last 3 Fights: Brad Katona (3-0-0)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#71BW] Matthew Lopez (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-07-06: W vs. [#184FW] Jay Cucciniello (8-1-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2017-09-15: W vs. [*] Stephen Cervantes (7-5-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Merab Dvalishvili (1-2-0)
2018-09-15: W vs. [#167BW] Terrion Ware (17-8-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-25)
2018-04-21: L vs. [#15BW] Ricky Simon (16-1-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 5:00 of round 3
2017-12-09: L vs. [#64BW] Frankie Saenz (13-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Merab Dvalishvili – Win%: 59.23
Elo Favorite (Standard): Brad Katona (1739.42) [+262.83] – Win%: 76.86
Elo Favorite (Modified): Brad Katona (1754.80) [+227.34] – Win%: 73.01
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brad Katona 147, Merab Dvalishvili 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#51] Walt Harris (11-7-0, -164) vs. [#70] Sergey Spivak (9-0-0, +137)

Last 3 Fights: Walt Harris (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2018-12-29: NC vs. [#35HW+] Andrei Arlovski (27-18-0)
2018-06-01: W vs. [#111HW+] Daniel Spitz (6-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 2
2017-11-04: L vs. [#115HW+] Mark Godbeer (13-5-0) via DQ (Kick to Head After Referee Paused Fight Due to in 4:29 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sergey Spivak (3-0-0)
2018-09-29: W vs. [#100HW+] Tony Lopez (61-30-0) via SUB in of round 1
2018-03-24: W vs. [NA] Ivo Cuk (12-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:21 of round 1
2017-06-14: W vs. [#232HW+] Travis Fulton (257-54-10) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:50 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Walt Harris – Win%: 59.55
Elo Favorite (Standard): Sergey Spivak (1554.35) [+59.93] – Win%: 56.80
Elo Favorite (Modified): Walt Harris (1640.33) [+54.43] – Win%: 55.93
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Walt Harris 126, Sergey Spivak 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#62] Andrew Sanchez (9-4-0, -159) vs. [#63] Marc-Andre Barriault (11-1-0, +132)

Last 3 Fights: Andrew Sanchez (1-2-0)
2018-08-25: W vs. [#69MW] Markus Perez (12-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-12-01: L vs. [*] Ryan Janes (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:58 of round 3
2017-04-15: L vs. [#5LHW] Anthony Smith (31-14-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:52 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Marc-Andre Barriault (3-0-0)
2018-09-21: W vs. [#204LHW] Adam Hunter (7-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:28 of round 1
2018-05-04: W vs. [#175MW] Brendan Kornberger (9-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:25 of round 2
2017-12-08: W vs. [*] Strahinja Gavrilovic (7-5-0) via SD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Andrew Sanchez – Win%: 58.75
Elo Favorite (Standard): Marc-Andre Barriault (1652.21) [+28.58] – Win%: 53.26
Elo Favorite (Modified): Andrew Sanchez (1659.97) [+45.24] – Win%: 54.94
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andrew Sanchez 252, Marc-Andre Barriault 225
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (135)
[#9] Macy Chiasson (4-0-0, -656) vs. [#27] Sarah Moras (5-4-0, +454)

Last 3 Fights: Macy Chiasson (3-0-0)
2019-03-02: W vs. [#40BW] Gina Mazany (5-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:49 of round 1
2018-11-30: W vs. [#16FW] Pannie Kianzad (10-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:11 of round 2
2018-05-04: W vs. [#49FW] Allison Schmidt (1-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Sarah Moras (1-2-0)
2018-10-27: L vs. [#19BW] Talita Bernardo (6-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-28)
2018-02-18: L vs. [#48FLY] Lucie Pudilova (8-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-09-09: W vs. [#64FLY] Ashlee Evans-Smith (6-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:51 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Macy Chiasson – Win%: 82.78
Elo Favorite (Standard): Macy Chiasson (1513.48) [+354.20] – Win%: 83.45
Elo Favorite (Modified): Macy Chiasson (1681.72) [+482.46] – Win%: 89.21
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Macy Chiasson 63, Sarah Moras 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[*] Aiemann Zahabi (7-1-0, -162) vs. [#373] Vince Morales (8-3-0, +134)

Last 3 Fights: Aiemann Zahabi (2-1-0)
2017-11-04: L vs. [#79BW] Ricardo Ramos (12-2-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 1:58 of round 3
2017-02-19: W vs. [#367BW] Reginaldo Vieira (13-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2016-03-12: W vs. [*] Kyle Oliveira (3-2-0) via TKO in of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Vince Morales (1-2-0)
2018-11-24: L vs. [#68BW] Yadong Song (14-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-09-21: W vs. [NA] Justin Williams-Hugo (3-6-0) via UD ()
2018-07-17: L vs. [#142BW] Domingo Pilarte (8-1-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:52 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Aiemann Zahabi – Win%: 59.12
Elo Favorite (Standard): Aiemann Zahabi (1397.27) [+80.79] – Win%: 59.13
Elo Favorite (Modified): Aiemann Zahabi (1422.87) [+85.45] – Win%: 59.25
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aiemann Zahabi 546, Vince Morales 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#94] Nordine Taleb (14-6-0, -381) vs. [#218] Kyle Prepolec (12-5-0, +299)

Last 3 Fights: Nordine Taleb (1-2-0)
2018-10-27: L vs. [#49WW] Sean Strickland (20-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:10 of round 2
2018-05-27: L vs. [#38WW] Claudio Henrique Da Silva (13-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:31 of round 1
2017-12-16: W vs. [#106WW] Danny Roberts (16-4-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punch) in 0:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Prepolec (2-1-0)
2019-03-09: W vs. [#326LW] Cody Pfister (15-7-1) via UD ()
2018-06-23: W vs. [#540LW] Scott Hudson (9-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:44 of round 2
2017-08-05: L vs. [#172LW] Troy Lamson (12-2-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Nordine Taleb – Win%: 75.96
Elo Favorite (Standard): Nordine Taleb (1586.49) [+74.27] – Win%: 58.40
Elo Favorite (Modified): Nordine Taleb (1597.73) [+36.69] – Win%: 54.01
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nordine Taleb 189, Kyle Prepolec 56
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#214] Kyle Nelson (12-2-0, +180) vs. [#218] Matt Sayles (7-2-0, -223)

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Nelson (2-1-0)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#17LW] Carlos Diego Ferreira (15-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:23 of round 2
2018-11-19: W vs. [#1902LW] Morteza Rezaei (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:57 of round 1
2017-05-27: W vs. [#314LW] Khama Worthy (12-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:03 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Matt Sayles (2-1-0)
2018-08-04: L vs. [#90FW] Sheymon Moraes (11-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-06-19: W vs. [#603FW] Yazan Hajeh (6-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:57 of round 1
2017-03-25: W vs. [#363WW] Christian Aguilera (11-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:51 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Matt Sayles – Win%: 65.90
Elo Favorite (Standard): Kyle Nelson (1514.47) [+109.12] – Win%: 62.21
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kyle Nelson (1502.79) [+42.59] – Win%: 54.65
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyle Nelson 147, Matt Sayles 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#96] Arjan Singh Bhullar (8-1-0, -103) vs. [#99] Juan Adams (5-0-0, -121)

Last 3 Fights: Arjan Singh Bhullar (2-1-0)
2018-10-27: W vs. [#186HW+] Marcelo Golm (6-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-28)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#81HW+] Adam Wieczorek (10-2-0) via Submission (Omoplata) in 1:59 of round 2
2017-09-09: W vs. [#147HW+] Luis Henrique Barbosa de (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Juan Adams (3-0-0)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#215HW+] Chris de la Rocha (5-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:58 of round 3
2018-07-31: W vs. [#272HW+] Shawn Teed (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:17 of round 1
2018-01-26: W vs. [#397HW+] Dwight Gipson (7-9-0) via TKO (Submission to Punches) in 4:09 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Juan Adams – Win%: 51.90
Elo Favorite (Standard): Arjan Singh Bhullar (1503.63) [+62.22] – Win%: 57.06
Elo Favorite (Modified): Juan Adams (1546.86) [+6.14] – Win%: 50.67
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Arjan Singh Bhullar 189, Juan Adams 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#227] Cole Smith (6-0-0, -101) vs. [*] Mitch Gagnon (12-4-0, -123)

Last 3 Fights: Cole Smith (3-0-0)
2019-01-12: W vs. [#738BW] Tyler Wilson (6-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:26 of round 1
2018-03-17: W vs. [#889BW] Carlos Galvan (3-3-0) via UD ()
2017-11-18: W vs. [NA] Tyler Dolby (2-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:13 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Mitch Gagnon (1-2-0)
2016-12-10: L vs. [#71BW] Matthew Lopez (10-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2014-12-20: L vs. [#92BW] Renan Barao (34-8-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:53 of round 3
2014-10-04: W vs. [#1044FW] Roman Salazar (12-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:06 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Mitch Gagnon – Win%: 52.32
Elo Favorite (Standard): Mitch Gagnon (1510.45) [+95.21] – Win%: 60.71
Elo Favorite (Modified): Mitch Gagnon (1540.51) [+71.43] – Win%: 57.75
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cole Smith 112, Mitch Gagnon 875
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Donald Cerrone
Highest Stored DD Rating: Donald Cerrone
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Donald Cerrone vs. Al Iaquinta
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Donald Cerrone vs. Al Iaquinta
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2019-5-2