Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 7: Overeem vs. Oleinik (04-20-2018)

15 Apr , 2019,
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Heavyweight (265)
[#8] Alistair Overeem (44-17-0, -244) vs. [#10] Alexey Oleynik (59-11-1, +198)
Alistair Overeem is the All-Time #14 ranked Heavyweight and #44 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alistair Overeem (1-2-0)
2018-11-24: W vs. [#38HW+] Sergei Pavlovich (12-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 1
2018-06-09: L vs. [#7HW+] Curtis Blaydes (11-2-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:56 of round 3
2017-12-02: L vs. [#3HW+] Francis Ngannou (13-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:42 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alexey Oleynik (2-1-0)
2018-09-15: W vs. [#15HW+] Mark Hunt (13-14-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:26 of round 1
2018-05-12: W vs. [#59HW+] Junior Albini (14-5-0) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 1:45 of round 1
2017-11-04: L vs. [#7HW+] Curtis Blaydes (11-2-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:56 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Alistair Overeem – Win%: 67.88
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alistair Overeem (1922.87) [+106.87] – Win%: 61.97
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alistair Overeem (1933.03) [+84.88] – Win%: 59.19
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alistair Overeem 147, Alexey Oleynik 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#19] Islam Makhachev (16-1-0, -490) vs. [#104] Arman Tsarukyan (13-1-0, +373)

Last 3 Fights: Islam Makhachev (3-0-0)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#51LW] Kajan Johnson (23-13-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:43 of round 1
2018-01-20: W vs. [#69LW] Gleison Tibau (33-13-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:57 of round 1
2017-02-11: W vs. [#21LW] Nik Lentz (30-9-2) via UD (30-25, 30-27, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Arman Tsarukyan (3-0-0)
2018-08-22: W vs. [#774LW] Felipe Olivieri (15-7-0) via KO (Head kick) in 1:25 of round 3
2018-05-26: W vs. [#504LW] Junior Assuncao (16-7-0) via UD ()
2018-03-24: W vs. [#428LW] Haotian Wu (24-14-2) via TKO (Spinning Back Kick to the Body and Punches) in 0:31 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Islam Makhachev – Win%: 79.71
Elo Favorite (Standard): Islam Makhachev (1969.92) [+269.04] – Win%: 77.37
Elo Favorite (Modified): Islam Makhachev (1926.07) [+209.02] – Win%: 71.40
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Islam Makhachev 266, Arman Tsarukyan 241
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#38] Sergei Pavlovich (12-1-0, -306) vs. [#182] Marcelo Golm (6-2-0, +242)

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Pavlovich (2-1-0)
2018-11-24: L vs. [#8HW+] Alistair Overeem (44-17-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 1
2017-11-19: W vs. [#145HW+] Kirill Sidelnikov (11-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:45 of round 1
2017-06-02: W vs. [#60HW+] Mikhail Mokhnatkin (11-3-2) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Marcelo Golm (1-2-0)
2018-10-27: L vs. [#96HW+] Arjan Singh Bhullar (8-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-28)
2018-02-03: L vs. [#48HW+] Timothy Johnson (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-10-28: W vs. [#262HW+] Christian Colombo (8-4-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:08 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Sergei Pavlovich – Win%: 72.04
Elo Favorite (Standard): Sergei Pavlovich (1703.30) [+432.44] – Win%: 87.82
Elo Favorite (Modified): Sergei Pavlovich (1739.34) [+414.34] – Win%: 85.98
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sergei Pavlovich 147, Marcelo Golm 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#15] Ivan Shtyrkov (15-0-1, -184) vs. [#75] Devin Clark (9-3-0, +154)

Last 3 Fights: Ivan Shtyrkov (2-0-1)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#55LHW] Thiago Silva (21-8-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:20 of round 1
2018-10-27: W vs. [#43LHW] Fabio Maldonado (25-13-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:23 of round 2
2018-05-05: D vs. [#67HW+] Geronimo dos Santos (41-21-1) via Draw in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Devin Clark (1-2-0)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#28LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (11-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 1
2018-04-07: W vs. [#84LHW] Mike Rodriguez (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-10-21: L vs. [#14LHW] Jan Blachowicz (23-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:02 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ivan Shtyrkov – Win%: 62.20
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ivan Shtyrkov (1764.01) [+280.98] – Win%: 78.31
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ivan Shtyrkov (1814.40) [+306.74] – Win%: 79.30
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ivan Shtyrkov 126, Devin Clark 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#17] Antonina Shevchenko (7-0-0, -339) vs. [#21] Roxanne Modafferi (22-15-0, +263)
Roxanne Modafferi is the All-Time #20 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Antonina Shevchenko (3-0-0)
2018-11-30: W vs. [#31BW] Ji Yeon Kim (8-2-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-06-26: W vs. [#180FLY] Jaimelene Nievera (7-5-0) via TKO (Knees) in 3:22 of round 2
2017-12-22: W vs. [*] Valerie Domergue (4-4-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Roxanne Modafferi (1-2-0)
2018-11-03: L vs. [#13BW] Sijara Eubanks (4-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-07-06: W vs. [#59FLY] Barb Honchak (10-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:32 of round 2
2017-12-01: L vs. [*] Nicco Montano (4-2-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 50-45)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Antonina Shevchenko – Win%: 73.70
Elo Favorite (Standard): Antonina Shevchenko (1458.25) [+125.42] – Win%: 63.95
Elo Favorite (Modified): Antonina Shevchenko (1463.84) [+86.30] – Win%: 59.33
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Antonina Shevchenko 141, Roxanne Modafferi 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#22] Krzysztof Jotko (19-4-0, -190) vs. [#205] Alen Amedovski (8-0-0, +158)

Last 3 Fights: Krzysztof Jotko (0-3-0)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#16MW] Brad Tavares (17-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:16 of round 3
2017-09-16: L vs. [#17MW] Uriah Hall (14-9-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:25 of round 2
2017-05-13: L vs. [#19MW] David Branch (22-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Alen Amedovski (3-0-0)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#446MW] Ibrahim Mane (7-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:12 of round 1
2018-07-14: W vs. [#284MW] Will Fleury (5-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:39 of round 1
2018-03-03: W vs. [NA] Badr Mamdouh (0-1-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:06 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Krzysztof Jotko – Win%: 62.83
Elo Favorite (Standard): Krzysztof Jotko (1699.83) [+246.40] – Win%: 75.51
Elo Favorite (Modified): Krzysztof Jotko (1749.89) [+238.37] – Win%: 73.95
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Krzysztof Jotko 371, Alen Amedovski 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#37BW] Movsar Evloev (10-0-0, -288) vs. [*] Sung Woo Choi (8-1-0, +228)

Last 3 Fights: Movsar Evloev (3-0-0)
2018-07-21: W vs. [#285FW] Rafael Dias (15-6-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:21 of round 5
2018-02-22: W vs. [#83BW] Sergey Morozov (15-4-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:47 of round 3
2017-07-22: W vs. [#120BW] Pavel Vitruk (15-3-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Sung Woo Choi (2-1-0)
2017-12-09: W vs. [#95BW] Jae Woong Kim (8-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:47 of round 2
2017-07-22: W vs. [*] Young Bok Kil (8-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:33 of round 1
2017-03-18: L vs. [#95BW] Jae Woong Kim (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:36 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Movsar Evloev – Win%: 70.88
Elo Favorite (Standard): Movsar Evloev (1722.80) [+267.26] – Win%: 77.23
Elo Favorite (Modified): Movsar Evloev (1748.17) [+263.86] – Win%: 76.05
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Movsar Evloev 273, Sung Woo Choi 497
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#109] Keita Nakamura (34-9-2, -121) vs. [#195] Sultan Aliev (14-3-0, -102)

Last 3 Fights: Keita Nakamura (2-1-0)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#245WW] Salim Touahri (10-3-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-04-21: L vs. [#21WW] Anthony Rocco Martin (16-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-09-22: W vs. [#58WW] Alex Morono (16-5-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Sultan Aliev (1-2-0)
2018-05-12: L vs. [#88WW] Warlley Alves (12-3-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2016-12-17: W vs. [#123WW] Bojan Velickovic (16-8-2) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)
2015-01-24: L vs. [*] Kenny Robertson (15-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:42 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Keita Nakamura – Win%: 52.01
Elo Favorite (Standard): Keita Nakamura (1651.73) [+85.37] – Win%: 59.63
Elo Favorite (Modified): Keita Nakamura (1594.45) [+5.20] – Win%: 50.57
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Keita Nakamura 140, Sultan Aliev 343
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#320] Alex da Silva Coelho (20-1-0, -100) vs. [*] Alexander Yakovlev (24-9-1, -125)

Last 3 Fights: Alex da Silva Coelho (2-1-0)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#1623LW] Slavoljub Mitic (4-1-1) via TKO in 1:11 of round 1
2017-09-09: W vs. [#1080WW] Fernando Colman (7-4-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:49 of round 1
2017-04-23: L vs. [#319FW] Jakub Kowalewicz (9-4-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Yakovlev (1-2-0)
2016-11-19: L vs. [#35MW] Zak Cummings (22-6-0) via SUB in 4:02 of round 2
2016-07-23: L vs. [#1WW/#5DD/#5P4P] Kamaru Usman (15-1-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-25)
2016-01-30: W vs. [#481WW] George Sullivan (17-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:59 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Alexander Yakovlev – Win%: 52.63
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alexander Yakovlev (1596.92) [+89.57] – Win%: 60.09
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alexander Yakovlev (1625.14) [+98.22] – Win%: 60.59
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex da Silva Coelho 140, Alexander Yakovlev 882
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#16] Marcin Tybura (17-4-0, -176) vs. [#25] Shamil Abdurakhimov (19-5-0, +146)

Last 3 Fights: Marcin Tybura (1-2-0)
2018-07-22: W vs. [#26HW+] Stefan Struve (29-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-02-18: L vs. [#6HW+] Derrick Lewis (21-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:48 of round 3
2017-11-18: L vs. [*] Fabricio Werdum (23-8-1) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Shamil Abdurakhimov (2-1-0)
2018-09-15: W vs. [#29HW+] Andrei Arlovski (27-17-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-11-25: W vs. [#89HW+] Chase Sherman (12-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:24 of round 1
2016-12-09: L vs. [#6HW+] Derrick Lewis (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:42 of round 4

Odds Favorite (Implied): Marcin Tybura – Win%: 61.07
Elo Favorite (Standard): Marcin Tybura (1747.61) [+18.97] – Win%: 52.16
Elo Favorite (Modified): Marcin Tybura (1768.52) [+47.66] – Win%: 55.20
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marcin Tybura 272, Shamil Abdurakhimov 217
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#34] Michal Oleksiejczuk (15-2-0, -206) vs. [#66] Gadzhimurad Antigulov (20-5-0, +169)

Last 3 Fights: Michal Oleksiejczuk (3-0-0)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#40LHW] Gian Villante (17-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 1
2017-12-30: W vs. [#27LHW] Khalil Rountree (8-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-05-12: W vs. [#154LHW] Riccardo Nosiglia (7-1-0) via TKO in 1:39 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Gadzhimurad Antigulov (2-1-0)
2018-07-28: L vs. [#36LHW] Ion Cutelaba (14-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:25 of round 1
2017-05-13: W vs. [*] Joachim Christensen (14-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:21 of round 1
2016-11-19: W vs. [#57HW+] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (16-6-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:07 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Michal Oleksiejczuk – Win%: 64.42
Elo Favorite (Standard): Michal Oleksiejczuk (1690.68) [+37.77] – Win%: 54.30
Elo Favorite (Modified): Michal Oleksiejczuk (1695.69) [+17.75] – Win%: 51.94
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Michal Oleksiejczuk 56, Gadzhimurad Antigulov 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#197] Rafael Fiziev (6-0-0, +145) vs. [*] Magomed Mustafaev (13-3-0, -176)

Last 3 Fights: Rafael Fiziev (3-0-0)
2018-12-21: W vs. [#957LW] Nurzhan Tutkaev (5-5-0) via KO (Body Kick) in 0:51 of round 2
2017-12-23: W vs. [#307LW] Nandin-Erdene Munguntsooj (8-6-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:58 of round 1
2017-06-10: W vs. [*] Seung Yeon Kim (3-2-0) via KO (Knees and Punches) in 4:23 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Mustafaev (2-1-0)
2016-11-19: L vs. [#7LW] Kevin Lee (17-4-0) via SUB in 4:31 of round 2
2015-12-12: W vs. [*] Joe Proctor (11-5-0) via TKO in 1:54 of round 1
2015-06-20: W vs. [#127LW] Piotr Hallmann (19-6-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 3:24 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Magomed Mustafaev – Win%: 60.97
Elo Favorite (Standard): Magomed Mustafaev (1650.92) [+231.20] – Win%: 74.20
Elo Favorite (Modified): Magomed Mustafaev (1676.32) [+199.29] – Win%: 70.52
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael Fiziev 120, Magomed Mustafaev 882
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Alistair Overeem
Highest Stored DD Rating: Alistair Overeem
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Alistair Overeem vs. Alexey Oleynik
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Alistair Overeem vs. Alexey Oleynik
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Good [***]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Low [**]
Run Date: 2019-4-14