Fight Matrix Program – UFC on 236: Holloway vs Poirier 2 (04-13-2019)

8 Apr , 2019,
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Lightweight Championship (155)
[#1FW/#2DD/#4P4P] Max Holloway (20-3-0, -220) vs. [#3/#10DD] Dustin Poirier (24-5-0, +177)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #27 ranked Absolute fighter.
Dustin Poirier is the All-Time #18 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (3-0-0)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#3FW] Brian Ortega (14-1-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 4
2017-12-02: W vs. [#2FW/#8DD] Jose Aldo (28-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2017-06-03: W vs. [#2FW/#8DD] Jose Aldo (28-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Dustin Poirier (3-0-0)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#27WW] Eddie Alvarez (29-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:05 of round 2
2018-04-14: W vs. [#5LW] Justin Gaethje (20-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 4
2017-11-11: W vs. [#5WW] Anthony Pettis (22-8-0) via Submission (Body Triangle) in 2:08 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Max Holloway – Win%: 65.56
Elo Favorite (Standard): Max Holloway (2365.53) [+141.35] – Win%: 65.61
Elo Favorite (Modified): Max Holloway (2317.61) [+172.34] – Win%: 68.01
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 126, Dustin Poirier 259
Previous Match-up Record: Dustin Poirier leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Max Holloway leads 3-2
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Middleweight Championship (185)
[#4] Kelvin Gastelum (15-3-0, +142) vs. [#7] Israel Adesanya (16-0-0, -170)
Israel Adesanya is the All-Time #50 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (2-1-0)
2018-05-12: W vs. [#5MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-11-25: W vs. [*] Michael Bisping (30-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:30 of round 1
2017-07-22: L vs. [#8MW] Chris Weidman (14-4-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:45 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (3-0-0)
2019-02-09: W vs. [#15MW] Anderson Silva (34-9-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-11-03: W vs. [#12MW] Derek Brunson (18-7-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:51 of round 1
2018-07-06: W vs. [#16MW] Brad Tavares (17-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Israel Adesanya – Win%: 60.37
Elo Favorite (Standard): Kelvin Gastelum (2165.77) [+90.64] – Win%: 60.21
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kelvin Gastelum (2135.94) [+77.95] – Win%: 58.45
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kelvin Gastelum 336, Israel Adesanya 63
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#47] Eryk Anders (11-3-0, -194) vs. [#79] Khalil Rountree (7-4-0, +160)

Last 3 Fights: Eryk Anders (1-2-0)
2018-12-08: L vs. [#18MW] Elias Theodorou (16-2-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2018-09-22: L vs. [#7LHW] Thiago Santos (21-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 5:00 of round 3
2018-08-25: W vs. [#108MW] Tim Williams (15-5-0) via KO (Soccer Kick) in 4:42 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Khalil Rountree (1-2-0)
2018-11-17: L vs. [#20LHW] Johnny Walker (17-3-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:57 of round 1
2018-07-07: W vs. [#114LHW] Gokhan Saki (1-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:36 of round 1
2017-12-30: L vs. [#33LHW] Michal Oleksiejczuk (15-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Eryk Anders – Win%: 63.17
Elo Favorite (Standard): Eryk Anders (1612.03) [+228.58] – Win%: 73.97
Elo Favorite (Modified): Eryk Anders (1708.15) [+271.94] – Win%: 76.68
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Eryk Anders 126, Khalil Rountree 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#53] Alan Jouban (16-6-0, -117) vs. [#133] Dwight Grant (9-2-0, -106)

Last 3 Fights: Alan Jouban (1-2-0)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#80WW] Ben Saunders (22-11-2) via KO (Punch) in 2:38 of round 2
2017-08-05: L vs. [#45WW] Niko Price (13-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:44 of round 1
2017-03-18: L vs. [#19WW] Gunnar Nelson (17-4-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:46 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Dwight Grant (2-1-0)
2019-02-23: W vs. [#211WW] Carlo Pedersoli Jr. (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 1
2018-12-15: L vs. [#132WW] Zak Ottow (17-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-06-19: W vs. [#879WW] Tyler Hill (8-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:08 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Alan Jouban – Win%: 51.16
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alan Jouban (1730.69) [+179.13] – Win%: 69.39
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alan Jouban (1743.84) [+149.61] – Win%: 65.81
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alan Jouban 413, Dwight Grant 49
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#17] Ovince St. Preux (23-12-0, -110) vs. [#23] Nikita Krylov (24-6-0, -114)
Ovince St. Preux is the All-Time #42 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ovince St. Preux (1-2-0)
2018-10-06: L vs. [#9LHW] Dominick Reyes (11-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-06-23: W vs. [#48LHW] Tyson Pedro (7-3-0) via Submission (Straight Armbar) in 2:54 of round 1
2018-02-24: L vs. [#13LHW] Ilir Latifi (14-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Nikita Krylov (2-1-0)
2018-09-15: L vs. [#14LHW] Jan Blachowicz (23-8-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:41 of round 2
2018-05-19: W vs. [#57HW+] Fabio Maldonado (25-13-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:33 of round 2
2017-10-13: W vs. [*] Emanuel Newton (26-13-1) via KO (Knee) in 0:43 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Nikita Krylov – Win%: 50.42
Elo Favorite (Standard): Nikita Krylov (1729.65) [+40.12] – Win%: 54.57
Elo Favorite (Modified): Nikita Krylov (1755.63) [+12.66] – Win%: 51.38
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ovince St. Preux 189, Nikita Krylov 210
Previous Match-up Record: Ovince St. Preux leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#186] Jalin Turner (8-4-0, -123) vs. [#239] Matt Frevola (6-1-1, -101)

Last 3 Fights: Jalin Turner (2-1-0)
2019-02-09: W vs. [#254LW] Callan Potter (16-8-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 0:53 of round 1
2018-10-06: L vs. [#25WW] Vicente Luque (15-6-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:52 of round 1
2018-07-10: W vs. [#712LW] Max Mustaki (6-4-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Matt Frevola (1-1-1)
2018-11-03: D vs. [#121LW] Lando Vannata (10-3-2) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2018-01-14: L vs. [#199LW] Marco Polo Reyes (8-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1
2017-08-29: W vs. [*] Jose Flores (7-1-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:32 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jalin Turner – Win%: 52.32
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jalin Turner (1452.46) [+48.29] – Win%: 55.49
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jalin Turner (1457.82) [+29.28] – Win%: 53.20
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jalin Turner 63, Matt Frevola 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#4] Alexandre Pantoja (20-3-0, -159) vs. [#7] Wilson Reis (23-9-0, +132)
Alexandre Pantoja is the All-Time #35 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Wilson Reis is the All-Time #20 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexandre Pantoja (2-1-0)
2018-11-17: W vs. [#61BW] Yuta Sasaki (22-6-2) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:18 of round 1
2018-05-19: W vs. [#12FLY] Brandon Moreno (14-5-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2018-01-20: L vs. [#6FLY] Dustin Ortiz (19-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Wilson Reis (1-2-0)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#14FLY] Ben Nguyen (16-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#9FLY] John Moraga (19-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-09-09: L vs. [#1FLY/#1DD/#3P4P] Henry Cejudo (14-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:25 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Alexandre Pantoja – Win%: 58.75
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alexandre Pantoja (1767.95) [+82.65] – Win%: 59.33
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alexandre Pantoja (1739.63) [+35.56] – Win%: 53.89
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexandre Pantoja 147, Wilson Reis 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Wilson Reis leads 2-1
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Welterweight (170)
[#56] Max Griffin (14-6-0, -110) vs. [#470] Zelim Imadaev (8-0-0, -113)

Last 3 Fights: Max Griffin (1-2-0)
2019-02-02: L vs. [#50WW] Thiago Alves (23-13-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-07: L vs. [#36WW] Curtis Millender (17-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#30WW] Mike Perry (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-27, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Zelim Imadaev (3-0-0)
2018-03-30: W vs. [#1033WW] Ivan Gluhak (17-9-1) via KO (Punch) in 0:13 of round 1
2017-09-29: W vs. [#1088WW] Yuri Izotov (9-10-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 3:17 of round 1
2017-05-21: W vs. [#1689LW] Kenan Guliyev (2-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:34 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Zelim Imadaev – Win%: 50.31
Elo Favorite (Standard): Max Griffin (1557.56) [+139.30] – Win%: 65.39
Elo Favorite (Modified): Max Griffin (1644.25) [+194.41] – Win%: 70.08
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Griffin 70, Zelim Imadaev 379
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#221] Khalid Taha (12-2-0, +104) vs. [*] Boston Salmon (6-1-0, -128)

Last 3 Fights: Khalid Taha (1-2-0)
2018-07-22: L vs. [#93FW] Nad Narimani (12-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-05-11: W vs. [#249BW] Hamza Kooheji (8-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in ? of round 1
2017-12-29: L vs. [#100BW] Takafumi Otsuka (25-15-2) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:23 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Boston Salmon (2-1-0)
2017-07-11: W vs. [#334BW] Ricky Turcios (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2016-09-09: L vs. [*] Zac Riley (5-5-0) via SD ()
2015-12-11: W vs. [#948FW] Keith Carson (7-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:21 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Boston Salmon – Win%: 53.38
Elo Favorite (Standard): Khalid Taha (1512.53) [+125.97] – Win%: 64.00
Elo Favorite (Modified): Khalid Taha (1515.75) [+32.30] – Win%: 53.53
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Khalid Taha 265, Boston Salmon 641
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#36] Curtis Millender (17-4-0, +107) vs. [#59] Belal Muhammad (14-3-0, -132)

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Millender (2-1-0)
2019-03-09: L vs. [#22WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (21-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:35 of round 1
2018-12-29: W vs. [#63WW] Siyar Bahadurzada (24-7-1) via UD ()
2018-07-07: W vs. [#56WW] Max Griffin (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Belal Muhammad (2-1-0)
2019-01-19: L vs. [#49WW] Geoff Neal (11-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-06-01: W vs. [#96WW] Chance Rencountre (14-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-11-18: W vs. [#69WW] Tim Means (28-11-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Belal Muhammad – Win%: 54.08
Elo Favorite (Standard): Curtis Millender (1851.33) [+119.64] – Win%: 63.34
Elo Favorite (Modified): Curtis Millender (1835.08) [+134.37] – Win%: 64.30
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Millender 35, Belal Muhammad 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#20] Montel Jackson (7-1-0, -457) vs. [#66] Andre Soukhamthath (13-6-0, +343)

Last 3 Fights: Montel Jackson (2-1-0)
2018-12-29: W vs. [#27BW] Brian Kelleher (19-10-0) via Submission (DArce Choke) in 1:40 of round 1
2018-08-04: L vs. [#14BW] Ricky Simon (16-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-06-12: W vs. [#419BW] Rico DiSciullo (9-2-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:15 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Andre Soukhamthath (2-1-0)
2018-10-27: W vs. [#111BW] Jonathan Martinez (9-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-26)
2018-03-03: L vs. [#49BW] Sean OMalley (10-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-27)
2017-12-09: W vs. [#33BW] Luke Sanders (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Montel Jackson – Win%: 78.42
Elo Favorite (Standard): Montel Jackson (1529.18) [+56.83] – Win%: 56.46
Elo Favorite (Modified): Andre Soukhamthath (1571.93) [+3.25] – Win%: 50.36
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Montel Jackson 105, Andre Soukhamthath 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Montel Jackson leads 1-0
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#26SW] Poliana Botelho (7-2-0, -165) vs. [#119] Lauren Mueller (5-1-0, +137)

Last 3 Fights: Poliana Botelho (2-1-0)
2018-11-17: L vs. [#12SW] Cynthia Calvillo (8-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:48 of round 1
2018-05-19: W vs. [#67SW] Syuri Kondo (6-2-0) via TKO (Kick to the Body and Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2017-10-07: W vs. [#29FLY] Pearl Gonzalez (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Lauren Mueller (2-1-0)
2018-11-24: L vs. [#89FLY] Yanan Wu (9-2-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:00 of round 1
2018-04-14: W vs. [#125FLY] Shana Dobson (3-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-08-29: W vs. [NA] Kelly McGill-Velasco (2-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Poliana Botelho – Win%: 59.60
Elo Favorite (Standard): Poliana Botelho (1415.63) [+232.14] – Win%: 74.28
Elo Favorite (Modified): Poliana Botelho (1448.05) [+182.99] – Win%: 69.02
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Poliana Botelho 147, Lauren Mueller 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#165FW] Brandon Davis (9-5-0, -163) vs. [#1525FW] Randy Costa (4-0-0, +136)

Last 3 Fights: Brandon Davis (1-2-0)
2018-09-08: L vs. [#6FW] Zabit Magomedsharipov (17-1-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 4:36 of round 2
2018-05-19: L vs. [#55FW] Enrique Barzola (16-4-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2018-02-18: W vs. [#151FW] Steven Peterson (17-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Randy Costa (3-0-0)
2019-01-26: W vs. [NA] Rob Fuller (0-4-0) via TKO in 0:42 of round 1
2018-11-03: W vs. [NA] Chris Thorne (4-12-0) via TKO in of round 1
2018-08-18: W vs. [NA] Kenny Lewis (0-1-0) via TKO in 0:11 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Brandon Davis – Win%: 59.39
Elo Favorite (Standard): Brandon Davis (1396.82) [+212.45] – Win%: 72.52
Elo Favorite (Modified): Brandon Davis (1379.35) [+143.98] – Win%: 65.26
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brandon Davis 217, Randy Costa 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Max Holloway
Highest Stored DD Rating: Max Holloway
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Max Holloway vs. Dustin Poirier
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Max Holloway vs. Dustin Poirier
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Large [***½]
Run Date: 2019-4-8