Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 6: Thompson vs Pettis (03-23-2019)

18 Mar , 2019,
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Welterweight (170)
[#5] Stephen Thompson (14-3-1, -426) vs. [#11LW] Anthony Pettis (21-8-0, +325)
Stephen Thompson is the All-Time #14 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Anthony Pettis is the All-Time #39 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Stephen Thompson (1-2-0)
2018-05-27: L vs. [#7WW] Darren Till (17-2-1) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2017-11-04: W vs. [#4WW] Jorge Masvidal (33-13-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-03-04: L vs. [#2WW/#10DD] Tyron Woodley (19-4-1) via MD (48-47, 47-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Pettis (1-2-0)
2018-10-06: L vs. [#2LW/#9P4P] Tony Ferguson (24-3-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2018-07-07: W vs. [#24WW] Michael Chiesa (15-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 0:52 of round 2
2017-11-11: L vs. [#3LW] Dustin Poirier (24-5-0) via Submission (Body Triangle) in 2:08 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Stephen Thompson – Win%: 77.48
Elo Favorite (Standard): Stephen Thompson (2000.11) [+54.37] – Win%: 56.18
Elo Favorite (Modified): Stephen Thompson (2008.94) [+96.63] – Win%: 60.42
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Stephen Thompson 300, Anthony Pettis 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#7] Curtis Blaydes (10-2-0, -288) vs. [#13] Justin Willis (8-1-0, +230)
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #48 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (2-1-0)
2018-11-24: L vs. [#3HW+] Francis Ngannou (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1
2018-06-09: W vs. [#8HW+] Alistair Overeem (44-17-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:56 of round 3
2018-02-10: W vs. [#14HW+] Mark Hunt (13-14-1) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-26)

Last 3 Fights: Justin Willis (3-0-0)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#14HW+] Mark Hunt (13-14-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-04-21: W vs. [#89HW+] Chase Sherman (12-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#125HW+] Allen Crowder (10-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:33 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Curtis Blaydes – Win%: 71.01
Elo Favorite (Standard): Curtis Blaydes (1824.08) [+131.83] – Win%: 64.62
Elo Favorite (Modified): Curtis Blaydes (1837.24) [+118.15] – Win%: 62.65
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Blaydes 119, Justin Willis 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#47] John Makdessi (16-6-0) vs. [#235] Jesus Pinedo (16-4-2)

Last 3 Fights: John Makdessi (2-1-0)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#93LW] Ross Pearson (20-15-0) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 29-27)
2017-12-16: W vs. [*] Abel Trujillo (14-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-12-10: L vs. [#119LW] Lando Vannata (10-3-2) via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick) in 1:40 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jesus Pinedo (3-0-0)
2018-11-17: W vs. [#447LW] Devin Powell (9-4-0) via UD ()
2018-06-15: W vs. [#664BW] Carlos Alexandre (6-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:13 of round 2
2018-02-18: W vs. [#1545LW] Joackim Pedro Neto Ferrei (7-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:25 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): John Makdessi (1694.41) [+149.58] – Win%: 66.45
Elo Favorite (Modified): John Makdessi (1707.90) [+162.24] – Win%: 67.05
Days Since Last Pro Fight: John Makdessi 238, Jesus Pinedo 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#3] Jussier da Silva (22-5-0, +146) vs. [#5] Deiveson Figueiredo (15-0-0, -175)
Jussier da Silva is the All-Time #7 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Deiveson Figueiredo is the All-Time #33 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jussier da Silva (3-0-0)
2018-10-06: W vs. [#55BW] Sergio Pettis (17-5-0) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-10: W vs. [#15FLY] Ben Nguyen (16-8-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:43 of round 3
2017-09-22: W vs. [#61BW] Yuta Sasaki (22-6-2) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:30 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (3-0-0)
2018-08-25: W vs. [#10FLY] John Moraga (19-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:08 of round 2
2018-02-03: W vs. [#49FLY] Joseph Morales (9-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:34 of round 2
2017-10-28: W vs. [#31FLY] Jarred Brooks (14-2-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Deiveson Figueiredo – Win%: 61.02
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jussier da Silva (1895.46) [+23.49] – Win%: 52.68
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jussier da Silva (1891.10) [+56.19] – Win%: 56.12
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jussier da Silva 168, Deiveson Figueiredo 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#100] Steven Peterson (17-7-0) vs. [#372LW] Luis Pena (5-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Steven Peterson (2-1-0)
2018-07-06: W vs. [#112FW] Matt Bessette (22-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-02-18: L vs. [#157FW] Brandon Davis (9-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 29-28)
2017-12-08: W vs. [*] Dustin Winter (6-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:38 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Luis Pena (2-1-0)
2018-11-10: L vs. [#141LW] Michael Trizano (8-0-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2018-07-06: W vs. [#1172FW] Richie Smullen (4-1-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:32 of round 1
2017-07-22: W vs. [*] Kobe Wall (4-1-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 1:40 of round 3

Elo Favorite (Standard): Steven Peterson (1468.76) [+77.92] – Win%: 58.81
Elo Favorite (Modified): Luis Pena (1519.41) [+50.26] – Win%: 55.48
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Steven Peterson 260, Luis Pena 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#19SW] J.J. Aldrich (7-2-0) vs. [#23SW] Maycee Barber (6-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: J.J. Aldrich (3-0-0)
2018-08-04: W vs. [#53SW] Polyana Viana (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-01-14: W vs. [#26SW] Danielle Taylor (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-06-10: W vs. [*] Chanmi Jeon (5-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Maycee Barber (3-0-0)
2018-11-10: W vs. [#50SW] Hannah Cifers (9-3-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:01 of round 2
2018-07-17: W vs. [#97SW] Jamie Colleen (4-3-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:15 of round 3
2018-05-04: W vs. [#204SW] Audrey Perkins (1-1-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:54 of round 3

Elo Favorite (Standard): J.J. Aldrich (1516.94) [+76.54] – Win%: 58.65
Elo Favorite (Modified): J.J. Aldrich (1541.40) [+33.72] – Win%: 53.68
Days Since Last Pro Fight: J.J. Aldrich 231, Maycee Barber 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#62] Bobby Moffett (14-3-0) vs. [#128] Bryce Mitchell (10-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Bobby Moffett (3-0-0)
2018-11-10: W vs. [#76FW] Chas Skelly (17-4-0) via Technical Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:43 of round 2
2018-08-07: W vs. [#580FW] Jacob Kilburn (6-2-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 1:02 of round 2
2018-06-16: W vs. [NA] Johnathon Jackson (1-2-0) via SUB in 2:02 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Bryce Mitchell (3-0-0)
2018-07-06: W vs. [#193FW] Tyler Diamond (9-1-0) via MD (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)
2017-06-17: W vs. [#143FW] Jose Mariscal (9-3-0) via UD ()
2017-01-14: W vs. [#1471LW] Issac Ware (5-4-0) via SUB in 1:30 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Bobby Moffett (1686.94) [+118.59] – Win%: 63.22
Elo Favorite (Modified): Bobby Moffett (1682.91) [+97.65] – Win%: 60.53
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bobby Moffett 133, Bryce Mitchell 260
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#46] Frankie Saenz (13-5-0) vs. [#50] Marlon Vera (13-5-1)

Last 3 Fights: Frankie Saenz (2-1-0)
2018-05-19: W vs. [#475BW] Enrique Briones (16-8-1) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-12-09: W vs. [#62BW] Merab Dvalishvili (8-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-01-15: L vs. [*] Augusto Mendes (6-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Vera (2-1-0)
2018-11-17: W vs. [#192BW] Guido Cannetti (8-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:31 of round 2
2018-08-04: W vs. [#414BW] Wuliji Buren (11-7-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 4:53 of round 2
2018-02-03: L vs. [#49BW] Douglas Silva de Andrade (25-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Marlon Vera (1579.82) [+16.93] – Win%: 51.93
Elo Favorite (Modified): Marlon Vera (1602.88) [+24.02] – Win%: 52.63
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Frankie Saenz 308, Marlon Vera 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#8] Alexis Davis (19-8-0) vs. [#9] Jennifer Maia (15-5-1)
Alexis Davis is the All-Time #18 ranked Women’s fighter.
Jennifer Maia is the All-Time #22 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alexis Davis (2-1-0)
2018-07-28: L vs. [#4FLY] Katlyn Chookagian (11-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-12-09: W vs. [#2FLY] Liz Carmouche (13-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-04-22: W vs. [#17FW] Cindy Dandois (12-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jennifer Maia (2-1-0)
2018-07-14: L vs. [#2FLY] Liz Carmouche (13-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-12-08: W vs. [*] Aga Niedzwiedz (10-1-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2016-09-23: W vs. [#20FLY] Roxanne Modafferi (22-15-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 49-46)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Alexis Davis (1572.15) [+17.97] – Win%: 52.05
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alexis Davis (1549.10) [+20.42] – Win%: 52.23
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alexis Davis 238, Jennifer Maia 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Alexis Davis leads 2-0
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#16] Angela Hill (8-5-0) vs. [#18] Randa Markos (8-6-1)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (1-2-0)
2018-08-25: L vs. [#15SW] Cortney Casey (8-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#31SW] Maryna Moroz (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-11-11: L vs. [#5SW] Nina Ansaroff (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Randa Markos (1-1-1)
2018-09-22: D vs. [#21SW] Marina Rodriguez (11-0-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2018-07-28: L vs. [#5SW] Nina Ansaroff (10-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-01-27: W vs. [#43SW] Juliana Lima (9-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Randa Markos (1381.75) [+43.63] – Win%: 54.97
Elo Favorite (Modified): Randa Markos (1422.00) [+3.42] – Win%: 50.37
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Angela Hill 210, Randa Markos 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[*] Chris Gutierrez (12-4-1) vs. [#169] Ryan MacDonald (10-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Gutierrez (2-1-0)
2018-11-30: L vs. [#12BW] Raoni Barcelos (13-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:12 of round 2
2018-10-19: W vs. [#125BW] Ray Rodriguez (14-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:47 of round 1
2018-04-06: W vs. [#199BW] Jimmy Flick (12-5-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks) in 2:59 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Ryan MacDonald (3-0-0)
2018-09-07: W vs. [#720BW] Trevor Ward (6-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:06 of round 2
2018-03-24: W vs. [#1439BW] Matt Murphy (7-11-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 5:00 of round 2
2017-10-21: W vs. [*] Chad Obermiller (9-9-0) via TKO (Submission to Punches) in 3:42 of round 2

Elo Favorite (Standard): Chris Gutierrez (1550.04) [+134.28] – Win%: 64.87
Elo Favorite (Modified): Chris Gutierrez (1518.67) [+77.12] – Win%: 58.36
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chris Gutierrez 113, Ryan MacDonald 197
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#16] Jordan Espinosa (13-5-0) vs. [#28] Eric Shelton (12-5-0)

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Espinosa (3-0-0)
2018-07-10: W vs. [#30FLY] Riley Dutro (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:58 of round 3
2018-03-03: W vs. [#111FLY] C.J. Hamilton (13-7-0) via SD ()
2017-08-22: W vs. [*] Nick Urso (10-4-0) via Technical Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:23 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Eric Shelton (2-1-0)
2018-11-10: W vs. [#49FLY] Joseph Morales (9-2-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 27-30)
2018-02-24: L vs. [#13FLY] Alex Perez (21-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-11-18: W vs. [#121FLY] Jenel Lausa (7-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-25)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Jordan Espinosa (1617.65) [+63.39] – Win%: 57.19
Elo Favorite (Modified): Eric Shelton (1560.11) [+7.91] – Win%: 50.86
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jordan Espinosa 256, Eric Shelton 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Stephen Thompson
Highest Stored DD Rating: Jussier da Silva
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Stephen Thompson vs. Anthony Pettis
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Jussier da Silva vs. Deiveson Figueiredo
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2019-3-17