Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 5: Till vs. Masvidal (03-16-2019)

Welterweight (170)
[#4] Darren Till (17-1-1, -249) vs. [*] Jorge Masvidal (32-13-0, +198)
Darren Till is the All-Time #34 ranked Welterweight fighter.
Jorge Masvidal is the All-Time #40 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Darren Till (2-1-0)
2018-09-08: L vs. [#2WW/#10DD] Tyron Woodley (19-4-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:19 of round 2
2018-05-27: W vs. [#5WW] Stephen Thompson (14-3-1) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)
2017-10-21: W vs. [#4LW] Donald Cerrone (35-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:20 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jorge Masvidal (1-2-0)
2017-11-04: L vs. [#5WW] Stephen Thompson (14-3-1) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-05-13: L vs. [#12WW] Demian Maia (26-9-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-01-28: W vs. [#4LW] Donald Cerrone (35-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Darren Till – Win%: 68.01
Elo Favorite (Standard): Darren Till (2026.25) [+108.59] – Win%: 62.15
Elo Favorite (Modified): Darren Till (2016.15) [+43.35] – Win%: 54.73
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Darren Till 189, Jorge Masvidal 497
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Darren Till leads 2-1
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Welterweight (170)
[#13] Leon Edwards (16-3-0, -157) vs. [#15] Gunnar Nelson (17-3-1, +129)

Last 3 Fights: Leon Edwards (3-0-0)
2018-06-23: W vs. [#4LW] Donald Cerrone (35-11-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2018-03-17: W vs. [#74WW] Peter Sobotta (17-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 3
2017-09-02: W vs. [#59WW] Bryan Barberena (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Gunnar Nelson (2-1-0)
2018-12-08: W vs. [#20WW] Alex Oliveira (20-6-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:17 of round 2
2017-07-16: L vs. [#7WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (27-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2017-03-18: W vs. [#47WW] Alan Jouban (16-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:46 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Leon Edwards – Win%: 58.31
Elo Favorite (Standard): Leon Edwards (2023.58) [+56.09] – Win%: 56.37
Elo Favorite (Modified): Leon Edwards (2005.20) [+42.18] – Win%: 54.60
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Leon Edwards 266, Gunnar Nelson 98
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#11] Volkan Oezdemir (15-3-0, +211) vs. [#15] Dominick Reyes (10-0-0, -265)
Volkan Oezdemir is the All-Time #39 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Volkan Oezdemir (1-2-0)
2018-10-27: L vs. [#5LHW] Anthony Smith (31-14-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:26 of round 3
2018-01-20: L vs. [#1HW+/#3DD/#2P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 2
2017-07-29: W vs. [#21LHW] Jimi Manuwa (17-5-0) via TKO in 0:22 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dominick Reyes (3-0-0)
2018-10-06: W vs. [#19LHW] Ovince St. Preux (23-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-05-19: W vs. [#10MW] Jared Cannonier (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:55 of round 1
2017-12-02: W vs. [#80LHW] Jeremy Kimball (16-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:39 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Dominick Reyes – Win%: 69.30
Elo Favorite (Standard): Dominick Reyes (1796.49) [+34.52] – Win%: 53.93
Elo Favorite (Modified): Dominick Reyes (1807.15) [+52.83] – Win%: 55.76
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Volkan Oezdemir 140, Dominick Reyes 161
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#21] Nathaniel Wood (15-3-0, -284) vs. [#49] Jose Alberto Quinonez (7-2-0, +226)

Last 3 Fights: Nathaniel Wood (3-0-0)
2018-12-29: W vs. [#52BW] Andre Ewell (14-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:12 of round 3
2018-06-01: W vs. [#96BW] Johnny Eduardo (28-12-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:18 of round 2
2018-03-24: W vs. [#564BW] Luca Iovine (12-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:50 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jose Alberto Quinonez (3-0-0)
2018-02-10: W vs. [#226BW] Teruto Ishihara (10-7-2) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-08-05: W vs. [#346BW] Diego Rivas (7-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-09-17: W vs. [*] Joey Gomez (6-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Nathaniel Wood – Win%: 70.68
Elo Favorite (Standard): Nathaniel Wood (1743.53) [+146.57] – Win%: 66.14
Elo Favorite (Modified): Nathaniel Wood (1737.03) [+107.37] – Win%: 61.54
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nathaniel Wood 77, Jose Alberto Quinonez 399
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#43] Claudio Henrique Da Silva (12-1-0, -155) vs. [#87] Danny Roberts (16-3-0, +127)

Last 3 Fights: Claudio Henrique Da Silva (3-0-0)
2018-05-27: W vs. [#85WW] Nordine Taleb (14-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:31 of round 1
2014-11-08: W vs. [#13WW] Leon Edwards (16-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2014-03-08: W vs. [#259WW] Bradley Scott (11-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Danny Roberts (2-1-0)
2018-07-22: W vs. [#148WW] David Zawada (16-5-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2018-03-17: W vs. [#375WW] Oliver Enkamp (7-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:12 of round 2
2017-12-16: L vs. [#85WW] Nordine Taleb (14-6-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punch) in 0:59 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Claudio Henrique Da Silva – Win%: 57.97
Elo Favorite (Standard): Claudio Henrique Da Silva (1772.30) [+57.93] – Win%: 56.58
Elo Favorite (Modified): Claudio Henrique Da Silva (1761.78) [+50.97] – Win%: 55.56
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Claudio Henrique Da Silva 293, Danny Roberts 237
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Claudio Henrique Da Silva leads 4-3
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Middleweight (185)
[#89] Jack Marshman (22-8-0, -177) vs. [#192] John Phillips (21-8-0, +147)

Last 3 Fights: Jack Marshman (1-2-0)
2018-11-03: L vs. [#59LHW] Karl Roberson (7-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2017-10-28: L vs. [#13MW] Antonio Carlos Jr. (10-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:30 of round 1
2017-07-16: W vs. [*] Ryan Janes (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: John Phillips (1-2-0)
2018-11-24: L vs. [#77MW] Kevin Holland (14-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:05 of round 3
2018-03-17: L vs. [#116MW] Charles Byrd (10-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:58 of round 1
2016-09-24: W vs. [#310LHW] Jose Otavio dos Santos La (9-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:44 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jack Marshman – Win%: 61.21
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jack Marshman (1484.84) [+29.85] – Win%: 53.40
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jack Marshman (1533.56) [+63.84] – Win%: 56.94
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Marshman 133, John Phillips 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#43] Jordan Rinaldi (14-6-0, +127) vs. [#65] Arnold Allen (13-1-0, -156)

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Rinaldi (2-1-0)
2018-11-03: W vs. [#58FW] Jason Knight (20-6-0) via UD (30-25, 30-27, 30-26)
2018-01-27: L vs. [#17LW] Gregor Gillespie (13-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:46 of round 1
2017-08-05: W vs. [#1877LW] Alvaro Herrera (9-7-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 2:01 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Arnold Allen (3-0-0)
2018-05-27: W vs. [#106FW] Mads Burnell (11-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:41 of round 3
2017-03-18: W vs. [#35FW] Makwan Amirkhani (14-3-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 30-27)
2016-02-27: W vs. [#233FW] Yaotzin Meza (22-12-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Arnold Allen – Win%: 58.04
Elo Favorite (Standard): Arnold Allen (1713.84) [+160.71] – Win%: 67.57
Elo Favorite (Modified): Arnold Allen (1711.25) [+116.35] – Win%: 62.46
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jordan Rinaldi 133, Arnold Allen 293
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[*] Joseph Duffy (16-3-0, -219) vs. [#194] Marc Diakiese (12-3-0, +174)

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Duffy (2-1-0)
2017-11-04: L vs. [#25LW] James Vick (13-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 2
2017-03-18: W vs. [*] Reza Madadi (14-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-07-07: W vs. [*] Mitch Clarke (11-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:25 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Marc Diakiese (0-3-0)
2018-07-22: L vs. [#103LW] Nasrat Haqparast (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-12-30: L vs. [#24LW] Dan Hooker (17-8-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:42 of round 3
2017-07-07: L vs. [#46LW] Drakkar Klose (10-1-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Joseph Duffy – Win%: 65.28
Elo Favorite (Standard): Joseph Duffy (1703.62) [+324.38] – Win%: 81.49
Elo Favorite (Modified): Joseph Duffy (1724.59) [+265.69] – Win%: 76.19
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Duffy 497, Marc Diakiese 237
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#112] Saparbek Safarov (8-2-0, +161) vs. [#122] Nicolae Negumereanu (9-0-0, -197)

Last 3 Fights: Saparbek Safarov (1-2-0)
2018-02-10: L vs. [#48LHW] Tyson Pedro (7-3-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 3:54 of round 1
2016-12-09: L vs. [#39LHW] Gian Villante (17-11-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:54 of round 2
2016-04-09: W vs. [*] Rodney Wallace (26-16-1) via TKO in of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Nicolae Negumereanu (3-0-0)
2018-11-19: W vs. [#325LHW] Dan Konecke (9-15-1) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 0:30 of round 2
2018-10-01: W vs. [NA] Kalman Kovacs (2-16-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:12 of round 1
2017-12-18: W vs. [#194LHW] Olutobi Ayodeji Kalejaiye (8-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:04 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Nicolae Negumereanu – Win%: 63.38
Elo Favorite (Standard): Nicolae Negumereanu (1406.55) [+25.44] – Win%: 52.90
Elo Favorite (Modified): Nicolae Negumereanu (1455.94) [+12.93] – Win%: 51.41
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Saparbek Safarov 399, Nicolae Negumereanu 117
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#23] Tom Breese (11-1-0, -143) vs. [#38] Ian Heinisch (12-1-0, +117)

Last 3 Fights: Tom Breese (2-1-0)
2018-05-27: W vs. [*] Daniel Kelly (13-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:33 of round 1
2016-06-04: L vs. [#44WW] Sean Strickland (20-3-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2016-02-27: W vs. [#102WW] Keita Nakamura (34-9-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ian Heinisch (3-0-0)
2018-11-17: W vs. [#41MW] Cezar Ferreira (13-7-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-07-31: W vs. [#182MW] Justin Sumter (7-2-0) via KO (Elbows) in 3:37 of round 1
2018-05-04: W vs. [#243MW] Gabriel Checco (10-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:44 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tom Breese – Win%: 56.08
Elo Favorite (Standard): Tom Breese (1767.98) [+6.12] – Win%: 50.70
Elo Favorite (Modified): Tom Breese (1848.85) [+74.67] – Win%: 58.10
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tom Breese 293, Ian Heinisch 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#60] Danny Henry (12-2-0, +124) vs. [#74] Dan Ige (10-2-0, -151)

Last 3 Fights: Danny Henry (3-0-0)
2018-03-17: W vs. [#113FW] Hakeem Dawodu (9-1-1) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:39 of round 1
2017-07-16: W vs. [#424FW] Daniel Teymur (6-3-0) via UD (29-26, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-03-04: W vs. [#131FW] Igeu Kabesa (11-1-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 3:30 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dan Ige (2-1-0)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#110FW] Jordan Griffin (17-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#220FW] Mike Santiago (21-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:50 of round 1
2018-01-20: L vs. [#91FW] Julio Arce (15-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Dan Ige – Win%: 57.40
Elo Favorite (Standard): Danny Henry (1705.41) [+50.69] – Win%: 55.76
Elo Favorite (Modified): Danny Henry (1755.40) [+81.52] – Win%: 58.83
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Danny Henry 364, Dan Ige 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#20] Priscila Cachoeira (8-1-0, +158) vs. [#80] Molly McCann (7-2-0, -192)

Last 3 Fights: Priscila Cachoeira (2-1-0)
2018-02-03: L vs. [#1FLY/#3DD/#4P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (16-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:25 of round 2
2017-09-07: W vs. [#41BW] Rosy Duarte (12-5-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:54 of round 2
2017-07-01: W vs. [#36FW] Marta Souza (7-11-1) via MD ()

Last 3 Fights: Molly McCann (2-1-0)
2018-05-27: L vs. [#41FLY] Gillian Robertson (6-3-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2018-02-24: W vs. [#88SW] Bryony Tyrell (4-3-1) via TKO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 2
2017-10-28: W vs. [*] Priscila de Souza (12-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Molly McCann – Win%: 62.91
Elo Favorite (Standard): Priscila Cachoeira (1395.65) [+134.01] – Win%: 64.85
Elo Favorite (Modified): Priscila Cachoeira (1429.38) [+152.51] – Win%: 66.10
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Priscila Cachoeira 406, Molly McCann 293
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#63] Nad Narimani (12-2-0, -193) vs. [*] Mike Grundy (11-1-0, +158)

Last 3 Fights: Nad Narimani (3-0-0)
2018-11-17: W vs. [#201FW] Anderson dos Santos (20-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-07-22: W vs. [#221FW] Khalid Taha (12-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-04-01: W vs. [#164LW] Paddy Pimblett (14-3-0) via UD (48-47, 49-46, 50-49)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Grundy (3-0-0)
2017-11-04: W vs. [*] Fernando Bruno (16-5-0) via UD ()
2017-07-22: W vs. [#282FW] Michael Tobin (16-2-0) via SUB in 4:38 of round 3
2017-01-29: W vs. [#123FW] Yutaka Saito (16-3-2) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Nad Narimani – Win%: 62.95
Elo Favorite (Standard): Nad Narimani (1753.40) [+81.42] – Win%: 59.19
Elo Favorite (Modified): Nad Narimani (1760.41) [+51.06] – Win%: 55.56
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nad Narimani 119, Mike Grundy 497
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Darren Till
Highest Stored DD Rating: Darren Till
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Darren Till vs. Jorge Masvidal
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Darren Till vs. Jorge Masvidal
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2019-3-13