Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN 1: Velasquez vs. N’Gannou (02-17-2019)

11 Feb , 2019,
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Heavyweight (265)
[#3] Francis Ngannou (12-3-0, +175) vs. [*] Cain Velasquez (14-2-0, -217)
Francis Ngannou is the All-Time #32 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Cain Velasquez is the All-Time #3 ranked Heavyweight and #20 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Francis Ngannou (1-2-0)
2018-11-24: W vs. [#6HW+] Curtis Blaydes (10-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:45 of round 1
2018-07-07: L vs. [#4HW+] Derrick Lewis (21-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-01-20: L vs. [#2HW+/#10P4P] Stipe Miocic (18-3-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)

Last 3 Fights: Cain Velasquez (2-1-0)
2016-07-09: W vs. [*] Travis Browne (18-7-1) via TKO in 4:57 of round 1
2015-06-13: L vs. [*] Fabricio Werdum (23-8-1) via SUB in 2:13 of round 3
2013-10-19: W vs. [#8HW+] Junior dos Santos (20-5-0) via TKO (Slam and Punch) in 3:09 of round 5

Odds Favorite (Implied): Cain Velasquez – Win%: 65.30
Elo Favorite (Standard): Cain Velasquez (2092.67) [+170.04] – Win%: 68.50
Elo Favorite (Modified): Cain Velasquez (2122.02) [+203.87] – Win%: 70.94
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Francis Ngannou 85, Cain Velasquez 953
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#16] Paul Felder (15-4-0, -134) vs. [#21] James Vick (13-2-0, +108)

Last 3 Fights: Paul Felder (2-1-0)
2018-07-07: L vs. [#27WW] Mike Perry (12-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#10LW] Charles Oliveira (26-8-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 4:06 of round 2
2017-07-16: W vs. [#55LW] Stevie Ray (22-8-0) via KO (Elbows) in 3:57 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: James Vick (2-1-0)
2018-08-25: L vs. [#12LW] Justin Gaethje (19-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:27 of round 1
2018-02-18: W vs. [#22LW] Francisco Trinaldo (23-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-11-04: W vs. [*] Joseph Duffy (16-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Paul Felder – Win%: 54.35
Elo Favorite (Standard): James Vick (1906.18) [+110.12] – Win%: 62.32
Elo Favorite (Modified): James Vick (1876.06) [+32.15] – Win%: 53.51
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Paul Felder 225, James Vick 176
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: James Vick leads 1-0
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#12] Cynthia Calvillo (7-1-0, -284) vs. [#14] Cortney Casey-Sanchez (8-6-0, +225)

Last 3 Fights: Cynthia Calvillo (2-1-0)
2018-11-17: W vs. [#29SW] Poliana Botelho (7-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:48 of round 1
2017-12-30: L vs. [#11SW] Carla Esparza (13-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-07-16: W vs. [#10FLY] Joanne Calderwood (13-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Cortney Casey-Sanchez (1-2-0)
2018-08-25: W vs. [#16SW] Angela Hill (8-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#9SW] Michelle Waterson (16-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-12-02: L vs. [#17SW] Felice Herrig (14-8-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Cynthia Calvillo – Win%: 70.61
Elo Favorite (Standard): Cynthia Calvillo (1536.11) [+96.63] – Win%: 60.86
Elo Favorite (Modified): Cynthia Calvillo (1588.36) [+112.20] – Win%: 62.04
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cynthia Calvillo 92, Cortney Casey-Sanchez 176
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Cynthia Calvillo leads 2-0
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Featherweight (145)
[*] Kron Gracie (4-0-0, -347) vs. [#84] Alex Caceres (14-11-0, +269)

Last 3 Fights: Kron Gracie (3-0-0)
2016-12-31: W vs. [#261LW] Tatsuya Kawajiri (36-13-2) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:05 of round 2
2016-09-25: W vs. [*] Hideo Tokoro (34-30-2) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 9:49 of round 1
2015-12-31: W vs. [#2150FW] Erson Yamamoto (2-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:58 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alex Caceres (2-1-0)
2018-07-06: W vs. [#226FW] Martin Bravo (11-2-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2017-11-25: L vs. [#97FW] Guan Wang (20-1-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-06-17: W vs. [#229FW] Rolando Dy (10-7-0) via TKO (Eye Injury) in 5:00 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kron Gracie – Win%: 74.12
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alex Caceres (1563.66) [+131.86] – Win%: 64.62
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alex Caceres (1597.06) [+15.90] – Win%: 51.74
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kron Gracie 778, Alex Caceres 226
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#28] Vicente Luque (14-6-1, -350) vs. [#44] Bryan Barberena (14-5-0, +272)

Last 3 Fights: Vicente Luque (3-0-0)
2018-10-06: W vs. [#189LW] Jalin Turner (8-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:52 of round 1
2018-05-19: W vs. [#151WW] Chad Laprise (13-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 1
2017-10-28: W vs. [#70WW] Niko Price (12-2-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 4:08 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Bryan Barberena (2-1-0)
2018-08-25: W vs. [*] Jake Ellenberger (31-15-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:26 of round 1
2017-09-02: L vs. [#13WW] Leon Edwards (16-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-04-22: W vs. [*] Joe Proctor (11-5-0) via TKO (Punches and Knees) in 3:30 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Vicente Luque – Win%: 74.31
Elo Favorite (Standard): Vicente Luque (1793.86) [+91.68] – Win%: 60.32
Elo Favorite (Modified): Vicente Luque (1809.19) [+79.50] – Win%: 58.61
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Vicente Luque 134, Bryan Barberena 176
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Vicente Luque leads 1-0
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Featherweight (145)
[#23] Myles Jury (17-3-0, -191) vs. [#31] Andre Fili (18-6-0, +158)

Last 3 Fights: Myles Jury (2-1-0)
2018-07-14: L vs. [*] Chad Mendes (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:52 of round 1
2017-12-30: W vs. [#46FW] Rick Glenn (21-6-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-04-08: W vs. [#469LW] Mike de la Torre (14-9-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:30 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Andre Fili (2-1-0)
2018-08-25: L vs. [#15FW] Michael Johnson (19-13-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2018-01-27: W vs. [#99LW] Dennis Bermudez (17-9-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2017-10-21: W vs. [#89FW] Artem Lobov (14-15-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Myles Jury – Win%: 62.87
Elo Favorite (Standard): Myles Jury (1817.72) [+146.33] – Win%: 66.12
Elo Favorite (Modified): Myles Jury (1795.36) [+106.81] – Win%: 61.48
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Myles Jury 218, Andre Fili 176
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Myles Jury leads 1-0
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Bantamweight (135)
[#6] Jimmie Rivera (22-2-0, -188) vs. [#7] Aljamain Sterling (16-3-0, +156)
Jimmie Rivera is the All-Time #18 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Aljamain Sterling is the All-Time #38 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jimmie Rivera (2-1-0)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#10BW] John Dodson (20-10-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-06-01: L vs. [#2BW] Marlon Moraes (22-5-1) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2017-07-22: W vs. [#70BW] Thomas Almeida (21-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Aljamain Sterling (2-1-0)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#30BW] Cody Stamann (17-2-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 3:42 of round 2
2018-04-21: W vs. [#27BW] Brett Johns (15-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-12-09: L vs. [#2BW] Marlon Moraes (22-5-1) via KO (Knee) in 1:07 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jimmie Rivera – Win%: 62.56
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jimmie Rivera (1997.71) [+36.82] – Win%: 54.19
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jimmie Rivera (1963.77) [+35.20] – Win%: 53.84
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jimmie Rivera 162, Aljamain Sterling 162
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 3 win(s) against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#66] Manny Bermudez (13-0-0, -249) vs. [#97] Benito Lopez (9-0-0, +198)

Last 3 Fights: Manny Bermudez (3-0-0)
2018-07-22: W vs. [#403BW] Davey Grant (10-4-0) via Technical Submission (Triangle Choke) in 0:59 of round 1
2018-02-24: W vs. [#220BW] Albert Morales (7-5-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:33 of round 2
2018-01-27: W vs. [#1469LW] Seth Basler (3-11-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 1:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Benito Lopez (3-0-0)
2017-12-09: W vs. [#220BW] Albert Morales (7-5-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-08-22: W vs. [#96FW] Steven Peterson (17-7-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-06-24: W vs. [#493BW] Benjamin Vinson (9-5-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Manny Bermudez – Win%: 68.01
Elo Favorite (Standard): Manny Bermudez (1628.96) [+25.24] – Win%: 52.88
Elo Favorite (Modified): Manny Bermudez (1630.07) [+36.44] – Win%: 53.98
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Manny Bermudez 210, Benito Lopez 435
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#26] Andrea Lee (9-2-0, -191) vs. [#38] Ashlee Evans-Smith (6-3-0, +158)

Last 3 Fights: Andrea Lee (3-0-0)
2018-05-19: W vs. [#117FLY] Veronica Macedo (5-2-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-09-22: W vs. [#102SW] Jamie Thorton (6-5-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:54 of round 2
2017-05-20: W vs. [#78FLY] Liz Tracy (5-3-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Ashlee Evans-Smith (1-2-0)
2018-04-07: W vs. [#86FLY] Bec Rawlings (7-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-09-09: L vs. [#27BW] Sarah Moras (5-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:51 of round 1
2017-04-15: L vs. [#4BW] Ketlen Vieira (10-0-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Andrea Lee – Win%: 62.87
Elo Favorite (Standard): Andrea Lee (1432.35) [+170.93] – Win%: 68.59
Elo Favorite (Modified): Andrea Lee (1425.57) [+116.33] – Win%: 62.46
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andrea Lee 274, Ashlee Evans-Smith 316
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#37] Nik Lentz (29-9-2, +146) vs. [#43] Scott Holtzman (12-2-0, -177)

Last 3 Fights: Nik Lentz (2-1-0)
2018-10-06: W vs. [#198LW] Gray Maynard (13-7-1) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 1:19 of round 2
2018-06-01: L vs. [#36LW] David Teymur (8-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-11-18: W vs. [#24LW] Will Brooks (20-4-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:05 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Scott Holtzman (3-0-0)
2018-10-06: W vs. [#59LW] Alan Patrick Silva Alves (15-2-0) via KO (Elbows) in 3:42 of round 3
2017-12-09: W vs. [#245LW] Darrell Horcher (13-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-04-22: W vs. [*] Michael McBride (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Scott Holtzman – Win%: 61.11
Elo Favorite (Standard): Nik Lentz (1779.53) [+14.57] – Win%: 51.66
Elo Favorite (Modified): Nik Lentz (1762.91) [+6.50] – Win%: 50.71
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Nik Lentz 134, Scott Holtzman 134
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#45] Jodie Esquibel (6-4-0, +138) vs. [*] Jessica Penne (12-5-0, -167)
Jessica Penne is the All-Time #46 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jodie Esquibel (1-2-0)
2018-07-14: L vs. [#28SW] Jessica Aguilar (20-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-10-21: L vs. [#8SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (12-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-03-25: W vs. [#76FLY] DeAnna Bennett (9-4-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Penne (0-3-0)
2017-04-22: L vs. [#26SW] Danielle Taylor (10-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2016-06-04: L vs. [#2SW/#5DD/#3P4P] Jessica Andrade (19-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:56 of round 2
2015-06-20: L vs. [#5FLY] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (15-3-0) via TKO (Punches and Knee) in 4:22 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jessica Penne – Win%: 59.81
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jessica Penne (1276.96) [+71.67] – Win%: 58.11
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jessica Penne (1288.52) [+90.18] – Win%: 59.74
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jodie Esquibel 218, Jessica Penne 666
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#58] Renan Barao (34-7-0, +152) vs. [#79] Luke Sanders (12-3-0, -183)
Renan Barao is the All-Time #3 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Renan Barao (0-3-0)
2018-09-22: L vs. [#52BW] Andre Ewell (14-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-02-24: L vs. [#22BW] Brian Kelleher (19-10-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-07-29: L vs. [#7BW] Aljamain Sterling (16-3-0) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Luke Sanders (1-2-0)
2018-08-25: L vs. [#29BW] Rani Yahya (26-10-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:31 of round 1
2018-04-14: W vs. [#359BW] Patrick Williams (8-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-12-09: L vs. [#67BW] Andre Soukhamthath (13-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Luke Sanders – Win%: 61.97
Elo Favorite (Standard): Luke Sanders (1517.13) [+25.63] – Win%: 52.92
Elo Favorite (Modified): Renan Barao (1589.66) [+31.44] – Win%: 53.44
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Renan Barao 148, Luke Sanders 176
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#44] Emily Whitmire (3-2-0, +157) vs. [*] Aleksandra Albu (3-0-0, -190)

Last 3 Fights: Emily Whitmire (2-1-0)
2018-07-07: W vs. [#114FLY] Jamie Moyle (4-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-12-01: L vs. [#55FLY] Gillian Robertson (5-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:12 of round 1
2017-03-18: W vs. [NA] Ronni Nanney (2-8-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Aleksandra Albu (3-0-0)
2017-07-29: W vs. [#124SW] Kailin Curran (4-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2015-04-11: W vs. [#204FLY] Izabela Badurek (7-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:34 of round 2
2013-06-29: W vs. [NA] Lyubov Demidova (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:13 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Aleksandra Albu – Win%: 62.74
Elo Favorite (Standard): Aleksandra Albu (1233.33) [+69.83] – Win%: 57.91
Elo Favorite (Modified): Aleksandra Albu (1354.37) [+151.75] – Win%: 66.02
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Emily Whitmire 225, Aleksandra Albu 568
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Francis Ngannou
Highest Stored DD Rating: Francis Ngannou
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Francis Ngannou vs. Cain Velasquez
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Jimmie Rivera vs. Aljamain Sterling
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Unbelievable [*****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2019-2-11