Fight Matrix Program – UFC 234: Whitaker vs. Gastelum (02-10-2019)

4 Feb , 2019,
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Middleweight Championship (185)
[#1/#6DD/#8P4P] Robert Whittaker (20-4-0, -254) vs. [#4] Kelvin Gastelum (15-3-0, +203)
Robert Whittaker is the All-Time #12 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Kelvin Gastelum is the All-Time #46 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Robert Whittaker (3-0-0)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#2MW] Yoel Romero (13-3-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2017-07-08: W vs. [#2MW] Yoel Romero (13-3-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)
2017-04-15: W vs. [#5MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-6-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:28 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Kelvin Gastelum (2-1-0)
2018-05-12: W vs. [#5MW] Ronaldo Souza (26-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-11-25: W vs. [*] Michael Bisping (30-9-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:30 of round 1
2017-07-22: L vs. [#7MW] Chris Weidman (14-4-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:45 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Robert Whittaker – Win%: 68.49
Elo Favorite (Standard): Robert Whittaker (2327.23) [+161.48] – Win%: 67.65
Elo Favorite (Modified): Robert Whittaker (2255.13) [+134.21] – Win%: 64.28
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Robert Whittaker 245, Kelvin Gastelum 273
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#8] Israel Adesanya (15-0-0, -625) vs. [*] Anderson Silva (34-8-0, +435)
Anderson Silva is the All-Time #1 ranked Middleweight and #4 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (3-0-0)
2018-11-03: W vs. [#11MW] Derek Brunson (18-7-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 4:51 of round 1
2018-07-06: W vs. [#16MW] Brad Tavares (17-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2018-04-14: W vs. [#72MW] Marvin Vettori (12-4-1) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)

Last 3 Fights: Anderson Silva (1-2-0)
2017-02-11: W vs. [#11MW] Derek Brunson (18-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2016-07-09: L vs. [#1HW+/#3DD/#2P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2016-02-27: L vs. [*] Michael Bisping (30-9-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 48-47)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Israel Adesanya – Win%: 82.18
Elo Favorite (Standard): Israel Adesanya (1990.72) [+3.22] – Win%: 50.37
Elo Favorite (Modified): Anderson Silva (2003.84) [+30.29] – Win%: 53.31
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Israel Adesanya 98, Anderson Silva 728
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#17] Rani Yahya (26-9-0, +109) vs. [#24] Ricky Simon (15-1-0, -134)
Rani Yahya is the All-Time #26 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rani Yahya (3-0-0)
2018-08-25: W vs. [#78BW] Luke Sanders (12-3-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:31 of round 1
2018-02-24: W vs. [#98BW] Russell Doane (15-8-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:32 of round 3
2017-08-05: W vs. [#473BW] Enrique Briones (16-8-1) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:01 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Simon (3-0-0)
2018-08-04: W vs. [#16BW] Montel Jackson (7-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-04-21: W vs. [#62BW] Merab Dvalishvili (8-4-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 5:00 of round 3
2018-03-23: W vs. [#167BW] Vinicius Zani (11-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ricky Simon – Win%: 54.47
Elo Favorite (Standard): Rani Yahya (1781.11) [+44.00] – Win%: 55.01
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rani Yahya (1803.67) [+92.13] – Win%: 59.95
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rani Yahya 168, Ricky Simon 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#68] Devonte Smith (9-1-0, -238) vs. [#129] Dong Hyun Ma (17-8-3, +189)

Last 3 Fights: Devonte Smith (3-0-0)
2018-11-10: W vs. [#86FW] Julian Erosa (22-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:46 of round 1
2018-08-07: W vs. [#187LW] Joseph Lowry (8-1-0) via KO (Elbows) in 2:52 of round 1
2018-03-03: W vs. [#444WW] Justin Edwards (9-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Dong Hyun Ma (3-0-0)
2018-02-10: W vs. [#66LW] Damien Brown (18-12-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2017-09-22: W vs. [#134LW] Takanori Gomi (36-15-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:30 of round 1
2016-12-03: W vs. [*] Brendan OReilly (6-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Devonte Smith – Win%: 67.05
Elo Favorite (Standard): Devonte Smith (1698.79) [+198.50] – Win%: 71.24
Elo Favorite (Modified): Devonte Smith (1720.05) [+248.74] – Win%: 74.82
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Devonte Smith 91, Dong Hyun Ma 364
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#18] Sam Alvey (33-11-0, +110) vs. [#39] Jim Crute (9-0-0, -130)

Last 3 Fights: Sam Alvey (2-1-0)
2018-09-22: L vs. [#12LHW] Antonio Rogerio Nogueira (23-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 2
2018-06-01: W vs. [#33LHW] Gian Villante (17-10-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#76LHW] Marcin Prachnio (13-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:23 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jim Crute (3-0-0)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#63LHW] Paul Craig (10-3-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 4:51 of round 3
2018-07-24: W vs. [#214LHW] Chris Birchler (7-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:23 of round 1
2018-03-23: W vs. [#175LHW] Doo Hwan Kim (11-5-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jim Crute – Win%: 54.27
Elo Favorite (Standard): Sam Alvey (1758.91) [+167.55] – Win%: 68.25
Elo Favorite (Modified): Sam Alvey (1703.28) [+23.57] – Win%: 52.58
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sam Alvey 140, Jim Crute 70
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#155] Shane Young (12-4-0, -282) vs. [#156] Austin Arnett (16-5-0, +223)

Last 3 Fights: Shane Young (2-1-0)
2018-06-23: W vs. [#227FW] Rolando Dy (10-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:40 of round 2
2017-11-18: L vs. [#5FW] Alexander Volkanovski (19-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2017-04-22: W vs. [#1126LW] Bo Yan (8-9-0) via Submission (Choke) in of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Austin Arnett (1-2-0)
2018-11-17: W vs. [#195FW] Humberto Bandenay (14-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-27)
2018-07-28: L vs. [#107FW] Hakeem Dawodu (9-1-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-01-27: L vs. [#21BW] Cory Sandhagen (10-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:48 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Shane Young – Win%: 70.45
Elo Favorite (Standard): Shane Young (1496.90) [+87.79] – Win%: 59.89
Elo Favorite (Modified): Shane Young (1522.03) [+97.18] – Win%: 60.48
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Shane Young 231, Austin Arnett 84
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#36] Montana De La Rosa (8-4-0, -248) vs. [#101] Nadia Kassem (5-0-0, +197)

Last 3 Fights: Montana De La Rosa (3-0-0)
2018-07-06: W vs. [#117FLY] Rachael Ostovich (4-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:21 of round 3
2017-12-01: W vs. [#143FLY] Christina Marks (8-10-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:00 of round 1
2017-06-16: W vs. [*] Kathina Lowe (7-10-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:03 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Nadia Kassem (3-0-0)
2017-11-18: W vs. [#120SW] Alex Chambers (5-5-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-28)
2017-02-24: W vs. [NA] Jasita Yotawan (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:27 of round 1
2016-12-03: W vs. [NA] Leigha Aurisch (0-3-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:19 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Montana De La Rosa – Win%: 67.91
Elo Favorite (Standard): Nadia Kassem (1278.02) [+13.47] – Win%: 51.54
Elo Favorite (Modified): Nadia Kassem (1336.63) [+57.95] – Win%: 56.31
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Montana De La Rosa 218, Nadia Kassem 448
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#29] Kai Kara-France (18-7-0, -281) vs. [#117BW] Raulian Paiva Frazao (18-1-0, +223)

Last 3 Fights: Kai Kara-France (3-0-0)
2018-12-01: W vs. [#119FLY] Elias Garcia (6-2-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-25)
2018-03-04: W vs. [#1136BW] Xiaoyu Shi (7-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in ? of round 1
2017-11-11: W vs. [#270BW] Huoyixibai Chuhayifu (10-3-1) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Raulian Paiva Frazao (3-0-0)
2018-08-11: W vs. [#64FLY] Allan Nascimento (17-5-0) via SD ()
2017-11-30: W vs. [#521BW] Iliarde Santos (32-15-1) via KO (Punches) in of round 1
2017-09-30: W vs. [#1700BW] Lisrael Pereira Figueired (7-8-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:29 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kai Kara-France – Win%: 70.43
Elo Favorite (Standard): Raulian Paiva Frazao (1653.72) [+52.74] – Win%: 55.99
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kai Kara-France (1622.55) [+10.53] – Win%: 51.15
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kai Kara-France 70, Raulian Paiva Frazao 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#79] Kyung Ho Kang (14-8-0, -394) vs. [#186] Teruto Ishihara (10-6-2, +299)

Last 3 Fights: Kyung Ho Kang (2-1-0)
2018-08-04: L vs. [#76BW] Ricardo Ramos (12-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-01-14: W vs. [#194BW] Guido Cannetti (8-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:53 of round 1
2014-09-20: W vs. [*] Michinori Tanaka (12-3-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Teruto Ishihara (1-2-0)
2018-06-23: L vs. [#14BW] Petr Yan (11-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:28 of round 1
2018-02-10: L vs. [#45BW] Jose Alberto Quinonez (7-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-09-22: W vs. [#227FW] Rolando Dy (10-7-0) via UD (28-27, 28-27, 28-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kyung Ho Kang – Win%: 76.09
Elo Favorite (Standard): Kyung Ho Kang (1525.70) [+123.49] – Win%: 63.74
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kyung Ho Kang (1584.77) [+140.33] – Win%: 64.89
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kyung Ho Kang 189, Teruto Ishihara 231
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Kyung Ho Kang leads 1-0
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Lightweight (155)
[#119] Lando Vannata (9-3-2, -318) vs. [#972WW] Marcos Rosa Mariano (6-4-0, +249)

Last 3 Fights: Lando Vannata (0-1-2)
2018-11-03: D vs. [#242LW] Matt Frevola (6-1-1) via Draw (Majority) in 5:00 of round 3
2018-07-07: L vs. [#45LW] Drakkar Klose (10-1-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-10-07: D vs. [#62LW] Bobby Green (24-9-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Marcos Rosa Mariano (2-1-0)
2018-10-27: W vs. [NA] Alessandro Taiete de Mato (2-5-0) via TKO in 0:38 of round 1
2017-10-21: L vs. [#841WW] Alan Francis (12-6-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:51 of round 2
2017-09-17: W vs. [NA] Rogerio Lino da Silva Reb (3-8-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 0:54 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Lando Vannata – Win%: 72.64
Elo Favorite (Standard): Lando Vannata (1448.07) [+313.03] – Win%: 80.69
Elo Favorite (Modified): Lando Vannata (1464.53) [+298.18] – Win%: 78.67
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lando Vannata 98, Marcos Rosa Mariano 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#177LW] Callan Potter (16-7-0, +214) vs. [#426] Jalin Turner (7-4-0, -255)

Last 3 Fights: Callan Potter (2-1-0)
2018-06-16: L vs. [#33LW] Marcin Held (25-7-0) via Technical Submission (Heel Hook) in 1:09 of round 1
2017-11-24: W vs. [#850LW] Jack Becker (7-2-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:32 of round 3
2017-10-21: W vs. [#310LW] Brentin Mumford (10-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:43 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jalin Turner (2-1-0)
2018-10-06: L vs. [#29WW] Vicente Luque (14-6-1) via KO (Punches) in 3:52 of round 1
2018-07-10: W vs. [#712LW] Max Mustaki (6-4-0) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 1
2018-01-20: W vs. [NA] Noah Tillis (4-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in ? of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jalin Turner – Win%: 69.28
Elo Favorite (Standard): Callan Potter (1540.21) [+220.48] – Win%: 73.25
Elo Favorite (Modified): Callan Potter (1587.63) [+255.94] – Win%: 75.40
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Callan Potter 238, Jalin Turner 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#379] Wuliji Buren (11-6-0, +163) vs. [#392] Jonathan Martinez (8-2-0, -196)

Last 3 Fights: Wuliji Buren (1-2-0)
2018-08-04: L vs. [#50BW] Marlon Vera (13-5-1) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 4:53 of round 2
2017-11-25: L vs. [#227FW] Rolando Dy (10-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-09-16: W vs. [*] Yuan Ye (3-3-1) via N/A in ? of round 0

Last 3 Fights: Jonathan Martinez (2-1-0)
2018-10-27: L vs. [#67BW] Andre Soukhamthath (13-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-26)
2017-09-30: W vs. [NA] Randy Hinds (5-7-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 0:56 of round 1
2016-04-18: W vs. [*] Jesse Cruz (8-6-0) via SUB in of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jonathan Martinez – Win%: 63.52
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jonathan Martinez (1268.53) [+64.79] – Win%: 57.35
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jonathan Martinez (1392.78) [+128.58] – Win%: 63.71
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Wuliji Buren 189, Jonathan Martinez 105
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Robert Whittaker
Highest Stored DD Rating: Robert Whittaker
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Robert Whittaker vs. Kelvin Gastelum
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Robert Whittaker vs. Kelvin Gastelum
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2019-2-3