Fight Matrix Program – UFC on ESPN+ 2: Assuncao vs. Moraes (02-02-2019)

28 Jan , 2019,
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Bantamweight (135)
[#2] Marlon Moraes (21-5-1, -213) vs. [#6] Raphael Assuncao (27-5-0, +171)
Marlon Moraes is the All-Time #9 ranked Bantamweight fighter.
Raphael Assuncao is the All-Time #19 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Marlon Moraes (3-0-0)
2018-06-01: W vs. [#7BW] Jimmie Rivera (22-2-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2017-12-09: W vs. [#8BW] Aljamain Sterling (16-3-0) via KO (Knee) in 1:07 of round 1
2017-11-11: W vs. [#10BW] John Dodson (20-10-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 27-30)

Last 3 Fights: Raphael Assuncao (3-0-0)
2018-07-07: W vs. [#15BW] Rob Font (16-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-11-11: W vs. [#72BW] Matthew Lopez (10-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:50 of round 3
2017-06-03: W vs. [#2BW] Marlon Moraes (21-5-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Marlon Moraes – Win%: 64.84
Elo Favorite (Standard): Marlon Moraes (2086.25) [+35.28] – Win%: 54.02
Elo Favorite (Modified): Marlon Moraes (2061.39) [+81.22] – Win%: 58.80
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Marlon Moraes 246, Raphael Assuncao 210
Previous Match-up Record: Raphael Assuncao leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#2] Jose Aldo (27-4-0, +110) vs. [#9] Renato Carneiro (13-1-1, -136)
Jose Aldo is the All-Time #1 ranked Featherweight and #2 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jose Aldo (1-2-0)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#7FW] Jeremy Stephens (28-15-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:19 of round 1
2017-12-02: L vs. [#1FW/#2DD/#4P4P] Max Holloway (20-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2017-06-03: L vs. [#1FW/#2DD/#4P4P] Max Holloway (20-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Renato Carneiro (2-1-0)
2018-08-04: W vs. [#19FW] Cub Swanson (25-10-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:15 of round 1
2018-04-07: W vs. [#29FW] Calvin Kattar (19-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-07-29: L vs. [#3FW] Brian Ortega (14-1-0) via SUB in 2:59 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Renato Carneiro – Win%: 54.75
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jose Aldo (2132.84) [+170.56] – Win%: 68.55
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jose Aldo (2121.57) [+219.02] – Win%: 72.29
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jose Aldo 189, Renato Carneiro 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#14] Demian Maia (25-9-0, -174) vs. [#54] Lyman Good (20-4-0, +144)
Demian Maia is the All-Time #15 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Demian Maia (0-3-0)
2018-05-19: L vs. [#3WW] Kamaru Usman (14-1-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2017-10-28: L vs. [#2WW] Colby Covington (14-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 29-27)
2017-07-29: L vs. [#1WW/#4DD/#6P4P] Tyron Woodley (19-3-1) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Lyman Good (2-1-0)
2018-11-03: W vs. [#76WW] Ben Saunders (22-11-2) via KO (Punches) in 1:32 of round 1
2017-07-22: L vs. [#31WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (20-5-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2015-07-15: W vs. [*] Andrew Craig (9-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:37 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Demian Maia – Win%: 60.77
Elo Favorite (Standard): Demian Maia (1939.53) [+247.39] – Win%: 75.59
Elo Favorite (Modified): Demian Maia (1925.07) [+170.27] – Win%: 67.82
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Demian Maia 259, Lyman Good 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#14] Charles Oliveira (25-8-0, -110) vs. [#26] David Teymur (8-1-0, -115)
Charles Oliveira is the All-Time #47 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Charles Oliveira (3-0-0)
2018-12-15: W vs. [#37LW] Jim Miller (29-13-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:15 of round 1
2018-09-22: W vs. [#77LW] Christos Giagos (16-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:22 of round 2
2018-06-09: W vs. [#42LW] Clay Guida (34-18-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:18 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: David Teymur (3-0-0)
2018-06-01: W vs. [#35LW] Nik Lentz (29-9-2) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#45LW] Drakkar Klose (10-1-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-03-04: W vs. [#119LW] Lando Vannata (9-3-2) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): David Teymur – Win%: 50.52
Elo Favorite (Standard): Charles Oliveira (1949.02) [+98.54] – Win%: 61.07
Elo Favorite (Modified): Charles Oliveira (1960.81) [+117.88] – Win%: 62.62
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Charles Oliveira 49, David Teymur 246
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#41] Johnny Walker (15-3-0, -225) vs. [#102] Justin Ledet (9-1-0, +180)

Last 3 Fights: Johnny Walker (3-0-0)
2018-11-17: W vs. [#78LHW] Khalil Rountree (7-4-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:57 of round 1
2018-08-11: W vs. [#140LHW] Henrique da Silva (14-6-0) via UD ()
2018-03-17: W vs. [#456MW] Cheick Kone (17-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Justin Ledet (2-1-0)
2018-07-22: L vs. [#27LHW] Aleksandar Rakic (11-1-0) via UD (30-24, 30-24, 30-25)
2017-09-16: W vs. [*] Azunna Anyanwu (14-5-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2016-11-19: W vs. [#81HW+] Mark Godbeer (13-4-0) via SUB in 2:16 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Johnny Walker – Win%: 65.97
Elo Favorite (Standard): Johnny Walker (1614.65) [+77.18] – Win%: 58.72
Elo Favorite (Modified): Johnny Walker (1657.51) [+121.87] – Win%: 63.03
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Johnny Walker 77, Justin Ledet 195
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#6] Livinha Souza (12-1-0, -227) vs. [#17FLY] Sarah Frota (9-0-0, +181)
Livinha Souza is the All-Time #36 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Livinha Souza (3-0-0)
2018-09-22: W vs. [#120SW] Alex Chambers (5-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:21 of round 1
2017-08-31: W vs. [#59SW] Janaisa Morandin (10-2-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-03-25: W vs. [#1AW/#6DD/#6P4P] Ayaka Hamasaki (17-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:41 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sarah Frota (3-0-0)
2018-08-10: W vs. [#73SW] Maiara Amanajas dos Santo (8-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:26 of round 1
2018-02-17: W vs. [#73SW] Maiara Amanajas dos Santo (8-3-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 4:43 of round 1
2018-02-09: W vs. [#122FLY] Tatiane Fontes do Couto (2-1-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in ? of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Livinha Souza – Win%: 66.10
Elo Favorite (Standard): Livinha Souza (1633.18) [+120.96] – Win%: 63.48
Elo Favorite (Modified): Livinha Souza (1687.71) [+172.19] – Win%: 68.00
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Livinha Souza 133, Sarah Frota 176
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#98] Markus Perez (10-2-0, +161) vs. [#115] Anthony Hernandez (7-0-0, -197)

Last 3 Fights: Markus Perez (1-2-0)
2018-08-25: L vs. [#61MW] Andrew Sanchez (9-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-05-12: W vs. [#267MW] James Bochnovic (9-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:28 of round 1
2017-12-09: L vs. [#35MW] Eryk Anders (11-3-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Anthony Hernandez (3-0-0)
2018-06-19: W vs. [#454MW] Jordan Wright (9-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:40 of round 1
2018-01-26: W vs. [#116MW] Brendan Allen (10-3-0) via UD ()
2017-03-18: W vs. [*] Mike Persons (8-4-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:54 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Anthony Hernandez – Win%: 63.38
Elo Favorite (Standard): Anthony Hernandez (1510.13) [+37.64] – Win%: 54.29
Elo Favorite (Modified): Anthony Hernandez (1580.07) [+44.00] – Win%: 54.80
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Markus Perez 161, Anthony Hernandez 228
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#23] Taila Santos (15-0-0, -176) vs. [#30] Mara Romero Borella (11-5-0, +144)

Last 3 Fights: Taila Santos (3-0-0)
2018-08-11: W vs. [#58FLY] Estefani Almeida (8-2-0) via UD ()
2016-08-13: W vs. [NA] Laisa Coimbra (0-9-0) via KO (Punch to the Body) in 1:27 of round 1
2015-11-21: W vs. [NA] Bruna Rosso (0-2-0) via KO (Elbow) in 3:06 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Mara Romero Borella (2-1-0)
2018-01-27: L vs. [#4FLY] Katlyn Chookagian (11-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-10-07: W vs. [#68FLY] Kalindra Faria (18-8-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:54 of round 1
2017-07-15: W vs. [#63FLY] Milana Dudieva (12-7-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Taila Santos – Win%: 60.87
Elo Favorite (Standard): Taila Santos (1523.18) [+159.23] – Win%: 67.43
Elo Favorite (Modified): Taila Santos (1554.30) [+212.58] – Win%: 71.72
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Taila Santos 175, Mara Romero Borella 371
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#41] Max Griffin (14-5-0, -224) vs. [#61] Thiago Alves (22-13-0, +179)
Thiago Alves is the All-Time #17 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Griffin (1-2-0)
2018-07-07: L vs. [#20WW] Curtis Millender (17-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#28WW] Mike Perry (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2017-10-28: L vs. [#31WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (20-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-27)

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Alves (1-2-0)
2018-09-15: L vs. [#26WW] Alexey Kunchenko (20-0-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-02-18: L vs. [#20WW] Curtis Millender (17-3-0) via KO (Knee) in 4:17 of round 2
2017-04-08: W vs. [*] Patrick Cote (23-11-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Max Griffin – Win%: 65.86
Elo Favorite (Standard): Thiago Alves (1686.47) [+58.03] – Win%: 56.59
Elo Favorite (Modified): Thiago Alves (1706.81) [+66.38] – Win%: 57.21
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Griffin 210, Thiago Alves 140
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#45] Junior Albini (14-4-0, -110) vs. [#124] Jairzinho Rozenstruik (5-0-0, -115)

Last 3 Fights: Junior Albini (1-2-0)
2018-05-12: L vs. [#10HW+] Alexey Oleynik (59-11-1) via Submission (Ezekiel Choke) in 1:45 of round 1
2017-11-11: L vs. [#32HW+] Andrei Arlovski (27-18-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-07-22: W vs. [#46HW+] Timothy Johnson (12-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:51 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jairzinho Rozenstruik (3-0-0)
2018-05-06: W vs. [#133HW+] Andrey Kovalev (9-1-0) via SD ()
2017-12-22: W vs. [NA] Marvin Aboeli (2-5-0) via TKO in ? of round 1
2017-04-28: W vs. [NA] Engelbert Berbin (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in ? of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jairzinho Rozenstruik – Win%: 50.52
Elo Favorite (Standard): Junior Albini (1446.14) [+26.99] – Win%: 53.08
Elo Favorite (Modified): Junior Albini (1488.40) [+38.00] – Win%: 54.15
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Junior Albini 266, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 272
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#50] Ricardo Ramos (12-1-0, -116) vs. [#53] Said Nurmagomedov (12-1-0, -109)

Last 3 Fights: Ricardo Ramos (3-0-0)
2018-08-04: W vs. [#79BW] Kyung Ho Kang (14-8-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-11-04: W vs. [*] Aiemann Zahabi (7-1-0) via KO (Spinning Back Elbow) in 1:58 of round 3
2017-02-04: W vs. [*] Michinori Tanaka (12-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Said Nurmagomedov (3-0-0)
2018-07-14: W vs. [#218BW] Justin Scoggins (11-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-09-27: W vs. [#457FW] Luis Alberto Nogueira (21-8-2) via UD ()
2017-04-01: W vs. [#214FW] Anderson dos Santos (20-7-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:52 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ricardo Ramos – Win%: 50.73
Elo Favorite (Standard): Said Nurmagomedov (1744.79) [+41.29] – Win%: 54.70
Elo Favorite (Modified): Said Nurmagomedov (1708.83) [+16.45] – Win%: 51.80
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ricardo Ramos 182, Said Nurmagomedov 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[*] Magomed Bibulatov (14-1-0, -454) vs. [#32] Rogerio Bontorin (14-1-0, +338)

Last 3 Fights: Magomed Bibulatov (2-1-0)
2017-10-07: L vs. [#10FLY] John Moraga (19-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:38 of round 1
2017-04-08: W vs. [#123FLY] Jenel Lausa (7-4-0) via UD (29-26, 29-26, 29-26)
2016-10-04: W vs. [#22FLY] Yunus Evloev (23-8-0) via SUB in of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Rogerio Bontorin (2-1-0)
2018-08-10: W vs. [#317BW] Gustavo Gabriel Silva (13-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:37 of round 2
2018-04-07: W vs. [#855BW] Paulo Cesar Cardoso (8-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:46 of round 3
2017-10-29: L vs. [*] Michinori Tanaka (12-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:27 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Magomed Bibulatov – Win%: 78.21
Elo Favorite (Standard): Magomed Bibulatov (1655.65) [+62.29] – Win%: 57.07
Elo Favorite (Modified): Magomed Bibulatov (1681.00) [+48.18] – Win%: 55.25
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Magomed Bibulatov 483, Rogerio Bontorin 176
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#97BW] Geraldo de Freitas Jr. (11-4-0, -132) vs. [*] Felipe Dias Colares (8-0-0, -102)

Last 3 Fights: Geraldo de Freitas Jr. (3-0-0)
2018-05-11: W vs. [#481BW] Rafael Rafael (4-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:37 of round 1
2017-08-27: W vs. [#535FW] Luciano Benicio (12-4-0) via UD ()
2017-05-12: W vs. [*] Zeilton Rodrigues (13-5-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Felipe Dias Colares (3-0-0)
2017-09-30: W vs. [#464FW] Caio Gregorio (6-3-0) via UD ()
2016-04-30: W vs. [#1306FW] Jordano Abdon (6-4-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:25 of round 3
2015-11-28: W vs. [#149FW] Thiago Luis Bonifacio Sil (14-6-0) via TKO (Retirement) in 2:38 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Geraldo de Freitas Jr. – Win%: 52.97
Elo Favorite (Standard): Geraldo de Freitas Jr. (1585.54) [+92.53] – Win%: 60.41
Elo Favorite (Modified): Geraldo de Freitas Jr. (1637.39) [+128.66] – Win%: 63.72
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Geraldo de Freitas Jr. 267, Felipe Dias Colares 490
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Jose Aldo
Highest Stored DD Rating: Jose Aldo
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jose Aldo vs. Renato Carneiro
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Jose Aldo vs. Renato Carneiro
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Large [***½]
Run Date: 2019-1-28