Fight Matrix Program – UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 (12-29-2018)

23 Dec , 2018,
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Light Heavyweight Championship (205)
[*] Jon Jones (22-1-0, -279) vs. [*] Alexander Gustafsson (18-4-0, +223)
Jon Jones is the All-Time #1 ranked Light Heavyweight and #5 ranked Absolute fighter.
Alexander Gustafsson is the All-Time #20 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Jon Jones (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2017-07-29: NC vs. [#1HW+/#2DD/#1P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0)
2016-04-23: W vs. [#17LHW] Ovince St. Preux (23-12-0) via UD (50-44, 50-45, 50-45)
2015-01-03: W vs. [#1HW+/#2DD/#1P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Gustafsson (2-1-0)
2017-05-28: W vs. [#5LHW] Glover Teixeira (27-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:07 of round 5
2016-09-03: W vs. [#8LHW] Jan Blachowicz (23-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2015-10-03: L vs. [#1HW+/#2DD/#1P4P] Daniel Cormier (22-1-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 49-46)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jon Jones – Win%: 70.39
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jon Jones (2366.85) [+318.97] – Win%: 81.11
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jon Jones (2367.71) [+291.36] – Win%: 78.17
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jon Jones 518, Alexander Gustafsson 580
Previous Match-up Record: Jon Jones leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 4 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (16-4-0, +211) vs. [#1/#2DD/#3P4P] Cristiane Justino (20-1-0, -264)
Amanda Nunes is the All-Time #3 ranked Women’s fighter.
Cristiane Justino is the All-Time #1 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Amanda Nunes (3-0-0)
2018-05-12: W vs. [#6BW] Raquel Pennington (9-7-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 2:36 of round 5
2017-09-09: W vs. [#1FLY/#4DD/#5P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (16-3-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2016-12-30: W vs. [*] Ronda Rousey (12-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Cristiane Justino (3-0-0)
2018-03-03: W vs. [#11BW] Yana Kunitskaya (11-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:25 of round 1
2017-12-30: W vs. [#3BW/#9DD] Holly Holm (12-4-0) via UD (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
2017-07-29: W vs. [#13BW] Tonya Evinger (19-7-0) via TKO in 1:56 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Cristiane Justino – Win%: 69.28
Elo Favorite (Standard): Amanda Nunes (1895.59) [+10.50] – Win%: 51.20
Elo Favorite (Modified): Cristiane Justino (1890.09) [+45.36] – Win%: 54.95
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Amanda Nunes 231, Cristiane Justino 301
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#41] Carlos Condit (30-12-0, +150) vs. [#33LW] Michael Chiesa (14-4-0, -181)
Carlos Condit is the All-Time #6 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Condit (0-3-0)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#20WW] Alex Oliveira (20-6-1) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:17 of round 2
2017-12-30: L vs. [#17WW] Neil Magny (21-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2016-08-27: L vs. [#15WW] Demian Maia (25-9-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:52 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Michael Chiesa (1-2-0)
2018-07-07: L vs. [#10LW] Anthony Pettis (21-8-0) via Submission (Triangle Armbar) in 0:52 of round 2
2017-06-25: L vs. [#7LW] Kevin Lee (17-4-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:37 of round 1
2016-04-16: W vs. [#19LW] Beneil Dariush (15-4-1) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:20 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Michael Chiesa – Win%: 61.68
Elo Favorite (Standard): Michael Chiesa (1806.78) [+40.94] – Win%: 54.66
Elo Favorite (Modified): Michael Chiesa (1781.86) [+3.84] – Win%: 50.42
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlos Condit 259, Michael Chiesa 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#4] Corey Anderson (11-4-0, +130) vs. [#10] Ilir Latifi (14-5-0, -158)
Corey Anderson is the All-Time #48 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Corey Anderson (2-1-0)
2018-07-22: W vs. [#5LHW] Glover Teixeira (27-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-04-21: W vs. [#36LHW] Patrick Cummins (10-6-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2017-11-04: L vs. [#17LHW] Ovince St. Preux (23-12-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:25 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Ilir Latifi (2-1-0)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#17LHW] Ovince St. Preux (23-12-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:48 of round 1
2017-09-09: W vs. [#45LHW] Tyson Pedro (7-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2016-09-03: L vs. [#5HW+] Ryan Bader (26-5-0) via KO (Knee) in 2:06 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ilir Latifi – Win%: 58.47
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ilir Latifi (1892.94) [+19.99] – Win%: 52.28
Elo Favorite (Modified): Corey Anderson (1906.41) [+6.25] – Win%: 50.68
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Corey Anderson 160, Ilir Latifi 308
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Ilir Latifi leads 3-2
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Featherweight (145)
[#7] Chad Mendes (18-4-0, -155) vs. [#10] Alexander Volkanovski (18-1-0, +127)
Chad Mendes is the All-Time #9 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Chad Mendes (1-2-0)
2018-07-14: W vs. [#23FW] Myles Jury (17-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:52 of round 1
2015-12-11: L vs. [#4FW] Frankie Edgar (23-6-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:28 of round 1
2015-07-11: L vs. [#5LW] Conor McGregor (21-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:57 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Alexander Volkanovski (3-0-0)
2018-07-14: W vs. [#18FW] Darren Elkins (24-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-02-10: W vs. [#80FW] Jeremy Kennedy (12-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:57 of round 2
2017-11-18: W vs. [#164FW] Shane Young (12-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-26, 30-26)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Chad Mendes – Win%: 57.97
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alexander Volkanovski (2013.99) [+15.08] – Win%: 51.72
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alexander Volkanovski (1995.73) [+4.11] – Win%: 50.45
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chad Mendes 168, Alexander Volkanovski 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#28] Andrei Arlovski (27-17-0, +128) vs. [#81] Walt Harris (11-7-0, -156)
Andrei Arlovski is the All-Time #19 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Andrei Arlovski (1-2-0)
2018-09-15: L vs. [#22HW+] Shamil Abdurakhimov (19-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-06-09: L vs. [#20HW+] Tai Tuivasa (8-1-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-03-03: W vs. [#25HW+] Stefan Struve (28-11-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Walt Harris (1-2-0)
2018-06-01: W vs. [#106HW+] Daniel Spitz (6-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 2
2017-11-04: L vs. [#80HW+] Mark Godbeer (13-4-0) via DQ (Kick to Head After Referee Paused Fight Due to in 4:29 of round 1
2017-10-07: L vs. [*] Fabricio Werdum (23-8-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:05 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Walt Harris – Win%: 58.14
Elo Favorite (Standard): Andrei Arlovski (1545.84) [+51.33] – Win%: 55.84
Elo Favorite (Modified): Walt Harris (1640.48) [+64.80] – Win%: 57.05
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andrei Arlovski 105, Walt Harris 211
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Andrei Arlovski leads 1-0
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Women Featherweight (145)
[#5BW] Cat Zingano (10-3-0, -156) vs. [#5] Megan Anderson (8-3-0, +128)
Cat Zingano is the All-Time #28 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Cat Zingano (1-2-0)
2018-07-14: W vs. [#9BW] Marion Reneau (9-4-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2018-03-03: L vs. [#4BW] Ketlen Vieira (10-0-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2016-07-09: L vs. [*] Julianna Pena (8-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Megan Anderson (2-1-0)
2018-06-09: L vs. [#3BW/#9DD] Holly Holm (12-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-01-14: W vs. [*] Charmaine Tweet (9-6-0) via TKO (Punches and Head Kick) in 2:05 of round 2
2016-07-29: W vs. [*] Peggy Morgan (4-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:09 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Cat Zingano – Win%: 58.14
Elo Favorite (Standard): Cat Zingano (1529.46) [+181.00] – Win%: 69.57
Elo Favorite (Modified): Cat Zingano (1613.75) [+238.34] – Win%: 73.95
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cat Zingano 168, Megan Anderson 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#19] Petr Yan (10-1-0, -275) vs. [#24] Douglas Silva de Andrade (25-2-0, +219)

Last 3 Fights: Petr Yan (3-0-0)
2018-09-15: W vs. [#108BW] Jin Soo Son (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-06-23: W vs. [#209BW] Teruto Ishihara (10-6-2) via TKO (Punches) in 3:28 of round 1
2017-09-30: W vs. [#112BW] Matheus Mattos (12-1-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:27 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Douglas Silva de Andrade (2-1-0)
2018-02-03: W vs. [#37BW] Marlon Vera (13-5-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-07-08: L vs. [#14BW] Rob Font (16-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:36 of round 2
2016-11-05: W vs. [#445BW] Enrique Briones (16-8-1) via TKO (Spinning Back Fist) in 2:33 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Petr Yan – Win%: 70.05
Elo Favorite (Standard): Petr Yan (1768.84) [+127.44] – Win%: 64.16
Elo Favorite (Modified): Petr Yan (1809.89) [+161.25] – Win%: 66.95
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Petr Yan 105, Douglas Silva de Andrade 329
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[*] Ryan Hall (6-1-0, -534) vs. [*] B.J. Penn (16-12-2, +390)
B.J. Penn is the All-Time #1 ranked Lightweight and #8 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Hall (3-0-0)
2016-12-03: W vs. [#206LW] Gray Maynard (13-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2015-12-11: W vs. [#111FW] Artem Lobov (14-15-1) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2014-05-31: W vs. [NA] Ryan Hogans (1-2-0) via Submission (Heel Hook) in 0:53 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: B.J. Penn (0-3-0)
2017-06-25: L vs. [*] Dennis Siver (23-11-0) via MD (29-27, 28-28, 29-28)
2017-01-15: L vs. [#24FW] Yair Rodriguez (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:24 of round 2
2014-07-06: L vs. [#4FW] Frankie Edgar (23-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ryan Hall – Win%: 80.49
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ryan Hall (1591.82) [+20.67] – Win%: 52.36
Elo Favorite (Modified): B.J. Penn (1604.45) [+9.60] – Win%: 51.05
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryan Hall 756, B.J. Penn 552
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#22] Andre Ewell (14-4-0, -107) vs. [#47] Nathaniel Wood (14-3-0, -117)

Last 3 Fights: Andre Ewell (3-0-0)
2018-09-22: W vs. [#56BW] Renan Barao (34-7-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-06-15: W vs. [#277BW] Dinis Paiva (11-7-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 0:36 of round 3
2018-03-23: W vs. [#542BW] Trent Meaux (7-5-1) via KO (Punch) in 1:41 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Nathaniel Wood (3-0-0)
2018-06-01: W vs. [#92BW] Johnny Eduardo (28-12-0) via Submission (Brabo Choke) in 2:18 of round 2
2018-03-24: W vs. [#593BW] Luca Iovine (12-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:50 of round 1
2017-09-16: W vs. [#676BW] Josh Reed (7-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:19 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Nathaniel Wood – Win%: 51.05
Elo Favorite (Standard): Nathaniel Wood (1679.75) [+87.04] – Win%: 59.81
Elo Favorite (Modified): Nathaniel Wood (1667.79) [+106.59] – Win%: 61.46
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andre Ewell 98, Nathaniel Wood 211
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#16] Uriah Hall (13-9-0, -117) vs. [#169] Bevon Lewis (6-0-0, -108)

Last 3 Fights: Uriah Hall (1-2-0)
2018-07-07: L vs. [#10MW] Paulo Henrique Costa (12-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:36 of round 2
2017-09-16: W vs. [#23MW] Krzysztof Jotko (19-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:25 of round 2
2016-11-19: L vs. [#4MW] Gegard Mousasi (45-6-2) via TKO in 4:37 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Bevon Lewis (3-0-0)
2018-07-10: W vs. [#154LHW] Alton Cunningham (7-1-0) via TKO (Knees) in 3:01 of round 1
2018-04-27: W vs. [#974MW] Collin Huckbody (4-2-0) via UD ()
2017-08-29: W vs. [*] Elias Urbina (3-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:47 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Uriah Hall – Win%: 50.94
Elo Favorite (Standard): Uriah Hall (1665.88) [+223.38] – Win%: 73.51
Elo Favorite (Modified): Uriah Hall (1722.13) [+197.41] – Win%: 70.35
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Uriah Hall 175, Bevon Lewis 172
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#27] Curtis Millender (16-3-0, -150) vs. [#42] Siyar Bahadurzada (24-6-1, +123)

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Millender (3-0-0)
2018-07-07: W vs. [#39WW] Max Griffin (14-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-18: W vs. [#59WW] Thiago Alves (22-13-0) via KO (Knee) in 4:17 of round 2
2018-01-12: W vs. [#317WW] Nick Barnes (12-4-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 2:51 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Siyar Bahadurzada (3-0-0)
2018-04-21: W vs. [#106WW] Luan Chagas (15-3-1) via KO (Kick to the Body and Punch) in 2:40 of round 2
2017-09-02: W vs. [#215MW] Rob Wilkinson (11-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:10 of round 2
2016-03-05: W vs. [*] Brandon Thatch (11-5-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:11 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Curtis Millender – Win%: 57.23
Elo Favorite (Standard): Curtis Millender (1858.74) [+29.12] – Win%: 53.32
Elo Favorite (Modified): Curtis Millender (1859.62) [+8.12] – Win%: 50.89
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Millender 175, Siyar Bahadurzada 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#15] Brian Kelleher (19-9-0, +125) vs. [#140] Montel Jackson (6-1-0, -152)

Last 3 Fights: Brian Kelleher (2-1-0)
2018-05-12: L vs. [#5BW] John Lineker (31-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:43 of round 3
2018-02-24: W vs. [#56BW] Renan Barao (34-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-10-21: W vs. [#128BW] Damian Stasiak (10-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:39 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Montel Jackson (2-1-0)
2018-08-04: L vs. [#21BW] Ricky Simon (15-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-06-12: W vs. [#400BW] Rico DiSciullo (9-2-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:15 of round 3
2018-03-10: W vs. [#745BW] Daron McCant (4-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:57 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Montel Jackson – Win%: 57.57
Elo Favorite (Standard): Brian Kelleher (1722.28) [+342.90] – Win%: 82.73
Elo Favorite (Modified): Brian Kelleher (1724.11) [+285.64] – Win%: 77.74
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brian Kelleher 231, Montel Jackson 147
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Jon Jones
Highest Stored DD Rating: Amanda Nunes
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Jon Jones vs. Alexander Gustafsson
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Amanda Nunes vs. Cristiane Justino
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Large [****]
Run Date: 2018-12-23


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