Fight Matrix Program – UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega (12-08-2018)

3 Dec , 2018,
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Featherweight Championship (145)
[#1/#1DD/#2P4P] Max Holloway (19-3-0, -127) vs. [#2] Brian Ortega (14-0-0, +102)
Max Holloway is the All-Time #3 ranked Featherweight and #36 ranked Absolute fighter.
Brian Ortega is the All-Time #18 ranked Featherweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Max Holloway (3-0-0)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#3FW] Jose Aldo (27-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:51 of round 3
2017-06-03: W vs. [#3FW] Jose Aldo (27-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:13 of round 3
2016-12-10: W vs. [#8LW] Anthony Pettis (21-8-0) via TKO (Kick to the Body and Punches) in 4:50 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Brian Ortega (3-0-0)
2018-03-03: W vs. [#4FW] Frankie Edgar (23-6-1) via KO (Punches) in 4:44 of round 1
2017-12-09: W vs. [#20FW] Cub Swanson (25-10-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:22 of round 2
2017-07-29: W vs. [#9FW] Renato Carneiro (13-1-1) via SUB in 2:59 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Max Holloway – Win%: 53.05
Elo Favorite (Standard): Max Holloway (2319.31) [+173.07] – Win%: 68.80
Elo Favorite (Modified): Max Holloway (2279.17) [+195.86] – Win%: 70.21
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Max Holloway 371, Brian Ortega 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight Championship (125)
[#1/#8DD/#9P4P] Valentina Shevchenko (15-3-0, -338) vs. [#3SW/#6DD/#5P4P] Joanna Jedrzejczyk (15-2-0, +260)
Valentina Shevchenko is the All-Time #26 ranked Women’s fighter.
Joanna Jedrzejczyk is the All-Time #4 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Valentina Shevchenko (2-1-0)
2018-02-03: W vs. [#17FLY] Priscila Cachoeira (8-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:25 of round 2
2017-09-09: L vs. [#1BW/#1DD/#1P4P] Amanda Nunes (16-4-0) via SD (47-48, 48-47, 48-47)
2017-01-28: W vs. [*] Julianna Pena (8-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 4:29 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Joanna Jedrzejczyk (1-2-0)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#11SW] Tecia Torres (10-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-04-07: L vs. [#1SW/#3DD/#2P4P] Rose Namajunas (8-3-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 49-46)
2017-11-04: L vs. [#1SW/#3DD/#2P4P] Rose Namajunas (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:03 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Valentina Shevchenko – Win%: 73.53
Elo Favorite (Standard): Joanna Jedrzejczyk (1729.36) [+75.56] – Win%: 58.54
Elo Favorite (Modified): Joanna Jedrzejczyk (1733.65) [+45.28] – Win%: 54.94
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Valentina Shevchenko 308, Joanna Jedrzejczyk 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#16] Alex Oliveira (20-5-1, +127) vs. [*] Gunnar Nelson (16-3-1, -150)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Oliveira (2-1-0)
2018-09-22: W vs. [#159WW] Carlo Pedersoli Jr. (11-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:39 of round 1
2018-04-14: W vs. [#23WW] Carlos Condit (30-12-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 3:17 of round 2
2017-12-02: L vs. [#21WW] Yancy Medeiros (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:02 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Gunnar Nelson (2-1-0)
2017-07-16: L vs. [#8WW] Santiago Ponzinibbio (27-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:22 of round 1
2017-03-18: W vs. [#44WW] Alan Jouban (16-6-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:46 of round 2
2016-05-08: W vs. [#38WW] Albert Tumenov (20-4-0) via Submission (Neck Crank) in 3:15 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Gunnar Nelson – Win%: 57.66
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alex Oliveira (1978.87) [+133.12] – Win%: 64.75
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alex Oliveira (1969.51) [+113.43] – Win%: 62.17
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Oliveira 77, Gunnar Nelson 510
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#137] Hakeem Dawodu (8-1-1, -182) vs. [#147] Kyle Bochniak (8-3-0, +154)

Last 3 Fights: Hakeem Dawodu (2-1-0)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#170FW] Austin Arnett (16-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-03-17: L vs. [#64FW] Danny Henry (12-2-0) via Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:39 of round 1
2017-03-18: W vs. [#34FW] Steven Siler (33-17-1) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Kyle Bochniak (1-2-0)
2018-04-07: L vs. [#30FW] Zabit Magomedsharipov (16-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-01-20: W vs. [#162FW] Brandon Davis (9-5-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-07-22: L vs. [#82FW] Jeremy Kennedy (12-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Hakeem Dawodu – Win%: 62.11
Elo Favorite (Standard): Hakeem Dawodu (1564.24) [+119.49] – Win%: 63.32
Elo Favorite (Modified): Hakeem Dawodu (1634.09) [+217.79] – Win%: 72.18
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Hakeem Dawodu 133, Kyle Bochniak 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#12] Thiago Santos (19-6-0, -201) vs. [#14] Jimi Manuwa (17-4-0, +166)
Jimi Manuwa is the All-Time #48 ranked Light Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Thiago Santos (2-1-0)
2018-09-22: W vs. [#36MW] Eryk Anders (11-2-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 5:00 of round 3
2018-08-04: W vs. [#74MW] Kevin Holland (14-4-0) via UD (29-27, 29-26, 29-27)
2018-04-21: L vs. [#15MW] David Branch (22-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jimi Manuwa (1-2-0)
2018-03-17: L vs. [#7LHW] Jan Blachowicz (23-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-07-29: L vs. [#8LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (15-3-0) via TKO in 0:22 of round 1
2017-03-18: W vs. [#4LHW] Corey Anderson (11-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:05 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Thiago Santos – Win%: 63.98
Elo Favorite (Standard): Thiago Santos (1955.53) [+257.85] – Win%: 76.46
Elo Favorite (Modified): Thiago Santos (1957.20) [+232.05] – Win%: 73.42
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Thiago Santos 77, Jimi Manuwa 266
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#5] Claudia Gadelha (16-3-0, -305) vs. [#9] Nina Ansaroff (9-5-0, +243)
Claudia Gadelha is the All-Time #22 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Claudia Gadelha (2-1-0)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#12SW] Carla Esparza (13-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-09-22: L vs. [#2SW/#4DD/#4P4P] Jessica Andrade (19-6-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-06-03: W vs. [#8SW] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (12-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:03 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Nina Ansaroff (3-0-0)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#19SW] Randa Markos (8-6-1) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-11-11: W vs. [#17SW] Angela Hill (8-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-01-15: W vs. [*] Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger (6-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:39 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Claudia Gadelha – Win%: 72.09
Elo Favorite (Standard): Claudia Gadelha (1702.38) [+226.82] – Win%: 73.81
Elo Favorite (Modified): Claudia Gadelha (1659.11) [+155.72] – Win%: 66.41
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Claudia Gadelha 182, Nina Ansaroff 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Claudia Gadelha leads 1-0
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#2/#10P4P] Katlyn Chookagian (11-1-0, -160) vs. [#9] Jessica Eye (13-6-0, +137)
Jessica Eye is the All-Time #41 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Katlyn Chookagian (3-0-0)
2018-07-28: W vs. [#6FLY] Alexis Davis (19-8-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-01-27: W vs. [#29FLY] Mara Romero Borella (11-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-04-08: W vs. [#9BW] Irene Aldana (9-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Eye (2-1-0)
2018-06-23: W vs. [#40FLY] Jessica-Rose Clark (9-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2018-01-14: W vs. [#63FLY] Kalindra Faria (18-8-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2016-09-10: L vs. [*] Bethe Correia (10-3-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Katlyn Chookagian – Win%: 59.32
Elo Favorite (Standard): Katlyn Chookagian (1669.72) [+220.58] – Win%: 73.26
Elo Favorite (Modified): Katlyn Chookagian (1657.08) [+191.02] – Win%: 69.76
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Katlyn Chookagian 133, Jessica Eye 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Katlyn Chookagian leads 1-0
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Middleweight (185)
[#18] Elias Theodorou (15-2-0, -101) vs. [#36] Eryk Anders (11-2-0, -121)

Last 3 Fights: Elias Theodorou (2-1-0)
2018-05-27: W vs. [#44MW] Trevor Smith (15-8-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-11-18: W vs. [#34MW] Daniel Kelly (13-4-0) via UD (30-28, 30-27, 30-26)
2017-07-07: L vs. [#17MW] Brad Tavares (17-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Eryk Anders (1-2-0)
2018-09-22: L vs. [#12LHW] Thiago Santos (19-6-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 5:00 of round 3
2018-08-25: W vs. [#113MW] Tim Williams (15-5-0) via KO (Soccer Kick) in 4:42 of round 3
2018-02-03: L vs. [#13MW] Lyoto Machida (24-8-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Eryk Anders – Win%: 52.14
Elo Favorite (Standard): Elias Theodorou (1880.45) [+233.04] – Win%: 74.36
Elo Favorite (Modified): Elias Theodorou (1879.94) [+187.17] – Win%: 69.41
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Elias Theodorou 195, Eryk Anders 77
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#25] Olivier Aubin-Mercier (11-3-0, -145) vs. [#61] Gilbert Burns (13-3-0, +122)

Last 3 Fights: Olivier Aubin-Mercier (2-1-0)
2018-07-28: L vs. [#12LW] Alexander Hernandez (10-1-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-04-07: W vs. [*] Evan Dunham (18-8-1) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 0:53 of round 1
2017-09-16: W vs. [#24WW] Anthony Rocco Martin (15-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Gilbert Burns (2-1-0)
2018-07-07: L vs. [#17LW] Dan Hooker (17-7-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:28 of round 1
2018-04-14: W vs. [#222LW] Dan Moret (13-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:59 of round 2
2017-09-16: W vs. [#125LW] Jason Saggo (12-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:55 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Olivier Aubin-Mercier – Win%: 56.77
Elo Favorite (Standard): Olivier Aubin-Mercier (1766.21) [+75.30] – Win%: 58.52
Elo Favorite (Modified): Olivier Aubin-Mercier (1755.57) [+56.41] – Win%: 56.14
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Olivier Aubin-Mercier 133, Gilbert Burns 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Light Heavyweight (205)
[#27] Aleksandar Rakic (10-1-0, -534) vs. [#64] Devin Clark (9-2-0, +401)

Last 3 Fights: Aleksandar Rakic (3-0-0)
2018-07-22: W vs. [#93LHW] Justin Ledet (9-1-0) via UD (30-24, 30-24, 30-25)
2017-09-02: W vs. [#56HW+] Francimar Barroso (21-7-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-03-04: W vs. [#440MW] Sergio Souza (18-18-0) via TKO (Punches) in ? of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Devin Clark (2-1-0)
2018-04-07: W vs. [#144LHW] Mike Rodriguez (9-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-10-21: L vs. [#7LHW] Jan Blachowicz (23-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:02 of round 2
2017-04-15: W vs. [#65LHW] Jake Collier (11-4-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Aleksandar Rakic – Win%: 80.84
Elo Favorite (Standard): Aleksandar Rakic (1661.62) [+121.91] – Win%: 63.58
Elo Favorite (Modified): Aleksandar Rakic (1643.77) [+55.66] – Win%: 56.06
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Aleksandar Rakic 139, Devin Clark 245
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#52] Matthew Lopez (10-3-0, +224) vs. [#79] Brad Katona (7-0-0, -272)

Last 3 Fights: Matthew Lopez (1-2-0)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#13BW] Alejandro Perez (21-6-1) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 3:42 of round 2
2017-11-11: L vs. [#6BW] Raphael Assuncao (27-5-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:50 of round 3
2017-06-03: W vs. [#86BW] Johnny Eduardo (28-12-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Brad Katona (3-0-0)
2018-07-06: W vs. [#184FW] Jay Cucciniello (8-1-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2017-09-15: W vs. [#478BW] Stephen Cervantes (7-5-0) via UD ()
2017-02-03: W vs. [*] Austin Ryan (6-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:49 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Brad Katona – Win%: 70.32
Elo Favorite (Standard): Brad Katona (1678.12) [+98.70] – Win%: 61.09
Elo Favorite (Modified): Brad Katona (1705.35) [+130.20] – Win%: 63.87
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Matthew Lopez 238, Brad Katona 155
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#106] Chad Laprise (13-3-0, -298) vs. [#116] Dhiego Lima (12-7-0, +242)

Last 3 Fights: Chad Laprise (2-1-0)
2018-05-19: L vs. [#32WW] Vicente Luque (14-6-1) via KO (Punches) in 4:16 of round 1
2017-12-16: W vs. [#722WW] Galore Bofando (5-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:10 of round 1
2017-07-08: W vs. [#398WW] Brian Camozzi (7-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:27 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Dhiego Lima (0-3-0)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#64WW] Yushin Okami (35-12-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
2017-07-07: L vs. [*] Jesse Taylor (31-15-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:43 of round 2
2016-12-02: L vs. [#118WW] Jason Jackson (8-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Chad Laprise – Win%: 71.91
Elo Favorite (Standard): Chad Laprise (1615.57) [+74.46] – Win%: 58.42
Elo Favorite (Modified): Chad Laprise (1644.06) [+86.35] – Win%: 59.34
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Chad Laprise 203, Dhiego Lima 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#35] Carlos Diego Ferreira (13-2-0, -350) vs. [#98] Jesse Ronson (20-8-0, +280)

Last 3 Fights: Carlos Diego Ferreira (2-1-0)
2018-02-18: W vs. [#82LW] Jared Gordon (14-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:58 of round 1
2016-01-30: W vs. [#25LW] Olivier Aubin-Mercier (11-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2015-04-04: L vs. [#3LW/#10DD] Dustin Poirier (24-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:45 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jesse Ronson (3-0-0)
2018-09-21: W vs. [#342WW] Michael Dufort (6-3-0) via SD ()
2017-12-08: W vs. [#471LW] Derek Gauthier (8-8-0) via TKO (Submission to Punches) in 1:10 of round 1
2017-10-14: W vs. [#1112WW] Jeremie Capony (6-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:20 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Carlos Diego Ferreira – Win%: 74.71
Elo Favorite (Standard): Carlos Diego Ferreira (1793.16) [+234.70] – Win%: 74.50
Elo Favorite (Modified): Carlos Diego Ferreira (1810.49) [+253.23] – Win%: 75.19
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carlos Diego Ferreira 293, Jesse Ronson 78
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Max Holloway
Highest Stored DD Rating: Max Holloway
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Max Holloway vs. Brian Ortega
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Max Holloway vs. Brian Ortega
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Large [****]
Run Date: 2018-12-3


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