Fight Matrix Program – The Ultimate Fighter 28 Finale (11-30-2018)

29 Nov , 2018,
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Welterweight (170)
[#3] Rafael dos Anjos (28-10-0, 170.0lb, +218) vs. [#6] Kamaru Usman (13-1-0, 170.5lb, -274)
Rafael dos Anjos is the All-Time #30 ranked Welterweight and #30 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rafael dos Anjos (2-1-0)
2018-06-09: L vs. [#2WW] Colby Covington (14-1-0) via UD (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
2017-12-16: W vs. [#7WW] Robbie Lawler (28-12-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 50-45)
2017-09-09: W vs. [#17WW] Neil Magny (21-7-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:43 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Kamaru Usman (3-0-0)
2018-05-19: W vs. [#13WW] Demian Maia (25-9-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-46)
2018-01-14: W vs. [#33WW] Emil Meek (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-09-16: W vs. [#32WW] Sergio Moraes (14-3-1) via KO (Punch) in 2:48 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kamaru Usman – Win%: 69.96
Elo Favorite (Standard): Rafael dos Anjos (2133.11) [+11.38] – Win%: 51.30
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rafael dos Anjos (2098.08) [+14.69] – Win%: 51.61
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rafael dos Anjos 174, Kamaru Usman 195
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (264)
[#75] Juan Francisco Espino Dieppa (8-1-0, 260.0lb, -145) vs. [#122] Justin Frazier (10-2-0, 264.0lb, +119)

Last 3 Fights: Juan Francisco Espino Dieppa (3-0-0)
2017-10-14: W vs. [#369HW+] Martin Buday (4-1-0) via UD ()
2017-09-23: W vs. [NA] Yuri Gorbenko (11-46-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:27 of round 1
2017-07-14: W vs. [#299HW+] Dritan Barjamaj (14-16-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 1:39 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Justin Frazier (3-0-0)
2018-03-17: W vs. [#556HW+] Reggie Cato (5-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:37 of round 1
2017-12-29: W vs. [NA] Parnell Davis (8-6-0) via Submission (Forearm Choke) in 1:00 of round 1
2017-08-12: W vs. [#418LHW] Carlton Little Sr. (6-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:43 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Juan Francisco Espino Dieppa – Win%: 56.44
Elo Favorite (Standard): Juan Francisco Espino Dieppa (1530.78) [+47.52] – Win%: 55.40
Elo Favorite (Modified): Juan Francisco Espino Dieppa (1542.01) [+31.19] – Win%: 53.41
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Juan Francisco Espino Dieppa 412, Justin Frazier 258
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Featherweight (145)
[#12BW] Pannie Kianzad (10-3-0, 145.0lb, -105) vs. [#7] Macy Chiasson (2-0-0, 144.5lb, -115)

Last 3 Fights: Pannie Kianzad (2-1-0)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#79BW] Kerry Hughes (3-4-0) via UD ()
2018-05-04: W vs. [#51BW] Bianca Daimoni (7-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-01-13: L vs. [#7BW] Sarah Kaufman (20-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Macy Chiasson (2-0-0)
2018-05-04: W vs. [#52FW] Allison Schmidt (1-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-10-21: W vs. [NA] Miranda Dearing (0-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:38 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Macy Chiasson – Win%: 51.08
Elo Favorite (Standard): Pannie Kianzad (1492.20) [+116.54] – Win%: 63.00
Elo Favorite (Modified): Macy Chiasson (1561.49) [+35.03] – Win%: 53.83
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Pannie Kianzad 174, Macy Chiasson 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#10] Pedro Munhoz (16-3-0, 135.5lb, -245) vs. [#29] Bryan Caraway (21-8-0, 135.8lb, +195)

Last 3 Fights: Pedro Munhoz (2-1-0)
2018-08-04: W vs. [#22BW] Brett Johns (15-2-0) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 29-27)
2018-03-03: L vs. [#9BW] John Dodson (20-10-0) via SD (30-27, 29-28, 28-29)
2017-10-28: W vs. [#20BW] Rob Font (15-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:03 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Bryan Caraway (2-1-0)
2018-03-03: L vs. [#25BW] Cody Stamann (17-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2016-05-29: W vs. [#7BW] Aljamain Sterling (16-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2015-07-25: W vs. [#30BW] Eddie Wineland (23-13-1) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Pedro Munhoz – Win%: 67.68
Elo Favorite (Standard): Pedro Munhoz (1829.44) [+87.94] – Win%: 59.91
Elo Favorite (Modified): Pedro Munhoz (1890.55) [+135.16] – Win%: 64.37
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Pedro Munhoz 118, Bryan Caraway 272
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#43] Darren Stewart (9-3-0, 185.0lb, -101) vs. [#135] Edmen Shahbazyan (7-0-0, 185.5lb, -125)

Last 3 Fights: Darren Stewart (2-1-0)
2018-09-08: W vs. [#104MW] Charles Byrd (10-5-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 2:17 of round 2
2018-05-27: W vs. [#78MW] Eric Spicely (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:47 of round 2
2017-12-16: L vs. [#84MW] Julian Marquez (7-2-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:42 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Edmen Shahbazyan (3-0-0)
2018-07-17: W vs. [#194MW] Antonio Jones (6-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:40 of round 1
2018-04-21: W vs. [#1075WW] Daniel McWilliams (18-41-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:30 of round 1
2018-02-17: W vs. [NA] Aaron Hamilton (1-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:08 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Edmen Shahbazyan – Win%: 52.50
Elo Favorite (Standard): Darren Stewart (1532.34) [+92.46] – Win%: 60.40
Elo Favorite (Modified): Darren Stewart (1567.81) [+83.19] – Win%: 59.00
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Darren Stewart 83, Edmen Shahbazyan 136
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Bantamweight (130)
[#30FLY] Ji Yeon Kim (8-1-2, 130.5lb, +250) vs. [#43FLY] Antonina Shevchenko (6-0-0, 124.5lb, -322)

Last 3 Fights: Ji Yeon Kim (2-1-0)
2018-06-23: W vs. [#107FLY] Melinda Fabian (4-4-2) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-01-27: W vs. [#58FLY] Justine Kish (6-2-0) via UD (28-29, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-06-17: L vs. [#14BW] Lucie Pudilova (8-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Antonina Shevchenko (3-0-0)
2018-06-26: W vs. [#130FLY] Jaimelene Nievera (7-4-0) via TKO (Knees) in 3:22 of round 2
2017-12-22: W vs. [#48BW] Valerie Domergue (4-4-0) via UD ()
2017-09-22: W vs. [NA] Anissa Haddaoui (0-2-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Antonina Shevchenko – Win%: 72.75
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ji Yeon Kim (1418.63) [+59.63] – Win%: 56.77
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ji Yeon Kim (1395.81) [+12.04] – Win%: 51.32
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ji Yeon Kim 160, Antonina Shevchenko 157
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (148)
[#37] Rick Glenn (21-5-1, 148.5lb, +100) vs. [#47] Kevin Aguilar (15-1-0, 144.0lb, -125)

Last 3 Fights: Rick Glenn (2-1-0)
2018-07-14: W vs. [#40FW] Dennis Bermudez (16-9-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-12-30: L vs. [#24FW] Myles Jury (17-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-09-09: W vs. [#191FW] Gavin Tucker (10-1-0) via UD (30-24, 29-27, 30-25)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Aguilar (3-0-0)
2018-07-10: W vs. [#268LW] Joey Gomez (7-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2018-05-25: W vs. [#113FW] Thanh Le (8-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:44 of round 1
2017-08-04: W vs. [*] Justin Rader (7-3-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kevin Aguilar – Win%: 52.63
Elo Favorite (Standard): Kevin Aguilar (1767.01) [+11.01] – Win%: 51.26
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kevin Aguilar (1714.72) [+35.89] – Win%: 53.92
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rick Glenn 139, Kevin Aguilar 143
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (126)
[#5] Joseph Benavidez (25-5-0, 125.5lb, +107) vs. [#11] Alex Perez (21-4-0, 126.0lb, -132)
Joseph Benavidez is the All-Time #5 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Joseph Benavidez (2-1-0)
2018-06-09: L vs. [#4FLY] Sergio Pettis (17-4-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2016-12-03: W vs. [#1FLY/#6DD/#6P4P] Henry Cejudo (13-2-0) via SD (29-27, 27-29, 30-26)
2016-02-06: W vs. [#24FLY] Zach Makovsky (20-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Perez (3-0-0)
2018-08-04: W vs. [#33FLY] Jose Torres (8-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:36 of round 1
2018-02-24: W vs. [#37FLY] Eric Shelton (12-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-12-09: W vs. [#682BW] Carls John de Tomas (7-2-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 1:54 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Alex Perez – Win%: 54.08
Elo Favorite (Standard): Joseph Benavidez (1870.90) [+133.36] – Win%: 64.78
Elo Favorite (Modified): Joseph Benavidez (1871.38) [+133.05] – Win%: 64.16
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joseph Benavidez 174, Alex Perez 118
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (262)
[#126] Maurice Greene (5-2-0, 259.0lb, -155) vs. [#159] Michel Batista (4-0-0, 262.5lb, +135)

Last 3 Fights: Maurice Greene (2-1-0)
2018-04-27: L vs. [#58HW+] Jeff Hughes (10-1-0) via UD (48-47, 50-45, 50-45)
2017-09-30: W vs. [NA] Parnell Davis (8-6-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 1:20 of round 1
2017-08-18: W vs. [*] Jermaine McDermott (3-1-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 3:06 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Michel Batista (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2017-12-15: W vs. [#278HW+] Edison Lopes (9-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-02-17: W vs. [*] Drew Allen Stewart (3-5-0) via UD ()
2016-12-16: NC vs. [#421LHW] Oscar Delgado (6-5-0)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Maurice Greene – Win%: 58.82
Elo Favorite (Standard): Maurice Greene (1350.73) [+32.08] – Win%: 53.66
Elo Favorite (Modified): Maurice Greene (1379.78) [+21.10] – Win%: 52.31
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Maurice Greene 217, Michel Batista 350
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Featherweight (146)
[#24BW] Julija Stoliarenko (4-2-2, 145.5lb, +190) vs. [#18] Leah Letson (4-1-0, 146.0lb, -230)

Last 3 Fights: Julija Stoliarenko (3-0-0)
2018-05-04: W vs. [NA] Alecia Zomkowski (0-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 0:22 of round 1
2018-03-17: W vs. [NA] Tatsiana Firsava (0-1-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 0:58 of round 1
2017-09-23: W vs. [NA] Tetyana Voznyuk (0-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:42 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Leah Letson (3-0-0)
2017-01-14: W vs. [#31BW] Elizabeth Phillips (7-6-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 1:18 of round 1
2016-07-30: W vs. [#83BW] Sarah Payant (3-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:22 of round 1
2016-05-21: W vs. [NA] AlLanna Jones (2-8-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Leah Letson – Win%: 66.90
Elo Favorite (Standard): Julija Stoliarenko (1259.98) [+68.21] – Win%: 57.73
Elo Favorite (Modified): Leah Letson (1298.63) [+13.00] – Win%: 51.42
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julija Stoliarenko 210, Leah Letson 685
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#172] Darrell Horcher (13-3-0, 155.0lb, +239) vs. [#187] Roosevelt Roberts (6-0-0, 155.5lb, -304)

Last 3 Fights: Darrell Horcher (1-2-0)
2017-12-09: L vs. [#38LW] Scott Holtzman (12-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-06-25: W vs. [#457LW] Devin Powell (9-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2016-04-16: L vs. [#1LW/#5DD/#8P4P] Khabib Nurmagomedov (27-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:38 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Roosevelt Roberts (3-0-0)
2018-07-31: W vs. [#577LW] Garrett Gross (11-8-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:13 of round 2
2018-01-20: W vs. [#700FW] Tommy Aaron (5-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in ? of round 1
2017-08-19: W vs. [#545LW] Shohei Yamamoto (6-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:05 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Roosevelt Roberts – Win%: 71.83
Elo Favorite (Standard): Darrell Horcher (1549.16) [+80.49] – Win%: 59.09
Elo Favorite (Modified): Darrell Horcher (1549.47) [+10.40] – Win%: 51.14
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Darrell Horcher 356, Roosevelt Roberts 122
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#62] Tim Means (27-10-1, 170.5lb, -370) vs. [#111] Ricky Rainey (13-5-0, 170.5lb, +285)

Last 3 Fights: Tim Means (1-2-0)
2018-02-03: L vs. [#32WW] Sergio Moraes (14-3-1) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-11-18: L vs. [#35WW] Belal Muhammad (14-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-06-25: W vs. [#86WW] Alex Garcia (15-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Rainey (2-1-0)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#82WW] Muslim Salikhov (14-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:12 of round 2
2017-08-25: W vs. [#217WW] Marc Stevens (23-11-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-27)
2016-10-21: W vs. [#96MW] Gilbert Smith (13-6-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tim Means – Win%: 75.19
Elo Favorite (Standard): Tim Means (1646.87) [+106.23] – Win%: 61.90
Elo Favorite (Modified): Tim Means (1739.50) [+163.43] – Win%: 67.16
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tim Means 300, Ricky Rainey 230
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Tim Means leads 1-0
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Bantamweight (135)
[#38FW] Raoni Barcelos (12-1-0, 135.0lb, -475) vs. [*] Chris Gutierrez (12-3-1, 135.5lb, +352)

Last 3 Fights: Raoni Barcelos (3-0-0)
2018-07-14: W vs. [#188FW] Kurt Holobaugh (17-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 3
2016-10-28: W vs. [#218LW] Dan Moret (13-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:51 of round 2
2016-06-17: W vs. [#66FW] Bobby Moffett (14-3-0) via UD (48-46, 48-46, 48-46)

Last 3 Fights: Chris Gutierrez (3-0-0)
2018-10-19: W vs. [#246BW] Ray Rodriguez (13-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:47 of round 1
2018-04-06: W vs. [#114BW] Jimmy Flick (12-4-0) via TKO (Leg Kicks) in 2:59 of round 3
2017-09-08: W vs. [#819FW] Mario Israel (10-4-0) via SD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Raoni Barcelos – Win%: 78.87
Elo Favorite (Standard): Raoni Barcelos (1780.14) [+187.92] – Win%: 70.23
Elo Favorite (Modified): Raoni Barcelos (1798.63) [+233.95] – Win%: 73.58
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Raoni Barcelos 139, Chris Gutierrez 42
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Rafael dos Anjos
Highest Stored DD Rating: Rafael dos Anjos
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Rafael dos Anjos vs. Kamaru Usman
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Rafael dos Anjos vs. Kamaru Usman
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2018-11-29


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