Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 141: Blaydes vs. N’Gannou 2 (11-24-2018)

Heavyweight (265)
[#4] Curtis Blaydes (10-1-0, -219) vs. [#6] Francis Ngannou (11-3-0, +175)
Curtis Blaydes is the All-Time #49 ranked Heavyweight fighter.
Francis Ngannou is the All-Time #36 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Curtis Blaydes (3-0-0)
2018-06-09: W vs. [#7HW+] Alistair Overeem (43-17-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:56 of round 3
2018-02-10: W vs. [#11HW+] Mark Hunt (13-13-1) via UD (29-27, 30-26, 30-26)
2017-11-04: W vs. [#10HW+] Alexey Oleynik (59-11-1) via TKO (Doctor Stoppage) in 1:56 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Francis Ngannou (1-2-0)
2018-07-07: L vs. [#3HW+] Derrick Lewis (21-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-01-20: L vs. [#2HW+/#10P4P] Stipe Miocic (18-3-0) via UD (50-44, 50-44, 50-44)
2017-12-02: W vs. [#7HW+] Alistair Overeem (43-17-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:42 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Curtis Blaydes – Win%: 65.37
Elo Favorite (Standard): Curtis Blaydes (1940.26) [+133.85] – Win%: 64.83
Elo Favorite (Modified): Curtis Blaydes (1942.26) [+129.16] – Win%: 63.77
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Curtis Blaydes 168, Francis Ngannou 140
Previous Match-up Record: Francis Ngannou leads 1-0-0
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#7] Alistair Overeem (43-17-0, +104) vs. [#33] Sergey Pavlovich (12-0-0, -130)
Alistair Overeem is the All-Time #14 ranked Heavyweight and #46 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Alistair Overeem (1-2-0)
2018-06-09: L vs. [#4HW+] Curtis Blaydes (10-1-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:56 of round 3
2017-12-02: L vs. [#6HW+] Francis Ngannou (11-3-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:42 of round 1
2017-07-08: W vs. [*] Fabricio Werdum (23-8-1) via MD (28-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Sergey Pavlovich (3-0-0)
2017-11-19: W vs. [#137HW+] Kirill Sidelnikov (11-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:45 of round 1
2017-06-02: W vs. [#50HW+] Mikhail Mokhnatkin (11-2-2) via UD ()
2016-11-16: W vs. [#68HW+] Alexei Kudin (24-12-1) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Sergey Pavlovich – Win%: 53.55
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alistair Overeem (1860.47) [+92.70] – Win%: 60.43
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alistair Overeem (1876.22) [+95.17] – Win%: 60.27
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alistair Overeem 168, Sergey Pavlovich 370
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#31] Xiaonan Yan (9-1-0, -448) vs. [#52] Syuri Kondo (6-1-0, +336)

Last 3 Fights: Xiaonan Yan (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2018-06-23: W vs. [#46SW] Viviane Pereira (13-3-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-11-25: W vs. [#116SW] Kailin Curran (4-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2016-11-19: NC vs. [#47SW] Emi Fujino (22-11-0)

Last 3 Fights: Syuri Kondo (2-1-0)
2018-05-19: L vs. [#29SW] Poliana Botelho (7-2-0) via TKO (Kick to the Body and Punches) in 0:33 of round 1
2017-09-22: W vs. [#127SW] Chanmi Jeon (5-2-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2017-05-28: W vs. [#106SW] Kinberly Tanaka Novaes (9-5-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Xiaonan Yan – Win%: 78.08
Elo Favorite (Standard): Xiaonan Yan (1430.20) [+74.14] – Win%: 58.39
Elo Favorite (Modified): Xiaonan Yan (1414.53) [+32.86] – Win%: 53.59
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Xiaonan Yan 154, Syuri Kondo 189
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#65] Yadong Song (13-3-0, -392) vs. [#303] Vince Morales (8-2-0, +299)

Last 3 Fights: Yadong Song (3-0-0)
2018-06-23: W vs. [*] Felipe Arantes (18-10-1) via KO (Elbow) in 4:59 of round 2
2017-11-25: W vs. [#1463FW] Bharat Khandare (5-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 4:16 of round 1
2017-10-27: W vs. [NA] Makoto Yoshida (0-2-0) via TKO in 1:05 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Vince Morales (2-1-0)
2018-09-21: W vs. [#1765BW] Justin Williams-Hugo (3-5-0) via UD ()
2018-07-17: L vs. [#120BW] Domingo Pilarte (8-1-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:52 of round 2
2018-01-19: W vs. [#542BW] Brandon Hempleman (10-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:38 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Yadong Song – Win%: 76.07
Elo Favorite (Standard): Yadong Song (1533.98) [+169.62] – Win%: 68.46
Elo Favorite (Modified): Yadong Song (1579.06) [+204.14] – Win%: 70.96
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Yadong Song 154, Vince Morales 64
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#347] Rashad Coulter (8-4-0, -166) vs. [#571] Yaozong Hu (3-1-0, +137)

Last 3 Fights: Rashad Coulter (0-3-0)
2018-06-09: L vs. [#153HW+] Chris de la Rocha (5-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:53 of round 2
2017-11-18: L vs. [#16HW+] Tai Tuivasa (8-0-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 4:35 of round 1
2017-05-13: L vs. [#99HW+] Chase Sherman (11-6-0) via KO (Elbow) in 3:36 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Yaozong Hu (2-1-0)
2017-11-25: L vs. [#183HW+] Cyril Asker (9-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:33 of round 2
2016-12-02: W vs. [NA] Abror Yakhyaev (0-2-0) via TKO in of round 2
2016-10-15: W vs. [NA] Le Er Da Bao (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:49 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Rashad Coulter – Win%: 59.66
Elo Favorite (Standard): Yaozong Hu (1136.17) [+44.55] – Win%: 55.07
Elo Favorite (Modified): Yaozong Hu (1193.09) [+20.58] – Win%: 52.25
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rashad Coulter 168, Yaozong Hu 364
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#7] Weili Zhang (17-1-0, -438) vs. [#24] Jessica Aguilar (20-6-0, +331)
Jessica Aguilar is the All-Time #14 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Weili Zhang (3-0-0)
2018-08-04: W vs. [#32SW] Danielle Taylor (9-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-10-03: W vs. [#126SW] Bianca Sattelmayer (7-10-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 3:29 of round 1
2017-08-28: W vs. [#94FLY] Marilia Santos (9-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in ? of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jessica Aguilar (1-2-0)
2018-07-14: W vs. [#42SW] Jodie Esquibel (6-4-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-05-13: L vs. [#14SW] Cortney Casey-Sanchez (8-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2015-08-01: L vs. [#5SW] Claudia Gadelha (16-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Weili Zhang – Win%: 77.82
Elo Favorite (Standard): Weili Zhang (1660.43) [+120.40] – Win%: 63.42
Elo Favorite (Modified): Weili Zhang (1673.60) [+131.55] – Win%: 64.01
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Weili Zhang 112, Jessica Aguilar 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 1 win(s) against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#81] Lauren Mueller (5-0-0, -450) vs. [#104BW] Yanan Wu (8-2-0, +337)

Last 3 Fights: Lauren Mueller (3-0-0)
2018-04-14: W vs. [#121FLY] Shana Dobson (3-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-08-29: W vs. [NA] Kelly McGill-Velasco (2-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-07-23: W vs. [NA] Hannah Fitzpatrick (0-1-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Yanan Wu (2-1-0)
2017-11-25: L vs. [#49BW] Gina Mazany (5-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-03-11: W vs. [NA] Zuriana Makoeva (0-1-0) via TKO in 3:19 of round 2
2016-12-15: W vs. [NA] Anjela Pink (0-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:17 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Lauren Mueller – Win%: 78.14
Elo Favorite (Standard): Lauren Mueller (1302.54) [+137.73] – Win%: 65.23
Elo Favorite (Modified): Lauren Mueller (1363.58) [+168.76] – Win%: 67.67
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lauren Mueller 224, Yanan Wu 364
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#70] Alex Morono (14-5-0, -104) vs. [#237] Kenan Song (14-4-0, -121)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Morono (1-2-0)
2018-07-28: L vs. [#37WW] Jordan Mein (31-12-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2018-02-18: W vs. [#233WW] Joshua Burkman (28-17-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:12 of round 1
2017-09-22: L vs. [#102WW] Keita Nakamura (33-9-2) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Kenan Song (2-1-0)
2018-06-23: W vs. [#1188WW] Hector Aldana (4-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:42 of round 2
2017-11-25: W vs. [#363WW] Bobby Nash (8-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 0:15 of round 1
2017-01-13: L vs. [#960LW] Brad Riddell (2-1-0) via TKO in of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kenan Song – Win%: 51.78
Elo Favorite (Standard): Alex Morono (1546.57) [+169.30] – Win%: 68.43
Elo Favorite (Modified): Alex Morono (1586.72) [+159.00] – Win%: 66.73
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Alex Morono 119, Kenan Song 154
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#82] Kevin Holland (13-4-0, -446) vs. [#168] John Phillips (21-7-0, +334)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Holland (2-1-0)
2018-08-04: L vs. [#12LHW] Thiago Santos (19-6-0) via UD (29-27, 29-26, 29-27)
2018-06-12: W vs. [#413WW] Will Santiago Jr. (9-6-0) via UD ()
2018-03-02: W vs. [#1292WW] Teagan Dooley (5-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 2:59 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: John Phillips (2-1-0)
2018-03-17: L vs. [#103MW] Charles Byrd (10-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:58 of round 1
2016-09-24: W vs. [#313LHW] Jose Otavio dos Santos La (9-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:44 of round 1
2016-02-27: W vs. [#475MW] Cheick Kone (17-10-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:05 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Kevin Holland – Win%: 77.99
Elo Favorite (Standard): Kevin Holland (1587.36) [+59.17] – Win%: 56.72
Elo Favorite (Modified): Kevin Holland (1607.55) [+74.43] – Win%: 58.08
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Holland 112, John Phillips 252
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#86] Jingliang Li (15-5-0, -158) vs. [#124] David Zawada (16-4-0, +130)

Last 3 Fights: Jingliang Li (2-1-0)
2018-06-23: W vs. [#255MW] Daichi Abe (6-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-02-10: L vs. [#60WW] Jake Matthews (14-3-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-28)
2017-11-25: W vs. [#119WW] Zak Ottow (16-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:57 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: David Zawada (2-1-0)
2018-07-22: L vs. [#88WW] Danny Roberts (16-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2018-04-14: W vs. [#513WW] Michal Michalski (6-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:48 of round 3
2017-10-22: W vs. [#479WW] Maciej Jewtuszko (12-4-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jingliang Li – Win%: 58.47
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jingliang Li (1662.67) [+110.84] – Win%: 62.39
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jingliang Li (1689.36) [+42.50] – Win%: 54.64
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jingliang Li 154, David Zawada 125
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#100] Pingyuan Liu (13-5-0, -253) vs. [#335] Martin Day (9-2-0, +202)

Last 3 Fights: Pingyuan Liu (3-0-0)
2018-07-22: W vs. [#116BW] Damian Stasiak (10-6-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-10-27: W vs. [#463BW] Yuichi Ohashi (5-5-0) via TKO in 0:12 of round 1
2017-03-11: W vs. [#1054BW] Nikolay Baykin (11-8-1) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:49 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Martin Day (3-0-0)
2018-08-04: W vs. [#663BW] Brady Huang (8-1-0) via TKO in 1:10 of round 2
2018-06-23: W vs. [#797FLY] Shojin Miki (4-3-0) via UD ()
2018-02-17: W vs. [NA] Richard Barnard (1-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 0:55 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Pingyuan Liu – Win%: 68.40
Elo Favorite (Standard): Pingyuan Liu (1542.15) [+218.87] – Win%: 73.10
Elo Favorite (Modified): Pingyuan Liu (1556.54) [+219.68] – Win%: 72.34
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Pingyuan Liu 125, Martin Day 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#39FLY] Louis Smolka (14-5-0, -226) vs. [#174FLY] Sumudaerji Sumudaerji (10-2-0, +180)

Last 3 Fights: Louis Smolka (3-0-0)
2018-10-20: W vs. [#283FLY] Kyle Estrada (8-4-0) via TKO in 5:00 of round 2
2018-06-23: W vs. [#362FLY] Tycen Lynn (5-3-0) via SUB in of round 3
2018-04-21: W vs. [NA] Tyrone Christian Gorgonia (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Sumudaerji Sumudaerji (3-0-0)
2018-06-27: W vs. [NA] Temirulan Bamadaliev (0-2-0) via TKO in 2:14 of round 1
2018-04-14: W vs. [#1536BW] Zelimkhan Makaev (1-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:01 of round 1
2018-03-17: W vs. [#546FLY] Bidzina Gavashelishvili (2-2-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 2:36 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Louis Smolka – Win%: 66.00
Elo Favorite (Standard): Louis Smolka (1515.93) [+165.20] – Win%: 68.02
Elo Favorite (Modified): Louis Smolka (1518.10) [+128.84] – Win%: 63.74
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Louis Smolka 35, Sumudaerji Sumudaerji 150
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Curtis Blaydes
Highest Stored DD Rating: Curtis Blaydes
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Curtis Blaydes vs. Francis Ngannou
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Curtis Blaydes vs. Francis Ngannou
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Good [***]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Fair [**½]
Run Date: 2018-11-20