Fight Matrix Program – UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis (11-03-2018)

Heavyweight Championship (265)
[#1/#10DD/#1P4P] Daniel Cormier (21-1-0, -701) vs. [#3] Derrick Lewis (21-5-0, +478)
Daniel Cormier is the All-Time #22 ranked Heavyweight and #11 ranked Absolute fighter.
Derrick Lewis is the All-Time #39 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Daniel Cormier (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2018-07-07: W vs. [#2HW+/#10P4P] Stipe Miocic (18-3-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:33 of round 1
2018-01-20: W vs. [#6LHW] Volkan Oezdemir (15-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:00 of round 2
2017-07-29: NC vs. [*] Jon Jones (22-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Derrick Lewis (3-0-0)
2018-10-06: W vs. [#8HW+] Alexander Volkov (30-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 4:49 of round 3
2018-07-07: W vs. [#6HW+] Francis Ngannou (11-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2018-02-18: W vs. [#14HW+] Marcin Tybura (17-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:48 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Daniel Cormier – Win%: 83.49
Elo Favorite (Standard): Daniel Cormier (2401.98) [+322.07] – Win%: 81.33
Elo Favorite (Modified): Daniel Cormier (2356.78) [+302.38] – Win%: 78.98
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Daniel Cormier 119, Derrick Lewis 28
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Daniel Cormier leads 2-1
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Middleweight (185)
[#7] Ronaldo Souza (25-6-0, +143) vs. [*] Chris Weidman (14-3-0, -174)
Ronaldo Souza is the All-Time #13 ranked Middleweight fighter.
Chris Weidman is the All-Time #2 ranked Middleweight and #14 ranked Absolute fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Ronaldo Souza (1-2-0)
2018-05-12: L vs. [#5MW] Kelvin Gastelum (15-3-0) via SD ()
2018-01-27: W vs. [#9MW] Derek Brunson (18-6-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:50 of round 1
2017-04-15: L vs. [#1MW/#7DD/#5P4P] Robert Whittaker (20-4-0) via TKO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:28 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Chris Weidman (1-2-0)
2017-07-22: W vs. [#5MW] Kelvin Gastelum (15-3-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:45 of round 3
2017-04-08: L vs. [#4MW] Gegard Mousasi (45-6-2) via TKO (Knees) in 3:13 of round 2
2016-11-12: L vs. [#3MW] Yoel Romero (13-3-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 0:24 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Chris Weidman – Win%: 60.67
Elo Favorite (Standard): Chris Weidman (2085.62) [+70.17] – Win%: 57.95
Elo Favorite (Modified): Chris Weidman (2099.14) [+6.34] – Win%: 50.69
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ronaldo Souza 175, Chris Weidman 469
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Even: Both have 2 win(s) against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#8] David Branch (22-4-0, -403) vs. [#69LHW] Jared Cannonier (10-4-0, +305)

Last 3 Fights: David Branch (2-1-0)
2018-04-21: W vs. [#11LHW] Thiago Santos (19-6-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 1
2017-09-16: L vs. [#6MW] Luke Rockhold (16-4-0) via TKO (Submission to Punches) in 4:05 of round 2
2017-05-13: W vs. [#19MW] Krzysztof Jotko (19-4-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Jared Cannonier (1-2-0)
2018-05-19: L vs. [#12LHW] Dominick Reyes (10-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:55 of round 1
2017-12-16: L vs. [#5LHW] Jan Blachowicz (23-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-07-07: W vs. [*] Nick Roehrick (7-1-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 2:08 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): David Branch – Win%: 76.44
Elo Favorite (Standard): David Branch (2097.74) [+635.87] – Win%: 94.81
Elo Favorite (Modified): David Branch (2044.58) [+558.54] – Win%: 92.02
Days Since Last Pro Fight: David Branch 196, Jared Cannonier 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#56] Jack Marshman (22-7-0, +218) vs. [#106] Karl Roberson (6-1-0, -273)

Last 3 Fights: Jack Marshman (1-2-0)
2017-10-28: L vs. [#12MW] Antonio Carlos Jr. (10-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:30 of round 1
2017-07-16: W vs. [#53MW] Ryan Janes (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-02-19: L vs. [#11LHW] Thiago Santos (19-6-0) via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches) in 2:21 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Karl Roberson (2-1-0)
2018-05-12: L vs. [#31MW] Cezar Ferreira (13-6-0) via Technical Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:45 of round 1
2017-11-11: W vs. [#40MW] Darren Stewart (9-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:41 of round 1
2017-07-25: W vs. [#42LHW] Ryan Spann (15-5-0) via KO (Elbows) in 0:15 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Karl Roberson – Win%: 69.94
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jack Marshman (1599.28) [+127.58] – Win%: 64.17
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jack Marshman (1624.30) [+61.96] – Win%: 56.74
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jack Marshman 371, Karl Roberson 175
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#9] Derek Brunson (18-6-0, +254) vs. [#13] Israel Adesanya (14-0-0, -327)
Derek Brunson is the All-Time #50 ranked Middleweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Derek Brunson (2-1-0)
2018-01-27: L vs. [#7MW] Ronaldo Souza (25-6-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:50 of round 1
2017-10-28: W vs. [#11MW] Lyoto Machida (24-8-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:30 of round 1
2017-06-10: W vs. [#29MW] Daniel Kelly (13-4-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:16 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Israel Adesanya (3-0-0)
2018-07-06: W vs. [#15MW] Brad Tavares (17-5-0) via UD (50-45, 50-45, 49-46)
2018-04-14: W vs. [#62MW] Marvin Vettori (12-4-1) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 28-29)
2018-02-10: W vs. [#195MW] Rob Wilkinson (11-2-0) via TKO (Knees and Punches) in 3:37 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Israel Adesanya – Win%: 73.05
Elo Favorite (Standard): Israel Adesanya (1906.73) [+4.27] – Win%: 50.49
Elo Favorite (Modified): Derek Brunson (1931.59) [+50.71] – Win%: 55.53
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Derek Brunson 280, Israel Adesanya 120
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#44] Jason Knight (20-5-0, -265) vs. [#243LW] Jordan Rinaldi (13-6-0, +212)

Last 3 Fights: Jason Knight (0-3-0)
2018-05-27: L vs. [#39FW] Makwan Amirkhani (14-3-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2017-12-09: L vs. [#25FW] Gabriel Benitez (21-6-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-27)
2017-07-29: L vs. [#14FW] Ricardo Lamas (18-7-0) via TKO in 4:34 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Jordan Rinaldi (1-2-0)
2018-01-27: L vs. [#40LW] Gregor Gillespie (12-0-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:46 of round 1
2017-08-05: W vs. [#1899LW] Alvaro Herrera (9-6-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 2:01 of round 1
2016-05-29: L vs. [#115LW] Abel Trujillo (14-8-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Jason Knight – Win%: 69.37
Elo Favorite (Standard): Jason Knight (1548.86) [+109.08] – Win%: 62.21
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jason Knight (1625.89) [+141.11] – Win%: 64.97
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jason Knight 160, Jordan Rinaldi 280
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#7] Sijara Eubanks (3-2-0, -494) vs. [#13] Roxanne Modafferi (22-14-0, +365)
Roxanne Modafferi is the All-Time #19 ranked Women’s fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Sijara Eubanks (2-1-0)
2018-06-01: W vs. [#33FLY] Lauren Murphy (10-4-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-01-14: L vs. [#5BW] Aspen Ladd (7-0-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2016-07-29: W vs. [NA] Amberlynn Orr (1-2-0) via TKO (Punches and Elbows) in 4:41 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Roxanne Modafferi (2-1-0)
2018-07-06: W vs. [#41FLY] Barb Honchak (10-4-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:32 of round 2
2017-12-01: L vs. [#4FLY] Nicco Montano (4-2-0) via UD (49-46, 49-46, 50-45)
2017-05-20: W vs. [*] Sarah DAlelio (11-7-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 1:37 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Sijara Eubanks – Win%: 79.44
Elo Favorite (Standard): Sijara Eubanks (1479.66) [+62.75] – Win%: 57.12
Elo Favorite (Modified): Sijara Eubanks (1502.08) [+48.32] – Win%: 55.27
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sijara Eubanks 155, Roxanne Modafferi 120
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#79] Julio Arce (15-2-0, -361) vs. [#84] Sheymon Moraes (10-2-0, +277)

Last 3 Fights: Julio Arce (3-0-0)
2018-06-01: W vs. [#436FW] Daniel Teymur (6-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:55 of round 3
2018-01-20: W vs. [#129FW] Dan Ige (9-2-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-08-08: W vs. [#459FW] Peter Petties (6-4-0) via TKO in 2:39 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Sheymon Moraes (2-1-0)
2018-08-04: W vs. [#237FW] Matt Sayles (7-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-11-25: L vs. [#30FW] Zabit Magomedsharipov (16-1-0) via Submission (Anaconda Choke) in 4:30 of round 3
2016-06-17: W vs. [#115FW] Luis Palomino (26-15-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Julio Arce – Win%: 74.69
Elo Favorite (Standard): Julio Arce (1692.61) [+30.96] – Win%: 53.53
Elo Favorite (Modified): Julio Arce (1740.75) [+78.62] – Win%: 58.52
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Julio Arce 155, Sheymon Moraes 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#63] Ben Saunders (22-10-2, +440) vs. [*] Lyman Good (19-4-0, -620)

Last 3 Fights: Ben Saunders (1-2-0)
2018-09-22: L vs. [#32WW] Sergio Moraes (14-3-1) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 4:35 of round 2
2018-06-01: W vs. [*] Jake Ellenberger (31-15-0) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 1:56 of round 1
2018-02-24: L vs. [#45WW] Alan Jouban (16-6-0) via KO (Punch) in 2:38 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Lyman Good (2-1-0)
2017-07-22: L vs. [#30WW] Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (20-5-0) via SD (30-27, 30-27, 28-29)
2015-07-15: W vs. [*] Andrew Craig (9-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:37 of round 2
2015-05-09: W vs. [#128MW] Nah-Shon Burrell (15-11-0) via SUB in 3:47 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Lyman Good – Win%: 82.29
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ben Saunders (1653.61) [+61.29] – Win%: 56.95
Elo Favorite (Modified): Lyman Good (1685.11) [+35.07] – Win%: 53.83
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ben Saunders 42, Lyman Good 469
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#112] Lando Vannata (9-3-1, -302) vs. [#351] Matt Frevola (6-1-0, +237)

Last 3 Fights: Lando Vannata (0-2-1)
2018-07-07: L vs. [#67LW] Drakkar Klose (9-1-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-10-07: D vs. [#47LW] Bobby Green (24-8-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3
2017-03-04: L vs. [#28LW] David Teymur (8-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Matt Frevola (2-1-0)
2018-01-14: L vs. [#142LW] Marco Polo Reyes (8-4-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:00 of round 1
2017-08-29: W vs. [#652LW] Jose Flores (7-1-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:32 of round 2
2017-01-21: W vs. [#234LW] Raush Manfio (11-3-0) via UD ()

Odds Favorite (Implied): Lando Vannata – Win%: 71.68
Elo Favorite (Standard): Lando Vannata (1453.34) [+62.60] – Win%: 57.10
Elo Favorite (Modified): Lando Vannata (1466.32) [+44.07] – Win%: 54.81
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lando Vannata 119, Matt Frevola 293
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#60] Shane Burgos (10-1-0, -306) vs. [#133] Kurt Holobaugh (17-5-0, +239)

Last 3 Fights: Shane Burgos (2-1-0)
2018-01-20: L vs. [#29FW] Calvin Kattar (19-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:32 of round 3
2017-07-22: W vs. [#233LW] Godofredo Castro (14-6-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 29-28)
2017-04-08: W vs. [*] Charles Rosa (11-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:59 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Kurt Holobaugh (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2018-07-14: L vs. [#38FW] Raoni Barcelos (12-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:29 of round 3
2017-07-11: NC vs. [#107FW] Matt Bessette (22-9-0)
2017-05-19: W vs. [#300LW] Gesias Cavalcante (21-12-1) via TKO (Punches) in 2:45 of round 4

Odds Favorite (Implied): Shane Burgos – Win%: 71.86
Elo Favorite (Standard): Shane Burgos (1650.76) [+61.40] – Win%: 56.97
Elo Favorite (Modified): Shane Burgos (1652.43) [+54.59] – Win%: 55.95
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Shane Burgos 287, Kurt Holobaugh 112
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#12] Brian Kelleher (19-9-0, +115) vs. [#130] Montel Jackson (6-1-0, -141)

Last 3 Fights: Brian Kelleher (2-1-0)
2018-05-12: L vs. [#4BW] John Lineker (31-8-0) via KO (Punch) in 3:43 of round 3
2018-02-24: W vs. [#57FW] Renan Barao (34-7-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-10-21: W vs. [#113BW] Damian Stasiak (10-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:39 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Montel Jackson (2-1-0)
2018-08-04: L vs. [#18BW] Ricky Simon (15-1-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2018-06-12: W vs. [#379BW] Rico DiSciullo (9-2-0) via TKO (Knee and Punches) in 2:15 of round 3
2018-03-10: W vs. [#719BW] Daron McCant (4-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 0:57 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Montel Jackson – Win%: 55.71
Elo Favorite (Standard): Brian Kelleher (1722.21) [+344.83] – Win%: 82.86
Elo Favorite (Modified): Brian Kelleher (1723.67) [+287.37] – Win%: 77.87
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Brian Kelleher 175, Montel Jackson 91
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#61] Adam Wieczorek (10-1-0, -244) vs. [*] Marcos Rogerio de Lima (15-5-1, +194)

Last 3 Fights: Adam Wieczorek (3-0-0)
2018-04-14: W vs. [#96HW+] Arjan Singh Bhullar (8-1-0) via Submission (Omoplata) in 1:59 of round 2
2017-11-18: W vs. [#83HW+] Anthony Hamilton (17-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2016-10-08: W vs. [#188LHW] Ernesto Papa (7-2-0) via SUB in of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Marcos Rogerio de Lima (1-2-0)
2017-04-22: L vs. [#16LHW] Ovince St. Preux (23-12-0) via Submission (Shoulder Choke) in 2:11 of round 2
2017-01-28: W vs. [#91LHW] Jeremy Kimball (15-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:27 of round 1
2016-11-19: L vs. [#56LHW] Gadzhimurad Antigulov (20-5-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:07 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Adam Wieczorek – Win%: 67.59
Elo Favorite (Standard): Adam Wieczorek (1602.93) [+76.68] – Win%: 58.67
Elo Favorite (Modified): Adam Wieczorek (1612.05) [+35.42] – Win%: 53.87
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Adam Wieczorek 203, Marcos Rogerio de Lima 560
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Daniel Cormier
Highest Stored DD Rating: Daniel Cormier
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Daniel Cormier vs. Derrick Lewis
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Daniel Cormier vs. Derrick Lewis
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Very Good [***½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Large [***½]
Run Date: 2018-11-1