Fight Matrix Program – Bellator 207: Mitrione vs. Bader (10-12-2018)

9 Oct , 2018,
jcs
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Heavyweight (265)
[#5] Ryan Bader (25-5-0, -267) vs. [#13] Matt Mitrione (13-5-0, +214)

Last 3 Fights: Ryan Bader (3-0-0)
2018-05-12: W vs. [#17HW+] Muhammed Lawal (21-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:15 of round 1
2017-11-03: W vs. [#9LHW] Linton Vassell (18-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:58 of round 2
2017-06-24: W vs. [#1LHW] Phil Davis (19-4-0) via SD (49-46, 49-46, 47-48)

Last 3 Fights: Matt Mitrione (3-0-0)
2018-02-16: W vs. [#19HW+] Roy Nelson (23-15-0) via MD (28-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-06-24: W vs. [#26HW+] Fedor Emelianenko (37-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:14 of round 1
2016-07-16: W vs. [#74HW+] Oli Thompson (18-10-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:21 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Ryan Bader – Win%: 69.55
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ryan Bader (2239.18) [+335.29] – Win%: 82.23
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ryan Bader (2174.67) [+288.64] – Win%: 77.96
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ryan Bader 153, Matt Mitrione 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Heavyweight (265)
[#19] Roy Nelson (23-15-0) vs. [#30] Sergei Kharitonov (28-7-0)
Sergei Kharitonov is the All-Time #47 ranked Heavyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Roy Nelson (1-2-0)
2018-02-16: L vs. [#13HW+] Matt Mitrione (13-5-0) via MD (28-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-09-23: W vs. [#46HW+] Javy Ayala (10-7-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-26)
2017-04-15: L vs. [#8HW+] Alexander Volkov (30-7-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Sergei Kharitonov (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2018-05-24: NC vs. [#104HW+] Anton Vyazigin (11-2-0)
2018-02-25: W vs. [#162HW+] Joey Beltran (17-15-0) via UD ()
2017-07-22: W vs. [#41HW+] Geronimo dos Santos (41-20-1) via SUB in 2:13 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Sergei Kharitonov (1798.45) [+146.13] – Win%: 66.10
Elo Favorite (Modified): Sergei Kharitonov (1821.22) [+78.29] – Win%: 58.49
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Roy Nelson 238, Sergei Kharitonov 141
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: Sergei Kharitonov leads 3-2
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Lightweight (155)
[#1023] Kevin Ferguson Jr. (3-1-0) vs. [NA] Corey Browning (3-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Kevin Ferguson Jr. (3-0-0)
2018-04-13: W vs. [#1859WW] Devon Brock (1-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 0:34 of round 1
2017-11-10: W vs. [NA] Fred Freeman (2-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:57 of round 1
2017-05-19: W vs. [NA] Darryal Griffin (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:40 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Corey Browning (1-2-0)
2018-06-16: L vs. [#906LW] Michael McDonald (5-3-0) via SUB in of round 2
2016-04-29: L vs. [*] Aaron Hall (3-5-0) via SUB in of round 1
2016-02-13: W vs. [NA] Randy Stamey (2-3-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 2:19 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kevin Ferguson Jr. 182, Corey Browning 118
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#208] Carrington Banks (7-1-0) vs. [#351] Mandel Nallo (6-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Carrington Banks (2-1-0)
2018-05-12: L vs. [#74LW] Adam Piccolotti (11-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:41 of round 3
2017-10-06: W vs. [#374LW] Steve Kozola (9-2-0) via UD (30-25, 30-25, 30-27)
2016-11-19: W vs. [*] Jake Roberts (7-2-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Mandel Nallo (3-0-0)
2017-12-01: W vs. [#1347LW] Alec Williams (6-2-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 0:18 of round 1
2016-04-23: W vs. [#1261LW] Shawn Wallace (7-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:38 of round 1
2015-10-24: W vs. [#1169WW] Jose Rodriguez (7-7-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:49 of round 2

Elo Favorite (Standard): Carrington Banks (1456.71) [+52.96] – Win%: 56.02
Elo Favorite (Modified): Carrington Banks (1521.28) [+55.94] – Win%: 56.09
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Carrington Banks 153, Mandel Nallo 315
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#19] Lorenz Larkin (19-7-0) vs. [#155] Ion Pascu (18-8-0)

Last 3 Fights: Lorenz Larkin (1-2-0)
2018-01-26: W vs. [#46MW] Fernando Gonzalez (27-16-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-09-23: L vs. [#22WW] Paul Daley (40-16-2) via KO (Punches) in 2:40 of round 2
2017-06-24: L vs. [#11WW] Douglas Lima (30-7-0) via UD (50-45, 48-47, 48-47)

Last 3 Fights: Ion Pascu (2-1-0)
2018-05-12: W vs. [#162WW] Alex Lohore (15-3-0) via UD ()
2018-04-06: L vs. [#131WW] Ed Ruth (6-0-0) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-11-10: W vs. [#431WW] Omar Jesus Santana (13-5-0) via SD ()

Elo Favorite (Standard): Lorenz Larkin (1841.61) [+349.00] – Win%: 83.13
Elo Favorite (Modified): Lorenz Larkin (1850.11) [+341.61] – Win%: 81.69
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lorenz Larkin 259, Ion Pascu 153
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#1160] Mike Kimbel (1-0-0) vs. [#1955FW] Alex Potts (1-0-0)

Last 3 Fights: Mike Kimbel (1-0-0)
2018-02-16: W vs. [NA] Geoffrey Then (1-2-0) via TKO (Slam and Punches) in 1:03 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Alex Potts (1-0-0)
2017-08-25: W vs. [NA] Brandon Polcare (1-2-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 3:10 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Mike Kimbel (1090.97) [+12.97] – Win%: 51.48
Elo Favorite (Modified): Mike Kimbel (1166.33) [+50.71] – Win%: 55.53
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Mike Kimbel 238, Alex Potts 413
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#329] Sean Lally (8-3-0) vs. [#683] Kemran Lachinov (6-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Sean Lally (2-1-0)
2018-06-12: L vs. [#79WW] Chris Curtis (19-5-0) via TKO (Hook Kick and Punches) in 1:37 of round 3
2018-01-27: W vs. [#401HW+] Avery McPhatter (9-11-0) via TKO (Shoulder Injury) in 4:56 of round 1
2017-08-12: W vs. [#401HW+] Avery McPhatter (9-11-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Kemran Lachinov (3-0-0)
2018-02-03: W vs. [#1794LW] C.J. Ewer (3-2-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 3:01 of round 1
2017-11-11: W vs. [NA] Gil Pinheiro (0-2-0) via UD ()
2017-04-21: W vs. [*] Sam Watford (2-2-0) via SD ()

Elo Favorite (Standard): Sean Lally (1318.16) [+45.21] – Win%: 55.15
Elo Favorite (Modified): Sean Lally (1338.17) [+58.47] – Win%: 56.36
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sean Lally 122, Kemran Lachinov 251
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#814MW] Pat Casey (3-0-0) vs. [#1455] Kastriot Xhema (2-1-0)

Last 3 Fights: Pat Casey (3-0-0)
2018-06-16: W vs. [NA] Jesus Cintron (0-1-0) via SUB in 0:22 of round 1
2018-04-06: W vs. [NA] Ryan Castro (0-1-0) via UD ()
2018-02-16: W vs. [NA] Tyler Hamilton (1-1-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Kastriot Xhema (1-1-0, 1 NC)
2018-02-16: W vs. [NA] Peter Nascimento (0-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:52 of round 1
2017-11-11: NC vs. [NA] Keenan Raymond (3-6-0)
2017-08-25: L vs. [#658MW] Tom Regal (2-1-0) via KO (Punches) in 3:21 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Pat Casey (1202.87) [+89.39] – Win%: 60.07
Elo Favorite (Modified): Pat Casey (1287.80) [+99.12] – Win%: 60.68
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Pat Casey 118, Kastriot Xhema 238
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Featherweight (145)
[#14] Sinead Kavanagh (5-2-0) vs. [#53] Janay Harding (3-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Sinead Kavanagh (1-2-0)
2017-11-10: W vs. [#57FW] Maria Casanova (3-6-1) via TKO (Punches) in 0:34 of round 1
2017-08-25: L vs. [#4FW] Arlene Blencowe (11-7-0) via SD (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-02-24: L vs. [#16BW] Iony Razafiarison (3-1-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Janay Harding (1-2-0)
2018-05-12: L vs. [#24FW] Amber Leibrock (3-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)
2017-05-31: W vs. [#95BW] Ramona Pascual (3-2-0) via TKO (Punches) in ? of round 2
2017-01-28: L vs. [#4FW] Arlene Blencowe (11-7-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:08 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Sinead Kavanagh (1189.04) [+161.94] – Win%: 67.70
Elo Favorite (Modified): Sinead Kavanagh (1296.62) [+205.72] – Win%: 71.10
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Sinead Kavanagh 336, Janay Harding 153
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#1679] Alex Ortiz (1-0-0) vs. [NA] Nick Giulietti (DEBUT)

Last 3 Fights: Alex Ortiz (1-0-0)
2018-06-16: W vs. [NA] Mike Taylor (0-2-0) via TKO in 0:29 of round 1

Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#214] Lisa Blaine (2-2-0) vs. [NA] Alexandra Ballou (DEBUT)

Last 3 Fights: Lisa Blaine (1-2-0)
2018-06-16: L vs. [#89FLY] Hannah Goldy (3-0-0) via UD ()
2018-03-10: L vs. [#127FLY] Destiny Quinones (1-0-0) via UD ()
2017-10-20: W vs. [#215FLY] Ana Julaton (2-4-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (177)
[*] Andre Fialho (9-1-0) vs. [#369] Javier Torres (10-4-0)

Last 3 Fights: Andre Fialho (2-1-0)
2017-07-14: W vs. [#187WW] A.J. Matthews (9-8-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2016-12-03: L vs. [#38MW] Chidi Njokuani (18-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:21 of round 1
2016-05-14: W vs. [*] Rick Reger (7-2-0) via KO (Punches) in 2:11 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Javier Torres (2-1-0)
2018-04-28: L vs. [#117WW] Neiman Gracie (8-0-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 3:18 of round 2
2016-05-14: W vs. [#892WW] Julio Cesar Cruz (12-11-0) via UD ()
2015-09-19: W vs. [#422WW] Julian Lane (12-9-1) via SD ()

Elo Favorite (Standard): Andre Fialho (1512.13) [+188.41] – Win%: 70.28
Elo Favorite (Modified): Andre Fialho (1504.31) [+178.58] – Win%: 68.61
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andre Fialho 455, Javier Torres 167
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#189] Kristi Lopez (2-0-1) vs. [NA] Sarah Click (1-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Kristi Lopez (2-0-1)
2017-08-25: D vs. [NA] Jessica Sotack (1-1-1) via Draw (Split) in 5:00 of round 3
2014-07-19: W vs. [NA] Katie Castro (0-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:26 of round 1
2014-01-18: W vs. [NA] Tyra Parker (4-5-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Sarah Click (1-2-0)
2017-01-27: L vs. [*] Maria Rivera (2-0-0) via TKO in 2:40 of round 1
2016-11-05: W vs. [NA] Ronni Nanney (2-8-0) via SD ()
2016-03-11: L vs. [*] Ashley Greenway (1-1-0) via UD (30-26, 29-28, 29-28)

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Kristi Lopez 413, Sarah Click 623
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#360] Tim Caron (9-2-0) vs. [#625WW] Vinicius de Jesus (5-2-0)

Last 3 Fights: Tim Caron (2-1-0)
2018-06-26: L vs. [#164MW] Jordan Williams (8-2-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 3:37 of round 3
2018-02-02: W vs. [#296LHW] Timothy Woods (7-7-0) via KO (Slam) in 1:23 of round 1
2017-11-18: W vs. [#746MW] Mitch Whitesel (17-29-0) via SUB in of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Vinicius de Jesus (2-1-0)
2017-10-20: L vs. [#299WW] Joaquin Buckley (8-2-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2016-11-04: W vs. [*] James Boran (6-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:55 of round 2
2016-07-30: W vs. [NA] Montoyia Swilling (0-12-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:39 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Vinicius de Jesus (1265.32) [+28.83] – Win%: 53.29
Elo Favorite (Modified): Vinicius de Jesus (1397.08) [+80.95] – Win%: 58.77
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Tim Caron 108, Vinicius de Jesus 357
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.
 



Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Ryan Bader
Highest Stored DD Rating: Ryan Bader
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Ryan Bader vs. Matt Mitrione
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Ryan Bader vs. Matt Mitrione
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Low [*½]
Run Date: 2018-10-9


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