Fight Matrix Program – UFC Fight Night 135: Gaethje vs. Vick (08-25-2018)

19 Aug , 2018,
jcs
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Lightweight (155)
[#14] Justin Gaethje (18-2-0, +130) vs. [#16] James Vick (13-1-0, -157)
Justin Gaethje is the All-Time #40 ranked Lightweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Justin Gaethje (1-2-0)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#1LW/#7DD/#10P4P] Dustin Poirier (24-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:33 of round 4
2017-12-02: L vs. [#4LW] Eddie Alvarez (29-6-0) via KO (Knee) in 3:59 of round 3
2017-07-07: W vs. [#35FW] Michael Johnson (17-13-0) via TKO (Punches and Knees) in 4:48 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: James Vick (3-0-0)
2018-02-18: W vs. [#19LW] Francisco Trinaldo (22-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-11-04: W vs. [#74LW] Joseph Duffy (16-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:59 of round 2
2017-05-13: W vs. [#138LW] Marco Polo Reyes (8-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:39 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): James Vick – Win%: 58.42
Elo Favorite (Standard): James Vick (2007.95) [+87.68] – Win%: 59.88
Elo Favorite (Modified): James Vick (1967.94) [+85.42] – Win%: 59.24
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Justin Gaethje 133, James Vick 188
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Featherweight (145)
[#27] Andre Fili (18-5-0, +121) vs. [#35] Michael Johnson (17-13-0, -147)

Last 3 Fights: Andre Fili (2-1-0)
2018-01-27: W vs. [#40FW] Dennis Bermudez (16-9-0) via SD (29-28, 29-28, 27-30)
2017-10-21: W vs. [#97FW] Artem Lobov (13-14-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-07-29: L vs. [#38FW] Calvin Kattar (18-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Michael Johnson (0-3-0)
2018-01-14: L vs. [#12FW] Darren Elkins (24-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:22 of round 2
2017-07-07: L vs. [#14LW] Justin Gaethje (18-2-0) via TKO (Punches and Knees) in 4:48 of round 2
2016-11-12: L vs. [#3LW] Khabib Nurmagomedov (26-0-0) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:31 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): Michael Johnson – Win%: 56.80
Elo Favorite (Standard): Andre Fili (1756.34) [+1.39] – Win%: 50.16
Elo Favorite (Modified): Michael Johnson (1748.14) [+44.04] – Win%: 54.81
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Andre Fili 210, Michael Johnson 223
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Strawweight (115)
[#12] Angela Hill (8-4-0, -144) vs. [#21] Cortney Casey-Sanchez (7-6-0, +119)

Last 3 Fights: Angela Hill (2-1-0)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#29SW] Maryna Moroz (8-3-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-11-11: L vs. [#10SW] Nina Ansaroff (9-5-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-07-07: W vs. [#59SW] Ashley Yoder (5-4-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Cortney Casey-Sanchez (1-2-0)
2018-04-14: L vs. [#19SW] Michelle Waterson (15-6-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-12-02: L vs. [#13SW] Felice Herrig (14-7-0) via SD (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-05-13: W vs. [#24SW] Jessica Aguilar (20-6-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Angela Hill – Win%: 56.38
Elo Favorite (Standard): Angela Hill (1450.81) [+126.44] – Win%: 64.05
Elo Favorite (Modified): Cortney Casey-Sanchez (1452.81) [+13.17] – Win%: 51.44
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Angela Hill 182, Cortney Casey-Sanchez 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#73] Bryan Barberena (13-5-0, -495) vs. [#77] Jake Ellenberger (31-14-0, +362)
Jake Ellenberger is the All-Time #24 ranked Welterweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Bryan Barberena (1-2-0)
2017-09-02: L vs. [#13WW] Leon Edwards (16-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-04-22: W vs. [*] Joe Proctor (11-5-0) via TKO (Punches and Knees) in 3:30 of round 1
2016-12-17: L vs. [#2WW] Colby Covington (14-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Jake Ellenberger (0-3-0)
2018-06-01: L vs. [#45WW] Ben Saunders (22-9-2) via KO (Knee to the Body) in 1:56 of round 1
2017-04-22: L vs. [#23WW] Mike Perry (12-3-0) via KO (Elbow) in 1:05 of round 2
2016-12-03: L vs. [#9WW] Jorge Masvidal (32-13-0) via TKO in 4:05 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Bryan Barberena – Win%: 79.34
Elo Favorite (Standard): Bryan Barberena (1642.09) [+104.42] – Win%: 61.71
Elo Favorite (Modified): Bryan Barberena (1656.70) [+87.92] – Win%: 59.51
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bryan Barberena 357, Jake Ellenberger 85
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#73] Markus Perez (10-1-0, -123) vs. [#83] Andrew Sanchez (8-4-0, -102)

Last 3 Fights: Markus Perez (2-1-0)
2018-05-12: W vs. [#257MW] James Bochnovic (8-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:28 of round 1
2017-12-09: L vs. [#33MW] Eryk Anders (10-1-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 29-28)
2017-09-08: W vs. [#74MW] Ian Heinisch (11-1-0) via SUB in 2:14 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Andrew Sanchez (1-2-0)
2017-12-01: L vs. [#56MW] Ryan Janes (10-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:58 of round 3
2017-04-15: L vs. [#6LHW] Anthony Smith (30-13-0) via KO (Head Kick and Punches) in 3:52 of round 3
2016-12-09: W vs. [#46MW] Trevor Smith (15-8-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Markus Perez – Win%: 52.20
Elo Favorite (Standard): Markus Perez (1571.14) [+42.39] – Win%: 54.83
Elo Favorite (Modified): Markus Perez (1602.93) [+5.83] – Win%: 50.64
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Markus Perez 105, Andrew Sanchez 267
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Middleweight (185)
[#33] Eryk Anders (10-1-0, -894) vs. [#109] Tim Williams (15-4-0, +569)

Last 3 Fights: Eryk Anders (2-1-0)
2018-02-03: L vs. [#12MW] Lyoto Machida (24-8-0) via SD (48-47, 47-48, 48-47)
2017-12-09: W vs. [#73MW] Markus Perez (10-1-0) via UD (30-25, 30-26, 29-28)
2017-07-22: W vs. [*] Rafael Natal (21-9-1) via KO (Punches) in 2:54 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tim Williams (2-1-0)
2018-02-18: L vs. [#66MW] Oskar Piechota (11-1-1) via KO (Punches) in 1:54 of round 1
2017-02-18: W vs. [#147HW+] Jay Silva (11-12-1) via UD ()
2016-11-18: W vs. [#194MW] Muhammad Abdullah (10-4-0) via Submission (Armbar) in 1:50 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Eryk Anders – Win%: 85.74
Elo Favorite (Standard): Eryk Anders (1618.10) [+90.29] – Win%: 60.17
Elo Favorite (Modified): Eryk Anders (1690.52) [+163.39] – Win%: 67.15
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Eryk Anders 203, Tim Williams 188
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#64] Warlley Alves (12-2-0, -488) vs. [#66] James Krause (25-7-0, +357)

Last 3 Fights: Warlley Alves (2-1-0)
2018-05-12: W vs. [#186WW] Sultan Aliev (14-3-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2
2017-10-21: W vs. [#274WW] Salim Touahri (10-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2016-11-19: L vs. [#6WW] Kamaru Usman (13-1-0) via UD (30-26, 29-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: James Krause (3-0-0)
2018-01-14: W vs. [#110LW] Alex White (12-4-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-07-07: W vs. [#166WW] Tom Gallicchio (19-10-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
2016-02-21: W vs. [#76LW] Shane Campbell (16-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Warlley Alves – Win%: 79.13
Elo Favorite (Standard): Warlley Alves (1773.49) [+31.68] – Win%: 53.61
Elo Favorite (Modified): James Krause (1775.61) [+18.07] – Win%: 51.98
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Warlley Alves 105, James Krause 223
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#14] Iuri Alcantara (35-9-0, +214) vs. [#122FW] Cory Sandhagen (8-1-0, -266)
Iuri Alcantara is the All-Time #46 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Iuri Alcantara (1-2-0)
2018-02-03: W vs. [#45BW] Joe Soto (18-7-0) via TKO (Kick to the Body and Punches) in 1:06 of round 1
2017-12-09: L vs. [#12BW] Alejandro Perez (21-6-1) via UD (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-06-03: L vs. [#13BW] Brian Kelleher (19-9-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:48 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Cory Sandhagen (3-0-0)
2018-01-27: W vs. [#442FW] Austin Arnett (15-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:48 of round 2
2018-01-19: W vs. [#1892FW] Jose Aguayo (2-2-0) via TKO (Knee & Punches) in 1:07 of round 1
2017-10-13: W vs. [#362FW] Luiz Antonio Lobo Gavinho (6-4-0) via TKO (Punches) in 3:00 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Cory Sandhagen – Win%: 69.53
Elo Favorite (Standard): Iuri Alcantara (1680.49) [+151.29] – Win%: 66.62
Elo Favorite (Modified): Iuri Alcantara (1679.54) [+93.14] – Win%: 60.05
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Iuri Alcantara 203, Cory Sandhagen 210
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Flyweight (125)
[#8] John Moraga (19-6-0, +122) vs. [#13] Deiveson Figueiredo (14-0-0, -149)
John Moraga is the All-Time #16 ranked Flyweight fighter.
Deiveson Figueiredo is the All-Time #50 ranked Flyweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: John Moraga (3-0-0)
2018-04-14: W vs. [#16FLY] Wilson Reis (22-9-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-10-07: W vs. [#24FLY] Magomed Bibulatov (14-1-0) via KO (Punch) in 1:38 of round 1
2017-06-10: W vs. [#271FLY] Ashkan Mokhtarian (13-3-0) via UD (30-25, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Deiveson Figueiredo (3-0-0)
2018-02-03: W vs. [#47FLY] Joseph Morales (9-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:34 of round 2
2017-10-28: W vs. [#54FLY] Jarred Brooks (13-2-0) via SD (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-06-03: W vs. [#171FLY] Marco Beltran (9-6-0) via TKO (Corner Stoppage) in 5:00 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Deiveson Figueiredo – Win%: 57.05
Elo Favorite (Standard): Deiveson Figueiredo (1794.20) [+32.71] – Win%: 53.73
Elo Favorite (Modified): John Moraga (1781.18) [+31.18] – Win%: 53.41
Days Since Last Pro Fight: John Moraga 133, Deiveson Figueiredo 203
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Bantamweight (135)
[#18] Rani Yahya (25-9-0, -120) vs. [#61] Luke Sanders (12-2-0, -104)
Rani Yahya is the All-Time #25 ranked Bantamweight fighter.

Last 3 Fights: Rani Yahya (2-1-0)
2018-02-24: W vs. [#81BW] Russell Doane (15-8-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:32 of round 3
2017-08-05: W vs. [#432BW] Enrique Briones (16-8-1) via Submission (Kimura) in 2:01 of round 1
2017-03-11: L vs. [#45BW] Joe Soto (18-7-0) via UD (29-27, 29-27, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Luke Sanders (1-2-0)
2018-04-14: W vs. [#332BW] Patrick Williams (8-6-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)
2017-12-09: L vs. [#60BW] Andre Soukhamthath (12-6-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:06 of round 2
2017-03-04: L vs. [#14BW] Iuri Alcantara (35-9-0) via Submission (Kneebar) in 3:13 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Rani Yahya – Win%: 51.69
Elo Favorite (Standard): Rani Yahya (1730.73) [+172.71] – Win%: 68.76
Elo Favorite (Modified): Rani Yahya (1754.04) [+154.90] – Win%: 66.33
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Rani Yahya 182, Luke Sanders 133
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Women Flyweight (125)
[#35] Joanne Calderwood (11-3-0, -164) vs. [#43] Kalindra Faria (18-7-1, +137)

Last 3 Fights: Joanne Calderwood (1-2-0)
2017-07-16: L vs. [#20SW] Cynthia Calvillo (6-1-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
2016-09-10: L vs. [#2SW/#5DD/#4P4P] Jessica Andrade (18-6-0) via SUB in 4:38 of round 1
2016-06-18: W vs. [#15FLY] Valerie Letourneau (10-6-0) via TKO (Body Kick and Punches) in 2:51 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Kalindra Faria (1-2-0)
2018-01-14: L vs. [#9FLY] Jessica Eye (13-6-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2017-10-07: L vs. [#23FLY] Mara Romero Borella (12-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:54 of round 1
2016-09-09: W vs. [#58BW] Carina Damm (23-15-0) via UD (50-45, 49-46, 49-45)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Joanne Calderwood – Win%: 59.55
Elo Favorite (Standard): Joanne Calderwood (1339.03) [+97.51] – Win%: 60.96
Elo Favorite (Modified): Joanne Calderwood (1392.34) [+25.09] – Win%: 52.74
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Joanne Calderwood 405, Kalindra Faria 223
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Lightweight (155)
[#53] Drew Dober (19-8-0, -197) vs. [#106] Jon Tuck (10-4-0, +161)

Last 3 Fights: Drew Dober (2-1-0)
2018-01-27: W vs. [#272WW] Frank Camacho (22-6-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
2017-07-29: W vs. [#309WW] Joshua Burkman (28-17-0) via TKO in 3:04 of round 1
2016-12-10: L vs. [#23LW] Olivier Aubin-Mercier (11-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:57 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Jon Tuck (1-2-0)
2017-06-17: W vs. [#130LW] Takanori Gomi (36-15-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:12 of round 1
2016-11-26: L vs. [#279LW] Damien Brown (17-12-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2016-05-08: L vs. [#10FW] Josh Emmett (13-2-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Odds Favorite (Implied): Drew Dober – Win%: 63.38
Elo Favorite (Standard): Drew Dober (1654.21) [+186.23] – Win%: 70.07
Elo Favorite (Modified): Drew Dober (1673.20) [+95.11] – Win%: 60.26
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Drew Dober 210, Jon Tuck 434
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Welterweight (170)
[#334] George Sullivan (17-6-0, +262) vs. [#335] Mickey Gall (4-1-0, -339)

Last 3 Fights: George Sullivan (1-2-0)
2018-01-27: L vs. [#52WW] Niko Price (12-1-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:21 of round 2
2016-01-30: L vs. [*] Alexander Yakovlev (23-8-1) via KO (Punch) in 3:59 of round 1
2015-07-12: W vs. [#348WW] Dominic Waters (10-6-0) via UD (29-27, 30-25, 29-28)

Last 3 Fights: Mickey Gall (2-1-0)
2017-11-04: L vs. [#152WW] Randy Brown (10-3-0) via UD (29-28, 29-27, 29-28)
2016-12-17: W vs. [#96WW] Sage Northcutt (11-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:40 of round 2
2016-09-10: W vs. [NA] Phil Brooks (0-2-0) via SUB in 2:14 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Mickey Gall – Win%: 73.65
Elo Favorite (Standard): George Sullivan (1529.91) [+234.11] – Win%: 74.45
Elo Favorite (Modified): George Sullivan (1561.34) [+203.27] – Win%: 70.89
Days Since Last Pro Fight: George Sullivan 210, Mickey Gall 294
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
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Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Justin Gaethje
Highest Stored DD Rating: John Moraga
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Justin Gaethje vs. James Vick
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: John Moraga vs. Deiveson Figueiredo
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Outstanding [****½]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Moderate [***]
Run Date: 2018-8-19


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