Fight Matrix Program – Bellator 204 (08-17-2018)

Featherweight (146)
[#5BW] Darrion Caldwell (12-1-0, 145.2lb, -574) vs. [#97] Noad Lahat (12-3-0, 146.0lb, +391)

Last 3 Fights: Darrion Caldwell (3-0-0)
2018-03-02: W vs. [#18BW] Leandro Higo (18-4-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 2:36 of round 1
2017-10-06: W vs. [#16BW] Eduardo Dantas (20-6-0) via UD (50-45, 48-47, 48-47)
2016-12-03: W vs. [#17BW] Joe Taimanglo (24-8-1) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Last 3 Fights: Noad Lahat (2-1-0)
2017-11-16: W vs. [#263FW] Jeremiah Labiano (11-6-0) via UD ()
2017-08-25: L vs. [#29FW] Henry Corrales (15-3-0) via UD (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)
2017-03-31: W vs. [*] Lloyd Carter (11-9-0) via Technical Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:50 of round 2

Odds Favorite (Implied): Darrion Caldwell – Win%: 80.69
Elo Favorite (Standard): Darrion Caldwell (1913.75) [+374.73] – Win%: 84.71
Elo Favorite (Modified): Darrion Caldwell (1903.66) [+333.29] – Win%: 81.14
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Darrion Caldwell 168, Noad Lahat 274
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#121] A.J. Matthews (9-7-0, 169.0lb, +594) vs. [#159] Logan Storley (8-0-0, 170.2lb, -996)

Last 3 Fights: A.J. Matthews (1-2-0)
2018-01-26: W vs. [#53MW] Kendall Grove (23-18-0) via SD (29-28, 30-27, 28-29)
2017-07-14: L vs. [#270WW] Andre Fialho (9-1-0) via SD (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
2016-10-21: L vs. [#94MW] Hisaki Kato (8-3-0) via TKO in of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Logan Storley (3-0-0)
2018-04-13: W vs. [#296WW] Joaquin Buckley (8-2-0) via UD (30-26, 30-27, 30-26)
2017-11-03: W vs. [#217MW] Matt Secor (10-5-0) via UD (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
2017-07-14: W vs. [#1279WW] Kemmyelle Haley (7-7-0) via TKO (Elbows) in 1:44 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Logan Storley – Win%: 86.31
Elo Favorite (Standard): Logan Storley (1525.66) [+140.38] – Win%: 65.51
Elo Favorite (Modified): Logan Storley (1545.35) [+122.26] – Win%: 63.07
Days Since Last Pro Fight: A.J. Matthews 203, Logan Storley 126
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Bantamweight (135)
[#108] Ricky Bandejas (10-1-0, 135.4lb, +151) vs. [#424FW] James Gallagher (7-0-0, 135.4lb, -184)

Last 3 Fights: Ricky Bandejas (3-0-0)
2017-12-16: W vs. [#360BW] Nick Mamalis (29-13-0) via KO (Punch) in 4:07 of round 4
2017-08-05: W vs. [#839BW] Giorgi Kudukhashvili (3-1-0) via TKO (Shoulder Injury) in 5:00 of round 1
2016-10-29: W vs. [#878BW] Miguel Restrepo (5-5-1) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: James Gallagher (3-0-0)
2017-06-24: W vs. [#1039FW] Chinzo Machida (5-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:22 of round 1
2017-02-24: W vs. [#987BW] Kirill Medvedovsky (11-6-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:53 of round 1
2016-12-16: W vs. [#1525FW] Anthony Taylor (4-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 1:52 of round 3

Odds Favorite (Implied): James Gallagher – Win%: 61.92
Elo Favorite (Standard): Ricky Bandejas (1563.78) [+144.79] – Win%: 65.96
Elo Favorite (Modified): Ricky Bandejas (1623.04) [+166.03] – Win%: 67.41
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Ricky Bandejas 244, James Gallagher 419
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Featherweight (148)
[#1123] Cris Williams (7-1-0, 148.4lb, +270) vs. [#1303] Tywan Claxton (2-0-0, 145.8lb, -356)

Last 3 Fights: Cris Williams (2-1-0)
2018-03-02: L vs. [#990FW] Daniel Carey (6-2-0) via UD (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
2017-12-01: W vs. [NA] Thomas Lopez (1-4-0) via Submission (Triangle Choke) in 1:39 of round 1
2017-07-22: W vs. [#1540BW] Dylan Atkinson (4-5-0) via SUB in 1:34 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tywan Claxton (2-0-0)
2018-02-16: W vs. [NA] Jose Antonio Perez (0-2-0) via TKO (Elbows and Punches) in 3:39 of round 2
2017-11-03: W vs. [#2108FW] Jonny Bonilla-Bowman (1-1-0) via KO (Flying Knee) in 1:29 of round 1

Odds Favorite (Implied): Tywan Claxton – Win%: 74.28
Elo Favorite (Standard): Cris Williams (1192.02) [+43.03] – Win%: 54.90
Elo Favorite (Modified): Cris Williams (1254.18) [+47.95] – Win%: 55.23
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Cris Williams 168, Tywan Claxton 182
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#223] David Michaud (12-4-0, 170.4lb) vs. [#845] Corey Davis (3-0-0, 170.2lb)

Last 3 Fights: David Michaud (2-1-0)
2017-10-28: W vs. [#989WW] Tyler Milner (8-5-0) via SUB in 2:01 of round 1
2017-08-18: L vs. [#82WW] Ciro Rodrigues (22-8-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:57 of round 1
2017-04-29: W vs. [#382WW] Jake Lindsey (12-8-0) via TKO (Knee Injury) in 1:14 of round 3

Last 3 Fights: Corey Davis (3-0-0)
2017-09-29: W vs. [NA] Jon Kennedy (8-29-0) via SUB in 2:16 of round 1
2017-04-14: W vs. [#1261WW] Kenny Licea (4-5-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:58 of round 1
2016-12-09: W vs. [NA] Lucas Dias (0-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 1:50 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): David Michaud (1452.77) [+269.68] – Win%: 77.42
Elo Favorite (Modified): David Michaud (1502.50) [+239.05] – Win%: 74.01
Days Since Last Pro Fight: David Michaud 293, Corey Davis 322
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (171)
[#161] Jason Jackson (7-3-0, 171.0lb) vs. [#276] Jordon Larson (9-4-0, 170.2lb)

Last 3 Fights: Jason Jackson (2-1-0)
2017-07-25: L vs. [#125WW] Kyle Stewart (10-1-0) via TKO (Ankle Injury) in 0:21 of round 2
2016-12-02: W vs. [#115WW] Dhiego Lima (12-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:10 of round 1
2016-09-09: W vs. [#111WW] Rodrigo Cavalheiro Correi (22-7-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Jordon Larson (2-1-0)
2018-04-20: W vs. [#559WW] Darrius Flowers (5-2-1) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:50 of round 3
2017-10-20: L vs. [#156WW] Kassius Holdorf (11-5-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:46 of round 2
2017-04-29: W vs. [#118WW] Dakota Cochrane (33-12-0) via DQ (Knee to Head of Grounded Fighter) in 1:15 of round 2

Elo Favorite (Standard): Jason Jackson (1463.83) [+120.45] – Win%: 63.42
Elo Favorite (Modified): Jason Jackson (1484.23) [+174.49] – Win%: 68.22
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Jason Jackson 388, Jordon Larson 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#181] Bryce Logan (9-2-0, 155.6lb) vs. [#597] Demarques Jackson (8-2-0, 155.6lb)

Last 3 Fights: Bryce Logan (3-0-0)
2018-04-20: W vs. [#502LW] Dakota Bush (5-1-0) via UD ()
2017-12-16: W vs. [#587LW] Josh Pfeifer (6-5-0) via UD ()
2017-07-22: W vs. [#246LW] Cody Carrillo (14-18-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Demarques Jackson (2-1-0)
2018-04-20: W vs. [#891LW] Hamilton Ash (6-5-0) via KO (Punches) in 1:48 of round 1
2017-12-15: L vs. [#596LW] Beibit Nazarov (15-3-0) via SD ()
2017-08-18: W vs. [#1047WW] Luciano Dos Santos (10-10-0) via Submission (Arm Triangle Choke) in 2:33 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Bryce Logan (1487.78) [+125.34] – Win%: 63.94
Elo Favorite (Modified): Bryce Logan (1485.86) [+49.66] – Win%: 55.41
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Bryce Logan 119, Demarques Jackson 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#1168] Troy Nawrocki (3-0-0, 155.4lb) vs. [*] Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer (5-0-0, 155.8lb)

Last 3 Fights: Troy Nawrocki (3-0-0)
2017-12-16: W vs. [#2037LW] Tower Robinson (1-1-0) via UD ()
2017-07-22: W vs. [NA] Jaime Medina (2-2-0) via UD ()
2016-06-04: W vs. [NA] Nick Radtka (1-4-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:40 of round 2

Last 3 Fights: Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer (2-0-0, 1 NC)
2016-02-20: W vs. [NA] Jhan Zuniga (0-3-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 3:14 of round 1
2015-05-29: W vs. [NA] Danilo Padilha da Silva (1-3-0) via UD ()
2014-09-26: NC vs. [NA] Stefan Werleman (0-0-0)

Elo Favorite (Standard): Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer (1254.45) [+57.73] – Win%: 56.55
Elo Favorite (Modified): Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer (1313.49) [+14.52] – Win%: 51.59
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Troy Nawrocki 244, Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer 909
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Lightweight (155)
[#1383] Micah Peatrowsky (2-0-0, 154.2lb) vs. [NA] Keith Phathaem (0-1-0, 155.8lb)

Last 3 Fights: Micah Peatrowsky (2-0-0)
2018-03-30: W vs. [] TBA/Unknown () via SUB in 2:07 of round 1
2017-09-29: W vs. [NA] James Reed (1-3-0) via SUB in 1:12 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Keith Phathaem (0-1-0)
2015-08-21: L vs. [NA] Logan McPadden (1-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 2:57 of round 2

Days Since Last Pro Fight: Micah Peatrowsky 140, Keith Phathaem 1092
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Welterweight (170)
[#584MW] Seth Bass (4-2-0, 170.8lb) vs. [#1234] Tyler Ray (3-1-0, 170.4lb)

Last 3 Fights: Seth Bass (2-1-0)
2017-12-16: L vs. [#613WW] Scott Futrell (8-7-0) via TKO (Punches) in 0:17 of round 2
2017-09-29: W vs. [#815WW] Jeremiah Deever (6-3-0) via SUB in 1:31 of round 2
2017-06-03: W vs. [NA] Jon Kennedy (8-29-0) via SUB in 1:15 of round 1

Last 3 Fights: Tyler Ray (2-1-0)
2018-04-20: W vs. [NA] Theron Martin (0-1-0) via UD ()
2017-08-18: L vs. [#1367WW] J.P. Saint Louis (3-3-0) via Submission (Guillotine Choke) in 1:44 of round 1
2017-04-29: W vs. [#1712WW] Sidney Ben Simons (3-2-0) via SUB in 3:19 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Tyler Ray (1128.43) [+11.21] – Win%: 51.28
Elo Favorite (Modified): Tyler Ray (1133.55) [+6.96] – Win%: 50.76
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Seth Bass 244, Tyler Ray 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Light Heavyweight (200)
[#734MW] Romero Cotton (2-0-0, 185.4lb) vs. [#542] Willie Whitehead (2-2-0, 200.2lb)

Last 3 Fights: Romero Cotton (2-0-0)
2018-03-02: W vs. [NA] Justin Reeser (1-2-0) via Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in 4:35 of round 2
2017-07-14: W vs. [NA] Aaron Rodriguez (0-1-0) via SD ()

Last 3 Fights: Willie Whitehead (2-1-0)
2018-03-02: L vs. [#198MW] Tim Hiley (5-0-0) via TKO (Submission to Punches) in 2:31 of round 2
2017-10-20: W vs. [NA] Virgil Knight (2-1-0) via Submission in 3:51 of round 3
2017-07-28: W vs. [NA] Justin Fuson (1-1-0) via TKO (Punches) in 4:53 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Romero Cotton (1149.01) [+61.91] – Win%: 57.02
Elo Favorite (Modified): Willie Whitehead (1191.22) [+61.03] – Win%: 56.64
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Romero Cotton 168, Willie Whitehead 168
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Flyweight (125)
[#166] Lloyd McKinney (12-5-0, 125.4lb) vs. [#604] Robiel Tesfaldet (2-1-0, 125.8lb)

Last 3 Fights: Lloyd McKinney (3-0-0)
2018-04-28: W vs. [#349FLY] Marc Tong Van (7-6-0) via SUB in 1:50 of round 2
2017-07-08: W vs. [#566FLY] Gonzalo Ponce (5-2-0) via SUB in 4:01 of round 3
2017-04-22: W vs. [#756FLY] Jason Huntley (5-6-0) via UD ()

Last 3 Fights: Robiel Tesfaldet (2-1-0)
2018-04-20: W vs. [NA] Chris Collins (3-2-0) via SUB in of round 1
2017-12-16: L vs. [#520FLY] Santo Curatolo (2-0-0) via KO (Head Kick) in 3:48 of round 1
2017-08-18: W vs. [NA] Anthony Yost (1-3-0) via TKO (Punches) in 2:59 of round 1

Elo Favorite (Standard): Lloyd McKinney (1298.80) [+205.18] – Win%: 71.85
Elo Favorite (Modified): Lloyd McKinney (1322.41) [+180.02] – Win%: 68.74
Days Since Last Pro Fight: Lloyd McKinney 111, Robiel Tesfaldet 119
Previous Match-up Record: No previous match-ups.
Wins Against Common Opposition: No common opposition or both are winless against common opposition.
.

Notes about the Fight Card
– Highest-rated fighter always listed first.
– A ‘*’ ranking suggests a fighter is inactive.
– An ‘NA’ ranking suggests the fighter is too low for a ranking or we do not have division info for them.
– The Elo Favorite rating info includes any considered fight-specific advantages, such as home advantage.
– The Elo Win% is approximate and includes the favorites probability share of a draw occurring.

Fight Card Statistics

Highest Pre-Bout Raw Rating: Darrion Caldwell
Highest Stored DD Rating: Darrion Caldwell
Highest Pre-Bout Fight Raw Rating: Darrion Caldwell vs. Noad Lahat
Highest Stored Fight DD Rating: Darrion Caldwell vs. Noad Lahat
Event Matchmaking Competitiveness Rating (of 5*): Great [****]
Total Event MMA Rankings Impact (of 5*): Very Low [*½]
Run Date: 2018-8-17