A good bet for our gamblers…

by JCS

Here are the odds we dug up for the Griffin/Aurelio match-up:

Tyson Griffin -350 vs. Marcus Aurelio +250

Translated to an implied chance of winning, these odds suggest Griffin has a 78% chance of prevailing in the bout.

As for the FightMatrix points system, the difference between these two fighters is practically nothing.

Rank Fighter Record Points
14 Marcus Aurelio
Last Fight: 4/2/2008 [UFC]
16-5-0
102
15 Tyson Griffin
Last Fight: 2/2/2008 [UFC]
11-1-0
100

We’re not necessarily declaring Aurelio as the winner, but we know a good bet when we see one.





5 Responses to “A good bet for our gamblers…”

  1. Sean Says:

    The line does not in any way, shape, or form suggest that the linemakers think Griffin has a 78% chance of winning.

  2. jcs Says:

    I’ve changed the word usage to better represent the situation.

  3. Jon Says:

    I love the rankings and I think that line makes Griffin a slightly bigger favorite than he should be, but as they say, styles make fights.

    Aurellio didn’t have much at all for the likes of Guida and Ishida. The linemakers likely assume that a strong wrestler with submission defense (Griffin qualifies) spells trouble for Aurellio.

  4. UFC 86: Tyson Griffin vs. Marcus Aurelio?-Boxing & MMA-GoTeamsGo Sports Fan Forum Says:

    […] bout, and I was very surprised to see that Vegas installed Griffin as a huge favorite. FightMatrix.com was surprised, too. The innovative Fight Matrix ratings have the two fighters essentially equal, with Aurelio actually […]

  5. jcs Says:

    Well, this one didn’t go so well.

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